Efficacy and safety of retigabine/ezogabine as adjunctive therapy in adult Asian patients with drug-resistant partial-onset seizures: A randomized, placebo-controlled Phase III study

Flexible realistic simulation of seizure occurrence recapitulating statistical properties of seizure diaries

OBJECTIVE

A realistic seizure diary simulator is currently unavailable for many research needs, including clinical trial analysis and evaluation of seizure detection and seizure-forecasting tools. In recent years, important statistical features of seizure diaries have been characterized. These include (1) heterogeneity of individual seizure frequencies, (2) the relation between average seizure rate and standard deviation, (3) multiple risk cycles, (4) seizure clusters, and (5) limitations on inter-seizure intervals. The present study unifies these features into a single model.

METHODS

Our approach, Cyclic Heterogeneous Overdispersed Clustered Open-source L-relationship Adjustable Temporally limited E-diary Simulator (CHOCOLATES) is based on a hierarchical model centered on a gamma Poisson generator with several modifiers. This model accounts for the aforementioned statistical properties. The model was validated by simulating 10 000 randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of medication to compare with 23 historical RCTs. Metrics of 50% responder rate (RR50) and median percent change (MPC) were evaluated. We also used CHOCOLATES as input to a seizure-forecasting tool to test the flexibility of the model. We examined the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for test data with and without cycles and clusters.

RESULTS

The model recapitulated typical findings in 23 historical RCTs without the necessity of introducing an additional "placebo effect." The model produced the following RR50 values: placebo: 17 ± 4%; drug 38 ± 5%; and the following MPC values: placebo: 13 ± 6%; drug 40 ± 4%. These values are similar to historical data: for RR50: placebo, 21 ± 10%, drug: 43 ± 13%; and for MPC: placebo: 17 ± 10%, drug: 41 ± 11%. The seizure forecasts achieved an AUC of 0.68 with cycles and clusters, whereas without them the AUC was 0.51.

SIGNIFICANCE

CHOCOLATES represents the most realistic seizure occurrence simulator to date, based on observations from thousands of patients in different contexts. This tool is open source and flexible, and can be used for many applications, including clinical trial simulation and testing of seizure-forecasting tools.

Natural variability in seizure frequency: Implications for trials and placebo

BACKGROUND

Changes in patient-reported seizure frequencies are the gold standard used to test efficacy of new treatments in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Recent analyses of patient seizure diary data suggest that the placebo response may be attributable to natural fluctuations in seizure frequency, though the evidence is incomplete. Here we develop a data-driven statistical model and assess the impact of the model on interpretation of placebo response.

METHODS

A synthetic seizure diary generator matching statistical properties seen across multiple epilepsy diary datasets was constructed. The model was used to simulate the placebo arm of 5000 RCTs. A meta-analysis of 23 historical RCTs was compared to the simulations.

RESULTS

The placebo 50 %-responder rate (RR50) was 27.3 ± 3.6 % (simulated) and 21.1 ± 10.0 % (historical). The placebo median percent change (MPC) was 22.0 ± 6.0 % (simulated) and 16.7 ± 10.3 % (historical).

CONCLUSIONS

A statistical model of daily seizure count generation which incorporates quantities related to the natural fluctuations of seizure count data produces a placebo response comparable to those seen in historical RCTs. This model may be useful in better understanding the seizure count fluctuations seen in patients in other clinical settings.

Safety of retigabine in adults with partial-onset seizures after long-term exposure: focus on unexpected ophthalmological and dermatological events

BACKGROUND

Retigabine is an antiepileptic drug developed for the adjunctive treatment of adults with epilepsy and partial-onset seizures (POS). Following its approval in 2011, reports of ophthalmological/dermatological pigmentation/discoloration led to a restriction of the indication in 2013, and in 2017, retigabine was voluntarily withdrawn from the market because of its limited usage. Here, data are reported from four open-label extension studies focusing on long-term safety with particular emphasis on ophthalmological and dermatological events.

METHODS

Studies 113413 (NCT01336621), 114873 (NCT01777139), 115097 (NCT00310388), and 115098 (NCT00310375) were multicenter, open-label extension studies of retigabine (300-1200 mg/day) for the adjunctive treatment of adults with POS. Safety assessments included monitoring treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs). When new safety issues were identified, protocols were amended to include additional on-treatment safety evaluations, including ophthalmological and dermatological examinations. Patients who had abnormal retinal pigmentation, unexplained vision change, pigmentation of nonretinal ocular tissue, or abnormal discoloration of skin, lips, nails, and/or mucosa at the end of the treatment phase were asked to enter a safety follow-up continuation phase comprising 6-monthly ophthalmological/dermatological assessments.

