Association of Age With Risk of Adverse Pathological Findings in Men Undergoing Delayed Radical Prostatectomy Following Active Surveillance

Determining Long-term Prostate Cancer Outcomes for Active Surveillance Patients Without Early Disease Progression: Implications for Slowing or Stopping Surveillance

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Active surveillance (AS) of prostate cancer (PCa) is the standard of care for low-grade disease, but there is limited guidance on tailoring protocols for stable patients. We investigated long-term outcomes for patients without initial progression and risk factors for upgrade.

METHODS

Men on AS with Gleason grade group (GG) 1 PCa on three serial biopsies, ≥5 yr without progression, and ≥10 yr of follow-up were included. Outcomes were upgrade (GG ≥2), major upgrade (GG ≥3), progression to treatment, metastasis, PCa-specific survival, and overall survival. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the associations between patient characteristics and risk of upgrade.

KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS

A total of 774 men met the inclusion criteria. At 10, 12, and 15 yr, upgrade-free survival rates were 56%, 45%, and 21%; major upgrade-free survival rates were 88%, 83%, and 61%; treatment-free survival rates were 86%, 83%, and 73%; metastasis-free survival rates were 99%, 99%, and 98%; and overall survival rates were 98%, 96%, and 95%, respectively. PCa-specific survival was 100% at 15 yr. On a multivariable analysis, year of diagnosis, age, body mass index (BMI), and biopsy core positivity were associated with upgrade (all p < 0.01), whereas age and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density were associated with major upgrade.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Patients without progression for 5 yr on AS had modest rates of upgrade and low rates of metastasis, and mortality at 15 yr of follow-up. Year of diagnosis, older age, increased BMI, and increased biopsy core positivity were associated with upgrade, whereas older age and greater PSA density were associated with an increased risk of major upgrade. A subset of these patients may benefit from deintensification of AS protocols.

PATIENT SUMMARY

There are little reported data or clinical guidelines for patients with PCa who are stable for many years on active surveillance (AS). We show, in a large cohort, that PCa patients without progression for 5 yr on AS have modest rates of upgrade and very low rates of metastasis, and mortality rates at 15 yr of follow-up, and that older age, increased body mass index, and increased PCa volume are associated with an increased likelihood of future upgrade. This study supports continued AS in this patient population and deintensification in select patients.

Alternate definitions of adverse pathology to predict a very high risk of metastasis in men with intermediate- and low-risk prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Adverse pathology (AP) is often used as an intermediate end point for long-term outcomes in men with prostate cancer (PCa) who are active surveillance candidates. The association between a commonly used AP definition and long-term outcomes was tested, which identified definitions more strongly linked to a high risk of metastasis.

METHODS

Data were reviewed from the Shared Equal Access Regional Cancer Hospital cohort of men undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP) from 1988 to 2020 at nine Veterans Affairs hospitals. Men meeting National Comprehensive Cancer Network low-risk and favorable intermediate-risk criteria were included. Men with and without AP were compared; men with AP were defined as having grade groups 3-5 or pathological stage ≥pT3a or pN1 at RP (definition 1). Sensitivity analyses were performed for six alternative definitions (definitions 2-7) and their association with biochemical recurrence (BCR), metastasis, PCa-specific mortality (PCSM), and castrate-resistant PCa (CRPC).

RESULTS

A total of 2175 men were included: 711 had AP by definition 1. In univariable analyses, all AP definitions were associated with the risk of BCR, metastasis, and PCSM. All but one definition were associated with CRPC. In definitions 1-6, the 10-year event rate for metastasis in those with AP ranged from 3.0% (definition 1) to 7.9% (definition 5). Only in definition 7 was the 10-year event rate for metastasis >10%. However, only 0.5% of patients (11 of 2175) met definition 7.

CONCLUSIONS

AP was statistically associated with relatively worse outcomes. However, in all but the most stringent definitions, met by <1% of patients, the absolute event rate of metastasis in men with AP was low. This challenges the clinical usefulness of AP as an intermediate end point in men with intermediate- to low-risk PCa.

Interaction of patient age and high-grade prostate cancer on targeted biopsies of MRI suspicious lesions

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the interaction of patient age and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score in determining the grade of prostate cancer (PCa) identified on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-targeted biopsy in older men.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

From a prospectively accrued Institutional Review Board-approved comparative study of MRI-targeted and systematic biopsy between June 2012 and December 2022, men with at least one PI-RADS ≥3 lesion on pre-biopsy MRI and no prior history of PCa were selected. Ordinal and binomial logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 2677 men met study criteria. The highest PI-RADS score was 3 in 1220 men (46%), 4 in 950 men (36%), and 5 in 507 men (19%). The median (interquartile range [IQR]) patient age was 66.7 (60.8-71.8) years, median (IQR) prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level was 6.1 (4.6-9.0) ng/mL, median (IQR) prostate volume was 48 (34-68) mL, and median (IQR) PSA density was 0.13 (0.08-0.20) ng/mL/mL. Clinically significant (cs)PCa and high-risk PCa were identified on targeted biopsy in 1264 (47%) and 321 (12%) men, respectively. Prevalence of csPCa and high-risk PCa were significantly higher in the older age groups. On multivariable analyses, patient age was significantly associated with csPCa but not high-risk PCa; PI-RADS score and the interaction of age and PI-RADS score were significantly associated with high-risk PCa but not csPCa.

