One-Year Outcome After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Elderly Patients

Acute-Phase Plasma Pigment Epithelium-Derived Factor Predicting Outcomes after Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in the Elderly

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has increased with the aging of the population, but the outcome for elderly SAH patients is very poor. Therefore, predicting the outcome is important for determining whether to pursue aggressive treatment. Pigment epithelium-derived factor (PEDF) is a matricellular protein that is induced in the brain, and the plasma levels could be used as a biomarker for the severity of metabolic diseases. This study investigated whether acute-phase plasma PEDF levels could predict outcomes after aneurysmal SAH in the elderly. Plasma samples and clinical variables were collected over 1-3 days, post-SAH, from 56 consecutive elderly SAH patients ≥75 years of age registered in nine regional stroke centers in Japan between September 2013 and December 2016. The samples and variables were analyzed in terms of 3-month outcomes. Acute-phase plasma PEDF levels were significantly elevated in patients with ultimately poor outcomes, and the cutoff value of 12.6 µg/mL differentiated 3-month outcomes with high sensitivity (75.6%) and specificity (80.0%). Acute-phase plasma PEDF levels of ≥12.6 µg/mL were an independent and possibly better predictor of poor outcome than previously reported clinical variables. Acute-phase plasma PEDF levels may serve as the first biomarker to predict 3-month outcomes and to select elderly SAH patients who should be actively treated.

The role of previous medical history and secondary complications for the outcome of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) presents a devastating diagnosis for elderly individuals, resulting in high morbidity and mortality rates. The aim of the study was to analyze the impact of medical history and complications during SAH on the outcome of elderly patients.

METHODS

Consecutive SAH cases aged ≥ 65 years old treated in our hospital between 01/2003 and 06/2016 were included (n = 218). Data on comorbidities, previous medication, initial severity, secondary complications, and the outcome were collected. Study endpoints were occurrence of cerebral infarcts, in-hospital mortality, and unfavorable outcome at 6 months after SAH.

RESULTS

Cerebral infarcts were documented in 111 (51.2 % ) individuals. Multivariate analysis showed that angiographic vasospasm caused an increase (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 3.11, p = 0.022) in the risk of infarction, whereas aspirin treatment decreased (aOR = 0.25, p = 0.001) the risk of infarction. In turn, increasing age (aOR = 1.11, p = 0.002), intracranial hypertension (>20 mmHg, aOR = 3.32, p = 0.006) and acute kidney failure (aOR = 6.65, p = 0.035) during SAH were independently related to the risk of in-hospital mortality (n = 50; 22.9 % ). Finally, patients' age (aOR = 1.09, p = 0.022), high initial SAH burden (WFNS ≥ 4: aOR = 7.5, p < 0.0001; intraventricular hemorrhage: aOR = 4.38, p = 0.007), aneurysm clipping (aOR = 4.07, p = 0.018), and intracranial hypertension during SAH (aOR = 4.08, p = 0.006) were independent predictors of unfavorable outcome (n = 106/192; 55.5 % ). Previous medical history showed no negative impact on the severity, course and outcome of SAH.

CONCLUSION

About half of elderly SAH patients face poor outcomes after aneurysm securing. The initial severity of and complications during SAH are the major contributors to poor treatment results. Our findings might help to optimize the treatment strategies.

The survival and outcome of older patients with primary aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: a 2-year follow-up, multi-centre, observational study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The management of older aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) cases is a clinical challenge. This study aimed to analyse the survival and functional outcomes in older aSAH patients (age ≥ 70 years) to provide evidence for making treatment decisions for such patients.

METHODS

We performed a 2-year follow-up analysis of the Chinese Multi-Centre Cerebral Aneurysm Database for older patients suffering from aSAH from 2017 to 2020. A survival analysis was used to investigate the mean survival and hazard ratios for death. Binary logarithmic regression was performed to investigate the odds ratio for independent survival and dependent survival.

RESULTS

A total of 1,136 consecutive older patients with aSAH were assessed in this study, and 944 patients (83.1%) were followed up. The overall mean survival was 37.79 ± 1.04 months. A total of 380 (40.25%) patients died within 2 years after aSAH. In survival analysis, the predictors of mortality were older age, intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) history, Hunt-Hess (H-H) grade, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade and operative treatment decreased the risk of mortality compared to conservative treatment. In binary logarithmic regression, the predictors of dependent survival were hypertension, diabetes, WFNS grade.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk for 2-year mortality after aSAH increases markedly with older age, ICH history, H-H grade and WFNS grade. Risk factors for 2-year dependent survival were associated with hypertension, diabetes and WFNS grade in older patients with aSAH. Operative treatment markedly decreased mortality but did not significantly decrease the morbidity of dependent survival compared to conservative treatment.

