Models for Predicting Sentinel and Non-sentinel Lymph Nodes Based on Pre-operative Ultrasonic Breast Imaging to Optimize Axillary Strategies

Preoperative comprehensive risk estimation for axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer: development and verification of a network-based prediction model

To prevent the overaggressive treatment of axillary lymph nodes (ALNs) in breast cancer, it is necessary to develop a convenient analysis method that accurately and comprehensively reflects whether ALNs are metastatic or nonmetastatic. We retrospectively analyzed data from patients who underwent surgery for breast cancer at the Weifang Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine between January 2019 and June 2023. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to predict the metastasis status of ALNs. The developmental data set included 531 patients (January 2019-June 2023). The validation set included separate data points (n = 178, January 2019-June 2023). Multivariate analysis revealed that positive findings on breast physical examination, ultrasound grades of ALNs, lymphovascular invasion, and Her-2 status had significant predictive value for metastatic ALNs. Based on these findings, a 5-grade risk scoring system and 3-level management recommendations were developed. The risk of metastasis ranged from 11.25 to 93.46%, which was positively correlated with an increase in risk grade. The areas under the curve of the development and validation sets were 0.895 and 0.865, respectively. Ultimately, a convenient, accurate and comprehensive web-based predictive model was constructed using various breast cancer clinical, imaging and pathological criteria to stratify ALNs according to the metastasis probability.

A new prediction nomogram of non-sentinel lymph node metastasis in cT1-2 breast cancer patients with positive sentinel lymph nodes

We aimed to analyze the risk factors and construct a new nomogram to predict non-sentinel lymph node (NSLN) metastasis for cT1-2 breast cancer patients with positivity after sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). A total of 830 breast cancer patients who underwent surgery between 2016 and 2021 at multi-center were included in the retrospective analysis. Patients were divided into training (n = 410), internal validation (n = 298), and external validation cohorts (n = 122) based on periods and centers. A nomogram-based prediction model for the risk of NSLN metastasis was constructed by incorporating independent predictors of NSLN metastasis identified through univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses in the training cohort and then validated by validation cohorts. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the number of positive sentinel lymph nodes (SLNs) (P < 0.001), the proportion of positive SLNs (P = 0.029), lymph-vascular invasion (P = 0.029), perineural invasion (P = 0.023), and estrogen receptor (ER) status (P = 0.034) were independent risk factors for NSLN metastasis. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) value of this model was 0.730 (95% CI 0.676-0.785) for the training, 0.701 (95% CI 0.630-0.773) for internal validation, and 0.813 (95% CI 0.734-0.891) for external validation cohorts. Decision curve analysis also showed that the model could be effectively applied in clinical practice. The proposed nomogram estimated the likelihood of positive NSLNs and assisted the surgeon in deciding whether to perform further axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) and avoid non-essential ALND as well as postoperative complications.

Nomogram based on multiparametric analysis of early-stage breast cancer: Prediction of high burden metastatic axillary lymph nodes

BACKGROUND

The Z0011 and AMAROS trials found that axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) was no longer mandatory for early-stage breast cancer patients who had one or two metastatic axillary lymph nodes (mALNs). The aim of our study was to establish a nomogram which could be used to quantitatively predict the individual likelihood of high burden mALN (≥3 mALN).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 564 women with early breast cancer who had all undergone both ultrasound (US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to examine axillary lymph nodes before radical surgery. All the patients were divided into training (n = 452) and validation (n = 112) cohorts by computer-generated random numbers. Their clinicopathological features and preoperative imaging associated with high burden mALNs were evaluated by logistic regression analysis to develop a nomogram for predicting the probability of high burden mALNs.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that high burden mALNs were significantly associated with replaced hilum and the shortest diameter >10 mm on MRI, with cortex thickness >3 mm on US (p < 0.05 each). These imaging criteria plus higher grade (grades II and III) and quadrant of breast tumor were used to develop a nomogram calculating the probability of high burden mALNs. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.853 (95% CI: 0.790-0.908) for the training set and 0.783 (95% CI: 0.638-0.929) for the validation set. Both internal and external validation evaluated the accuracy of nomogram to be good.