CONCLUSION

In our cohort, the substantial rate of high-risk PCa on MRI-ultrasound fusion targeted biopsies in older men, and its significant association with MRI findings, supports the value of pre-biopsy MRI to localise disease that could cause cancer mortality even in older men.

Fewer systematic prostate core biopsies in clinical stage T1c prostate cancer leads to biochemical recurrence after brachytherapy as monotherapy

BACKGROUND

After brachytherapy, fewer prostate biopsy cores at diagnosis can underestimate the pathological characteristics of prostate cancer (PCa) with lower concordance, resulting in improper treatment, particularly in patients with low-risk nonpalpable cT1c PCa. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between the number of biopsy cores at diagnosis and long-term clinical outcomes after brachytherapy for cT1c PCa.

METHODS

We reviewed 516 patients with localized cT1c PCa with Gleason scores of 3 + 3 = 6 or 3 + 4 = 7 who underwent brachytherapy as monotherapy without hormonal therapy between January 2005 and September 2014 at our institution. Clinical staging was based on the American Joint Committee on Cancer manual for staging. Thus, the cT1c category is based solely on digital rectal examination. The primary outcome was biochemical recurrence (BCR). Based on the optimized cutoff value for biopsy core number obtained from receiver operating characteristic analysis, patients were divided into the biopsy cores ≤8 (N = 123) and ≥9 (N = 393) groups. The BCR-free survival rate was compared between the groups. Prognostic factors for BCR were evaluated, including age, initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, Gleason score, positive core rate, PSA density, prostate magnetic resonance imaging findings, and biopsy core number.

RESULTS

The median patient age was 66.0 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 61.0-71.0 years), and the median follow-up time was 11.1 years (IQR: 9.5-13.3 years). The median number of core biopsies was 12 (IQR: 9-12). The area under the curve was 0.637 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.53-0.75), and the optimal biopsy core cutoff value for BCR prediction was 8.5 (sensitivity = 43.5%, specificity = 77.1%). Although fewer patients had Gleason scores of 3 + 4 = 7 (19/123 [15%] vs. 125/393 [32%], p < 0.02) in the biopsy cores ≤8 group, the 10-year BCR-free survival rate was significantly lower in the biopsy cores ≤8 group than in the biopsy cores ≥9 group (93.8% vs. 96.3%, p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that a lower biopsy core number (hazard ratio: 0.828, 95% CI: 0.71-0.97, p < 0.03) and a Gleason score of 3 + 4 = 7 (hazard ratio: 3.26, 95% CI: 1.37-7.73, p < 0.01) significantly predicted BCR.

CONCLUSIONS

A low number of prostate core biopsies results in worse BCR-free survival after brachytherapy as monotherapy in patients with cT1c PCa.

Age 70 +/- 5 Years and Cancer-Specific Outcomes After Treatment of Localized Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review

A secondary analysis of 2 randomized Radiation Therapy Oncology Group trials demonstrated that age ≥70 years was a favorable prognostic factor among men treated with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT). In contrast, several series based on men undergoing radical prostatectomy (RP) suggested that older age was an unfavorable prognostic factor. Our study was initiated to determine whether these observations reflect a true but paradoxical underlying age-related treatment-dependent biological phenomenon. We conducted a systematic review (PubMed, January 1, 1999-January 30, 2023) evaluating the effect of age on cancer-specific outcomes after definitive local treatment with either RP or EBRT. Our main objective was to assess possible interactions between age (using a cutoff of 70 +/- 5 years) and treatment type, with regard to adverse cancer-specific outcomes (eg, pathology, biochemical failure, distant metastasis, or prostate cancer-specific survival). Forty-five studies were selected for inclusion in this systematic review, including 30 and 15 studies with patients treated with RP and EBRT, respectively. Among patients treated with RP, 10 (50%) of these studies suggested that older age was associated with worse outcome(s) after RP. None suggested that age was a favorable prognostic factor after RP. Among the EBRT-based studies, 8 (53%) suggested that older age was associated with better outcomes, with an additional 3 studies (21%) trending to support a better outcome. None of these studies involving EBRT suggested that older age was an adverse prognostic factor. This systematic review suggests that age using a categorical cutoff of 70 +/- 5 years may be an adverse prognostic factor for men undergoing RP but a favorable prognostic factor for men treated with EBRT. Further research is needed to validate these findings.

Increasing age predicts adverse pathology including intraductal carcinoma of the prostate and cribriform patterns in deferred radical prostatectomy after upfront active surveillance for Gleason grade group 1 prostate cancer: analysis of prospective observational study cohort

BACKGROUND

In men undergoing upfront active surveillance, predictors of adverse pathology in radical prostatectomy specimens, including intraductal carcinoma of the prostate and cribriform patterns, remain unknown. Therefore, we aimed to examine whether adverse pathology in radical prostatectomy specimens could be predicted using preoperative patient characteristics.

