Diagnostic utility of brain activity flow patterns analysis in attention deficit hyperactivity disorder

Individualized prediction models in ADHD: a systematic review and meta-regression

There have been increasing efforts to develop prediction models supporting personalised detection, prediction, or treatment of ADHD. We overviewed the current status of prediction science in ADHD by: (1) systematically reviewing and appraising available prediction models; (2) quantitatively assessing factors impacting the performance of published models. We did a PRISMA/CHARMS/TRIPOD-compliant systematic review (PROSPERO: CRD42023387502), searching, until 20/12/2023, studies reporting internally and/or externally validated diagnostic/prognostic/treatment-response prediction models in ADHD. Using meta-regressions, we explored the impact of factors affecting the area under the curve (AUC) of the models. We assessed the study risk of bias with the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). From 7764 identified records, 100 prediction models were included (88% diagnostic, 5% prognostic, and 7% treatment-response). Of these, 96% and 7% were internally and externally validated, respectively. None was implemented in clinical practice. Only 8% of the models were deemed at low risk of bias; 67% were considered at high risk of bias. Clinical, neuroimaging, and cognitive predictors were used in 35%, 31%, and 27% of the studies, respectively. The performance of ADHD prediction models was increased in those models including, compared to those models not including, clinical predictors (β = 6.54, p = 0.007). Type of validation, age range, type of model, number of predictors, study quality, and other type of predictors did not alter the AUC. Several prediction models have been developed to support the diagnosis of ADHD. However, efforts to predict outcomes or treatment response have been limited, and none of the available models is ready for implementation into clinical practice. The use of clinical predictors, which may be combined with other type of predictors, seems to improve the performance of the models. A new generation of research should address these gaps by conducting high quality, replicable, and externally validated models, followed by implementation research.

Sampling inequalities affect generalization of neuroimaging-based diagnostic classifiers in psychiatry

BACKGROUND

The development of machine learning models for aiding in the diagnosis of mental disorder is recognized as a significant breakthrough in the field of psychiatry. However, clinical practice of such models remains a challenge, with poor generalizability being a major limitation.

METHODS

Here, we conducted a pre-registered meta-research assessment on neuroimaging-based models in the psychiatric literature, quantitatively examining global and regional sampling issues over recent decades, from a view that has been relatively underexplored. A total of 476 studies (n = 118,137) were included in the current assessment. Based on these findings, we built a comprehensive 5-star rating system to quantitatively evaluate the quality of existing machine learning models for psychiatric diagnoses.

RESULTS

A global sampling inequality in these models was revealed quantitatively (sampling Gini coefficient (G) = 0.81, p < .01), varying across different countries (regions) (e.g., China, G = 0.47; the USA, G = 0.58; Germany, G = 0.78; the UK, G = 0.87). Furthermore, the severity of this sampling inequality was significantly predicted by national economic levels (β =  - 2.75, p < .001, R²_adj = 0.40; r =  - .84, 95% CI: - .41 to - .97), and was plausibly predictable for model performance, with higher sampling inequality for reporting higher classification accuracy. Further analyses showed that lack of independent testing (84.24% of models, 95% CI: 81.0-87.5%), improper cross-validation (51.68% of models, 95% CI: 47.2-56.2%), and poor technical transparency (87.8% of models, 95% CI: 84.9-90.8%)/availability (80.88% of models, 95% CI: 77.3-84.4%) are prevailing in current diagnostic classifiers despite improvements over time. Relating to these observations, model performances were found decreased in studies with independent cross-country sampling validations (all p < .001, BF₁₀ > 15). In light of this, we proposed a purpose-built quantitative assessment checklist, which demonstrated that the overall ratings of these models increased by publication year but were negatively associated with model performance.

CONCLUSIONS

Together, improving sampling economic equality and hence the quality of machine learning models may be a crucial facet to plausibly translating neuroimaging-based diagnostic classifiers into clinical practice.

