Foresight-a generative pretrained transformer for modelling of patient timelines using electronic health records: a retrospective modelling study

A practical guide to implementing artificial intelligence in traditional East Asian medicine research

In this paper, we present a comprehensive guide for implementing artificial intelligence (AI) techniques in traditional East Asian medicine (TEAM) research. We cover essential aspects of the AI model development pipeline, including research objective establishment, data collection and preprocessing, model selection, evaluation, and interpretation. The unique considerations in applying AI to TEAM datasets, such as data scarcity, imbalance, and model interpretability, are discussed. We provide practical tips and recommendations based on best practices and our own experience. The potential of large language models in TEAM research is also highlighted. Finally, we discuss the challenges and future directions of AI application in TEAM, emphasizing the need for standardized data collection and sharing platforms.

Enhancing Type 2 Diabetes Treatment Decisions With Interpretable Machine Learning Models for Predicting Hemoglobin A1c Changes: Machine Learning Model Development

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a significant global health challenge. Physicians need to assess whether future glycemic control will be poor on the current trajectory of usual care and usual-care treatment intensifications so that they can consider taking extra treatment measures to prevent poor outcomes. Predicting poor glycemic control from trends in hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels is difficult due to the influence of seasonal fluctuations and other factors.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to develop a model that accurately predicts poor glycemic control among patients with T2D receiving usual care.

METHODS

Our machine learning model predicts poor glycemic control (HbA1c≥8%) using the transformer architecture, incorporating an attention mechanism to process irregularly spaced HbA1c time series and quantify temporal relationships of past HbA1c levels at each time point. We assessed the model using HbA1c levels from 7787 patients with T2D seeing specialist physicians at the University of Tokyo Hospital. The training data include instances of poor glycemic control occurring during usual care with usual-care treatment intensifications. We compared prediction accuracy, assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the precision-recall curve, and the accuracy rate, to that of LightGBM.

RESULTS

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, the area under the precision-recall curve, and the accuracy rate (95% confidence limits) of the proposed model were 0.925 (95% CI 0.923-0.928), 0.864 (95% CI 0.852-0.875), and 0.864 (95% CI 0.86-0.869), respectively. The proposed model achieved high prediction accuracy comparable to or surpassing LightGBM's performance. The model prioritized the most recent HbA1c levels for predictions. Older HbA1c levels in patients with poor glycemic control were slightly more influential in predictions compared to patients with good glycemic control.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed model accurately predicts poor glycemic control for patients with T2D receiving usual care, including patients receiving usual-care treatment intensifications, allowing physicians to identify cases warranting extraordinary treatment intensifications. If used by a nonspecialist, the model's indication of likely future poor glycemic control may warrant a referral to a specialist. Future efforts could incorporate diverse and large-scale clinical data for improved accuracy.

Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Prostate Cancer Care: A Path to Enhanced Efficiency and Outcomes

The landscape of prostate cancer care has rapidly evolved. We have transitioned from the use of conventional imaging, radical surgeries, and single-agent androgen deprivation therapy to an era of advanced imaging, precision diagnostics, genomics, and targeted treatment options. Concurrently, the emergence of large language models (LLMs) has dramatically transformed the paradigm for artificial intelligence (AI). This convergence of advancements in prostate cancer management and AI provides a compelling rationale to comprehensively review the current state of AI applications in prostate cancer care. Here, we review the advancements in AI-driven applications across the continuum of the journey of a patient with prostate cancer from early interception to survivorship care. We subsequently discuss the role of AI in prostate cancer drug discovery, clinical trials, and clinical practice guidelines. In the localized disease setting, deep learning models demonstrated impressive performance in detecting and grading prostate cancer using imaging and pathology data. For biochemically recurrent diseases, machine learning approaches are being tested for improved risk stratification and treatment decisions. In advanced prostate cancer, deep learning can potentially improve prognostication and assist in clinical decision making. Furthermore, LLMs are poised to revolutionize information summarization and extraction, clinical trial design and operations, drug development, evidence synthesis, and clinical practice guidelines. Synergistic integration of multimodal data integration and human-AI integration are emerging as a key strategy to unlock the full potential of AI in prostate cancer care.

Assessing and Optimizing Large Language Models on Spondyloarthritis Multi-Choice Question Answering: Protocol for Enhancement and Assessment

BACKGROUND

Spondyloarthritis (SpA), a chronic inflammatory disorder, predominantly impacts the sacroiliac joints and spine, significantly escalating the risk of disability. SpA's complexity, as evidenced by its diverse clinical presentations and symptoms that often mimic other diseases, presents substantial challenges in its accurate diagnosis and differentiation. This complexity becomes even more pronounced in nonspecialist health care environments due to limited resources, resulting in delayed referrals, increased misdiagnosis rates, and exacerbated disability outcomes for patients with SpA. The emergence of large language models (LLMs) in medical diagnostics introduces a revolutionary potential to overcome these diagnostic hurdles. Despite recent advancements in artificial intelligence and LLMs demonstrating effectiveness in diagnosing and treating various diseases, their application in SpA remains underdeveloped. Currently, there is a notable absence of SpA-specific LLMs and an established benchmark for assessing the performance of such models in this particular field.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective is to develop a foundational medical model, creating a comprehensive evaluation benchmark tailored to the essential medical knowledge of SpA and its unique diagnostic and treatment protocols. The model, post-pretraining, will be subject to further enhancement through supervised fine-tuning. It is projected to significantly aid physicians in SpA diagnosis and treatment, especially in settings with limited access to specialized care. Furthermore, this initiative is poised to promote early and accurate SpA detection at the primary care level, thereby diminishing the risks associated with delayed or incorrect diagnoses.

METHODS

A rigorous benchmark, comprising 222 meticulously formulated multiple-choice questions on SpA, will be established and developed. These questions will be extensively revised to ensure their suitability for accurately evaluating LLMs' performance in real-world diagnostic and therapeutic scenarios. Our methodology involves selecting and refining top foundational models using public data sets. The best-performing model in our benchmark will undergo further training. Subsequently, more than 80,000 real-world inpatient and outpatient cases from hospitals will enhance LLM training, incorporating techniques such as supervised fine-tuning and low-rank adaptation. We will rigorously assess the models' generated responses for accuracy and evaluate their reasoning processes using the metrics of fluency, relevance, completeness, and medical proficiency.

RESULTS

Development of the model is progressing, with significant enhancements anticipated by early 2024. The benchmark, along with the results of evaluations, is expected to be released in the second quarter of 2024.

CONCLUSIONS

Our trained model aims to capitalize on the capabilities of LLMs in analyzing complex clinical data, thereby enabling precise detection, diagnosis, and treatment of SpA. This innovation is anticipated to play a vital role in diminishing the disabilities arising from delayed or incorrect SpA diagnoses. By promoting this model across diverse health care settings, we anticipate a significant improvement in SpA management, culminating in enhanced patient outcomes and a reduced overall burden of the disease.

INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID)

DERR1-10.2196/57001.