Detection of residual disease after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for oesophageal cancer (preSANO): a prospective multicentre, diagnostic cohort study

Early regression index (ERI) on MR images as response predictor in esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy: Interim analysis of the prospective ESCAPE trial

PURPOSE

The early regression index (ERI) predicts treatment response in rectal cancer patients. Aim of current study was to prospectively assess tumor response to neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (nCRT) of locally advanced esophageal cancer using ERI, based on MRI.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

From January 2020 to May 2023, 30 patients with esophageal cancer were enrolled in a prospective study (ESCAPE). PET-MRI was performed: i) before nCRT (tpre); ii) at mid-radiotherapy, tmid; iii) after nCRT, 2-6 weeks before surgery (tpost); nCRT delivered 41.4 Gy/23fr with concurrent carboplatin and paclitaxel. For patients that skipped surgery, complete clinical response (cCR) was assessed if patients showed no local relapse after 18 months; patients with pathological complete response (pCR) or with cCR were considered as complete responders (pCR + cCR). GTV volumes were delineated by two observers (Vpre, Vmid, Vpost) on T2w MRI: ERI and other volume regression parameters at tmid and tpost were tested as predictors of pCR + cCR.

RESULTS

Complete data of 25 patients were available at the time of the analysis: 3/25 with complete response at imaging refused surgery and 2/3 were cCR; in total, 10/25 patients showed pCR + cCR (pCR = 8/22). Both ERImid and ERIpost classified pCR + cCR patients, with ERImid showing better performance (AUC:0.78, p = 0.014): A two-variable logistic model combining ERImid and Vpre improved performances (AUC:0.93, p < 0.0001). Inter-observer variability in contouring GTV did not affect the results.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the limited numbers, interim analysis of ESCAPE study suggests ERI as a potential predictor of complete response after nCRT for esophageal cancer. Further validation on larger populations is warranted.

Multi-disciplinary management of esophageal carcinoma: Current practices and future directions

Esophageal cancer in one of the most malignant and hard-to-treat cancers. Esophageal squamous carcinoma (ESCC) is most common in Asian countries, whereas adenocarcinoma at the esophago-gastric junction (EGJ AC) is more prevalent in the Western countries. Due to differences in both genetic background and response to chemotherapy and radiotherapy, both histologic subtypes need different paradigms of management. Since the landmark CROSS study has demonstrated the superior survival benefit of tri-modality including neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy prior to esophagectomy, the tri-modality becomes the standard of care; however, it is suitable for a highly-selected patient. Tri-modality should be offered for every ESCC patient, if a patient is fit for surgery with adequate cardiopulmonary reserve, regardless of ages. Definitive chemoradiotherapy remains the best option for a patient who is not a surgical candidate or declines surgery. On the contrary, owing to doubtful benefits of radiotherapy with potentially more toxicities related to radiotherapy in EGJ AC, either neoadjuvant chemotherapy or peri-operative chemotherapy would be more preferable in an EGJ AC patient. In case of very locally advanced disease (cT4b), the proper management is more challenging. Even though, palliative care is the safe option, multi-modality therapy with curative intent like neoadjuvant chemotherapy with conversion surgery may be worthwhile; however, it should be suggested on case-by-case basis.

Root cause analysis of mortality after esophagectomy for cancer: a multicenter cohort study from the FREGAT database

BACKGROUND

Esophagectomy is associated with significant mortality. A better understanding of the causes leading to death may help to reduce mortality. A root cause analysis of mortality after esophagectomy was performed.

METHODS

Root cause analysis was retrospectively applied by an independent expert panel of 4 upper gastrointestinal surgeons and 1 anesthesiologist-intensivist to patients included in the French national multicenter prospective cohort FREGAT between August 2014 and September 2019 who underwent an esophagectomy for cancer and died within 90 days of surgery. A cause-and-effect diagram was used to determine the root causes related to death. Death was classified as potentially preventable or non-preventable.

RESULTS

Among the 1,040 patients included in the FREGAT cohort, 70 (6.7%) patients (male: 81%, median age 68 [62-72] years) from 17 centers were included. Death was potentially preventable in 37 patients (53%). Root causes independently associated with preventable death were inappropriate indication (odds ratio 35.16 [2.50-494.39]; P = .008), patient characteristics (odds ratio 5.15 [1.19-22.35]; P = .029), unexpected intraoperative findings (odds ratio 18.99 [1.07-335.55]; P = .045), and delay in diagnosis of a complication (odds ratio 98.10 [6.24-1,541.04]; P = .001). Delay in treatment of a complication was found only in preventable deaths (28 [76%] vs 0; P < .001). National guidelines were less frequently followed (16 [43%] vs 22 [67%]; P = .050) in preventable deaths. The only independent risk factor of preventable death was center volume <26 esophagectomies per year (odds ratio 4.71 [1.55-14.33]; P = .006).

CONCLUSIONS

More than one-half of deaths after esophagectomy were potentially preventable. Better patient selection, early diagnosis, and adequate management of complications through centralization could reduce mortality.

Low-Dose Radiation Yields Lower Rates of Pathologic Response in Esophageal Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Although neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRT) followed by surgery is standard treatment for locally advanced esophageal or gastroesophageal junction (E/GEJ) cancer, the optimal radiation dose is still under debate.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the impact of different preoperative radiation doses (41.4 Gy, 45 Gy or 50.4 Gy) on pathologic response and survival in E/GEJ cancer patients.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with E/GEJ tumors, treated with curative intent between January 2009 and December 2016 in two referral centers were divided into three groups (41.4 Gy, 45 Gy and 50.4 Gy) according to the dose of preoperative radiotherapy. Pathologic complete response (pCR) rates, postoperative morbidity, overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared among the three groups, with separate analyses for adenocarcinoma (AC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).

RESULTS

From the 326 patients analyzed, 48 were included in the 41.4 Gy group (14.7%), 171 in the 45 Gy group (52.5%) and 107 in the 50.4 Gy group (32.8%). Postoperative complication rates were comparable (p = 0.399). A pCR was observed in 15%, 30%, and 34% of patients in the 41.4 Gy, 45 Gy and 50.4 Gy groups, respectively (p = 0.047). A 50.4 Gy dose was independently associated with pCR (odds ratio 2.78, 95% confidence interval 1.10-7.99) in multivariate analysis. Within AC patients, pCR was observed in 6.2% of patients in the 41.4 Gy group, 29.2% of patients in the 45 Gy group, and 22.7% of patients in the 50.4 Gy group (p = 0.035). No OS or DFS differences were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

A pCR was less common after a preoperative radiation dose of 41.4 Gy in AC patients. Radiation dose had no impact on postoperative morbidity, long-term survival, and recurrence.

[Tailored surgery in the treatment of gastroesophageal cancer]

The surgical options and particularly perioperative treatment, have significantly advanced in the case of gastroesophageal cancer. This progress enables a 5-year survival rate of nearly 50% to be achieved through curative multimodal treatment concepts for locally advanced cancer. Therefore, in tumor boards and surgical case discussions the question increasingly arises regarding the type of treatment that provides optimal oncological and functional outcomes for individual patients with pre-existing diseases. It is therefore essential to carefully assess whether organ-preserving treatment might also be considered in the future or in what way minimally invasive or robotic surgery can offer advantages. Simultaneously, the boundaries of surgical and oncological treatment are currently being shifted in order to enable curative forms of treatment for patients with pre-existing conditions or those with oligometastatic diseases. With the integration of artificial intelligence into decision-making processes, new possibilities for information processing are increasingly becoming available to incorporate even more data into making decisions in the future.

