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Morgenstern O, Moss R, Manning M, Zeng G, Schaefer H, Usoskin I, Turnbull J, Brailsford G, Nichol S, Bromley T. Radiocarbon monoxide indicates increasing atmospheric oxidizing capacity. Nat Commun 2025; 16:249. [PMID: 39747878 PMCID: PMC11696811 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-55603-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/04/2025] Open
Abstract
Hydroxyl (OH) is the atmosphere's main oxidant removing most pollutants including methane. Its short lifetime prevents large-scale direct observational quantification. Abundances inferred using anthropogenic trace gas measurements and models yield conflicting trend estimates. By contrast, radiocarbon monoxide (14CO), produced naturally by cosmic rays and almost exclusively removed by OH, is a tracer with a well-understood source. Here we show that Southern-Hemisphere 14CO measurements indicate increasing OH. New Zealand 14CO data exhibit an annual-mean decrease of 12 ± 2% since 1997, whereas Antarctic measurements show a December-January decrease of 43 ± 24%. Both imply similar OH increases, corroborating our own and other model results suggesting that OH has been globally increasing during recent decades. Model sensitivity simulations illustrate the roles of methane, nitrogen oxides, stratospheric ozone depletion, and global warming driving these trends. They have substantial implications for the budgets of pollutants removed by OH, and especially imply larger than documented methane emission increases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olaf Morgenstern
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand.
- School of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch, 8140, New Zealand.
- Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Str. 135, 63067, Offenbach am Main, Germany.
| | - Rowena Moss
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand
| | - Martin Manning
- School of Geography, Victoria University of Wellington, Kelburn Parade, Wellington, 6012, New Zealand
| | - Guang Zeng
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand
- Deutscher Wetterdienst, Frankfurter Str. 135, 63067, Offenbach am Main, Germany
| | - Hinrich Schaefer
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand
- Royal Society Te Apārangi, 11 Turnbull St, Wellington, 6011, New Zealand
| | - Ilya Usoskin
- Sodankylä Geophysical Observatory, Space Physics and Astronomy Research Unit, University of Oulu, Oulu, 90014, Finland
| | - Jocelyn Turnbull
- Rafter Radiocarbon Laboratory, GNS Science, 30 Gracefield Road, Lower Hutt, 5010, New Zealand
- CIRES, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
| | - Gordon Brailsford
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand
| | - Sylvia Nichol
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand
| | - Tony Bromley
- National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 301 Evans Bay Parade, Wellington, 6021, New Zealand
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Kessler JD, Reeburgh WS, Valentine DL, Kinnaman FS, Peltzer ET, Brewer PG, Southon J, Tyler SC. A survey of methane isotope abundance (14
C, 13
C, 2
H) from five nearshore marine basins that reveals unusual radiocarbon levels in subsurface waters. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2008. [DOI: 10.1029/2008jc004822] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- J. D. Kessler
- Department of Oceanography; Texas A&M University; College Station Texas USA
- Department of Earth System Science; University of California; Irvine California USA
| | - W. S. Reeburgh
- Department of Earth System Science; University of California; Irvine California USA
| | - D. L. Valentine
- Department of Earth Science and Marine Sciences Institute; University of California; Santa Barbara California USA
| | - F. S. Kinnaman
- Interdepartmental Graduate Program in Marine Sciences; University of California; Santa Barbara California USA
| | - E. T. Peltzer
- Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute; Moss Landing California USA
| | - P. G. Brewer
- Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute; Moss Landing California USA
| | - J. Southon
- Department of Earth System Science; University of California; Irvine California USA
| | - S. C. Tyler
- Department of Earth System Science; University of California; Irvine California USA
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Manning MR, Lowe DC, Moss RC, Bodeker GE, Allan W. Short-term variations in the oxidizing power of the atmosphere. Nature 2005; 436:1001-4. [PMID: 16107844 DOI: 10.1038/nature03900] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2005] [Accepted: 06/07/2005] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
The hydroxyl radical is the predominant atmospheric oxidant, responsible for removing a wide range of trace gases, including greenhouse gases, from the atmosphere. Determination of trends and variability in hydroxyl radical concentrations is critical to understanding whether the 'cleansing' properties of the atmosphere are changing. The variability in hydroxyl radical concentrations on annual to monthly timescales, however, is difficult to quantify. Here we show records of carbon monoxide containing radiocarbon (14CO), which is oxidized by hydroxyl radicals, from clean-air sites at Baring Head, New Zealand, and Scott Base, Antarctica, spanning 13 years. Using a model study, we correct for known variations in production of 14CO (refs 6, 7), allowing us to exploit this species as a diagnostic for short term changes in hydroxyl radical concentrations. We find no significant long-term trend in hydroxyl radical concentrations but provide evidence for recurring short-term variations of around ten per cent persisting for a few months. We also find decreases in hydroxyl radical concentrations of up to 20 per cent, apparently triggered by the eruption of Mt Pinatubo in 1991 and by the occurrence of extensive fires in Indonesia in 1997.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martin R Manning
- IPCC Working Group I Support Unit, Boulder, Colorado 80305, USA.
