Long-term success and failure with SG is predictable by 3 months: a multivariate model using simple office markers

Nomogram for Predicting Suboptimal Weight Loss at Three Years after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass Surgery in Chinese Patients with Obesity and Type 2 Diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Strategies to address suboptimal weight loss after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) can be developed if at-risk patients are identified in advance. This study aimed to build a pre-surgery prediction nomogram for early prediction of insufficient weight loss (IWL) or weight regain (WR) after bariatric surgery in Chinese patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, 187 patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes who underwent laparoscopic RYGB were followed yearly for 3 years. Suboptimal weight loss included IWL and WR. IWL was defined as a total weight loss percentage of <25% at 1 year postoperatively, and WR was defined as a maximum weight loss percentage of >20% at 3 years postoperatively. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors and to establish a nomogram to predict the occurrence of suboptimal weight loss.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression revealed that male sex (OR 4.268, 95% CI: 1.413-12.890), body mass index (OR 0.816, 95% CI: 0.705-0.946), and glycated hemoglobin (OR 1.493, 95% CI: 1.049-2.126) were independent predictors of IWL/WR. The AUC value of the nomogram constructed from the above three factors was 0.781. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good fit (p = 0.143). The calibration curve of the nomogram is close to an ideal diagonal line. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis demonstrated the good net benefits of the model.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram based on pre-surgery factors was developed to predict postoperative IWL/WR. This provides a convenient and useful tool for predicting suboptimal weight loss before surgery.

Long-term results of Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) versus single anastomosis duodeno-ileal bypass (SADI) as revisional procedures after failed sleeve gastrectomy: a systematic literature review and pooled analysis

PURPOSE

Revisional bariatric surgery (RBS) has flourished during the last decades in many countries, due to suboptimal weight loss or long-term complications of primary bariatric surgery. Restrictive procedures, and in particular sleeve gastrectomy (SG), although widely performed as primary bariatric surgery, seems particularly prone to need surgical revision for the above-mentioned reasons during long-term follow-up. The aim of this systematic review was to compare the long-term (5-year) safety and efficacy between Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) and single anastomosis duodeno-ileal bypass (SADI) after 'failed' SG.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed from 2007 to September 2024. Articles were included if SADI or RYGB were performed as RBS after 'failed SG' with follow-up at least 5 years. Pooled analysis was performed to summarize the data.

RESULTS

Among the seven studies eligible and included in this review, the SADI procedure showed comparable results to RYGB in terms of weight loss, nutritional deficiencies, and resolution of comorbidities during the long-term follow-up. However, RYGB proved superior in terms of remission of reflux disease and other functional problems after SG.

CONCLUSIONS

The present review found that SADI seems to be a promising and suitable method for suboptimal weight loss after SG, with comparable or even better results to RYGB after 5-year follow-up.

Performance of a predictive weight loss model in terms of rapid detection of inadequate weight loss after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass

BACKGROUND

Predictive weight loss models can help patients meet their expectations after bariatric surgery and assist physicians in responding to deviations from the predicted weight. A model published by Seyssel et al. appears to accurately predict postoperative body mass index.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to demonstrate this model's performance in terms of rapid detection of insufficient weight loss (surgical nonresponse).

SETTING

Cantonal Hospital, Switzerland.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed weight and body mass index deviations at 2 years postoperatively, based on values predicted by the model of Seyssel et al. The primary outcome was the timing of detection of surgical nonresponse. The secondary outcome was how patients' weight loss expectations influenced their real weight loss.

RESULTS

Between 2016 and 2019, 190 patients underwent Roux-en-Y gastric bypass. Of these patients, 36 were lost to follow-up and 154 were included in this study. At 24 months, 16 patients had surgical nonresponse, defined as a real weight of +1 standard deviation higher than that predicted. Among these patients, 44% had a weight of ≥+1 standard deviation higher than predicted at 3 months, and 63% at 12 months. The positive and negative predictive values at 12 months were 59% and 95%, respectively. Patients with a lower hypothetically wanted weight (38.5%) exhibited greater weight loss (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive weight loss model of Seyssel et al. enables rapid detection of surgical nonresponse, allowing physicians to react as early as 3 months postsurgery. Patients' overestimation of postoperative weight loss was positively correlated with the actual weight loss achieved.

Three-Month Excessive Body Weight Loss < 37.7% as a Predictor of Mid-term Suboptimal Outcomes Postlaparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy: Risk Factors and the Impact of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio on Adipocyte Function

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of achieving < 37.7% excess body-weight loss (EBWL) within 3 months of postlaparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG) on clinical outcomes and its correlation with adipocyte function.