Remarkable response as a new indicator for endoscopic evaluation of local efficacy of non-surgical treatments for esophageal cancer

In Japan, standard of care of the patients with resectable esophageal cancer is neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by esophagectomy. Patients unfitted for surgery or with unresectable locally advanced esophageal cancer are generally indicated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Local disease control is undoubtful important for the management of patients with esophageal cancer, therefore endoscopic evaluation of local efficacy after non-surgical treatments must be essential. The significant shrink of primary site after NAC has been reported as a good indicator of pathological good response as well as favorable survival outcome after esophagectomy. And patients who could achieve remarkable shrink to T1 level after CRT had favorable outcomes with salvage surgery and could be good candidates for salvage endoscopic treatments. Based on these data, "Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer, 12th edition" defined the new endoscopic criteria "remarkable response (RR)", that means significant volume reduction after treatment, with the subjective endoscopic evaluation are proposed. In addition, the finding of local recurrence (LR) at primary site after achieving a CR was also proposed in the latest edition of Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer. The findings of LR are also important for detecting candidates for salvage endoscopic treatments at an early timing during surveillance after CRT. The endoscopic evaluation would encourage us to make concrete decisions for further treatment indications, therefore physicians treating patients with esophageal cancer should be well-acquainted with each finding.

Early Contrast-Enhanced MR for Diagnosing Complete Tumor Response of Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Neoadjuvant Therapy: A Retrospective Comparative Study

BACKGROUND

This study assessed the performance of early contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance (ECE-MR) in the detecting of complete tumor response (ypT0) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma following neoadjuvant therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Preoperative MR images of consecutive patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy and surgical resection were reviewed retrospectively. The accuracy of ECE-MR and T2WI+DWI was evaluated by comparing the findings with pathological results. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess the diagnostic performance, and DeLong method was applied to compare the areas under the curves (AUC). Chi-squared analysis was conducted to explore the difference in pathological changes.

RESULTS

A total of 198 patients (mean age 62.6 ± 7.8 years, 166 men) with 201 lesions were included. The AUC of ECE-MR was 0.85 (95% CI 0.79-0.90) for diagnosing ypT1-4, which was significantly higher than that of T2WI+DWI (AUC 0.69, 95% CI 0.63-0.76, p < 0.001). The diagnostic performance of both T2WI+DWI and ECE-MR improved with increasing tumor stage. The AUCs of ECE-MRI were higher in ypT1 and ypT2 tumors than T2WI+DWI. Degree 2-3 tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes and neutrophils were commonly seen in ypT0 tumors misdiagnosed by ECE-MR.

CONCLUSIONS

Visual evaluation of ECE-MR is a promising diagnostic protocol for the detection of complete tumor response, especially for differentiation with early stage tumors. The accurate diagnosis of complete tumor response after neoadjuvant therapy using imaging modalities is of important significance for clinical decision-making for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. It is hoped that early contrast-enhanced MR will provide supportive advice for the development of individualized treatment options for patients.

Pathologic complete response in patients with esophageal cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiation: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation and chemotherapy are recommended for the treatment of nonmetastatic esophageal cancer. The benefit of neoadjuvant treatment is mostly limited to patients who exhibit pathologic complete response (pCR). Existing estimates of pCR rates among patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy have not been synthesized and lack precision.

METHODS

We conducted an independently funded systematic review and meta-analysis (PROSPERO CRD42023397402) of pCR rates among patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemo(radiation). Studies were identified from Medline, EMBASE, and CENTRAL database searches. Eligible studies included trials published from 1992 to 2022 that focused on nonmetastatic esophageal cancer, including the gastroesophageal junction. Histology-specific pooled pCR prevalence was determined using the Freeman-Tukey transformation and a random effects model.

RESULTS

After eligibility assessment, 84 studies with 6451 patients were included. The pooled prevalence of pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in squamous cell carcinomas was 9% (95% CI: 6%-14%), ranging from 0% to 32%. The pooled prevalence of pCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in squamous cell carcinomas was 32% (95% CI: 26%-39%), ranging from 8% to 66%. For adenocarcinoma, the pooled prevalence of pCR was 6% (95% CI: 1%-12%) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and 22% (18%-26%) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Under one-third of patients with esophageal cancer who receive neoadjuvant chemo(radiation) experience pCR. Patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinomas had higher rates of pCR than those with adenocarcinomas. As pCR represents an increasingly utilized endpoint in neoadjuvant trials, these estimates of pooled pCR rates may serve as an important benchmark for future trial design.

Multi-omics approaches for biomarker discovery in predicting the response of esophageal cancer to neoadjuvant therapy: A multidimensional perspective

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery has been established as the standard treatment strategy for operable locally advanced esophageal cancer (EC). However, achieving pathologic complete response (pCR) or near pCR to NCRT is significantly associated with a considerable improvement in survival outcomes, while pCR patients may help organ preservation for patients by active surveillance to avoid planned surgery. Thus, there is an urgent need for improved biomarkers to predict EC chemoradiation response in research and clinical settings. Advances in multiple high-throughput technologies such as next-generation sequencing have facilitated the discovery of novel predictive biomarkers, specifically based on multi-omics data, including genomic/transcriptomic sequencings and proteomic/metabolomic mass spectra. The application of multi-omics data has shown the benefits in improving the understanding of underlying mechanisms of NCRT sensitivity/resistance in EC. Particularly, the prominent development of artificial intelligence (AI) has introduced a new direction in cancer research. The integration of multi-omics data has significantly advanced our knowledge of the disease and enabled the identification of valuable biomarkers for predicting treatment response from diverse dimension levels, especially with rapid advances in biotechnological and AI methodologies. Herein, we summarize the current status of research on the use of multi-omics technologies in predicting NCRT response for EC patients. Current limitations, challenges, and future perspectives of these multi-omics platforms will be addressed to assist in experimental designs and clinical use for further integrated analysis.

Active surveillance for clinical complete responders after chemoradiotherapy for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Guidelines on the treatment of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) recommend neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus surgery or definitive chemoradiotherapy. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcome of patients with a cCR after chemoradiotherapy who underwent active surveillance.

METHODS

Patients with oesophageal SCC who were treated with chemoradiotherapy between January 2016 and June 2022 were identified from an institutional database. Survival and recurrence of patients with a cCR who underwent active surveillance were compared with those of patients who underwent planned surgery. Survival was calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method and compared between groups using the log rank test.

RESULTS

The 37 patients who underwent active surveillance were older and tumours were more often located in the middle/upper-third of the oesophagus than in the surgery group of 57 patients. Median follow-up was 28.1 (i.q.r. 17.2-47.1) months for the active surveillance group and 20 (12.9-39.1) months for the surgery group. Overall survival was comparable between the two groups, with 3-year survival rates of 50 (95% c.i. 31 to 67) and 59 (40 to 73)% for the active surveillance and surgery groups respectively (P = 0.55). Three-year progression-free survival for patients who underwent active surveillance was better than in the surgery group: 70 (43 to 85) versus 58 (40 to 72)% (P = 0.02). Overall and progression-free survival was comparable between patients in the active surveillance group and 23 patients in the surgery group who had a pCR (ypT0 N0). The overall recurrence rate was comparable between the groups: 7 of 37 (19.4%) in active surveillance group versus 16 of 49 (32.6%) in surgery group (P = 0.26). Locoregional recurrence was noted more often in the active surveillance group and systemic recurrence in the surgery group.

CONCLUSION

Active surveillance is feasible and safe for patients with oesophageal SCC who have a cCR after chemoradiotherapy.

Outcomes of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who achieved a pathological complete response in the primary lesion by neoadjuvant treatment: a Japanese nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Minimal data was reported regarding the characteristics, risks of lymph node metastasis, and prognostic factors in esophageal cancer patients who achieved remarkable response in the primary lesion to neoadjuvant treatment (NAT).

METHODS

This study evaluated the nationwide data of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who underwent surgery following NAT in Japan. Of 4484 patients, 300 (6.7%) had ypT0 following NAT and curative esophagectomy. Factors associated with lymph node metastasis and prognosis were analyzed.

RESULTS

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) were administered in 260 (86.2%) and 40 (13.8%) patients, respectively. Pathologically, 72 (24.0%) had lymph node metastasis (residual nodal disease; RND), and pretherapeutic lymph node metastasis was the independent risk factor for RND (odd ratio [OR]: 3.21; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.44-8.20; P = 0.008). The 5-year overall and relapse-free survivals were significantly longer in patients with pathological complete response (pCR) than in those with RND (both P < 0.001). Pretherapeutic cT3 or T4a tumors (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.71; 95% CI: 1.02-2.88; P = 0.043), RND (HR: 3.30; 95% CI: 1.98-5.50; P < 0.001), and operative blood loss (Liter, HR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.07-2.19; P = 0.021) were independent risk factors affecting relapse-free survival in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Of patients with ypT0 after NAT, 24.0% had RND, and pretherapeutic lymph node metastasis was the risk factor. In addition, pretherapeutic cT3, or T4a tumors, RND, and operative blood loss were the poor prognosticators in patients with ypT0 after NAT.