Machine learning in attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder: new approaches toward understanding the neural mechanisms

Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a highly prevalent and heterogeneous neurodevelopmental disorder in children and has a high chance of persisting in adulthood. The development of individualized, efficient, and reliable treatment strategies is limited by the lack of understanding of the underlying neural mechanisms. Diverging and inconsistent findings from existing studies suggest that ADHD may be simultaneously associated with multivariate factors across cognitive, genetic, and biological domains. Machine learning algorithms are more capable of detecting complex interactions between multiple variables than conventional statistical methods. Here we present a narrative review of the existing machine learning studies that have contributed to understanding mechanisms underlying ADHD with a focus on behavioral and neurocognitive problems, neurobiological measures including genetic data, structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), task-based and resting-state functional MRI (fMRI), electroencephalogram, and functional near-infrared spectroscopy, and prevention and treatment strategies. Implications of machine learning models in ADHD research are discussed. Although increasing evidence suggests that machine learning has potential in studying ADHD, extra precautions are still required when designing machine learning strategies considering the limitations of interpretability and generalization.

Evaluation of Risk of Bias in Neuroimaging-Based Artificial Intelligence Models for Psychiatric Diagnosis: A Systematic Review

IMPORTANCE

Neuroimaging-based artificial intelligence (AI) diagnostic models have proliferated in psychiatry. However, their clinical applicability and reporting quality (ie, feasibility) for clinical practice have not been systematically evaluated.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically assess the risk of bias (ROB) and reporting quality of neuroimaging-based AI models for psychiatric diagnosis.

EVIDENCE REVIEW

PubMed was searched for peer-reviewed, full-length articles published between January 1, 1990, and March 16, 2022. Studies aimed at developing or validating neuroimaging-based AI models for clinical diagnosis of psychiatric disorders were included. Reference lists were further searched for suitable original studies. Data extraction followed the CHARMS (Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modeling Studies) and PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses) guidelines. A closed-loop cross-sequential design was used for quality control. The PROBAST (Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool) and modified CLEAR (Checklist for Evaluation of Image-Based Artificial Intelligence Reports) benchmarks were used to systematically evaluate ROB and reporting quality.

FINDINGS

A total of 517 studies presenting 555 AI models were included and evaluated. Of these models, 461 (83.1%; 95% CI, 80.0%-86.2%) were rated as having a high overall ROB based on the PROBAST. The ROB was particular high in the analysis domain, including inadequate sample size (398 of 555 models [71.7%; 95% CI, 68.0%-75.6%]), poor model performance examination (with 100% of models lacking calibration examination), and lack of handling data complexity (550 of 555 models [99.1%; 95% CI, 98.3%-99.9%]). None of the AI models was perceived to be applicable to clinical practices. Overall reporting completeness (ie, number of reported items/number of total items) for the AI models was 61.2% (95% CI, 60.6%-61.8%), and the completeness was poorest for the technical assessment domain with 39.9% (95% CI, 38.8%-41.1%).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This systematic review found that the clinical applicability and feasibility of neuroimaging-based AI models for psychiatric diagnosis were challenged by a high ROB and poor reporting quality. Particularly in the analysis domain, ROB in AI diagnostic models should be addressed before clinical application.

Comparative study of attention-related features on attention monitoring systems with a single EEG channel

The easy-to-use attention monitoring systems usually detect the participant's attentional status via processing electroencephalogram (EEG) data recorded from a single FPz channel. But due to the influence of noises and artifacts, the attention-monitoring performance needs to be further improved to suit different individuals and devices. This paper compared the attention-related features extracted using four state-of-the-art methods including delta/beta1 (D/B1), α + β + δ + θ + R, entropy and optimized complex network (OCN). The classification performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the ROC curves (AUC) on two EEG data acquisition devices, i.e., a BrainAmp device with high precision and a Sichiray device with low cost, respectively. Considering the varied performance on different individuals and devices, this paper proposed a novel Mutual information-based feature fusion (MIFF) method, selecting the optimal combinations of the attention-related features for classification, to enhance the attention detection performance. The experimental results showed that the proposed MIFF method outperformed the state-of-the-art methods regardless of data length on both devices. Especially, the proposed method with data length of 2.5 s achieved an average AUC of 0.8505 on the low-cost Sichiray device, which is 56.08 % higher than that of D/B1, 27.28 % higher than that of α + β + δ + θ + R, 17.42 % higher than that of entropy, and 15.48 % higher than that of OCN.