METHODS

Patients (n = 176) who underwent LSG between January 2019 and January 2023 were included. Weight loss and status of health markers were monitored postoperatively. The cohort was stratified based on EBWL < 37.7% at 3 months or not. Variables including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), insulin resistance, and comorbidities were analyzed. Omental visceral and subcutaneous adipose tissue samples were used to analyze the differences in adipocyte function by western blot.

RESULTS

Patients with EBWL < 37.7% at 3 months post-LSG (suboptimal group) comprised less likelihood of achieving ≥ 50% EBWL than those who achieved ≥ 37.7% EBWL (optimal group) at 6 months (42.55% vs. 95.52% in optimal group, p < 0.001), 12 months (85.11% vs. 99.25% in optimal group, p < 0.001) and 24 months (77.14% vs. 94.74% in optimal group, p = 0.009) post-LSG. High BMI (OR = 1.222, 95% CI 1.138-1.312, p < 0.001), NLR ≥ 2.36 (OR = 2.915, 95% CI 1.257-6.670, p = 0.013), and female sex (OR = 3.243, 95% CI 1.306-8.051, p = 0.011) significantly predicted EBWL < 37.7% at 3 months post-LSG. Patients with NLR ≥ 2.36 had significantly lower adipose triglyceride lipase in omental fat (p = 0.025).

CONCLUSION

EBWL < 37.7% at 3 months post-LSG is a strong predictor of subsequent suboptimal weight loss. High BMI, NLR ≥ 2.36, and female sex are risk factors in predicting EBWL < 37.7% at 3 months post-LSG. These findings may offer a reference to apply adjuvant weight loss medications to patients who are predisposed to suboptimal outcomes.

Early Postoperative Weight Loss Predicts Weight Loss up to 5 Years After Roux-En-Y Gastric Bypass, Banded Roux-En-Y Gastric Bypass, and Sleeve Gastrectomy

Purpose

Previous studies showed that patients with lower weight loss after bariatric surgery could be identified based on early postoperative weight loss. However, these studies had only 12–36-month follow-up. This study aimed to explore whether patients in the lowest weight loss quartile at 3 months had lower weight loss trajectories up to 5 years after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB), banded Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (BRYGB), and sleeve gastrectomy (SG) surgery.

Methods

Weight was assessed preoperatively, and 3, 6, 9, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months postoperatively. Patients were grouped into four categories based on quartiles of percentage total weight loss (%TWL) at 3-month follow-up. Results were compared between the lowest %TWL quartile group and other quartile groups.

Results

Patients underwent either RYGB (n=13,106; 72%), SG (n=3585; 20%), or BRYGB (n=1391, 8%) surgery. Weight loss trajectories of patients in the lowest %TWL quartile group remained lower than that of other quartile groups throughout a 5-year follow-up, for all three types of surgery. Patients in the lowest %TWL quartile group had higher age at surgery, higher baseline BMI, and were more likely to be male (in the SG group), and to suffer from diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and osteoarthritis.

Conclusion

This study showed a positive association between weight loss at 3 and 12 to 60 months after bariatric surgery. Weight loss at 3 months after surgery could be used to identify patients whose anticipated weight loss trajectories are below average, to potentially improve their outcomes through early behavioral or medical interventions.

Graphical Abstract

Reference Values for Weight Loss During 1 Year After Sleeve Gastrectomy: a Multicenter Retrospective Study in Japan

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to provide reference values for the percentage total weight loss during 1 year after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy associated with primary response in Japan.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study comprised 248 patients with severe obesity who underwent laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy at five institutions in Japan. A percentage total weight loss < 20% at 1 year was defined as primary non-response. Parsimonious predictive models were developed based on the results of multiple regression analyses. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess the discriminative performance for primary non-response.

RESULTS

The median age, initial body mass index, and percentage total weight loss at 1 year were 41 years, 41.4 kg/m², and 30.1%, respectively. There were 28 (11.3%) primary non-responders. For discriminating primary non-responders, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the parsimonious model and actual percentage of total weight loss at 3 months after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy were 0.846 and 0.803, respectively. Cutoffs for the predicted percentage total weight loss using the model and actual value of percentage total weight loss at 3 months attaining 80% sensitivity were 30% and 22%, and those attaining 98% specificity were 22% and 15%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Reference values for the percentage total weight loss at 3 months were obtained using the predictive model and actual value of percentage total weight loss at 3 months. Patients at risk for primary non-response can be determined at 3 months with these values, which can help in considering earlier interventions.