METHODS

We re-reviewed available radical prostatectomy specimens from 1035 men prospectively enrolled in the PRIAS-JAPAN cohort between January 2010 and September 2020. We defined adverse pathology on radical prostatectomy specimens as Gleason grade group ≥3, pT stage ≥3, pN positivity or the presence of intraductal carcinoma of the prostate or cribriform patterns. We also examined the predictive factors associated with adverse pathology.

RESULTS

All men analyzed had Gleason grade group 1 specimens at active surveillance enrolment. The incidence of adverse pathologies was 48.9% (with intraductal carcinoma of the prostate or cribriform patterns, 33.6%; without them, 15.3%). The addition of intraductal carcinoma of the prostate or cribriform patterns to the definition of adverse pathology increased the incidence by 10.9%. Patients showing adverse pathology with intraductal carcinoma of the prostate or cribriform patterns had lower biochemical recurrence-free survival (log-rank P = 0.0166). Increasing age at active surveillance enrolment and before radical prostatectomy was the only predictive factor for adverse pathology (odds ratio: 1.1, 95% confidence interval: 1.02-1.19, P = 0.0178; odds ratio: 1.12, 95% confidence interval: 1.02-1.22, P = 0.0126).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing age could be a predictive factor for adverse pathology. Our findings suggest that older men could potentially derive advantages from adhering to the examination schedule in active surveillance.

Aggressive Prostate Cancer in Patients Treated with Active Surveillance

Active surveillance has emerged as a promising approach for managing low-risk and favorable intermediate-risk prostate cancer (PC), with the aim of minimizing overtreatment and maintaining the quality of life. However, concerns remain about identifying "aggressive prostate cancer" within the active surveillance cohort, which refers to cancers with a higher potential for progression. Previous studies are predictors of aggressive PC during active surveillance. To address this, a personalized risk-based follow-up approach that integrates clinical data, biomarkers, and genetic factors using risk calculators was proposed. This approach enables an efficient risk assessment and the early detection of disease progression, minimizes unnecessary interventions, and improves patient management and outcomes. As active surveillance indications expand, the importance of identifying aggressive PC through a personalized risk-based follow-up is expected to increase.

The Impact of the Ongoing COVID-19 Epidemic on the Increasing Risk of Adverse Pathology in Prostate Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Prostatectomy

We aimed to assess whether the ongoing course of the COVID-19 epidemic has been associated with an increased risk of adverse pathology (AP) findings in prostate cancer (PC) patients treated with radical prostatectomy (RP). We performed a retrospective data analysis which included 408 consecutive, non-metastatic, previously untreated PC patients who underwent RP in our institution between March 2020 and September 2021. Patients were divided into two equally numbered groups in regard to the median surgery date (Early Epidemic [EE] and Late Epidemic [LE]) and compared. Adverse pathology was defined as either grade group (GG) ≥ 4, pT ≥ 3a or pN+ at RP. Patients in the LE group demonstrated significantly higher rates of AP than in the EE group (61 vs. 43% overall and 50 vs. 27% in preoperative non-high-risk subgroup, both p < 0.001), mainly due to higher rates of upgrading. On multivariable analysis, consecutive epidemic week (odds ratio: 1.02, 95% confidence interval: 1.00−1.03, p = 0.009) as well as biopsy GG ≥ 2 and a larger prostate volume (mL) were associated with AP in non-high-risk patients. The study serves as a warning call for increased awareness of risk underassessment in contemporarily treated PC patients.

Deferred radical prostatectomy in patients who initially elected for active surveillance: a multi-institutional, prospective, observational cohort of the PRIAS-JAPAN study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the pathological findings and oncological outcomes of deferred radical prostatectomy in patients who initially elected for active surveillance in a Japanese cohort.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data collected from a multi-institutional prospective observational cohort of the Prostate Cancer Research International: Active Surveillance-JAPAN study between January 2010 and September 2020. Triggers for radical prostatectomy were disease progression based on pathological findings of repeat biopsy and patients' request. The primary end point was evaluation of prostate-specific antigen recurrence-free survival. Secondary end points were overall survival and comparison of pathological and oncological outcomes between patients stratified into immediate or late radical prostatectomy group by time to radical prostatectomy.

RESULTS

Overall, 162 patients (15.7%) with prostate cancer underwent initial active surveillance followed by radical prostatectomy. The median time to radical prostatectomy was 18 months (interquartile range 14-43.3), and the median postoperative follow-up was 32 months (interquartile range 14-57.5). Prostate-specific antigen recurrence was observed in eight patients (4.9%). The 3-year prostate-specific antigen recurrence-free survival rate was 96.9%. The 5-year overall survival rate was 100%; however, one patient died of another cause. There were no significant differences in pathological findings between immediate and late radical prostatectomy groups. No significant difference in prostate-specific antigen recurrence-free survival was found between the two groups (log-rank p = 0.34).

CONCLUSIONS

Radical prostatectomy after active surveillance, as an initial treatment option, does not lead to loss of curative chances in Japanese patients with early-stage prostate cancer in the short follow-up period.