CT-based deep learning radiomics and hematological biomarkers in the assessment of pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A two-center study

PURPOSE

To evaluate and validate CT-based models using pre- and posttreatment deep learning radiomics features and hematological biomarkers for assessing esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective study recruited patients with biopsy-proven ESCC who underwent nCRT from two Chinese hospitals between May 2017 and May 2022, divided into a training set (hospital I, 111 cases), an internal validation set (hospital I, 47 cases), and an external validation set (hospital II, 33 cases). We used minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) as feature selection methods and three classifiers as model construction methods. The assessment of models was performed using area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total 190 patients were included in our study (60.8 ± 7.08 years, 133 men), and seventy-seven of them (40.5 %) achieved pCR. The logistic regression (LR)-based combined model incorporating neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio, albumin, and radscores performed well both in the internal and external validation sets with AUCs of 0.875 and 0.857 (95 % CI, 0.776-0.964; 0.731-0.984, P <0.05), respectively. DCA demonstrated that nomogram was useful for pCR prediction and produced clinical net benefits.

CONCLUSION

The incorporation of radscores and hematological biomarkers into LR-based model improved pCR prediction after nCRT in ESCC. Enhanced pCR predictability may improve patients selection before surgery, providing clinical application value for the use of active surveillance.

Esophageal cancer - French intergroup clinical practice guidelines for diagnosis, treatments and follow-up (TNCD, SNFGE, FFCD, GERCOR, UNICANCER, SFCD, SFED, SFRO, ACHBT, SFP, RENAPE, SNFCP, AFEF, SFR)

INTRODUCTION

This document is a summary of the French intergroup guidelines regarding the management of esophageal cancer (EC) published in July 2022, available on the website of the French Society of Gastroenterology (SNFGE) (www.tncd.org).

METHODS

This collaborative work was conducted under the auspices of several French medical and surgical societies involved in the management of EC. Recommendations were graded in three categories (A, B and C), according to the level of evidence found in the literature until April 2022.

RESULTS

EC diagnosis and staging evaluation are mainly based on patient's general condition assessment, endoscopy plus biopsies, TAP CT-scan and 18F FDG-PET. Surgery alone is recommended for early-stage EC, while locally advanced disease (N+ and/or T3-4) is treated with perioperative chemotherapy (FLOT) or preoperative chemoradiation (CROSS regimen) followed by immunotherapy for adenocarcinoma. Preoperative chemoradiation (CROSS regimen) followed by immunotherapy or definitive chemoradiation with the possibility of organ preservation are the two options for squamous cell carcinoma. Salvage surgery is recommended for incomplete response or recurrence after definitive chemoradiation and should be performed in an expert center. Treatment for metastatic disease is based on systemic therapy including chemotherapy, immunotherapy or combined targeted therapy according to biomarkers testing such as HER2 status, MMR status and PD-L1 expression.

CONCLUSION

These guidelines are intended to provide a personalised therapeutic strategy for daily clinical practice and are subject to ongoing optimization. Each individual case should be discussed by a multidisciplinary team.

Radiomics Nomogram with Added Nodal Features Improves Treatment Response Prediction in Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to develop and validate a radiomics nomogram and determine the value of radiomic features from lymph nodes (LNs) for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) in patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective study, eligible participants who had undergone NCRT followed by radical esophagectomy were consecutively recruited. Three radiomics models (modelT, modelLN, and modelTLN) based on tumor and LN features, alone and combined, were developed in the training cohort. The radiomics nomogram was developed by incorporating the prediction value of the radiomics model and clinicoradiological risk factors using multivariate logistic regression, and was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve, validated in two external validation cohorts.

RESULTS

Between October 2011 and December 2018, 116 patients were included in the training cohort. Between June 2015 and October 2020, 51 and 27 patients from two independent hospitals were included in validation cohorts 1 and 2, respectively. The radiomics modelTLN performed better than the radiomics modelT for predicting pCR. The radiomics nomogram incorporating the predictive value of the radiomics modelTLN and heterogeneous after NCRT outperformed the clinicoradiological model, with an area under the curve (95% confidence interval) of 0.833 (0.765-0.894) versus 0.764 (0.686-0.833) [p = 0.088, DeLong test], 0.824 (0.718-0.909) versus 0.692 (0.554-0.809) [p = 0.012], and 0.902 (0.794-0.984) versus 0.696 (0.526-0.857) [p = 0.024] in all three cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomic features from LNs could provide additional value for predicting pCR in ESCC patients, and the radiomics nomogram provided an accurate prediction of pCR, which might aid treatment decision.

Predicting outcomes in esophageal adenocarcinoma following neoadjuvant chemoradiation: Interactions between tumor response and survival

OBJECTIVES

The prognostic value of tumor regression scores (TRS) in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation remains unclear. We sought to investigate the prognostic value of pathologic and metabolic treatment response among EAC patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

METHODS

Patients who underwent esophagectomy for EAC after neoadjuvant CROSS protocol between 2016 and 2020 were evaluated. TRS was grouped according to the modified Ryan score; metabolic response, according to the PERCIST criteria. Variables from endoscopic ultrasound, endoscopic biopsies, and positron emission tomography (primary and regional lymph node standardized uptake values [SUVs]) were collected.

RESULTS

The study population comprised 277 patients. A TRS of 0 (complete response) was identified in 66 patients (23.8%). Seventy-eight patients (28.1%) had TRS 1 (partial response), 97 (35%) had TRS 2 (poor response), and 36 (13%) had TRS 3 (no response). On survival analysis for overall survival (OS), patients with TRS 0 had longer survival compared to those with TRS 1, 2, or 3 (P = .010, P < .001, and P = .005, respectively). On multivariable logistic regression, the presence of signet ring cell features on endoscopic biopsy (odds ratio [OR], 7.54; P = .012) and greater SUV uptake at regional lymph nodes (OR, 1.42; P = .007) were significantly associated with residual tumor at pathology (TRS 1, 2, or 3). On multivariate Cox regression for predictors of OS, higher SUVmax at the most metabolically active nodal station (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; P = .005) was independently associated with decreased OS, whereas pathologic complete response (HR, 0.61; P = .021) was independently associated with higher OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with pathologic complete response had prolonged OS, whereas no difference in survival was detected among other TRS categories. At initial staging, the presence of signet ring cells and greater SUV uptake at regional lymph nodes predicted residual disease at pathology and shorter OS, suggesting the need for new treatment strategies for these patients.

Delayed Surgical Intervention After Chemoradiotherapy in Esophageal Cancer: (DICE) Study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the impact of delayed surgical intervention following chemoradiotherapy (CRT) on survival from esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND

CRT is a core component of multimodality treatment for locally advanced esophageal cancer. The timing of surgery following CRT may influence the probability of performing an oncological resection and the associated operative morbidity.

METHODS

This was an international, multicenter, cohort study, including patients from 17 centers who received CRT followed by surgery between 2010 and 2020. In the main analysis, patients were divided into 4 groups based upon the interval between CRT and surgery (0-50, 51-100, 101-200, and >200 days) to assess the impact upon 90-day mortality and 5-year overall survival. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression provided hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs adjusted for relevant patient, oncological, and pathologic confounding factors.

RESULTS

A total of 2867 patients who underwent esophagectomy after CRT were included. After adjustment for relevant confounders, prolonged interval following CRT was associated with an increased 90-day mortality compared with 0 to 50 days (reference): 51 to 100 days (HR=1.54, 95% CI: 1.04-2.29), 101 to 200 days (HR=2.14, 95% CI: 1.37-3.35), and >200 days (HR=3.06, 95% CI: 1.64-5.69). Similarly, a poorer 5-year overall survival was also observed with prolonged interval following CRT compared with 0 to 50 days (reference): 101 to 200 days (HR=1.41, 95% CI: 1.17-1.70), and >200 days (HR=1.64, 95% CI: 1.24-2.17).