Identification of an early-stage Parkinson's disease neuromarker using event-related potentials, brain network analytics and machine-learning

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to explore the possibility of developing a biomarker that can discriminate early-stage Parkinson's disease from healthy brain function using electroencephalography (EEG) event-related potentials (ERPs) in combination with Brain Network Analytics (BNA) technology and machine learning (ML) algorithms.

BACKGROUND

Currently, diagnosis of PD depends mainly on motor signs and symptoms. However, there is need for biomarkers that detect PD at an earlier stage to allow intervention and monitoring of potential disease-modifying therapies. Cognitive impairment may appear before motor symptoms, and it tends to worsen with disease progression. While ERPs obtained during cognitive tasks performance represent processing stages of cognitive brain functions, they have not yet been established as sensitive or specific markers for early-stage PD.

METHODS

Nineteen PD patients (disease duration of ≤2 years) and 30 healthy controls (HC) underwent EEG recording while performing visual Go/No-Go and auditory Oddball cognitive tasks. ERPs were analyzed by the BNA technology, and a ML algorithm identified a combination of features that distinguish early PD from HC. We used a logistic regression classifier with a 10-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

The ML algorithm identified a neuromarker comprising 15 BNA features that discriminated early PD patients from HC. The area-under-the-curve of the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.79. Sensitivity and specificity were 0.74 and 0.73, respectively. The five most important features could be classified into three cognitive functions: early sensory processing (P50 amplitude, N100 latency), filtering of information (P200 amplitude and topographic similarity), and response-locked activity (P-200 topographic similarity preceding the motor response in the visual Go/No-Go task).

CONCLUSIONS

This pilot study found that BNA can identify patients with early PD using an advanced analysis of ERPs. These results need to be validated in a larger PD patient sample and assessed for people with premotor phase of PD.

Automated classification of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and conduct disorder using entropy features with ECG signals

BACKGROUND

The most prevalent neuropsychiatric disorder among children is attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). ADHD presents with a high prevalence of comorbid disorders such as conduct disorder (CD). The lack of definitive confirmatory diagnostic tests for ADHD and CD make diagnosis challenging. The distinction between ADHD, ADHD + CD and CD is important as the course and treatment are different. Electrocardiography (ECG) signals may become altered in behavioral disorders due to brain-heart autonomic interactions. We have developed a software tool to categorize ADHD, ADHD + CD and CD automatically on ECG signals.

METHOD

ECG signals from participants were decomposed using empirical wavelet transform into various modes, from which entropy features were extracted. Robust ten-fold cross-validation with adaptive synthetic sampling (ADASYN) and z-score normalization were performed at each fold. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) technique was employed to determine the variability within the three classes, and obtained the most discriminatory features. Highly significant entropy features were then fed to classifiers.

RESULTS

Our model yielded the best classification results with the bagged tree classifier: 87.19%, 87.71% and 86.29% for accuracy, sensitivity and specificity, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The proposed expert system can potentially assist mental health professionals in the stratification of the three classes, for appropriate intervention using accessible ECG signals.

Predicting disease severity in children with combined attention deficit hyperactivity disorder using quantitative features from structural MRI of amygdaloid and hippocampal subfields

OBJECTIVE

Volumetric changes in the amygdaloid and hippocampal subfields have been observed in children with combined attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD-C). The purpose of this study was to investigate whether volumetric changes in the amygdaloid and hippocampal subfields could be used to predict disease severity in children with ADHD-C.

APPROACH

The data used in this study was from ADHD-200 datasets, a total of 76 ADHD-C patients were included in this study. T1 structural MRI data were used and 64 structural features from the amygdala and hippocampus were extracted. Three ADHD rating scales were used as indicators of ADHD severity. Sequential backward elimination (SBE) algorithm was used for feature selection. A linear support vector regression (SVR) was configured to predict disease severity in children with ADHD-C.

MAIN RESULTS

The three ADHD rating scales could be accurately predicted with the use of SBE-SVR. SBE-SVR achieved the highest accuracy in predicting ADHD index with a correlation of 0.7164 (p < 0.001, tested with 1000-time permutation test). Mean squared error of the SVR was 43.6868, normalized mean squared error was 0.0086, mean absolute error was 3.2893. Several amygdaloid and hippocampal subregions were significantly related to ADHD severity, as revealed by the absolute weight from the SVR model.