CONCLUSION

A well-discriminated nomogram was developed to predict the high burden mALN in early-stage breast patients, which may assist the breast surgeon in choosing the appropriate surgical approach.

Intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics for preoperatively predicting the axillary non-sentinel lymph node metastasis in breast cancer on the basis of contrast-enhanced mammography: a multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

To develop and test a contrast-enhanced mammography (CEM)-based radiomics model using intratumoral and peritumoral regions to predict non-sentinel lymph node (NSLN) metastasis in breast cancer before surgery.

METHODS

This multicenter study included 365 breast cancer patients with sentinel lymph node metastasis. Intratumoral regions of interest (ROIs) were manually delineated, and peritumoral ROIs (5 and 10 mm) were automatically obtained. Five models, including intratumoral model, peritumoral (5 and 10 mm) models, and intratumoral+peritumoral (5 and 10 mm) models, were constructed by support vector machine classifier on the basis of optimal features selected by variance threshold, SelectKbest, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithms. The predictive performance of radiomics models was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves. An external testing set was used to test the model. The Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) model was used to compare the predictive performance with radiomics model.

RESULTS

The intratumoral ROI and intratumoral+peritumoral 10-mm ROI-based radiomics model achieved the best performance with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.8000 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.6871-0.8266) in the internal testing set. In the external testing set, the AUC of radiomics model was 0.7567 (95% CI: 0.6717-0.8678), higher than that of MSKCC model (AUC = 0.6681, 95% CI: 0.5148-0.8213) (p = 0.361).

CONCLUSIONS

The intratumoral and peritumoral radiomics based on CEM had an acceptable predictive performance in predicting NSLN metastasis in breast cancer, which could be seen as a supplementary predicting tool to help clinicians make appropriate surgical plans.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The intratumoral and peritumoral CEM-based radiomics model could noninvasively predict NSLN metastasis in breast cancer patients before surgery.

Clinical Value of Preoperative Ultrasound Signs in Evaluating Axillary Lymph Node Status in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

Purpose. To explore the clinical value of preoperative ultrasound signs in evaluating axillary lymph node status in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Methods. A retrospective study was conducted on 162 patients with TNBC who were admitted to our hospital from January 2017 to June 2021. A total of 62 patients with axillary lymph node metastasis and 100 patients with normal axillary lymph nodes were included. Univariate and logistic regression was used to analyze the correlation between clinicopathological parameters, ultrasound features, and axillary lymph node metastasis between these two groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of each index was drawn to predict positive axillary lymph node. Results. The lymph node positive rate was higher in patients with tumor size ( $2\text{mm}<T\le 5\text{mm}$ ) and tumor stage III, and the difference between these two groups was statistically significant ( $P<0.05$ ). The patients with $\text{cortical}\text{thickness}\ge 3$ , blood flow grades II-III, $\text{aspect}\text{ratio}\left(\text{L}/\text{S}\right)\ge 2$ , and $\text{RI}\ge 0.7$ had higher lymph node positive rate, and the difference between these two groups was statistically significant ( $P<0.05$ ). Other index shows no correlation with ancillary lymph node positive rate, or the correlation was not statistically significant ( $P>0.05$ ). Further regression analysis indicated that the blood flow grade and L/S of axillary lymph nodes were independent influencing factors of axillary lymph node metastasis in TNBC patients ( $P<0.05$ ). Relevant receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the AUC of axillary lymph node blood flow grade and L/S for predicting axillary lymph node status was 0.6329 and 0.6498, respectively. The AUC for the joint prediction of the two indicators is 0.6898. Conclusion. Ultrasound sign combined with clinicopathological characteristics can predict the axillary lymph nodes metastasis in TNBC, which could guide clinical decision of axillary lymph node surgery.