Preoperative Prediction of Body Mass Index of Patients with Type 2 Diabetes at 1 Year After Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy: Cross-Sectional Study

Background: Very few models predict weight loss among type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) patients after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG). This retrospective study undertook such a task. Materials and Methods: We identified all patients >18 years old with T2D who underwent primary LSG at our institution and had complete data. The training set comprised 107 patients operated upon during the period April 2011 to June 2014; the validation set comprised 134 patients operated upon during the successive chronological period, July 2014 to December 2015. Sex, age, presurgery BMI, T2D duration, number of T2D medications, insulin use, hypertension, and dyslipidemia were utilized as independent predictors of 1-year BMI. We employed regression analysis, and assessed the goodness of fit and "Residuals versus Fits" plot. Paired sample t-tests compared the observed and predicted BMI at 1 year. Results: The model comprised preoperative BMI (β = 0.757, P = 0.026) + age (β = 0.142, P < 0.0001) with adjusted R² of 0.581 (P < 0.0001), and goodness of fit showed an unbiased model with accurate prediction. The equation was: BMI value 1 year after LSG = 1.777 + 0.614 × presurgery BMI (kg/m²) +0.106 × age (years). For validation, the equation exhibited an adjusted R² 0.550 (P < 0.0001), and the goodness of fit indicated an unbiased model. The BMI predicted by the model fell within -3.78 BMI points to +2.42 points of the observed 1-year BMI. Pairwise difference between the mean 1-year observed and predicted BMI was not significant (-0.41 kg/m², P = 0.225). Conclusions: This predictive model estimates the BMI 1 year after LSG. The model comprises preoperative BMI and age. It allows the forecast of patients' BMI after surgery, hence setting realistic expectations which are critical for patient satisfaction after bariatric surgery. An attainable target motivates the patient to achieve it.

6M50LSG Scoring System Increased the Proportion of Adequate Excess Body Weight Loss for Suspected Poor Responders After Laparoscopic Sleeve Gastrectomy in Asian Population

PURPOSE

We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the predictive tool, 6M50LSG scoring system, to identify suspected poor responders after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG).

METHODS

The 6M50LSG scoring system has been applied since 2019. Suspected poor responders are defined by EBWL at 1 month < 19.5% or EBWL at 3 months < 37.7% based on the 6M50LSG scoring system. Our analysis included 109 suspected poor responders. Based on the date of LSG, the patients were separated into two groups: the 2016-2018 group (before group, BG, with regular care) and the 2019-2020 group (after group, AG, with upgrade medical nutrition therapy).

RESULTS

At the end of the study, the AG group had a significantly higher proportion of adequate weight loss, which was defined as EBWL ≥ 50% at 6 months after LSG, than that in the BG group (18.92% in BG vs. 48.57% in AG, p = 0.003). The AG group demonstrated significantly more 3-months-TWL (BG: 15.22% vs. AG: 17.54%, p < 0.001) and 6-months-TWL (BG: 21.08% vs. AG: 25.65%, p < 0.001). In multivariate analyses and adjustments, the scoring system (AG) resulted in significantly higher chances of adequate weight loss in suspected poor responders (adjusted OR 3.392, 95% CI = 1.345-8.5564, p = 0.010). One year after LSG, suspected poor responders in AG had a significantly higher weight loss than those in BG (BG vs. AG: TWL 27.17% vs. 32.20%, p = 0.014) .

CONCLUSION

This study confirmed that the 6M50LSG scoring system with upgraded medical nutrition therapy increased the proportion of suspected poor responders with adequate weight loss after LSG.

Early weight loss as a predictor of 3-year weight loss and weight regain in patients with good compliance after sleeve gastrectomy

BACKGROUND

Sleeve gastrectomy (SG) is the most common surgery for severe obesity. Patients lose weight post SG and regain some weight in the following years. Early weight loss predicts weight loss after SG. However, etiologies of weight loss and regain after SG remain unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the effects of early weight loss on medium-term weight regain post SG.

SETTING

Two university hospitals in Taiwan.

METHODS

Patients with records within 1 and at 3 years after SG were enrolled retrospectively. Preoperative clinical variables and percentage of total weight loss (%TWL) were analyzed. Weight regain was defined as a weight increase from 1 year postoperatively of >25% of the lost weight. Linear and multiple logistic regression were applied to examine the associations of early weight loss, weight loss, and weight regain.

