[CMV infection: when should medical termination of pregnancy be discussed?]

Cost-effectiveness of cytomegalovirus vaccination for females in China: A decision-analytical Markov study

BACKGROUND

The global burden of disease caused by congenital cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is high. Previous modeling studies have suggested that CMV vaccination may be cost-effective in developed countries. Congenital CMV infection is more likely driven by maternal non-primary infection in China. We aimed to measure the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of population-level CMV vaccination in Chinese females.

METHODS

A decision tree Markov model was developed to simulate potential CMV vaccination strategies in a multi-cohort setting, with a population size of 1,000,000 each for the infant, adolescent (10-year-old) and young adult (20-year-old) cohorts. The hypothetical vaccines were assumed to have 50% efficacy, 20 years of protection, 70% coverage, at a price of US$120/dose for base-case analysis. Costs and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were discounted by 3% per year and the vaccination would be considered cost-effective if an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was lower than 2021 Chinese per capita GDP (US$12,500).

FINDINGS

For the pre-infection (PRI) vaccine efficacy type, the adolescent strategy was the most cost-effective, with an ICER of US$12,213 (12,134 to 12,291) pre DALY averted, compared with the next best strategy (young adult strategy). For pre- and post-infection (P&PI) efficacy type, the young adult strategy was the most cost-effective as it was cost-saving. In one-way analysis varying the PRI vaccine price, the infant strategy, adolescent strategy and the young adult strategy would be a dominant strategy over others if the vaccine cost ≤US$60, US$61-121 and US$122-251 per dose respectively. In contrast, the young adult strategy continued to be the preferred strategy until the P&PI vaccine price exceeded US$226/dose. Our main results were robust under a wide variety of sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses.

INTERPRETATION

CMV vaccination for females would be cost-effective and even cost-saving in China. Our findings had public health implications for control of CMV diseases.

Hygiene promotion might be better than serological screening to deal with Cytomegalovirus infection during pregnancy: a methodological appraisal and decision analysis

BACKGROUND

Cytomegalovirus infection is the most frequent viral congenital infection, with possible consequences such as deafness, or psychomotor retardation. In 2016, the French High Council of Public Health was mandated to update recommendations regarding prevention of cytomegalovirus infection in pregnant women. We summarize a critical appraisal of knowledge and deterministic decision analysis comparing the current no-screening situation to serological screening during pregnancy, and to hygiene promotion.

METHODS

Screening was defined as systematic serological testing, during the first trimester, with repeated tests as needed, to all pregnant women. Outcomes were: 1) severe sequela: intellectual deficiency with IQ ≤ 50 or hearing impairment < 70 dB or sight impairment (≤ 3/10 at best eye); 2) moderate sequela: any level of intellectual, hearing or sight deficiency; and 3) death or termination of pregnancy. We simulated the one-year course of cytomegalovirus infection in a cohort of 800,000 pregnant women. We developed a deterministic decision model, using best and min-max estimates, extracted from systematic reviews or original studies.

RESULTS

Relevant data were scarce or imprecise. We estimated that 4352 maternal primary infections would result in 1741 foetal infections, and an unknown number of maternal reinfections would result in 1699 foetal infections. There would be 788 cytomegalovirus-related consequences, including 316 foetal deaths or terminations of pregnancy, and 424 moderate and 48 severe sequelae. Screening would result in a 1.66-fold increase of poor outcomes, mostly related to a 2.93-fold increase in deaths and terminations of pregnancy, not compensated by the decrease in severe symptomatic newborns. The promotion of hygiene would result in a 0.75-fold decrease of poor outcomes, related to both a decrease in severe sequelae among symptomatic newborns (RR = 0.75; min-max: 1.00-0.68), and in deaths and terminations of pregnancy (RR = 0.75; min-max: 0.97-0.68).

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention of cytomegalovirus infection during pregnancy should promote hygiene; serological screening should not be recommended.

Management of Cytomegalovirus Seroconversion during Pregnancy in France

INTRODUCTION

Guidelines for the management of cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection of the fetus are rare. Our main objective was to evaluate how health care practitioners in France manage cases of CMV seroconversion during pregnancy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A questionnaire was e-mailed to health care practitioners potentially concerned by CMV seroconversion during pregnancy. They were asked if they would recommend amniocentesis, fetal cerebral MRI examination and fetal blood analysis (FBA), depending on the ultrasound results. They then had to indicate whether they would accept termination of pregnancy (TOP), depending on the results of these examinations.

RESULTS

A total of 380 health care practitioners responded, mainly obstetricians (73.9%) and midwives (20.2%). Overall, 57% of respondents recommended amniocentesis in the case of CMV seroconversion during the first trimester of pregnancy, ultrasound findings being normal. In cases of positive amniocentesis and a major ultrasound abnormality, 84.5% of respondents would perform cerebral MRI, and 44.4% would perform FBA. In this case, the rate of acceptance of TOP was not significantly different whether the examinations were normal (337/372, 90.6%) or not performed (339/374, 93.3%; p = 0.17).

DISCUSSION

Amniocentesis is too infrequently used and should be encouraged. The results of MRI and FBA are often not taken into account in the final decision concerning TOP. Guidelines are needed to clarify the management of CMV seroconversion during pregnancy.