Time to relapse of severe acute malnutrition and risk factors among under-five children treated in the health posts of Hadiya Zone, Southern Ethiopia

The Modified Dosages for Acute Malnutrition (MODAM) study: protocol for three integrated randomized controlled trials of novel approaches for the management of childhood wasting in Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Only a small percentage of children with severe and moderate acute malnutrition receive treatment due to resource limitations, relatively complex treatment protocols, persistent supply chain challenges, and limited early identification among high-risk populations. Several innovations to the current model of care for uncomplicated acute malnutrition have been proposed, including modified doses of nutritional supplementation and family-led mid-upper-arm circumference (MUAC) and edema screening ("Family MUAC") for early identification. The evidence base for these innovations remains limited.

METHODS

The Modified Dosages for Acute Malnutrition (MODAM) study includes three integrated individually randomized clinical trials testing innovations in the identification and treatment of acute malnutrition in Ethiopia. One trial will enroll 2400 children aged 6-59 months with severe acute malnutrition, testing standard weight-based dosing of ready-to-use therapeutic food (RUTF) against two experimental RUTF dosing regimens: either two sachets (1000 kcal) daily of RUTF until discharge, or two sachets until achieving anthropometric criteria for moderate acute malnutrition (MAM), at which time dosing will be decreased to one sachet (500 kcal) daily until discharge as fully recovered. A second trial will enroll 2400 children with MAM and test a standard dose of one daily sachet (540 kcal) of ready-to-use supplemental food against two experimental dosing regimes: one sachet (500 kcal) or two sachets (1000 kcal) of RUTF daily until discharge. Children who recover from these two trials will be randomized again into a third trial evaluating post-recovery protocols designed for the early identification of relapse: (1) the control arm involving one scheduled return visit at 24 weeks post-recovery; (2) the first intervention arm involving three scheduled return visits at 4, 12, and 24 weeks post-recovery; and (3) the second intervention arm which involves caregivers receiving Family MUAC training and one scheduled visit at 24 weeks post-recovery.

DISCUSSION

This study will provide data on the effectiveness of multiple innovations in the management of childhood acute malnutrition. Results will add to the evidence base on the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of such modifications in the identification and management of acute malnutrition, ideally adding to the global database on this topic and directly contributing to future WHO guidelines.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Trials were registered on clinicaltrials.gov as NCT06038071 (registered September 8, 2023), NCT06056089 (registered September 20, 2023), and NCT06061484 (registered September 24, 2023).

Rate, risk factors and estimated time to develop attrition after under-five children started moderate acute malnutrition treatment in Gubalafto, North East Ethiopia

Lost from follow-up, after starting moderate acute malnutrition (MAM) is an ongoing challenge of public health until the admitted children reached the standard weight of a reference child. Thus, the present study aimed to assess the rate and estimated time to attrition after under-five children started treatment for MAM in the Gubalafto district. A facility-based retrospective cohort study was employed among 487 participant children who had been managed targeted therapeutic feeding from 1 June 2018 to 1 May 2021. The overall mean (±sd) age of the participants' children was 22⋅1 (±12⋅6) months. At the end of the study period, 55 (11⋅46 %) under-five children developed attrition from the treatment after starting ready use of therapeutic feeding. After checking all assumptions, a multivariable Cox regression model was used to claim independent predictors for time to attritions. The median time of attrition after starting treatment of MAM was 13 (IQR ±9) weeks, with the overall incidence of attrition rate reported at 6⋅75 children Per Week (95 % CI 5⋅56, 9⋅6). In the final model of multivariable Cox regression, the hazard of attrition was significantly higher for children from rural residence (AHR 1⋅61; 95 % CI 1⋅18, 2⋅18; P = 0⋅001), and caregivers with their dyads did not get nutritional counselling at baseline (AHR 2⋅78; 95 % CI 1⋅34, 5⋅78; P = 0⋅001). The findings of the present study showed that nearly one in every eleven under-five children was attrition (lost to follow-up) in a median time of 13 (IQR ±9) weeks. We strongly recommended for caregivers provisions of diversification of daily nutrition supplementation of their dyads.

Time to readmission and associated factors after post treatment discharge of severe acute malnourished under-five children in Pawe General Hospital

Background

Relapse or repeated episodes is the admission of a child with the diagnosis of severe acute malnutrition (SAM) after being discharged to a status of treated and cured from a stabilizing center. A child may experience more than one episode of SAM depending on the improvement of the underlying comorbidity. Thus, this study aimed to estimate the time to readmission of SAM and associated factors for under-five children in North West Ethiopia.

Methods

An institution-based retrospective cohort study was employed in 760 files of under-five children spanning from 2014/15 to 2019/20. The data extraction tool was developed from SAM treatment guidelines and medical history sheets. Epi Data version 3.2 and STATA version 14 were used for data entry and final analysis, respectively. After checking all assumptions, the multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard model was fitted to the isolated independent predictors for time to readmission. A categorical variable with p < 0.05 was considered a risk factor for the relapse of SAM.