Frailty as a Predictor of Outcomes in Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Frailty is an emerging concept in clinical practice used to predict outcomes and dictate treatment algorithms. Frail patients, especially older adults, are at higher risk for adverse outcomes. Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a neurosurgical emergency associated with high morbidity and mortality rates that have previously been shown to correlate with frailty. However, the relationship between treatment selection and post-treatment outcomes in frail aSAH patients is not established. We conducted a meta-analysis of the relevant literature in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Google Scholar using "Subarachnoid hemorrhage AND frailty" and "subarachnoid hemorrhage AND frail" as search terms. Data on cohort age, frailty measurements, clinical grading systems, and post-treatment outcomes were extracted. Of 74 studies identified, four studies were included, with a total of 64,668 patients. Percent frailty was 30.4% under a random-effects model in all aSAH patients (p < 0.001). Overall mortality rate of aSAH patients was 11.7% when using a random-effects model (p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in mortality rate between frail and non-frail aSAH patients, but this analysis only included two studies and should be interpreted cautiously. Age and clinical grading, rather than frailty, independently predicted outcomes and mortality in aSAH patients.

A visualized MAC nomogram online predicts the risk of three-month mortality in Chinese elderly aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients undergoing endovascular coiling

OBJECTIVE

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is an aggressive disease with higher mortality rate in the elderly population. Unfortunately, the previous models for predicting clinical prognosis are still not accurate enough. Therefore, we aimed to construct and validate a visualized nomogram model to predict online the 3-month mortality in elderly aSAH patients undergoing endovascular coiling.

METHOD

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 209 elderly aSAH patients at People's Hospital of Hunan Province, China. A nomogram was developed based on multivariate logistic regression and forward stepwise regression analysis, then validated using the bootstrap validation method (n = 1000). In addition, the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by various indicators to prove its clinical value.

RESULT

Morbid pupillary reflex, age, and using a breathing machine were independent predictors of 3-month mortality. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.901 (95% CI: 0.853-0.950), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration of the nomogram (p = 0.4328). Besides, the bootstrap validation method internally validated the nomogram with an area under the curve of the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) of 0.896 (95% CI: 0.846-0.945). Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) indicated the nomogram's excellent clinical utility and applicability.

CONCLUSION

An easily applied visualized nomogram model named MAC (morbid pupillary reflex-age-breathing machine) based on three accessible factors has been successfully developed. The MAC nomogram is an accurate and complementary tool to support individualized decision-making and emphasizes that patients with higher risk of mortality may require closer monitoring. Furthermore, a web-based online version of the risk calculator would greatly contribute to the spread of the model in this field.

Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Hospitalized Patients on Anticoagulants-A Two Center Matched Case-Control Study

Objective-Direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) are replacing vitamin K antagonists (VKA) for the prevention of ischemic stroke and venous thromboembolism. We set out to assess the effect of prior treatment with DOAC and VKA in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Methods-Consecutive SAH patients treated at two (Aachen, Germany and Helsinki, Finland) university hospitals were considered for inclusion. To assess the association between anticoagulant treatments on SAH severity measure by modified Fisher grading (mFisher) and outcome as measured by the Glasgow outcome scale (GOS, 6 months), DOAC- and VKA-treated patients were compared against age- and sex-matched SAH controls without anticoagulants. Results-During the inclusion timeframes, 964 SAH patients were treated in both centers. At the time point of aneurysm rupture, nine patients (0.93%) were on DOAC treatment, and 15 (1.6%) patients were on VKA. These were matched to 34 and 55 SAH age- and sex-matched controls, re-spectively. Overall, 55.6% of DOAC-treated patients suffered poor-grade (WFNS_4-5) SAH compared to 38.2% among their respective controls (p = 0.35); 53.3% of patients on VKA suffered poor-grade SAH compared to 36.4% in their respective controls (p = 0.23). Neither treatment with DOAC (aOR 2.70, 95%CI 0.30 to 24.23; p = 0.38), nor VKA (aOR 2.78, 95%CI 0.63 to 12.23; p = 0.18) were inde-pendently associated with unfavorable outcome (GOS_1-3) after 12 months. Conclusions-Iatrogenic coagulopathy caused by DOAC or VKA was not associated with more severe radiological or clinical subarachnoid hemorrhage or worse clinical outcome in hospitalized SAH patients.