CONCLUSIONS

Prolonged interval following CRT before esophagectomy is associated with increased 90-day mortality and poorer long-term survival. Further investigation is needed to understand the mechanism that underpins these adverse outcomes observed with a prolonged interval to surgery.

Genome-wide and panel-based cell-free DNA characterization of patients with resectable esophageal adenocarcinoma

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) holds promise in resectable esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) to predict patient outcome but is not yet sensitive enough to be clinically applicable. Our aim was to combine ctDNA mutation data with shallow whole-genome sequencing (sWGS)-derived copy number tumor fraction estimates (ichorCNA) to improve pathological response and survival prediction in EAC. In total, 111 stage II/III EAC patients with baseline (n = 111), post-neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) (n = 68), and pre-surgery (n = 92) plasma samples were used for ctDNA characterization. sWGS (<5× coverage) was performed on all time-point samples, and copy number aberrations were estimated using ichorCNA. Baseline and pre-surgery samples were sequenced using a custom amplicon panel for mutation detection. Detection of baseline ctDNA was successful in 44.3% of patients by amplicon sequencing and 10.5% by ichorCNA. Combining both, ctDNA could be detected in 50.5% of patients. Baseline ctDNA positivity was related to higher T stage (cT3, 4) (p = 0.017). There was no relationship between pathological response and baseline ctDNA positivity. However, baseline ctDNA metrics (variant allele frequency > 1% or ichorCNA > 3%) were associated with a high risk of disease progression [HR = 2.23 (95% CI 1.22-4.07), p = 0.007]. The non-clearance of a baseline variant or ichorCNA > 3% in pre-surgery samples was related to early progression [HR = 4.58 (95% CI 2.22-9.46), p < 0.001]. Multi-signal analysis improves detection of ctDNA and can be used for prognostication of resectable EAC patients. Future studies should explore the potential of multi-modality sequencing for risk stratification and treatment adaptation based on ctDNA results. © 2023 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Endoscopic Evaluation of Pathological Complete Response Using Deep Neural Network in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Received Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy-Multicenter Retrospective Study from Four Japanese Esophageal Centers

BACKGROUND

Detecting pathological complete response (pCR) before surgery would facilitate nonsurgical approach after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We developed an artificial intelligence (AI)-guided pCR evaluation using a deep neural network to identify pCR before surgery.

METHODS

This study examined resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who underwent esophagectomy after NAC. The same number of histological responders without pCR and non-responders were randomly selected based on the number of pCR patients. Endoscopic images were analyzed using a deep neural network. A test dataset consisting of 20 photos was used for validation. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of AI and four experienced endoscopists' pCR evaluations were calculated. For pathological response evaluation, Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer was used.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 123 patients, including 41 patients with pCR, the same number of histological responders without pCR, and non-responders [grade 0, 5 (4%); grade 1a, 36 (30%); grade 1b, 21 (17%); grade 2, 20 (16%); grade 3, 41 (33%)]. In 20 models, the median values of sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy for endoscopic response (ER) detection were 60%, 81%, 77%, 67%, and 70%, respectively. Similarly, the endoscopists' median of these was 43%, 90%, 85%, 65%, and 66%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This proof-of-concept study demonstrated that the AI-guided endoscopic response evaluation after NAC could identify pCR with moderate accuracy. The current AI algorithm might guide an individualized treatment strategy including nonsurgical approach in ESCC patients through prospective studies with careful external validation to demonstrate the clinical value of this diagnostic approach including primary tumor and lymph node.

Association of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT parameters with neoadjuvant therapy response and survival in esophagogastric cancer

INTRODUCTION

Better predictive markers are needed to deliver individualized care for patients with primary esophagogastric cancer. This exploratory study aimed to assess whether pre-treatment imaging parameters from dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT are associated with response to neoadjuvant therapy or outcome.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Following ethical approval and informed consent, prospective participants underwent dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET/CT prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy/chemoradiotherapy ± surgery. Vascular dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and metabolic 18F-FDG PET parameters were compared by tumor characteristics using Mann Whitney U test and with pathological response (Mandard tumor regression grade), recurrence-free and overall survival using logistic regression modelling, adjusting for predefined clinical variables.

RESULTS

39 of 47 recruited participants (30 males; median age 65 years, IQR: 54, 72 years) were included in the final analysis. The tumor vascular-metabolic ratio was higher in patients remaining node positive following neoadjuvant therapy (median tumor peak enhancement/SUVmax ratio: 0.052 vs. 0.023, p = 0.02). In multivariable analysis adjusted for age, gender, pre-treatment tumor and nodal stage, peak enhancement (highest gadolinium concentration value prior to contrast washout) was associated with pathological tumor regression grade. The odds of response decreased by 5% for each 0.01 unit increase (OR 0.95; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00, p = 0.04). No 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters were predictive of pathological tumor response. No relationships between pre-treatment imaging and survival were identified.

CONCLUSION

Pre-treatment esophagogastric tumor vascular and metabolic parameters may provide additional information in assessing response to neoadjuvant therapy.

Change in stage after neoadjuvant chemoradiation is associated with survival in patients with esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to determine if change in stage after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) was associated with improved survival in esophageal cancer using a national database.

METHODS

Using the National Cancer Database, patients with non-metastatic, resectable esophageal cancer who received neoadjuvant CRT and surgery were identified. Comparing clinical to the pathologic stage, change in stage was classified as pathologic complete response (pCR), downstaged, same-staged, or upstaged. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were used to identify factors associated with survival.

RESULTS

A total of 7745 patients were identified. The median overall survival (OS) was 34.9 months. Median OS was 60.3 months if pCR, 39.1 months if downstaged, 28.3 months if same-staged, and 23.4 months if upstaged (p < 0.0001). On multivariable analysis, pCR was associated with improved OS compared to the other groups (downstaged: hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18-1.46]; same-staged: HR: 1.89 [95% CI: 1.68-2.13]; upstaged: HR: 2.54 [95% CI: 2.25-2.86]; all p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this large database study, change in stage after neoadjuvant CRT was strongly associated with survival for patients with non-metastatic, resectable esophageal cancer. There was a significant stepwise decline in survival, in descending order of pCR, downstaged tumor, same-staged tumor, and upstaged tumor.

Oncological recurrence following pathological complete response after neoadjuvant treatment in patients with esophageal cancer - a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate recurrence in patients with post-neoadjuvant pathological complete response (pCR) and in patients with complete response of primary tumor but persisting lymphatic spread of disease (non-pCR, ypT0ypN +) of esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Seventy-five patients (63 pCR, 12 non-pCR) were analyzed retrospectively. Pattern and incidence of local and distant recurrence as well as the impact on overall (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were evaluated. The efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy according to FLOT protocol was compared to neoadjuvant chemoradiation according to CROSS protocol.

RESULTS

In the pCR group, isolated local recurrence was diagnosed in 3%, while no isolated local recurrence was observed in the non-pCR group due to the high incidence of distant recurrence. Distant recurrence was most common in both cohorts (isolated distant recurrence: pCR group 10% to non-pCR group 55%; simultaneous distant and local recurrence: pCR group 3% to non-pCR group 18%). Median time to distant recurrence was 5.5 months, and median time to local recurrence was 8.0 months. Cumulative incidence of distant recurrence (with and without simultaneous local recurrence) was 16% (± 6%) in pCR patients and 79% (± 13%) in non-pCR patients (hazard ratio (HR) 0.123) estimated by Kaplan-Meier method. OS (HR 0.231) and DFS (HR 0.226) were significantly improved in patients with pCR compared to patients with non-pCR. Advantages for FLOT protocol compared to CROSS protocol, especially with regard to distant control of disease (HR 0.278), were observed (OS (HR 0.361), DFS (HR 0.226)).

CONCLUSION

Distant recurrence is the predominant site of treatment failure in patients with pCR and non-pCR grade 1a regression, whereby recurrence rates are much higher in patients with non-pCR.