Result

The mean (± SD) age of participant children was 27.8 (± 16.5) months with mean (± SD) time to relapse of SAM cases were 30.4(± 21.39) weeks posttreatment discharge. The overall incidence density rate of relapse was determined as 10.8% (95% CI 8.3; 12.6). The average time (± SD) for treatment recovery from the first admission of the SAM case was 28.8(± 18.7) days. Time of readmission was significantly associated with living in rural resident (AHR 5⋅3 = 95% CI, 2⋅95, 13⋅87, p = 0.021), having HIV infection (AHR6⋅8 = 95%CI; 4.1–11.9 p = 0.001), and first admission with edema (AHR = 3.5 = 95% CI; 1.92, 6.2, p = 0.018).

Conclusion

Nearly one in every ten severely acute malnourished under-five children relapsed within a mean time to relapse 30.4(± 21.39) weeks posttreatment discharge. Time to relapse was significantly associated with being a rural resident for children, having edema during the first admission, and being HIV-infected cases. A protocol ought to be drafted for extending Supplementary Nutrition in Acute Malnutrition management program following discharge is highly needed.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s41043-022-00308-8.

Incidence and predictors of attrition rate after children started inpatient treatments for complicated severe acute malnutrition in North West Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Retaining children for inpatient treatment of complicated severe acute malnutrition (SAM) is a growing challenge until achieved the reference weight of a child. In Ethiopia, there is limited information regarding the time to be lost from the stabilizing centers after initiation of treatment. Thus, this study aimed to identify incidence and predictors of attrition for children suffering from SAM after started inpatient treatment in North West Ethiopia.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among under-five children admitted and started inpatient treatment for complicated SAM from 2015/2016 to 2020/2021. Data were entered using Epi-data version 4.2 and then exported to STATA (SE) version R-14 software for further analysis. The analysis was computed using Cox proportional hazard regression model after checking all proportional hazard assumptions. Covariates having < 0.2 of P values in the bi-variable analysis were candidates transferred to the multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model. Finally, a statistical significance was declared at a P value of < 0.05.

RESULT

Overall, 760 files of under-five children were analyzed with a mean (± SD) age of participants 27.8 (± 16.5) months. About 6944 child-days of treatment observation were recorded with the crude incidence of attrition rate of 9.7% (95% CI 7.9-12.6). The overall median time of attrition and half-life time S(t_1/2) of survival rates was determined as 14 (IQR =  ± 7) days and 91.6% (95% CI 88.2-93.1), respectively. The attrition rate was significantly associated with cases living in rural residents (AHR = 6.03; 95% CI 2.2; 25.2), being re-admitted SAM cases (AHR = 2.99; 95% CI 1.62; 5.5), and caregivers did not have formal education (AHR = :5.6, 95% CI 2.7; 11.7) were all independent predictors for attrition from inpatient treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly one in every ten severely acute malnourished under-five children defaulted at the end of treatment observation with a median time of 14 (IQR =  ± 7) days. Living in a rural residence, being re-admitted cases, caregivers who did not have a formal education were significantly associated with the attrition rate. Hence, it is crucial to detect and control the identified causes of defaulting from treatment observation promptly. Furthermore, serious counseling during admission and nutritional provision strategies are essential for virtuous treatment outcomes.

Time to Discharge and its Predictors among Children Aged 1-60 Months with Severe Acute Malnutrition Admitted to the Therapeutic Feeding Center in A Tertiary Hospital, North West Ethiopia

Background

Standard treatment of severe acute malnutrition with medical complication and/or failed appetite test is admission in therapeutic feeding centers for stabilization. Once stabilized, patients will be linked to Outpatient treatment program for rehabilitation. Information regarding time to discharge from inpatient therapeutic feeding centers is limited in Ethiopia. The main objective of this study was to assess the time to discharge and its predictors among children 1-60 months with Severe Acute Malnutrition admitted to University of Gondar Hospital.

Methods

Hospital Based retrospective follow up study was conducted in Gondar University Hospital among 282 children aged 1-60 months admitted to inpatient Therapeutic Feeding Center from June 2018 to December 2020. Participants were selected by Simple random sampling technique. Time to discharge from inpatient treatment was estimated using Kaplan-Meir procedure and Log Rank test was used to test observed difference between covariates. Identification of predictors for time to discharge was done by Stratified cox regression model.

Results

Overall 282 children were studied; 242 (85.8%) were discharged improved and 40 (14.2%) were censored. The median time to Discharge was 13 days (IQR: 9-18) and the Incidence of discharge was found to be 6.4 (95% CI: 5.6-7.2) per 100 person- day observations. Kwash-dermatosis (AHR=2.4, 95% CI: 1.17-4.8), Anemia (AHR=1.7, 95% CI: 1.1-2.6), pneumonia at admission (AHR=1.6, 95% CI: 1.01-2.63) and Hospital acquired infection (AHR=4.4, 95% CI: 2.4-8.2) were predictors of time to discharge.

Conclusion

Hospital stay at the stabilization center was prolonged. Pneumonia, anemia, kwash dermatosis and Nosocomial infections were significant predictors of time to discharge.