Neurofilament light chain and S100B serum levels are associated with disease severity and outcome in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Objectives

Serum neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a biomarker for neuroaxonal damage, and S100B is a blood marker for cerebral damage. In the present study, we investigated the relationship between serum NfL and S100B levels, severity, and outcomes in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Methods

We prospectively recruited aSAH patients and healthy controls between January 2016 and January 2021. Clinical results included mortality and poor outcomes (modified Rankin scale score of 3-6) after 6 months. The ultrasensitive Simoa technique was used to evaluate NfL levels in the blood, and ELISA was used to detect S100B.

Results

A total of 91 patients and 25 healthy controls were included in the study, with a death rate of 15.4%. The group of aSAH patients had significantly higher serum levels of NfL and S100B (P &lt; 0.01). Furthermore, the levels of NfL and S100B increased when the Hunt-Hess, World Federation of Neurological Surgeons (WFNS), and Fisher grades increased (P &lt; 0.01). Serum NfL and S100B levels were linked to poor prognoses and low survival rates. The blood levels of NfL and S100B were found to be an independent predictor related to 6-month mortality in multivariable analysis. Additionally, the areas under the curves for NfL and S100B levels in serum were 0.959 and 0.912, respectively; the clinical diagnostic critical thresholds were 14.275 and 26.54 pg/ml, respectively; sensitivities were 0.947 and 0.921, and specificities were 0.849 and 0.811.

Conclusions

The NfL and S100B values for aSAH patients within 12 days of admission were considerably associated with Hunt-Hess grade, WFNS, and Fisher grade. The higher the grade, the higher the NfL and S100B value, and the poorer the prognosis. Serum NfL and S100B values could be feasible biomarkers to predict the clinical prognosis of patients with aSAH.

Unruptured cerebral aneurysm risk stratification: Background, current research, and future directions in aneurysm assessment

Background:

The optimal management of unruptured cerebral aneurysms is widely debated in the medical field. Rapid technology advances, evolving understanding of underlying pathophysiology, and shifting practice patterns have made the cerebrovascular field particularly dynamic in recent years. Despite progress, there remains a dearth of large randomized studies to help guide the management of these controversial patients.

Methods:

We review the existing literature on the natural history of unruptured cerebral aneurysms and highlight ongoing research aimed at improving our ability to stratify risk in these patients.

Results:

Landmark natural history studies demonstrated the significance of size, location, and other risk factors for aneurysm rupture, but prior studies have significant limitations. We have begun to understand the underlying pathophysiology behind aneurysm formation and rupture and are now applying new tools such as flow dynamics simulations and machine learning to individualize rupture risk stratification.

Conclusion:

Prior studies have identified several key risk factors for aneurysmal rupture, but have limitations. New technology and research methods have enabled us to better understanding individual rupture risk for patients with unruptured cerebral aneurysms.

Relevance of presenting risks of frailty, sarcopaenia and osteopaenia to outcomes from aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage

Introduction

Aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is a condition with significant morbidity and mortality. Traditional markers of aSAH have established their utility in the prediction of aSAH outcomes while frailty markers have been validated in other surgical specialties. We aimed to compare the predictive value of frailty indices and markers of sarcopaenia and osteopaenia, against the traditional markers for aSAH outcomes.

Methods

An observational study in a tertiary neurosurgical unit on 51 consecutive patients with ruptured aSAH was performed. The best performing marker in predicting the modified Rankin scale (mRS) on discharge was selected and an appropriate threshold for the definition of frail and non-frail was derived. We compared various frailty indices (modified frailty index 11, and 5, and the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program score [NSQIP]) and markers of sarcopaenia and osteopaenia (temporalis [TMT] and zygoma thickness), against traditional markers (age, World Federation of Neurological Surgery and modified Fisher scale [MFS]) for aSAH outcomes. Univariable and multivariable analysis was then performed for various inpatient and long-term outcomes.