Cardiac Dose Predicts the Response to Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Definitive concurrent chemoradiation (CCRT) is the standard treatment for cervical esophageal cancer and non-surgical candidates. Initial treatment response affects survival; however, few validated markers are available for prediction. This study evaluated the clinical variables and chemoradiation parameters associated with treatment response. Between May 2010 and April 2016, 86 completed CCRT patients' clinical, dosimetric, and laboratory data at baseline and during treatment were collected. Cox regression analysis assessed the risk factors for overall survival (OS). A receiver operating characteristic curve with Youden's index was chosen to obtain the optimal cut-off value of each parameter. Treatment response was defined per Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors v.1.1 at the first post-CCRT computed tomography scan. Responders had complete and partial responses; non-responders had stable and progressive diseases. Logistic regression (LR) was used to evaluate the variables associated with responders. The Cox regression model confirmed the presence of responders (n = 50) vs. non-responders (n = 36) with a significant difference in OS. In multivariate LR, cardiac dose-volume received ≥10 Gy; the baseline hemoglobin level, highest neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio during CCRT, and cumulative cisplatin dose were significantly associated with the responders. The initial clinical treatment response significantly determines disease outcome. Cardiac irradiation may affect the treatment response.

Active surveillance of oesophageal cancer after response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: dysphagia is uncommon

BACKGROUND

Active surveillance is being investigated as an alternative to standard surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for oesophageal cancer. It is unknown whether dysphagia persists or develops when the oesophagus is preserved after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and severity of dysphagia during active surveillance in patients with an ongoing response.

METHODS

Patients who underwent active surveillance were identified from the Surgery As Needed for Oesophageal cancer ('SANO') trial. Patients without evidence of residual oesophageal cancer until at least 6 months after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were included. Study endpoints were assessed at time points that patients were cancer-free and remained cancer-free for the next 4 months. Dysphagia scores were evaluated at 6, 9, 12, and 16 months after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Scores were based on the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer oesophago-gastric quality-of-life questionnaire 25 (EORTC QLQ-OG25) (range 0-100; no to severe dysphagia). The rate of patients with a (non-)traversable stenosis was determined based on all available endoscopy reports.

RESULTS

In total, 131 patients were included, of whom 93 (71.0 per cent) had adenocarcinoma, 93 (71.0 per cent) had a cT3-4a tumour, and 33 (25.2 per cent) had a tumour circumference of greater than 75 per cent at endoscopy; 60.8 to 71.0 per cent of patients completed questionnaires per time point after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. At all time points after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, median dysphagia scores were 0 (interquartile range 0-0). Two patients (1.5 per cent) underwent an intervention for a stenosis: one underwent successful endoscopic dilatation; and the other patient required temporary tube feeding. Notably, these patients did not participate in questionnaires.

CONCLUSION

Dysphagia and clinically relevant stenosis are uncommon during active surveillance.

Enhancing Prediction for Tumor Pathologic Response to Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy in Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer by Dynamic Parameters from Clinical Assessments

To develop accurate and accessible prediction methods for assessing pathologic response following NICT prior to surgery, we conducted a retrospective study including 137 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who underwent surgery after two cycles of NICT between January 2019 and March 2022 at our center. We collected clinical parameters to evaluate the dynamic changes in the primary tumor. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the correlations between these parameters and the pathologic response of the primary tumor. Subsequently, we constructed prediction models for pCR and MPR using multivariate logistic regression. The MPR prediction Model 2 was internally validated using bootstrapping and externally validated using an independent cohort from our center. The univariate logistic analysis revealed significant differences in clinical parameters reflecting tumor regression among patients with varying pathologic responses. The clinical models based on these assessments demonstrated excellent predictive performance, with the training cohort achieving a C-index of 0.879 for pCR and 0.912 for MPR, while the testing cohort also achieved a C-index of 0.912 for MPR. Notably, the MPR prediction Model 2, with a threshold cut-off of 0.74, exhibited 92.7% specificity and greater than 70% sensitivity, indicating a low rate of underestimating residual tumors. In conclusion, our study demonstrated the high accuracy of clinical assessment-based models in pathologic response prediction, aiding in decision-making regarding organ preservation and radiotherapy adjustments after induction immunochemotherapy.

Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy or Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Real-World Data Comparison from A Japanese Nationwide Study

BACKGROUND

Although neoadjuvant treatment has become the standard of care for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer, previous studies comparing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NACRT) have demonstrated inconclusive results.

METHODS

Our study cohort included 3978 patients from 85 institutions. Those who underwent NAC or NACRT followed by surgery for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) were eligible for inclusion. We used the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method to compare the outcomes between NAC and NACRT.

RESULTS

Among the 3978 patients, 3777 (94.9%) received NAC and 201 (5.1%) received NACRT. After IPTW adjustment, the NACRT group had more patients with pathologically downstaged diseases and significantly better pathological response compared with the NAC group (p < 0.001); however, 5-year overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and regional recurrence-specific survival (RRSS) were comparable between the groups. Subgroup analysis stratifying patients according to cT category showed that among cT1-2 patients, those in the NACRT group had significantly longer 5-year OS, RFS, and RRSS than those in the NAC group (P = 0.024, < 0.001, and 0.020, respectively). In contrast, no significant differences were observed among cT3-4a patients. The competing risks regression model showed comparable subdistribution hazard ratios for 10-year cancerous and noncancerous deaths between the NAC and NACRT groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with NAC, NACRT for ESCC did not promote better survival despite better therapeutic effects and did not increase noncancerous deaths.

Preoperative Risk Stratification in Esophageal Cancer Surgery: Comparing Risk Models with the Clinical Judgment of the Surgeon

BACKGROUND

Numerous prediction models estimating the risk of complications after esophagectomy exist but are rarely used in practice. The aim of this study was to compare the clinical judgment of surgeons using these prediction models.

METHODS

Patients with resectable esophageal cancer who underwent an esophagectomy were included in this prospective study. Prediction models for postoperative complications after esophagectomy were selected by a systematic literature search. Clinical judgment was given by three surgeons, indicating their estimated risk for postoperative complications in percentage categories. The best performing prediction model was compared with the judgment of the surgeons, using the net reclassification improvement (NRI), category-free NRI (cfNRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indexes.

RESULTS

Overall, 159 patients were included between March 2019 and July 2021, of whom 88 patients (55%) developed a complication. The best performing prediction model showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.56. The three surgeons had an AUC of 0.53, 0.55, and 0.59, respectively, and all surgeons showed negative percentages of cfNRIevents and IDIevents, and positive percentages of cfNRInonevents and IDIevents. This indicates that in the group of patients with postoperative complications, the prediction model performed better, whereas in the group of patients without postoperative complications, the surgeons performed better. NRIoverall was 18% for one surgeon, while the remainder of the NRIoverall, cfNRIoverall and IDIoverall scores showed small differences between surgeons and the prediction models.

CONCLUSION

Prediction models tend to overestimate the risk of any complication, whereas surgeons tend to underestimate this risk. Overall, surgeons' estimations differ between surgeons and vary between similar to slightly better than the prediction models.

Predictive and prognostic markers from endoscopic ultrasound with biopsies during definitive chemoradiation therapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) may play a role in evaluating treatment response after definitive chemoradiation therapy (dCRT) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study explored the prognostic markers of EUS with biopsies and developed two nomograms for survival prediction.

METHODS

A total of 821 patients newly diagnosed with ESCC between January 2015 and December 2019 were reviewed. We investigated the prognostic value of the changes in tumor imaging characteristics and histopathological markers by an interim response evaluation, including presence of stenosis, ulceration, tumor length, tumor thickness, lumen involvement, and tumor remission. Independent prognostic factors of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were determined using Cox regression analysis and further selected to build two nomogram models for survival prediction. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to respectively assess its discriminatory capacity, predictive accuracy, and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

A total of 155 patients were enrolled in this study and divided into the training (109 cases) and testing (46 cases) cohorts. Tumor length, residual tumor thickness, reduction in tumor thickness, lumen involvement, and excellent remission (ER) of spatial luminal involvement in ESCC (ER/SLI) differed significantly between responders and non-responders. For patients undergoing dCRT, tumor stage (P = 0.001, 0.002), tumor length (P = 0.013, 0.008), > 0.36 reduction in tumor thickness (P = 0.004, 0.004) and ER/SLI (P = 0.041, 0.031) were independent prognostic markers for both PFS and OS. Time-dependent ROC curves, calibration curves, and DCA indicated that the predicted survival rates of our two established nomogram models were highly accurate.