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Assonov SS. The18O isotope exchange rate between firn air CO2and the firn matrix at three Antarctic sites. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2005. [DOI: 10.1029/2005jd005769] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
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6
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Jöckel P. The seasonal cycle of cosmogenic14CO at the surface level: A solar cycle adjusted, zonal-average climatology based on observations. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2002. [DOI: 10.1029/2001jd001104] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Bergamaschi P, Lowe DC, Manning MR, Moss R, Bromley T, Clarkson TS. Transects of atmospheric CO, CH4, and their isotopic composition across the Pacific: Shipboard measurements and validation of inverse models. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2001. [DOI: 10.1029/2000jd900576] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Affiliation(s)
- Ralph E. Weston
- Chemistry Department, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, New York 11973-5000
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Quay P, King S, White D, Brockington M, Plotkin B, Gammon R, Gerst S, Stutsman J. Atmospheric14CO: A tracer of OH concentration and mixing rates. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2000. [DOI: 10.1029/2000jd900122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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10
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Spivakovsky CM, Logan JA, Montzka SA, Balkanski YJ, Foreman-Fowler M, Jones DBA, Horowitz LW, Fusco AC, Brenninkmeijer CAM, Prather MJ, Wofsy SC, McElroy MB. Three-dimensional climatological distribution of tropospheric OH: Update and evaluation. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2000. [DOI: 10.1029/1999jd901006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 644] [Impact Index Per Article: 25.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Kato S, Kajii Y, Akimoto H, Bräunlich M, Röckmann T, Brenninkmeijer CAM. Observed and modeled seasonal variation of13C,18O, and14C of atmospheric CO at Happo, a remote site in Japan, and a comparison with other records. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2000. [DOI: 10.1029/1999jd901144] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Mak JE, Manning MR, Lowe DC. Aircraft observations of δ13C of atmospheric methane over the Pacific in August 1991 and 1993: Evidence of an enrichment in13CH4in the southern hemisphere. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2000. [DOI: 10.1029/1999jd900904] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Brenninkmeijer C, Röckmann T, Bräunlich M, Jöckel P, Bergamaschi P. Review of progress in isotope studies of atmospheric carbon monoxide. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1999. [DOI: 10.1016/s1465-9972(99)00018-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Jöckel P, Lawrence MG, Brenninkmeijer CAM. Simulations of cosmogenic14CO using the three-dimensional atmospheric model MATCH: Effects of14C production distribution and the solar cycle. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1999. [DOI: 10.1029/1999jd900061] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Abstract
A class of isotope effects that alters isotope ratios on a mass-independent basis provides a tool for studying a wide range of processes in atmospheres of Earth and other planets as well as early processes in the solar nebula. The mechanism for the effect remains uncertain. Mass-independent isotopic compositions have been observed in O3, CO2, N2O, and CO in Earth's atmosphere and in carbonate from a martian meteorite, which suggests a role for mass-independent processes in the atmosphere of Mars. Observed mass-independent meteoritic oxygen and sulfur isotopic compositions may derive from chemical processes in the presolar nebula, and their distributions could provide insight into early solar system evolution.
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Affiliation(s)
- M H Thiemens
- Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0356, USA.
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Mak JE, Brenninkmeijer CAM. Measurement of13CO and C18O in the free troposphere. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1998. [DOI: 10.1029/97jd02502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Bergamaschi P, Brenninkmeijer CAM, Hahn M, Röckmann T, Scharffe DH, Crutzen PJ, Elansky NF, Belikov IB, Trivett NBA, Worthy DEJ. Isotope analysis based source identification for atmospheric CH4and CO sampled across Russia using the Trans-Siberian railroad. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1998. [DOI: 10.1029/97jd03738] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
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Röckmann T, Brenninkmeijer CAM, Neeb P, Crutzen PJ. Ozonolysis of nonmethane hydrocarbons as a source of the observed mass independent oxygen isotope enrichment in tropospheric CO. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1998. [DOI: 10.1029/97jd02929] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
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Brenninkmeijer CAM, Röckmann T. Principal factors determining the18O/16O ratio of atmospheric CO as derived from observations in the southern hemispheric troposphere and lowermost stratosphere. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1997. [DOI: 10.1029/97jd02291] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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Manning MR, Brenninkmeijer CAM, Allan W. Atmospheric carbon monoxide budget of the southern hemisphere: Implications of13C/12C measurements. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1997. [DOI: 10.1029/96jd02743] [Citation(s) in RCA: 61] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
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Brenninkmeijer CAM, Lowe DC, Manning MR, Sparks RJ, van Velthoven PFJ. The13C,14C, and18O isotopic composition of CO, CH4, and CO2in the higher southern latitudes lower stratosphere. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 1995. [DOI: 10.1029/95jd02528] [Citation(s) in RCA: 86] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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