RESULTS

A total of 363 patients were included. Body mass indexes before and 1, 3, 6, 12, and 36 months postoperatively were 40.7 ± 6.8 kg/m², 36.6 ± 6.2 kg/m², 33.5 ± 5.8 kg/m², 30.9 ± 5.5 kg/m², 28.4 ± 5.2, and 29.3 ± 5.4 kg/m², respectively. At 3 years after SG, 73 patients (20.1%) had weight regain. In multivariate linear analyses, initial age, waist circumference, type 2 diabetes, and %TWL at 1 or 3 months were associated with either 1-year or 3-year %TWL. Multiple logistic regression revealed %TWL at 3 months to be a predictor for 3-year weight regain after SG (odds ratio, .927; P = .02).

CONCLUSION

Early weight loss predicted weight loss and regain 3 years after SG. Early lifestyle and behavioral interventions are suggested in patients at high risk of poor weight loss and weight regain outcomes after SG.

The influence of obstructive sleep apnea syndrome on anthropometric parameters at 12 months after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy

The aim of this study was to assess the influence of obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) on the change in anthropometric parameters and body composition, in patients undergoing laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG). This prospective study included patients undergoing LSG who had pre-operative polysomnography data and were also evaluated at six and 12 months after surgery. All patients included also had whole body composition analysis data before surgery and at six and 12 months after surgery. The results are presented in comparison between patients with and without OSAS. We included 73 patients in the analysis with a mean ± SD age and body mass index (BMI) of 40.3 ± 10.9 years and 45.4 ± 6.3 kg/m², respectively. As compared to the baseline levels, at 6 months there was a significant decrease in BMI, weight, waist circumference, serum glucose and HbA1c. At 12 months there was no further decrease as compared to the 6 months levels, irrespective of OSAS status. We observed a significant decrease at 6 months in percentage of fat, in both types of patients. However, as compared to the 6 months levels, at 12 months the percent fat had a significant decrease only in patients without OSAS (− 4.6%, 95% CI − 7.6 to − 1.7%) and not in those with OSAS (− 2.2%, 95% CI − 4.5 to 0.2%). In our study, patients with OSAS showed a similar decrease in different anthropometric parameters as those without OSAS after LSG. However, at 12 months of follow-up there was a significant decrease in the percent fat only in patients without OSAS.

Geometry of Sleeve Gastrectomy Measured by 3D CT Versus Weight Loss: Preliminary Analysis

BACKGROUND

The size of the remnant stomach with respect to weight loss failure after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG) remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the actual size and volume of the remnant stomach, as measured by three-dimensional computed tomography (3D-CT) volumetry, on weight loss after LSG.

METHODS

The clinical outcomes of 52 patients who underwent LSG between October 2008 and February 2019 were assessed. Weight metrics were recorded at 1, 3, and 6 months and 1 year postoperatively. 3D-CT volumetry was performed 1 year postoperatively, and the total remnant stomach volume (TSV), proximal stomach volume (PSV), antral stomach volume (ASV), and the distance between the pylorus and the distal edge of staple line (DPS) were measured. The relationship between the weight metrics and aforementioned factors was analyzed.

RESULTS

Of the 52 patients who underwent LSG, 40 patients participated in this study. The average body mass index preoperatively was 38.3 ± 5.1 kg/m², and the average percentage of total weight loss (%TWL) 1 year after LSG was 26.6 ± 9.3%. The average TSV, PSV, ASV, and DPS were 123.2 ± 60.3 ml, 73.4 ± 37.2 ml, 49.8 ± 30.3 ml, and 59.9 ± 18.5 mm, respectively. The DPS (r = - 0.394, p = 0.012) and ASV (r = - 0.356, p = 0.024) were correlated with %TWL 1 year postoperatively.

CONCLUSIONS

The actual DPS and ASV measured by 3D-CT affected weight loss after LSG. 3D-CT may be useful for the immediate identification of factors affecting insufficient weight loss in patients; this may, in turn, aid in the implementation of early intervention treatments.

