Geographical trend analysis of COVID-19 pandemic onset in Africa

Mapping the pandemic: a review of Geographical Information Systems-based spatial modeling of Covid-19

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), COVID-19 has caused more than 6.5 million deaths, while over 600 million people are infected. With regard to the tools and techniques of disease analysis, spatial analysis is increasingly being used to analyze the impact of COVID-19. The present review offers an assessment of research that used regional data systems to study the COVID-19 epidemic published between 2020 and 2022. The research focuses on: categories of the area, authors, methods, and procedures used by the authors and the results of their findings. This input will enable the contrast of different spatial models used for regional data systems with COVID-19. Our outcomes showed increased use of geographically weighted regression and Moran I spatial statistical tools applied to better spatial and time-based gauges. We have also found an increase in the use of local models compared to other spatial statistics models/methods.

Africa's spatial data science landscape in the context of covid-19 pandemic

The emergence of Covid-19 pandemic in late 2019 presented daunting challenges for designing and implementing sustainable solutions at both local and global levels. The situation was dire in many developing economies with limited resources and vulnerable healthcare systems especially in Africa. Spatial data science (SDS) can be adopted and utilized to assist countries and local communities in understanding and effectively responding to Covid-19 pandemic. This article's study reviewed recent literature with the main goal to assess the application of this data-driven and technology-oriented modern approach in addressing Covid-19 in the African continent. Findings indicate that while examples of applications involving traditional geospatial technologies especially geographic information systems are abound, the use of more advanced SDS elements is limited and fragmented. Additionally, various studies leveraged SDS to address one or more complex questions against the backdrop of challenges largely influenced by the digital divide within Africa and across the globe. The article identifies and discusses these challenges as well as opportunities for increased use of SDS in Africa to understand and respond to disasters like Covid-19 and other complex problems. The argument is made for a more complete use of multiple elements of SDS.

Association Between Weather Parameters and SARS-CoV-2 Confirmed Cases in Two South African Cities

Several approaches have been used in the race against time to mitigate the spread and impact of COVID-19. In this study, we investigated the role of temperature, relative humidity, and particulate matter in the spread of COVID-19 cases within two densely populated cities of South Africa-Pretoria and Cape Town. The role of different levels of COVID-19 restrictions in the air pollution levels, obtained from the Purple Air Network, of the two cities were also considered. Our results suggest that 26.73% and 43.66% reduction in PM2.5 levels were observed in Cape Town and Pretoria respectively for no lockdown (Level 0) to the strictest lockdown level (Level 5). Furthermore, our results showed a significant relationship between particulate matter and COVID-19 in the two cities. Particulate matter was found to be a good predictor, based on the significance of causality test, of COVID-19 cases in Pretoria with a lag of 7 days and more. This suggests that the effect of particulate matter on the number of cases can be felt after 7 days and beyond in Pretoria.

Frequency and geospatial vulnerability indices of rainfall and temperature extremes in the Jimma Zone, Ethiopia

Climate extremes are becoming more prevalent and hazardous as global climate change increases. The purpose of this study was to find out how often severe rainfall and temperature events occur, as well as the study area's spatial vulnerability indexes to extremes of both indices. Thirty years of daily rainfall and temperature data from 10 national meteorological stations were used. Four rainfall and eight temperature extremes were extracted using Climpact2 software tools. These variables were calculated for standardized anomaly and vulnerability indices and mapped using ArcMap. The results showed that the spatial variation of climatic extremes in the study area was significantly varied. Avery high rainfall (R95P) and extremely high rainfall (R99P) were widely experienced in the study area's west-south, but in the southeast, similar trends were rare. R95P had a statistically significant growing trend, but R99P did not. The warmest night temperature (TNx) event was widely observed in the east, southeast, and northwest, but the coldest night temperature (TNn) was only found in the eastern part. Extremely cold daytime temperatures (TXn) were more prevalent in the south and southeast of the study area, whereas extremely warm daytime temperatures (TXx) were more prevalent in the north. The number of dry spells (CDD), R95P, R99P, cold spells at night (TN10P), warm spells at night (TN90P), cold spells during the day (TX10P), and warm spells during the day (TX10P) frequency bell curves were skewed to the left side of the histogram. This suggests that the distribution of the variables was not symmetrical due to the fact that the negative anomaly frequencies of the variables were higher than the positive ones. The results of the spatial vulnerability study show that all provinces were vulnerable to the combined effects of climatic extremes, with scores ranging from 0.20 to 0.8, with none of them vulnerable and extremely vulnerable areas. Omo-Nada and Chora-Botor were particularly sensitive to climate change with an average score of 0.61. Only 12 of the 27 severe climate indexes were taken into account in this study, and the remaining 15 extreme indices will have to be investigated further.

