Prognostic indicators of successful endoscopic sclerotherapy for prevention of rebleeding from oesophageal varices in cirrhosis: a long-term cohort study

Evaluation of Non-invasive Fibrosis Markers in Predicting Esophageal Variceal Bleeding

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB) is an important cause of mortality and morbidity in liver cirrhosis. In this study, we aimed to predict the possibility of EVB in patients with cirrhosis using a non-invasive score.

METHODS

A total of 359 patients with cirrhosis were divided into two groups based on the presence or absence of EVB. ChildTurcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, a model for end-stage liver disease, aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4-index (FIB-4), aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio/platelet ratio index (AARPRI), and S-index were measured for all participants. Receiver operating characteristic curves were obtained for all parameters, and the optimal cut-off value was determined in predicting EVB.

RESULTS

In patients with EVB, the number of platelets (PLT) were low (p<0.001) and APRI, AARPRI, FIB-4, and S-index were significantly higher than those in patients without EBV. APRI, AARPRI, FIB-4, PLT, and S-index were statistically significant predictors of EVB (p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

FIB-4 and AARPRI, which are non-invasive markers of fibrosis, can be used to predict EVB. In addition, the 66.5 109/L cut-off value for PLT is important for EVB.

Clinical Implications of Thrombocytopenia for the Cirrhotic Patient

Thrombocytopenia is a frequent complication in patients with cirrhosis. As many as 84% of patients with cirrhosis have thrombocytopenia, and it is an independent variable indicative of advanced disease and poor prognosis. Although there is great concern that it may aggravate bleeding during surgical procedures, there is limited evidence to inform decisions regarding the treatment of cirrhotic patients with thrombocytopenia undergoing invasive procedures. Finally, there is evidence that platelets play a significant role in liver regeneration. In this report, the clinical implications of thrombocytopenia in cirrhotic patients are reviewed. The utility of platelet counts in the prognosis of cirrhosis and relationship to complications of advanced liver disease, including portal hypertension, esophageal varices, and hepatocellular carcinoma. The impact of low platelet counts on bleeding complications during invasive procedures is outlined. Finally, the role of platelets and potential adverse impact in liver regeneration is reviewed.

Clinical implications of the hyperdynamic syndrome in cirrhosis

The hyperdynamic syndrome is a late consequence of portal hypertension in cirrhosis. The principal hemodynamic manifestations of the hyperdynamic syndrome are high cardiac output, and increased heart rate and total blood volume, accompanied by reduced total systemic vascular resistance. Pathophysiology involves a complex of humoral and neural mechanisms that can determine hemodynamic changes, and lead to hyperdynamic circulation. In this review we focus our attention on the manifestations of the hyperdynamic syndrome. Some of these are well described and directly related to portal hypertension (varices, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, and hepatorenal syndrome), while others, such as hepatopulmonary syndrome, portopulmonary hypertension, and cirrhotic cardiomyopathy, are less known as clinical manifestations related to cirrhosis and, therefore, merit further investigation.

Prognosis following endoscopic injection sclerotherapy for esophageal varices in adults: 20-year follow-up study

OBJECTIVE

Endoscopic injection sclerotherapy (EIS) is beneficial in the management of active hemorrhaging and prevention of recurrent bleeding from esophageal varices. However, its long-term efficacy and safety are poorly defined. The aim of this study was to determine long-term cumulative survival and clarify negative predictive factors for survival following EIS in patients with esophageal varices.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Between 1981 and 1987, 72 patients were prospectively enrolled in a post-EIS follow-up program. Variceal rebleeding, recurrence, and survival were recorded in follow-up examinations conducted for up to 20 years.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up period was 86.9 months. The cumulative survival rates were 65.2%, 53.6%, 26.1%, and 11.6% at 36, 60, 120, and 240 months, respectively, with liver failure the most common cause of death. Esophageal varices were eradicated in 93.1% of the patients following EIS and no recurrence of varices was seen beyond 7 years. Significant negative predictive factors for survival rate shown by Cox's proportional multivariate hazard model analysis were older age, advanced liver damage, presence of hepatocellular carcinoma, and occurrence of rebleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term survival, rebleeding, and recurrence rates following EIS were clarified. Furthermore, our results clearly demonstrate negative predictive factors for survival after EIS.

Variceal recurrence, rebleeding, and survival after endoscopic injection sclerotherapy in 287 alcoholic cirrhotic patients with bleeding esophageal varices

OBJECTIVE

This study tested the validity of the hypothesis that eradication of esophageal varices by repeated injection sclerotherapy would reduce recurrent variceal bleeding and death from bleeding varices in a high-risk cohort of alcoholic patients with cirrhosis.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Although banding of esophageal varices is now regarded as the most effective method of endoscopic intervention, injection sclerotherapy is still widely used to control acute esophageal variceal bleeding as well as to eradicate varices to prevent recurrent bleeding. This large single-center prospective study provides data on the natural history of alcoholic cirrhotic patients with bleeding varices who underwent injection sclerotherapy.

METHODS

Between 1984 and 2001, 287 alcoholic cirrhotic patients (225 men, 62 women; mean age, 51.9 years; range, 24-87 years; Child-Pugh grades A, 39; B, 116; C, 132) underwent a total of 2565 upper gastrointestinal endoscopic sessions, which included 353 emergency and 1015 elective variceal injection treatments. Variceal rebleeding, eradication, recurrence, and survival were recorded.

RESULTS

Before eradication of varices was achieved, 104 (36.2%) of the 287 patients had a total of 170 further bleeding episodes after the first endoscopic intervention during the index hospital admission. Rebleeding was markedly reduced after eradication of varices. In 147 (80.7%) of 182 patients who survived more than 3 months, varices were eradicated after a mean of 5 injection sessions and remained eradicated in 69 patients (mean follow-up, 34.6 months; range, 1-174 months). Varices recurred in 78 patients and rebled in 45 of these patients. Median follow-up was 32.3 months (mean, 42.1 months; range, 3-198.9 months). Cumulative overall survival by life-table analysis was 67%, 42%, and 26% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. A total of 201 (70%) patients died during follow-up. Liver failure was the most common cause of death.

CONCLUSION

Repeated sclerotherapy eradicates esophageal varices in most alcoholic cirrhotic patients with a reduction in rebleeding. Despite control of variceal bleeding, survival at 5 years was only 26% because of death due to liver failure in most patients.