Check point to get adequate weight loss within 6-months after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy for morbid obesity in Asian population

Purpose of this study is to develope a scoring system to predict the likelihood of excess body weight loss (EBWL) ≥ 50% 6-months after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG). From April 2016 to September 2018, data was collected from 160 patients (BMI ≥ 32) who underwent primary LSG with at least 6-months follow-up. They were separated into score generation (operated by one surgeon, n = 122) and validation groups (operated by 3 different surgeons, n = 38). EBWL at 6-months ≥ 50% was considered adequate weight loss. Independent variables including age, gender, initial body mass index (BMI), comorbidities, life-style habits, percentage of EBWL and percentage of total body weight loss at 1-week, 1-month, and 3-months were analyzed with mutivariate logistic regression to generate the scoring system. The system was applied to internal and external validation groups to determine efficacy. As results, between the score generation and internal validation groups, the only significant difference in patient characteristics was in exercise participation. EBWL at 1-month > 19.5% (1 point) and EBWL at 3-months > 37.7% (2 points) were identified as independent factors to predict EBWL at 6-months ≥ 50%. When scores were > 1, the system had 94.03% positive predictive value (PPV) and 81.82% negative predictive value (NPV) (AUC: 0.923). Internal validation scores > 1 had a 95.83% PPV and 85.71% NPV (AUC: 0.975). External validation results showed 88.59% PPV and 72.00% NPV (AUC: 0.802). We concluded that this scoring system provides a reliable, objective prediction of EBWL at 6-months ≥ 50%. Patients requiring more aggressive clinical follow-up and intervention can be detected as early as 1- to 3-months after LSG.

An Analysis of Mid-Term Complications, Weight Loss, and Type 2 Diabetes Resolution of Stomach Intestinal Pylorus-Sparing Surgery (SIPS) Versus Roux-En-Y Gastric Bypass (RYGB) with Three-Year Follow-Up

BACKGROUND

For many years, the Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass (RYGB) was considered a good balance of complications and weight loss. According to several short-term studies, single anastomosis duodenal switch or stomach intestinal pylorus sparing surgery (SIPS) offers similar weight loss to RYGB with fewer complications and better diabetes resolution. No one has substantiated mid-term complication and nutritional differences between these two procedures. This paper seeks to compare complication and nutritional outcomes between RYGB and SIPS.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 798 patients who either had SIPS or RYGB from 2010 to 2016. Complications were gathered for each patient. Nutritional outcomes were measured for each group at 1, 2, and 3 years. Regression analysis was applied to interpolate each patient's weight at 3, 6, 9, 12, 18, 24, and 36 months. These were then compared with t tests, Fisher's exact tests, and chi-squared tests.

RESULTS

RYGB and SIPS have statistically similar weight loss at 3, 6, 9, 12, and 36 months. They statistically differ at 18 and 24 months. At 36 months, there is a trend for weight loss difference. There were only statistical differences in nutritional outcomes between the two procedures with calcium at 1 and 3 years and vitamin D at 1 year. There were statistically significantly more long-term class IIIb-V complications, class I-IIIa complications, reoperations, ulcers, small bowel obstructions, nausea, and vomiting with the RYGB than the SIPS.

CONCLUSION

With comparable weight loss and nutritional outcomes, SIPS has fewer short- and long-term complications than RYGB and better type 2 diabetes resolution rates.

Short-term outcomes of single-port versus conventional laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy: a propensity score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Sleeve gastrectomy (SG) has become a frequent bariatric procedure. Single-port sleeve gastrectomy (SPSG) could reduce parietal aggression however its development has been restrained due to fear of a complex procedure leading to increased morbidity and suboptimal sleeve construction. The aim of this study was to compare the short-term outcomes of SPSG versus conventional laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (CLSG) with regards to morbidity, weight loss, and co-morbidity resolution.

METHODS

Between January 2015 and December 2016, data from all consecutive patients that underwent SPSG and CLSG in two institutions performing exclusively one or the other approach were retrospectively analyzed. Propensity score adjustment was performed on the factors known to influence the choice of approach.

RESULTS

During the study period, 1122 patients underwent SG in both institutions (610 SPSG and 512 CLSG). From each group, 314 patients were successfully matched. A 15-min increase in operative time was observed during SPSG (P < 0.001). Postoperative morbidity was similar with a minor increase after SPSG (8.6 vs. 6.7%, P = 0.453). No differences in incisional hernia rates were observed (1.6 (SPSG) vs. 0.3% (CLSG), P = 0.216). Percentage of total weight loss was 31.1% and 28.2% in the CLSG and SPSG 12 months after surgery, respectively (P = 0.321). Co-morbidities resolution 12 months following the procedure was similar.

CONCLUSIONS

SPSG can be performed safely with similar intraoperative and postoperative morbidity compared to CLSG. Weight loss and co-morbidities resolution at 1 year are equivalent. A 15-min longer operative time was the only negative side of SPSG.