The Role of Meteorological Variables and Aerosols in the Transmission of COVID-19 During Harmattan Season

The role of atmospheric parameters and aerosols in the transmission of COVID-19 within tropical Africa, especially during the harmattan season, has been under-investigated in published papers. The harmattan season within the West African region is associated with significant dust incursion from the Bodele depression and biomass burning. In this study, the correlation between atmospheric parameters (temperature and humidity) and aerosols with COVID-19 cases and fatalities within seven locations in tropical Nigeria during the harmattan period was investigated. COVID-19 infection cases were found to be significantly positively correlated with atmospheric parameters (temperature and humidity) in the southern part of the country while the number of fatalities showed weaker significant correlation with particulate matters only in three locations. The significant correlation values were found to be between 0.22 and 0.48 for particulate matter and -0.19 to -0.32 for atmospheric parameters. Although, temperature and humidity showed negative correlations in some locations, the impact is smaller compared to particulate matter. In December, COVID-19 cases in all locations showed strong correlation with particulate matter except in Kano State. It is suggested that a reduction in atmospheric particulate matter can be used as a control measure for the spread of COVID-19.

Factors that most expose countries to COVID-19: a composite indicators-based approach

Studies carried out in different countries correlate social, economic, environmental, and health factors with the number of cases and deaths from COVID-19. However, such studies do not reveal which factors make one country more exposed to COVID-19 than other. Based on the composite indicators approach, this research identifies the factors that most impact the number of cases and deaths of COVID-19 worldwide and measures countries' exposure to COVID-19. Three composite indicators of exposure to COVID-19 were constructed through Principal Component Analysis, Simple Additive Weighting, and k-means clustering. The number of cases and deaths from COVID-19 is strongly correlated ( R  > 0.60) with composite indicator scores and moderately concordant ( K  > 0.4) with country clusters. Factors directly or indirectly associated with the age of the population are the ones that most expose countries to COVID-19. The population of countries most exposed to COVID-19 is 12 years older on average. The proportion of the elderly population in these countries is at least twice that of countries less exposed to COVID-19. Factors that can increase the population's life expectancy, such as Gross Domestic Product per capita and the Human Development Index, are four times and 1.3 times higher in more exposed countries to COVID-19. Providing better living conditions increases both the population's life expectancy and the country's exposure to COVID-19.

A Geographical Analysis of the African COVID-19 Paradox: Putting the Poverty-as-a-Vaccine Hypothesis to the Test

The poverty-as-a-vaccine hypothesis came to light following the wide circulation of the controversial British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) World Service post on the internet and social media. It was a theoretical response to what this paper has termed as "the African COVID-19 paradox" or what some have characterised as the "African COVID-19 anomaly" whose thesis is though Africa is the poorest continent in the world, yet it has some of the lowest COVID-19 infection and mortality rates globally. This paradoxical profile apparently contradicts earlier and grim projections by several international bodies on the fate of Africa in this global health crisis. Given this background, we specifically tested the validity of the hypothesis from a geographic perspective within the spatial framework of Africa. Data came from secondary sources. Evidence truly points out a significant negative relationship between COVID-19 and poverty in Africa and thus statistically supports the poverty-as-a-vaccine hypothesis. However, this does not confirm that poverty confers immunity against COVID-19 but it implicitly shows there are complex factors responsible for the anomaly. The main conclusion of the paper is that poverty has no protective immunity against COVID-19 in Africa and is therefore not tenable.