CONCLUSION

Our nomogram showed high accuracy in predicting PFS and OS for ESCC after dCRT. External validation and complementation of other biomarkers are needed in further studies.

A Review of Advances in Radiotherapy in the Setting of Esophageal Cancers

Esophageal cancer is the eighth most common cancer worldwide and is the sixth most common cause of cancer-related mortality. The paradigm has shifted to include a multimodality approach with surgery, chemotherapy, targeted therapy (including immunotherapy), and radiation therapy. Advances in radiotherapy through techniques such as intensity modulated radiotherapy and proton beam therapy have allowed for the more dose homogeneity and improved organ sparing. In addition, recent studies of targeted therapies and predictive approaches in patients with locally advanced disease provide clinicians with new approaches to modify multimodality treatment to improve clinical outcomes.

[18F]FDG-PET-Based Personalized Radiotherapy Dose Prescription

PET imaging with 2'-deoxy-2'-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose ([18F]FDG) has become one of the pillars in the management of malignant diseases. It has proven value in diagnostic workup, treatment policy, follow-up, and as prognosticator for outcome. [18F]FDG is widely available and standards have been developed for PET acquisition protocols and quantitative analyses. More recently, [18F]FDG-PET is also starting to be appreciated as a decision aid for treatment personalization. This review focuses on the potential of [18F]FDG-PET for individualized radiotherapy dose prescription. This includes dose painting, gradient dose prescription, and [18F]FDG-PET guided response-adapted dose prescription. The current status, progress, and future expectations of these developments for various tumor types are discussed.

The genomic signature of resistance to platinum-containing neoadjuvant therapy based on single-cell data

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) becomes the first-line option for advanced tumors, while patients who are not sensitive to it may not benefit. Therefore, it is important to screen patients suitable for NACT.

METHODS

Single-cell data of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and esophageal squamous carcinoma (ESCC) before and after cisplatin-containing (CDDP) NACT and cisplatin IC50 data of tumor cell lines were analyzed to establish a CDDP neoadjuvant chemotherapy score (NCS). Differential analysis, GO, KEGG, GSVA and logistic regression models were performed by R. Survival analysis were applied to public databases. siRNA knockdown in A549, PC9, TE1 cell lines, qRT-PCR, western-blot, cck8 and EdU experiments were used for further verification in vitro.

RESULTS

485 genes were expressed differentially in tumor cells before and after neoadjuvant treatment for LUAD and ESCC. After combining the CDDP-associated genes, 12 genes, CAV2, PHLDA1, DUSP23, VDAC3, DSG2, SPINT2, SPATS2L, IGFBP3, CD9, ALCAM, PRSS23, PERP, were obtained and formed the NCS score. The higher the score, the more sensitive the patients were to CDDP-NACT. The NCS divided LUAD and ESCC into two groups. Based on differentially expressed genes, a model was constructed to predict the high and low NCS. CAV2, PHLDA1, ALCAM, CD9, IGBP3 and VDAC3 were significantly associated with prognosis. Finally, we demonstrated that the knockdown of CAV2, PHLDA1 and VDAC3 in A549, PC9 and TE1 significantly increased the sensitivity to cisplatin.

CONCLUSIONS

NCS scores and related predictive models for CDDP-NACT were developed and validated to assist in selecting patients who might benefit from it.

Combined regression score predicts outcome after neoadjuvant treatment of oesophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Histopathologic regression following neoadjuvant treatment (NT) of oesophageal cancer is a prognostic factor of survival, but the nodal status is not considered. Here, a score combining both to improve prediction of survival after neoadjuvant therapy is developed.

METHODS

Seven hundred and fifteen patients with oesophageal squamous cell (SCC) or adenocarcinoma (AC) undergoing NT and esophagectomy were analysed. Histopathologic response was classified according to percentage of vital residual tumour cells (VRTC): complete response (CR) without VRTC, major response with <10% VRTC, minor response with >10% VRTC. Nodal stage was classified as ypN0 and ypN+. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression were used for survival analysis.

RESULTS

Survival analysis identified three groups with significantly different mortality risks: (1) low-risk group for CR (ypT0N0) with 72% 5-year overall survival (5y-OS), (2) intermediate-risk group for minor/major responders and ypN0 with 59% 5y-OS, and (3) high-risk group for minor/major responders and ypN+ with 20% 5y-OS (p < 0.001). Median survival in AC and SCC cohorts were comparable (3.8 (CI 95%: 3.1, 5.3) vs. 4.6 years (CI 95%: 3.3, not reached), p = 0.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Histopathologic regression and nodal status should be combined for estimating AC and SCC prognosis. Poor survival in the high-risk group highlights need for adjuvant therapy.

Radiotherapy combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in locally advanced/metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: clinical trials, efficacy and future directions

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is a common malignancy worldwide and often diagnosed at advanced stages with poor prognosis. Combination of radiotherapy and immunotherapy seems to be a promising approach for treating ESCC. This comprehensive review article summarizes the current state of combination of radiotherapy and immunotherapy in locally advanced/metastatic ESCC, delineates the clinical trials that merit attention, and outlines unresolved issues and future research directions in this field. The clinical trial findings suggest that radio-immunotherapy combination may improve tumor response and overall survival with manageable side effects, highlighting the importance of patient selection and the necessity for further research to optimize treatment strategies. Issues such as irradiation dosage, fractionation regimen, irradiation site and technique of radiotherapy, as well as the timing, sequence and duration of combination therapy will all affect treatment outcomes, justifying further in-depth investigation.

Spatial distribution of tumor-infiltrating T cells indicated immune response status under chemoradiotherapy plus PD-1 blockade in esophageal cancer

Background

The spatial distribution of tumor-infiltrating T cells and its dynamics during chemoradiotherapy combined with PD-1 blockade is little known in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods

We applied the multiplex immunofluorescence method to identify T cells (CD4⁺, CD8⁺ T cells, and their PD-1^- or PD-1⁺ subsets) and myeloid-derived cells (CD11c⁺ dendritic cells, CD68⁺ macrophages, and their PD-L1⁺ subpopulations) in paired tumor biopsies (n = 36) collected at baseline and during combination (40 Gy of radiation) from a phase Ib trial (NCT03671265) of ESCC patients treated with first-line chemoradiotherapy plus anti-PD-1 antibody camrelizumab. We used the FoundationOne CDx assay to evaluate tumor mutational burden (TMB) in baseline tumor biopsies (n = 14). We dynamically assessed the nearest distance and proximity of T-cell subsets to tumor cells under combination and estimated the association between T-cell spatial distribution and combination outcome, myeloid-derived subsets, TMB, and patient baseline characteristics.

Findings

We found that the tumor compartment had lower T-cell subsets than the stromal compartment but maintained a comparable level under combination. Both before and under combination, PD-1^- T cells were located closer than PD-1⁺ T cells to tumor cells; T cells, dendritic cells, and macrophages showed the highest accumulation in the 5-10-μm distance. Higher CD4⁺ T cells in the tumor compartment and a shorter nearest distance of T-cell subsets at baseline predicted poor OS. Higher baseline CD4⁺ T cells, dendritic cells, and macrophages were associated with worse OS in less than 10-μm distance to tumor cells, but related with better OS in the farther distance. Higher on-treatment PD-1-positive-expressed CD4⁺ and CD8⁺ T cells within the 100-μm distance to tumor cells predicted longer OS. T cells, dendritic cells, and macrophages showed a positive spatial correlation. Both high TMB and smoking history were associated with a closer location of T cells to tumor cells at baseline.

Conclusions

We firstly illustrated the T-cell spatial distribution in ESCC. Combining chemoradiotherapy with PD-1 blockade could improve the antitumor immune microenvironment, which benefits the treatment outcome. Further understanding the precision spatiality of tumor-infiltrating T cells would provide new evidence for the tumor immune microenvironment and for the combination treatment with immunotherapy.

