Ten Cate DF, Jacobs JWG, Swen WAA, Hazes JMW, de Jager MH, Basoski NM, Haagsma CJ, Luime JJ, Gerards AH. Can baseline ultrasound results help to predict failure to achieve DAS28 remission after 1 year of tight control treatment in early RA patients?
Arthritis Res Ther 2018;
20:15. [PMID:
29382379 PMCID:
PMC5791342 DOI:
10.1186/s13075-018-1514-2]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2017] [Accepted: 01/03/2018] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background
At present, there are no prognostic parameters unequivocally predicting treatment failure in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. We investigated whether baseline ultrasonography (US) findings of joints, when added to baseline clinical, laboratory, and radiographical data, could improve prediction of failure to achieve Disease Activity Score assessing 28 joints (DAS28) remission (<2.6) at 1 year in newly diagnosed RA patients.
Methods
A multicentre cohort of newly diagnosed RA patients was followed prospectively for 1 year. US of the hands, wrists, and feet was performed at baseline. Clinical, laboratory, and radiographical parameters were recorded. Primary analysis was the prediction by logistic regression of the absence of DAS28 remission 12 months after diagnosis and start of therapy.
Results
Of 194 patients included, 174 were used for the analysis, with complete data available for 159. In a multivariate model with baseline DAS28 (odds ratio (OR) 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2–2.2), the presence of rheumatoid factor (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1–5.1), and type of monitoring strategy (OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.05–0.85), the addition of baseline US results for joints (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.89–1.04) did not significantly improve the prediction of failure to achieve DAS28 remission (likelihood ratio test, 1.04; p = 0.31).
Conclusion
In an early RA population, adding baseline ultrasonography of the hands, wrists, and feet to commonly available baseline characteristics did not improve prediction of failure to achieve DAS28 remission at 12 months.
Trial registration
Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT01752309. Registered on 19 December 2012.
Electronic supplementary material
The online version of this article (10.1186/s13075-018-1514-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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