The health and economic burden of pertussis in Canada: A microsimulation study

Increased Burden of Pertussis Among Adolescents and Adults With Asthma or COPD in the United States, 2007 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Individuals with chronic respiratory illnesses may be at higher risk of pertussis infection and severe pertussis than those without.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the incidence of pertussis and pertussis complications in cohorts with preexisting asthma or COPD vs age- and sex-matched control patients from the general population in the United States?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

This observational, retrospective study included individuals aged ≥ 10 years from an administrative health claims system between 2007 and 2019. Individuals with preexisting asthma or COPD were matched with control patients from the general population. The incidence of pertussis infections and pertussis-related complications were assessed overall and by age. The incidence of asthma or COPD exacerbations was also assessed before and after diagnosis of pertussis.

RESULTS

In the general population, incidence per 100,000 person-years of pertussis infection ranged from 5.33 in 2007 to 13.04 in 2012, with highest (all years) in those aged 10 to 17 years. The risk of pertussis was higher for the asthma (rate ratio, 3.57; 95% CI, 3.25-3.92) and COPD cohorts (rate ratio, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.57-2.12) than the general population. Those with asthma or COPD had a 4.12-fold (95% CI, 3.16-5.38) and 2.82-fold (95% CI, 2.14-3.27) increased risk of pertussis with complications than the general population, respectively. Exacerbations were most frequent 30 days before pertussis diagnosis (incidence rate [IR], 25%) in the asthma cohort and 30 days before (IR, 26%) and after (IR, 22%) pertussis diagnosis, remaining elevated for 180 days after diagnosis, in the COPD cohort.

INTERPRETATION

Among these insured individuals, asthma or COPD increased the risk for pertussis disease and complications vs the general population. COPD and asthma exacerbations were observed most frequently within 30 days of receiving a pertussis diagnosis and remained elevated, suggesting a long-term effect of pertussis in the COPD cohort.

Estimating the Incidence and Economic Cost of Lyme Disease Cases in Canada in the 21st Century with Projected Climate Change

BACKGROUND

Lyme disease (LD) is emerging in Canada owing to the range expansion of the tick vector Ixodes scapularis (I. scapularis).

OBJECTIVES

Our objective was to estimate future LD incidence in Canada, and economic costs, for the 21st century with projected climate change.

METHODS

Future regions of climatic suitability for I. scapularis were projected from temperature output of the North American Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment regional climate model ensemble using greenhouse gas Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. Once regions became climatically suitable for ticks, an algorithm derived from tick and LD case surveillance data projected subsequent increasing LD incidence. Three scenarios (optimistic, intermediate, and pessimistic) for maximum incidence at endemicity were selected based on LD surveillance, and underreporting estimates, from the United States. Health care and productivity cost estimates of LD cases were obtained from the literature.

RESULTS

Projected annual LD cases for Canada ranged from 120,000 to > 500,000 by 2050. Variation in incidence was mostly due to the maximum incidence at endemicity selected, with minor contributions from variations among climate models and RCPs. Projected annual costs were substantial, ranging from CA $ 0.5  billion to $ 2.0  billion a year by 2050. There was little difference in projected incidence and economic cost between RCPs, and from 2050 to 2100, because projected climate up to 2050 is similar for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 (mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions captured in RCP4.5 does not impact climate before the 2050s) and by 2050 the most densely populated areas of the study region are projected to be climatically suitable for ticks.

CONCLUSIONS

Future incidence and economic costs of LD in Canada are likely to be substantial, but uncertainties remain. Because densely populated areas of Canada are projected to become endemic under conservative climate change scenarios, mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions is unlikely to provide substantial health co-benefits for LD. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13759.

Cost of illness due to pertussis in adults ≥50 years of age in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Pertussis is an endemic respiratory tract infection caused by Bordetella pertussis that may affect all individuals from infants to older adults. Pertussis incidence in adults is often underreported and in various countries, including the United Kingdom (UK), there are evidence gaps on pertussis-associated economic burden in the older adult population. We aimed to quantify the economic burden of pertussis in adults aged ≥50 years in the UK.

METHODS

A cost-of-illness study was conducted to estimate the cost of pertussis from a societal perspective. We utilized a sum diagnosis cost approach in which costs related to infection with pertussis were included. Medical, patient, and indirect costs were calculated individually and combined to calculate total costs. A framework was developed to assess costs for consecutive age groups from 50-54 years of age to ≥85 years of age. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were used to assess analysis uncertainty.

RESULTS

The base-case analysis estimated the total annual economic burden of pertussis to be approximately £238 million (M). This comprised approximately £159 M in indirect costs, £66 M in medical costs, and £13 M in patient costs. Costs for the age group 55-59 years had the highest impact on the economic burden, with approximately £79 M in total annual costs. Visits to general practitioners and nurses were the largest contributors to medical costs (∼£37 M) followed by inpatient visits (∼£21 M). Transportation costs (∼£10 M) were the major patient costs. Productivity loss (∼£71 M) and leisure time loss (∼£72 M) had comparable contributions to annual indirect costs. Sensitivity and scenario analyses suggested that incidence rates, indirect costs, and underreporting estimates had the highest impact on outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Total cost of pertussis in the UK among adults ≥50 years of age is substantial and highest for adults 55-59 years of age. Indirect costs were the main contributors to the economic burden.

Burden of Pertussis in COPD: A Retrospective Database Study in England

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) may increase the risk and severity of pertussis infection. Health care resource utilization (HCRU) and direct medical costs (DMC) of treating pertussis among patients with COPD are unknown. Reported incidence of pertussis among individuals aged ≥ 50 years with COPD was assessed in Clinical Practice Research Datalink and Hospital Episode Statistics databases during 2009-2018 using a retrospective cohort design. HCRU and DMC from the National Health Service perspective were compared between patients with COPD and pertussis and propensity score-matched patients with COPD without pertussis. Seventy-eight new pertussis events were identified among 387 086 patients with COPD aged ≥ 50 years (incidence rate: 4.73; 95% confidence interval 3.74-5.91 per 100 000 person-years). HCRU and DMC were assessed among 67 patients with COPD and pertussis and 267 matched controls. During the month before the pertussis diagnosis, the rates of general practitioner (GP)/nurse visits (4289 vs. 1774 per 100 patient-years) and accident and emergency visits (182 vs. 18 per 100 patient-years) were higher in the pertussis cohort; GP/nurse visits (2935 vs. 1705 per 100 patient-years) were also higher during the following 2 months (all p < 0.001). During the month before the pertussis diagnosis, annualized per-patient total DMC were £2012 higher in the pertussis cohort (£3729 vs. £1717; p < 0.001); during the following 2 months, they were £2407 higher (£5498 vs. £3091; p < 0.001). In conclusion, a pertussis episode among individuals with COPD resulted in significant increases in HCRU and DMC around the pertussis event.