RESULTS

The safety population (patients receiving ≥1 dose of retigabine in the open-label phase) comprised 98, 30, 376, and 181 patients for studies 113413, 114873, 115097, and 115098, respectively. Mean (standard deviation) treatment exposure ranged from 529 (424) to 1129 (999) days. In total, 68%-96% and 4%-27% of patients across the studies experienced TEAEs and TE SAEs, respectively. There were seven on-treatment deaths and two after discontinuation. Overall, 14%-73% of patients had an on-treatment eye examination, of whom 8/53, 4/22, 17/54, and 14/36 had abnormal retinal pigmentation and 15/53, 7/22, 15/54, and 11/36 had nonretinal ocular pigmentation in studies 113413, 114873, 115097, and 115098, respectively. Four patients had confirmed acquired vitelliform maculopathy. In patients with unresolved events at discontinuation and ≥1 posttreatment follow-up, retinal pigmentation resolved completely in 1/3, 0/3, 0/10, and 1/7 patients and nonretinal ocular pigmentation in 1/4, 0/3, 8/10, and 4/6 patients, respectively. Overall, 12%-83% of patients had an on-treatment dermatological examination, of whom 11/58, 0/25, 23/46, and 23/37 had any-tissue discoloration, respectively. In patients with unresolved events at discontinuation and ≥1 posttreatment follow-up, discoloration of skin, lips, nails, and/or mucosa resolved completely in 2/3, 0/0, 7/13, and 1/11 patients, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The safety profile of retigabine in adults with POS across four open-label studies was generally consistent with data from previous placebo-controlled studies. Discoloration of various tissues occurred in a proportion of patients treated with retigabine and resolved completely in a small number of these patients following treatment discontinuation. In addition, comprehensive eye examination identified a new adverse reaction of acquired vitelliform maculopathy in a limited number of patients.

The beneficial effect of probiotics as a supplementary treatment in drug-resistant epilepsy: a pilot study

Epilepsy is a neurological disease with high global prevalence. Despite the range of drug-based treatments currently available to control the condition, one in 3 patients experiences epileptic seizures. Therapeutic alternatives for these patients include the ketogenic diet, surgery or the cerebral implantation of neurostimulators; however these are benefits with limits. The target of this study is to find a new complementary treatment for these patients, studying the effectiveness of probiotics for controlling epileptic seizures in patients with drug-resistant epilepsy. A prospective study was designed in which a group of patients with drug-resistant epilepsy was administered a probiotic mixture for 4 months. Patients were assessed before and after taking the probiotics; among other variables, number of seizures and patients' quality of life (QOLIE-10) were monitored. Levels of cD-14, interleukin 6, and γ-aminobutyric acid were also analysed throughout the study. 45 patients were included in the study. In an intention-to-treat analysis, 28.9% of all patients displayed a greater than 50% reduction in the number of seizures (the parameter required in clinical trials). A significant improvement was also observed in patients' quality of life. We found that probiotics may be an option for supplementary therapy. Since the use of probiotics is safe, they may contribute to improving seizure control, and therefore quality of life, in patients with drug-resistant epilepsy. The study has been registered in https://clinicaltrials.gov with number NCT03403907.

Reducing placebo exposure in trials: Considerations from the Research Roundtable in Epilepsy

The randomized controlled trial is the unequivocal gold standard for demonstrating clinical efficacy and safety of investigational therapies. Recently there have been concerns raised about prolonged exposure to placebo and ineffective therapy during the course of an add-on regulatory trial for new antiepileptic drug approval (typically ∼6 months in duration), due to the potential risks of continued uncontrolled epilepsy for that period. The first meeting of the Research Roundtable in Epilepsy on May 19-20, 2016, focused on "Reducing placebo exposure in epilepsy clinical trials," with a goal of considering new designs for epilepsy regulatory trials that may be added to the overall development plan to make it, as a whole, safer for participants while still providing rigorous evidence of effect. This topic was motivated in part by data from a meta-analysis showing a 3- to 5-fold increased rate of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy in participants randomized to placebo or ineffective doses of new antiepileptic drugs. The meeting agenda included rationale and discussion of different trial designs, including active-control add-on trials, placebo add-on to background therapy with adjustment, time to event designs, adaptive designs, platform trials with pooled placebo control, a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic approach to reducing placebo exposure, and shorter trials when drug tolerance has been ruled out. The merits and limitations of each design were discussed and are reviewed here.