High-Risk Features of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation: Patients for Whom Surgery Should Not Be Delayed

OBJECTIVE

Clinical predictors of pathological complete response have not reliably identified patients for whom an organ-sparing approach following neoadjuvant chemoradiation be undertaken for esophageal cancer patients. We sought to identify high-risk predictors of residual carcinoma that may preclude patients from a selective surgical approach.

BACKGROUND

Patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy for esophageal adenocarcinoma were identified.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Correlation between clinical and pathologic complete responses were examined. Regression models and recursive partitioning were utilized to identify features associated with residual carcinoma. External validation of these high-risk factors was performed on a data set from an independent institution.

RESULTS

A total of 326 patients were identified, in whom clinical complete response was noted in 104/326 (32%). Pathologic complete response was noted in only 33/104 (32%) of these clinical complete responders. Multivariable analysis identified that the presence of stricture ( P =0.011), positive biopsy ( P =0.010), and signet ring cell histology ( P =0.019) were associated with residual cancer. Recursive partitioning corroborated a 94% probability of residual disease, or greater, for each of these features. The positive predictive value was >90% for these characteristics. A SUV max >5.4 at the esophageal primary in the absence of esophagitis was also a high-risk factor for residual carcinoma. External validation confirmed these high-risk factors to be implicated in the finding of residual carcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical parameters of response are poor predictors of complete pathologic response leading to challenges in selecting candidates for active surveillance. However, we characterize several high-risk features for residual carcinoma which indicate that esophagectomy should not be delayed.

Salvage Esophagectomy After Definitive Chemoradiotherapy for Squamous Cell Esophageal Cancer: A Propensity Score Matching Study in a High-Volume Center

BACKGROUND

Salvage esophagectomy, indicated for some patients with locally recurrent/persistent disease after definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT), reportedly has high postoperative complications. This study aims to compare the safety and efficacy of dCRT followed by salvage esophagectomy (DCRE) with planned esophagectomy after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRE) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all locally advanced ESCC patients treated with DCRE or NCRE at Shanghai Chest Hospital from 2018 to 2021. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance baseline differences. DCRE is defined as esophagectomy for recurrent/persistent disease after dCRT.

RESULTS

A total of 302 patients (41 for DCRE and 261 for NCRE) were included. The median interval of chemoradiotherapy-to-surgery was 47d in NCRE, 43d and 440d in DCRE of persistent disease (n = 24) and recurrence (n = 17), respectively. DCRE was observed with advanced ypT stage (63% vs 38%), poorer differentiation (32% vs 15%) and more lymphovascular invasion (29% vs 11%) compared with NCRE (all p < 0.05). The above factors were comparable between the two groups after PSM (all p > 0.05). There were no significant differences before and after PSM in postoperative complications over Clavien-Dindo grade III (e.g., respiratory failure and anastomotic leak), 30/90-day postoperative mortality, and survival.

CONCLUSION

Through a standardized surgical procedure in a high-volume center, DCRE exhibited comparable postoperative complications and prognosis with NCRE.

Improving outcomes in patients with oesophageal cancer

The care of patients with oesophageal cancer or of individuals who have an elevated risk of oesophageal cancer has changed dramatically. The epidemiology of squamous cell and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagus has diverged over the past several decades, with a marked increase in incidence only for oesophageal adenocarcinoma. Only in the past decade, however, have molecular features that distinguish these two forms of the disease been identified. This advance has the potential to improve screening for oesophageal cancers through the development of novel minimally invasive diagnostic technologies predicated on cancer-specific genomic or epigenetic alterations. Surgical techniques have also evolved towards less invasive approaches associated with less morbidity, without compromising oncological outcomes. With improvements in multidisciplinary care, advances in radiotherapy and new tools to detect minimal residual disease, certain patients may no longer even require surgical tumour resection. However, perhaps the most anticipated advance in the treatment of patients with oesophageal cancer is the advent of immune-checkpoint inhibitors, which harness and enhance the host immune response against cancer. In this Review, we discuss all these advances in the management of oesophageal cancer, representing only the beginning of a transformation in our quest to improve patient outcomes.

Neoadjuvant Pembrolizumab in Localized Microsatellite Instability High/Deficient Mismatch Repair Solid Tumors

PURPOSE

Pembrolizumab significantly improves clinical outcomes in advanced/metastatic microsatellite instability high (MSI-H)/deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) solid tumors but is not well studied in the neoadjuvant space.

METHODS

This is a phase II open-label, single-center trial of localized unresectable or high-risk resectable MSI-H/dMMR tumors. Treatment is pembrolizumab 200 mg once every 3 weeks for 6 months followed by surgical resection with an option to continue therapy for 1 year followed by observation. To continue on study, patients are required to have radiographic or clinical benefit. The coprimary end points are safety and pathologic complete response. Key secondary end points are response rate and organ-sparing at one year for patients who declined surgery. Exploratory analyses include interrogation of the tumor immune microenvironment using imaging mass cytometry.

RESULTS

A total of 35 patients were enrolled, including 27 patients with colorectal cancer and eight patients with noncolorectal cancer. Among 33 evaluable patients, best overall response rate was 82%. Among 17 (49%) patients who underwent surgery, the pathologic complete response rate was 65%. Ten patients elected to receive one year of pembrolizumab followed by surveillance without surgical resection (median follow-up of 23 weeks [range, 0-54 weeks]). An additional eight did not undergo surgical resection and received less than 1 year of pembrolizumab. During the study course of the trial and subsequent follow-up, progression events were seen in six patients (four of whom underwent salvage surgery). There were no new safety signals. Spatial immune profiling with imaging mass cytometry noted a significantly closer proximity between granulocytic cells and cytotoxic T cells in patients with progressive events compared with those without progression.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant pembrolizumab in dMMR/MSI-H cancers is safe and resulted in high rates of pathologic, radiographic, and endoscopic response, which has implications for organ-sparing strategies.

A prospective cohort study on active surveillance after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer: protocol of Surgery As Needed for Oesophageal cancer-2

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by esophagectomy is a standard treatment for potentially curable esophageal cancer. Active surveillance in patients with a clinically complete response (cCR) 12 weeks after nCRT is regarded as possible alternative to standard surgery. The aim of this study is to monitor the safety, adherence and effectiveness of active surveillance in patients outside a randomized trial.

METHODS

This nationwide prospective cohort study aims to accrue operable patients with non-metastatic histologically proven adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus or esophagogastric junction. Patients receive nCRT and response evaluation consists of upper endoscopy with bite-on-bite biopsies, endoscopic ultrasonography plus fine-needle aspiration of suspicious lymph nodes and ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography scan. When residue or regrowth of tumor in the absence of distant metastases is detected, surgical resection is advised. Patients with cCR after nCRT are suitable to undergo active surveillance. Patients can consult an independent physician or psychologist to support decision-making. Primary endpoint is the number and severity of adverse events in patients with cCR undergoing active surveillance, defined as complications from response evaluations, delayed surgery and the development of distant metastases. Secondary endpoints include timing and quality of diagnostic modalities, overall survival, progression-free survival, fear of cancer recurrence and decisional regret.

DISCUSSION

Active surveillance after nCRT may be an alternative to standard surgery in patients with esophageal cancer. Similar to organ-sparing approaches applied in other cancer types, the safety and efficacy of active surveillance needs monitoring before data from randomized trials are available.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The SANO-2 study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov as NCT04886635 (May 14, 2021) - Retrospectively registered.

Toripalimab combined with definitive chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (EC-CRT-001): a single-arm, phase 2 trial

BACKGROUND

Toripalimab is a PD-1 inhibitor that is approved for the treatment of advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, but its efficacy in locally advanced disease is unclear. We administered toripalimab with definitive chemoradiotherapy to patients with unresectable locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, and aimed to investigate the activity and safety of this regimen, and potential biomarkers.