SIGNIFICANCE

The proposed SBE-SVR could accurately predict the severity of patients with ADHD-C based on quantitative features extracted from the amygdaloid and hippocampal structures. The results also demonstrated that the two subcortical nuclei could be used as potential biomarkers in the progression and evaluation of ADHD.

EEG for Diagnosis of Adult ADHD: A Systematic Review With Narrative Analysis

BACKGROUND

Attention deficit hyperactivity disorder is a common neurodevelopmental disorder characterized by symptoms of inattention, hyperactivity and or impulsivity. Since the development of the concept, a reliable biomarker to aid diagnosis has been sought. One potential method is the use of electroencephalogram to measure neuronal activity. The aim of this review is to provide an up to date synthesis of the literature surrounding the potential use of electroencephalogram for diagnosis of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder in adulthood.

METHODS

A search of PsycINFO, PubMed, and EMBASE was undertaken in February 2019 for peer-reviewed articles exploring electroencephalogram patterns in adults (18 years with no upper limit) diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder.

RESULTS

Differences in electroencephalogram activity are potentially unique to adult attention deficit hyperactivity disorder populations. Strongest support was derived for elevated levels of both absolute and relative theta power, alongside the observation that alpha activity is able to typically differentiate between adult attention deficit hyperactivity disorder and normative populations.

CONCLUSIONS

Electroencephalogram can have a use in clinical settings to aid adult attention deficit hyperactivity disorder diagnosis, but areas of inconsistency are apparent.

Electrophysiological evidence of an attentional bias towards appetitive and aversive words in adults with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder

OBJECTIVE

Emotional dysregulation has emerged as a core symptom domain in adults with Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD). However, the pathophysiological underpinnings remain poorly understood. This study investigated attentional biases to positive and negative emotional words as possible contributing mechanisms.

METHODS

Event-related potentials (ERPSs) and behavioral attention bias indices were recorded from 39 adult patients with ADHD and 41 healthy controls during a verbal dot-probe task with positive-neutral, negative-neutral, and neutral-neutral word pairs.

RESULTS

Cue-locked N2pc amplitudes indicated a significant attentional bias towards emotional words in patients with ADHD and healthy controls. In healthy controls, the bias was only significant in positive trials. In patients, the bias was associated with ADHD severity and self-reported poor emotion regulation skills. ADHD patients also exhibited reduced target-locked P1 amplitudes and inferior behavioral performance compared with healthy controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide evidence of an attention bias to positive and negative emotional stimuli in adult patients with ADHD and adverse effects of emotional stimuli on task performance.

SIGNIFICANCE

An attentional bias to emotional stimuli might contribute to emotional reactivity and dysregulation in adult patients with ADHD.

Classification Accuracy of Neuroimaging Biomarkers in Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder: Effects of Sample Size and Circular Analysis

BACKGROUND

Motivated by an inconsistency between reports of high diagnosis-classification accuracies and known heterogeneity in attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), this study assessed classification accuracy in studies of ADHD as a function of methodological factors that can bias results. We hypothesized that high classification results in ADHD diagnosis are inflated by methodological factors.

METHODS

We reviewed 69 studies (of 95 studies identified) that used neuroimaging features to predict ADHD diagnosis. Based on reported methods, we assessed the prevalence of circular analysis, which inflates classification accuracy, and evaluated the relationship between sample size and accuracy to test if small-sample models tend to report higher classification accuracy, also an indicator of bias.

RESULTS

Circular analysis was detected in 15.9% of ADHD classification studies, lack of independent test set was noted in 13%, and insufficient methodological detail to establish its presence was noted in another 11.6%. Accuracy of classification ranged from 60% to 80% in the 59.4% of reviewed studies that met criteria for independence of feature selection, model construction, and test datasets. Moreover, there was a negative relationship between accuracy and sample size, implying additional bias contributing to reported accuracies at lower sample sizes.

CONCLUSIONS

High classification accuracies in neuroimaging studies of ADHD appear to be inflated by circular analysis and small sample size. Accuracies on independent datasets were consistent with known heterogeneity of the disorder. Steps to resolve these issues, and a shift toward accounting for sample heterogeneity and prediction of future outcomes, will be crucial in future classification studies in ADHD.