Results

TMT was the best performing marker in our cohort with an AUC of 0.82, Somers’ D statistic of 0.63 and Tau statistic 0.25. Of the frailty scores, the NSQIP performed the best (AUC 0.69), at levels comparable to traditional markers of aSAH, such as MFS (AUC 0.68). The threshold of 5.5 mm in TMT thickness was found to have a specificity of 0.93, sensitivity of 0.51, positive predictive value of 0.95 and negative predictive value of 0.42. After multivariate analysis, patients with TMT ≥ 5.5 mm (defined as non-frail), were less likely to experience delayed cerebral ischaemia (OR 0.11 [0.01 – 0.93], p = 0.042), any complications (OR 0.20 [0.06 – 0.069], p = 0.011), and had a larger proportion of favourable mRS on discharge (95.0% vs. 58.1%, p = 0.024) and at 3-months (95.0% vs. 64.5%, p = 0.048). However, the gap between unfavourable and favourable mRS was insignificant at the comparison of 1-year outcomes.

Conclusion

TMT, as a marker of sarcopaenia, correlated well with the presenting status, and outcomes of aSAH. Frailty, as defined by NSQIP, performed at levels equivalent to aSAH scores of clinical relevance, suggesting that, in patients presenting with acute brain injury, both non-neurological and neurological factors were complementary in the determination of eventual clinical outcomes. Further validation of these markers, in addition to exploration of other relevant frailty indices, may help to better prognosticate aSAH outcomes and allow for a precision medicine approach to decision making and optimization of best outcomes.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-03005-7.

Risk factor guided early discharge and potential resource allocation benefits in patients with traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVES

We sought to develop screening criteria predicting the lack of poor neurological outcomes in patients presenting with traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (tSAH), while evaluating their potential to improve resource-allocation in these cases.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients presenting with tSAH to the emergency department (ED) of a tertiary care institution from 2016-2018. We defined good neurological outcomes as patients with stable/improving neurological status, did not require neurosurgical intervention, no expanding bleed, and no hospital readmission. Univariate and multivariate models were generated to predict risk factors inversely associated with good neurological outcome.

RESULTS

167 patients presented with tSAH from 2016-2018. The presence of depressed skull fracture, concomitant spinal fracture, low GCS, cranial nerve palsies, disorientation, concomitant hemorrhages, midline shift (MLS), elevated INR, and emergent medical intervention were inversely correlated with likelihood of good neurological outcome upon univariate analysis. Multivariate regression demonstrated that midline shift [OR=0.22 (0.05-0.89), p=0.04], GCS <13 [OR=0.22 (0.05-0.99), p=0.05], elevated INR [OR=0.18 (0.03-0.85), p=0.04], and emergent medical intervention [OR=0.18 (0.04-0.63), p=0.01] were independently associated with lower likelihood of good neurological outcome. 46 patients without any factors had good outcomes but were held in the ED or admitted to the hospital. These patients - if instead discharged directly - translated to a potential cost savings of $179,172.

CONCLUSIONS

In our study we found multiple risk factors inversely associated with good neurological outcome, namely low GCS, midline shift, emergent medical intervention, and INR ≥ 1.4. Our findings may aid clinicians in determining which tSAH patients are candidates for safe early discharge.

Predictors of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation Among Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage After Microsurgical Clipping

Introduction

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a fatal event with high mortality and morbidity rates. Survivors may require prolonged intubation with mechanical ventilation (MV). However, the risk factors for prolonged intubation in these patients remain unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of prolonged MV in aSAH patients who underwent surgical clipping.

Methods

In total, 108 adult patients with a primary diagnosis of aSAH who were on MV > 48 h and survived > 14 days after surgery were included. Clinicodemographic and radiological characteristics, laboratory tests on admission, and initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and its components were analyzed.

Results

The average age of the patients included in the analysis was 59.1 ± 12.5 years. Overall, 32 patients (29.6%) had prolonged MV. The group with prolonged MV showed a higher prevalence of diabetes mellitus and hypertension, lower initial GCS and its components, higher World Federation of Neurosurgeons (WFNS) and Hunt and Hess grades, and higher initial white cell counts. The independent factors associated with prolonged MV were a history of diabetes mellitus (odds ratio [OR] 5.799, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.109–30.334; P = 0.037) and Hunt and Hess grade 3–5 (OR 7.217, 95% CI 1.090–47.770; P = 0.040).

Conclusion

A history of diabetes mellitus and Hunt and Hess grade 3–5 independently predict prolonged MV after microsurgical clipping in patients with aSAH. Thus, knowledge of potential predictors for prolonged MV is essential to improve the early initiation of adequate treatment in the early stages of treatment and provide useful information for communication between caregivers and families.