METHODS

EC-CRT-001 was a single-arm, phase 2 trial done at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (Guangzhou, China). Patients aged 18-70 years with untreated, unresectable, stage I-IVA oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, with an ECOG performance status of 0-2, and adequate organ and bone marrow function were eligible for inclusion. Patients received concurrent thoracic radiotherapy (50·4 Gy in 28 fractions), chemotherapy (five cycles of weekly intravenous paclitaxel [50 mg/m²] and cisplatin [25 mg/m²]), and toripalimab (240 mg intravenously every 3 weeks for up to 1 year, or until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity). The primary endpoint was the complete response rate at 3 months after radiotherapy by investigator assessment. Secondary endpoints were overall survival, progression-free survival, duration of response, quality of life (not reported here), and safety. All enrolled patients were included in the activity and safety analyses. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04005170; enrolment is completed and follow-up is ongoing.

FINDINGS

Between Nov 12, 2019, and Jan 25, 2021, 42 patients were enrolled. The median age was 56 years (IQR 53-63), 39 (93%) of 42 patients had stage III or IVA disease, and 32 (76%) patients were male and 10 (24%) were female. 40 (95%) of 42 patients completed the planned chemoradiotherapy and 26 (62%; 95% CI 46-76) of 42 had a complete response. The median duration of response was 12·1 months (95% CI 5·9-18·2). After a median follow-up of 14·9 months (IQR 11·9-18·4), 1-year overall survival was 78·4% (95% CI 66·9-92·0) and 1-year progression-free survival was 54·5% (41·3-72·0). The most common grade 3 or worse adverse event was lymphopenia (36 [86%] of 42). One (2%) patient died from treatment-related pneumonitis.

INTERPRETATION

Combining toripalimab with definitive chemoradiotherapy provided encouraging activity and acceptable toxicity in patients with locally advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma, and this regimen warrants further investigation.

FUNDING

National Natural Science Foundation of China and Sci-Tech Project Foundation of Guangzhou.

TRANSLATION

For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Development and Validation of a Predictive Model of Therapeutic Effect in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Who Received Neoadjuvant Treatment: A Nationwide Retrospective Study in Japan

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant treatment has become the standard of care for patients with advanced esophageal cancer. However, few studies have elucidated the clinical factors that predict response to neoadjuvant therapy in a large multicenter cohort. We aimed to develop a predictive model of therapeutic effect in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) who received neoadjuvant treatment.

METHODS

This nationwide study included 4078 patients from 85 institutions. Patients who received neoadjuvant treatment followed by surgery for esophageal SCC were eligible. We developed a logistic regression model to predict good pathological therapeutic effects, and a predictive nomogram was generated by applying the logistic regression formula.

RESULTS

Among neoadjuvant regimens, cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (CF) was the most frequently used (60.2%), followed by docetaxel plus CF (DCF, 27.4%), CF with radiotherapy (CF-RT, 4.5%), adriamycin plus CF (3.6%), nedaplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (0.9%), and DCF-RT (0.5%). Multivariable analysis revealed that male sex, advanced cT category, and increased pretherapeutic SCC antigen level were independently associated with not achieving a good therapeutic effect. Moreover, intensified neoadjuvant regimens were independently associated with favorable therapeutic effects; DCF-RT elicited the best therapeutic effect, followed by CF-RT and DCF. A predictive model including nine commonly measured preoperative variables was generated, and the area under the curve was 0.679 (95% confidence interval: 0.658-0.700). This nomogram was also adequately validated internally.

CONCLUSIONS

The model developed in this study was validated and predicts the therapeutic effect in patients with esophageal SCC who received neoadjuvant treatment. This model might contribute to individualized treatment strategies.

Impact of Delaying Surgery After Chemoradiation on Outcomes for Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Performing selective esophagectomy for locally advanced squamous cell carcinoma may spare patients morbidity, but delayed surgery may infer higher risks. This study evaluated the impact of length of time between chemoradiation and esophagectomy on perioperative outcomes and long-term survival.

METHODS

The impact of surgical timing, stratified by surgery performed < 180 and ≥ 180 days from starting radiation, on perioperative outcomes and survival in patients treated with chemoradiation and esophagectomy for cT1N + M0 and cT2-4, any N, M0 squamous cell carcinoma of the mid-distal esophagus in the National Cancer Database (2006-2016) was evaluated with logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional-hazards methods, and propensity-matched analysis.

RESULTS

Median time between starting radiation and esophagectomy in 1641 patients was 93 (IQR 81-114) days. Most patients (96.8%, n = 1589) had surgery within 180 days of starting radiation, while 52 patients (3.2%) had delayed surgery. Black race and clinical T stage were associated with delayed surgery. Rates of pathologic upstaging, downstaging, complete response, and positive margins were not significantly different between the groups. Patients with delayed surgery had increased major morbidity as measured by a composite of length of hospital stay, readmission, and 30-day mortality [42.3% (22/52) vs 22.3% (355/1589), p = 0.001]. However, delayed surgery was not associated with a significant difference in survival in both univariate [5-year survival 32.8% (95% CI 21.1-50.7) vs 47.3% (44.7-50.1), p = 0.19] and multivariable analysis [hazard ratio (HR) 1.23 (0.85-1.78), p = 0.26].

CONCLUSIONS

Delaying surgery longer than 180 days after starting chemoradiation for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma is associated with worse perioperative outcomes but not long-term survival.

Evaluation of Endoscopic Response Using Deep Neural Network in Esophageal Cancer Patients Who Received Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

We previously reported that endoscopic response evaluation can preoperatively predict the prognosis and distribution of residual tumors after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). In this study, we developed artificial intelligence (AI)-guided endoscopic response evaluation using a deep neural network to discriminate endoscopic responders (ERs) in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after NAC.

METHOD

Surgically resectable ESCC patients who underwent esophagectomy following NAC were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Endoscopic images of the tumors were analyzed using a deep neural network. The model was validated with a test data set using 10 newly collected ERs and 10 newly collected non-ER images. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the endoscopic response evaluation by AI and endoscopists were calculated and compared.

RESULTS

Of 193 patients, 40 (21%) were diagnosed as ERs. The median sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV values for ER detection in 10 models were 60%, 100%, 100%, and 71%, respectively. Similarly, the median values by the endoscopist were 80%, 80%, 81%, and 81%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This proof-of-concept study using a deep learning algorithm demonstrated that the constructed AI-guided endoscopic response evaluation after NAC could identify ER with high specificity and PPV. It would appropriately guide an individualized treatment strategy that includes an organ preservation approach in ESCC patients.

High versus standard radiation dose of definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials

OBJECTIVES

Compare the efficacy and safety of high vs standard radiation dose of definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (dCCRT) for esophageal cancer (EC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This meta-analysis is registered in PROSPERO, and it was followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline. Eligible randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing high dose (HD;≥59.4 Gy/1.8 Gy) and standard doses (SD; 50 Gy/2Gy or 50.4 Gy/1.8 Gy) were identified on electronic databases. STATA16.0 was used for statistical analysis. A meta-analysis was performed to compare treatment effect and toxicity.

RESULTS

Four articles with a total of 1014 patients were finally included. The results showed that the two groups had similar 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates (RR = 1.08, 95 % CI = 0.90-1.30, P = 0.395; RR = 1.07, 95 % CI = 0.95-1.20, P = 0.272; RR = 1.06, 95 % CI = 0.97-1.17, P = 0.184; respectively) and 2-, and 3-year locoregional progression-free survival (LRPFS) (RR = 0.95, 95 % CI = 0.81-1.10, P = 0.478; RR = 0.97, 95 % CI = 0.85-1.11, P = 0.674; respectively). The HD-RT group had higher grade ≥ 3 treatment-related toxicities (OR = 1.35, 95 % CI = 1.03-1.77, P = 0.029) and treatment-related deaths rates (OR = 1.85, 95 % CI = 1.04-3.28, P = 0.036) compared with the SD-RT group. Results of subgroup analysis also indicated that HD could not bring benefit compared to SD, even with modern radiotherapy techniques.

CONCLUSION

SD-RT had similar treatment effect but lower Grade ≥ 3 treatment-related toxicities rates compared with the HD-RT. Therefore, SD (50 Gy/2Gy or 50.4 Gy/1.8 Gy) should be considered as the recommended dose in dCCRT for EC. Further RCTs are needed to verify our conclusions.