Multiple colorectal liver metastases resection can offer long-term survival: The concept of a chronic neoplastic disease

Prognostic Effect of CEA Cut-Off in Patients with Resectable Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression

BACKGROUND

Although preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a variable used in most prognostic scores assessing the outcome of patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) undergoing resection, it is unclear what the optimal cut-off is or in which patient subgroups CEA is most relevant. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic effect of CEA in resected CRLM patients and to explore in which subgroups CEA is most closely associated with overall survival (OS).

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed, selecting studies that evaluated a relationship between preoperative CEA and OS in patients undergoing CRLM radical surgery. A meta-analysis assessed the overall effect size of the relationship on the selected study cohorts, based on CEA cut-off. An evaluation of 21 baseline variables was performed to explore their possible effect on the relationship between CEA and OS.

RESULTS

The study confirms a significant negative prognostic effect of increased CEA on OS (HR 1.46, CI 1.30-1.65), but heterogeneity among studies is significant. The effect is consistent for all CEA cut-offs, although the relationship tends to weaken in more recent studies for cut-offs < 10 ng/mL. Meta-regressions also suggest that the prognostic effect may be more pronounced in the elderly. In addition, the effect of CEA ≥ 20 ng/mL on OS appears significantly reduced in the subgroup with mutated RAS carcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with resectable CRLM, the CEA cut-off should be increased to 20 ng/mL, and evaluation in prospective studies of the more pronounced negative prognostic effect of preoperative CEA in the elderly and wild-type RAS CRLM patients is recommended.

Meta-analysis of the prognostic value of serum carcinoembryonic antigen in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after hepatectomy

OBJECTIVES

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a broad-spectrum tumor marker for differential diagnosis, monitoring, and response assessment of a variety of malignancies. This meta-analysis was aimed at evaluating whether serum CEA could predict the prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) before and after liver resection (LR).

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were systematically searched to retrieve literature, with a search cutoff date of 27 February 2023. Articles were strictly screened for inclusion according to pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data were pooled and analyzed using Stata 16.0.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included 36 studies involving a total of 11 143 CRCLM patients. The results showed that a high pre-LR serum CEA level was correlated with poor overall survival (OS: HR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.49-1.75, P  < 0.001) and recurrence-free survival (RFS: HR = 1.27, 95% CI = 1.11-1.45, P  < 0.001) in CRCLM patients. A high post-LR serum CEA level predicted poor overall survival (OS: HR = 2.66, 95% CI = 2.10-3.38, P  < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

High preoperative and postoperative serum CEA levels in patients with CRCLM were significantly associated with poor prognosis, independent of treatment modality, mode of analysis, case origin, and cutoff value classification.

Long-term overall survival in patients undergoing liver resection for metastatic anal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

There is limited research on management of metastatic anal canal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) to the liver. This study aimed to describe outcomes for patients undergoing liver resection of anal SCC metastases.

METHODS

A multicenter, retrospective cohort study was conducted by three tertiary-referral centers. Patients undergoing liver surgery between 2008 and 2022 were included. Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of recurrence and survival and Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed for 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival.

RESULTS

Twenty-one patients underwent liver resection and/or ablation. None were HIV positive and 24% had known HPV infection. 20/21(95%) patients had undergone Nigro protocol for management of the primary tumor with 12/21 (57%) patients experiencing complete response. 4/21 (19%) patients had synchronous liver metastases at time of diagnosis. Median tumor size was 5.0 cm and median tumor number was one. At analysis, 52% remained alive. Median overall survival was 32.2 months. 5-year overall survival was 50%. Median recurrence-free survival was 7.7 months and 5-year recurrence-free survival was 30%. Need for salvage abdominoperineal resection was negatively associated with recurrence-free survival. The most common site of recurrence was the liver.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver resection for metastatic anal SCC can be beneficial for appropriately selected patients.

The oncologic outcome and prognostic factors for solitary colorectal liver metastasis after liver resection

BACKGROUND

Studies on prognostic factors for patients undergoing surgery to treat solitary liver metastases originating from colorectal cancer (CRC) are limited. This study aimed to analyze significant prognostic factors associated with tumor recurrence and long-term survival after liver resection for solitary colorectal liver metastasis.

METHODS

Data from 230 patients with solitary liver metastases from CRC who received liver resection between 2010 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were accessed with the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Cox regression multivariate analysis identified independent variables associated with RFS and OS. Nomograms were developed to predict patient outcomes after surgery.

RESULTS

The 3- and 5-year OS rates were 72.3% and 59.8%, respectively. The 3- and 5-year RFS rates were 40.0% and 27.1%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed age ≥ 70 years, resection margin width < 10 mm, initial N2 stage, hypoalbuminemia before surgery, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 3 after surgery as independent prognostic factors for OS. For RFS, initial N2 stage, hypoalbuminemia before surgery, NLR ≥ 3 after surgery, elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels after surgery, and CEA ratio (after/before liver resection) < 0.3 were identified as independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that initial N2 stage, hypoalbuminemia before liver resection, and NLR ≥ 3 after liver resection exert a significant association on the RFS and OS of patients undergoing surgery for solitary liver metastases from CRC. Thus, upfront chemotherapy, prompt postoperative chemotherapy, and intensive postoperative surveillance are mandatory for patients having these adverse factors.

Prognostic role of serum carcinoembryonic antigen in patients receiving liver resection for colorectal cancer liver metastasis: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a broad-spectrum tumor marker for differential diagnosis, monitoring, and response assessment of a variety of malignancies.

AIM

To evaluate whether serum CEA could predict the prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) before and after liver resection (LR).

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and Web of Science were systematically searched to retrieve literature, with a search cut-off date of February 27, 2023. Articles were strictly screened for inclusion according to pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data were pooled and analyzed using Stata 16.0.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included 36 studies involving a total of 11143 CRCLM patients. The results showed that a high pre-LR serum CEA level was correlated with poor overall survival (OS) [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.61, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.49-1.75, P < 0.001] and recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.27, 95%CI: 1.11-1.45, P < 0.001) in CRCLM patients. A high post-LR serum CEA level predicted poor OS (HR = 2.66, 95%CI: 2.10-3.38, P < 0.001). A comparison by treatment modality, analysis modality, patient source, and cutoff-value showed that overall, high preoperative and postoperative serum CEA levels remained correlated with a poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION

This study concluded that high pre-LR and post-LR serum CEA levels were significantly correlated with a poor prognosis in CRCLM patients.