Radiomics and Machine Learning for prediction of two-year disease-specific mortality and KRAS mutation status in metastatic colorectal cancer

A CT-based radiomics tumor quality and quantity model to predict early recurrence after radical surgery for colorectal liver metastases

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a tumor radiomics quality and quantity model (RQQM) based on preoperative enhanced CT to predict early recurrence after radical surgery for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 282 cases from 3 centers. Clinical risk factors were examined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression (LR) to construct the clinical model. Radiomics features were extracted using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for dimensionality reduction. The LR learning algorithm was employed to construct the radiomics model, RQQM (radiomics-TBS), combined model (radiomics-clinical), clinical risk score (CRS) model and tumor burden score (TBS) model. Inter-model comparisons were made using area under the curve (AUC), decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curve. Log-rank tests assessed differences in disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Clinical features screening identified CRS, KRAS/NRAS/BRAF and liver lobe distribution as risk factors. Radiomics model, RQQM, combined model demonstrated higher AUC values compared to CRS and TBS model in training, internal and external validation cohorts (Delong-test P < 0.05). RQQM outperformed the radiomics model, but was slightly inferior to the combined model. Survival curves revealed statistically significant differences in 1-year DFS and 3-year OS for the RQQM (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

RQQM integrates both "quality" (radiomics) and "quantity" (TBS). The radiomics model is superior to the TBS model and has a greater impact on patient prognosis. In the absence of clinical data, RQQM, relying solely on imaging data, shows an advantage in predicting early recurrence after radical surgery for CRLM.

Machine Learning and Radiomics Analysis for Tumor Budding Prediction in Colorectal Liver Metastases Magnetic Resonance Imaging Assessment

PURPOSE

We aimed to assess the efficacy of machine learning and radiomics analysis using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with a hepatospecific contrast agent, in a pre-surgical setting, to predict tumor budding in liver metastases.

METHODS

Patients with MRI in a pre-surgical setting were retrospectively enrolled. Manual segmentation was made by means 3D Slicer image computing, and 851 radiomics features were extracted as median values using the PyRadiomics Python package. Balancing was performed and inter- and intraclass correlation coefficients were calculated to assess the between observer and within observer reproducibility of all radiomics extracted features. A Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney nonparametric test and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis were carried out. Balancing and feature selection procedures were performed. Linear and non-logistic regression models (LRM and NLRM) and different machine learning-based classifiers including decision tree (DT), k-nearest neighbor (KNN) and support vector machine (SVM) were considered.

RESULTS

The internal training set included 49 patients and 119 liver metastases. The validation cohort consisted of a total of 28 single lesion patients. The best single predictor to classify tumor budding was original_glcm_Idn obtained in the T1-W VIBE sequence arterial phase with an accuracy of 84%; wavelet_LLH_firstorder_10Percentile was obtained in the T1-W VIBE sequence portal phase with an accuracy of 92%; wavelet_HHL_glcm_MaximumProbability was obtained in the T1-W VIBE sequence hepatobiliary excretion phase with an accuracy of 88%; and wavelet_LLH_glcm_Imc1 was obtained in T2-W SPACE sequences with an accuracy of 88%. Considering the linear regression analysis, a statistically significant increase in accuracy to 96% was obtained using a linear weighted combination of 13 radiomic features extracted from the T1-W VIBE sequence arterial phase. Moreover, the best classifier was a KNN trained with the 13 radiomic features extracted from the arterial phase of the T1-W VIBE sequence, obtaining an accuracy of 95% and an AUC of 0.96. The validation set reached an accuracy of 94%, a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of 95%.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning and radiomics analysis are promising tools in predicting tumor budding. Considering the linear regression analysis, there was a statistically significant increase in accuracy to 96% using a weighted linear combination of 13 radiomics features extracted from the arterial phase compared to a single radiomics feature.