Utility of the Treatment-Related Mortality (TRM) score to predict outcomes of adults with acute myeloid leukemia undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation

Second Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Relapsed Adult Acute Myeloid Leukemia: Outcomes and Prognostic Factors

Second allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT2) is potentially curative for adults with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or myelodysplastic neoplasm (MDS)/AML experiencing relapse after a first allograft (HCT1), but prognostic factors for outcomes are poorly characterized. To provide a detailed analysis of HCT2 outcomes and associated prognostic factors in a large single-center cohort, with a focus on identifying predictors of relapse and nonrelapse mortality (NRM), we studied adults ≥18 years who underwent HCT2 at a single institution between April 2006 and June 2022 for relapsed AML (n = 73) or MDS/AML (n = 8). With a median follow-up among survivors of 74.0 (range: 10.4 to 187.3) months, there were 30 relapses and 57 deaths, of which 29 were NRM events, contributing to the estimates for relapse, overall survival (OS), relapse-free survival (RFS), and NRM. Three-year estimates for relapse, RFS, and OS were 37% (95% confidence interval: 27% to 48%), 32% (23% to 44%), and 35% (26% to 47%). The rate of NRM at 100 days and 18 months was 20% (12% to 29%) and 28% (19% to 39%). Outcomes differed markedly across patient subsets and were substantially worse for patients who underwent HCT2 with active disease (ie, morphologic evidence of bone marrow and/or extramedullary disease), for patients who relapsed ≤6 months after HCT1, and for patients with higher HCT-specific Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) or treatment-related mortality (TRM) scores. After multivariable adjustment, active disease was associated with a higher risk of relapse (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.19, P = .006) and shorter RFS (HR = 2.41, P = .008) as well as OS (HR = 2.17, P = .027) compared to transplant in morphologic remission without multiparameter flow cytometric evidence of measurable residual disease. Similarly, a relapse-free interval ≤6 months after the first allograft was associated with higher risk of relapse (HR = 5.86, P < .001) and shorter RFS (HR = 2.86; P = .001) and OS (HR = 2.45, P = .003). Additionally, a high HCT-CI score was associated with increased NRM (HR = 4.30, P = .035), and shorter RFS (HR = 3.87, P = .003) and OS (HR = 3.74, P = .006). Likewise, higher TRM scores were associated with increased risk of relapse (HR = 2.27; P = .024) and NRM (HR = 2.01, P = .001), and inferior RFS (HR = 1.90 P = .001) and OS (HR = 1.88, P = .001). A significant subset of patients with AML or MDS/AML relapse after HCT1 are alive and leukemia-free 3 years after undergoing HCT2. Our study identifies active leukemia at the time of HCT2 and early relapse after HCT1 as major adverse prognostic factors, highlighting patient subsets in particular need of novel therapeutic approaches, and supports the use of the HCT-CI and TRM scores for outcome prognostication.

Relationship between morphologic remission with or without hematologic recovery and outcome after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in adult acute myeloid leukemia

Outcomes of adults with AML after allografting vary widely. While numerous covariates have been associated with relapse, non-relapse mortality (NRM), and/or shorter survival, the impact of incomplete blood count recovery before transplantation has remained unclear. To address this uncertainty, we examined all adults with AML or MDS/AML who received an allograft in first or second remission between 2006 and 2023 at a single institution. Of 1264 patients, 891 (70%) met criteria for CR, whereas 291 (23%), 24 (2%), and 58 (5%) were classified as CRh, CRi, and morphologic leukemia-free state (MLFS), respectively. CR, CRh, CRi, and MLFS patients differed significantly regarding demographics, disease biology, pre-transplant measurable residual disease, and types of transplants. After multivariable adjustment, outcomes for CRh and CRi patients were not significantly different from each other or from those of CR patients. In contrast, outcomes of MLFS patients were substantially worse than those of CR and CRh patients, with significantly higher risk of NRM and relapse, and significantly shorter relapse-free and overall survival. Similar results were obtained in several distinct subsets. Together, our analysis provides empiric evidence for the importance of distinguishing MLFS from CR and CRh patients for optimized risk assessment and, possibly, individualized treatment decision making.

Impact of socioeconomic disparities on outcomes in adults undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for acute myeloid leukemia

Racial and socioeconomic disparities impact outcomes after chemotherapy and limit access to allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), yet studies have yielded mixed results on the influence of disparities on post-HCT outcomes. Therefore, we studied 1024 adults with AML who underwent allogeneic HCT between 5/2006 and 10/2021 at a single large university-affiliated cancer center. Collected data included non-biologic and demographic characteristics (including race/ethnicity, marital status, distance traveled, and household size), transplant- and disease-related characteristics, and area-level and individual-level socioeconomic factors (i.e., area deprivation index and occupational status). After multivariable adjustment, no socioeconomic- or non-biologic factors were associated with non-relapse mortality (NRM), overall survival (OS), relapse-free survival (RFS), or relapse except being married (associated with improved NRM: hazard ratio [HR] = 0.7 [0.50-0.97]) and having no insurance (associated with worse OS: HR = 1.49 [1.05-2.12] and RFS: HR = 1.41 [1.00-1.98]). Despite a relatively racially homogenous cohort, Asian race was associated with improved NRM (HR = 0.47 [0.23-0.93]) and American Indian/Alaskan Native race was associated with higher relapse risk (HR = 2.45 [1.08-5.53]). In conclusion, in our retrospective analysis, socioeconomic-, demographic-, and non-biologic factors had limited impact on post-HCT outcomes in AML patients allografted in morphologic remission. Further research is needed to investigate disparities among HCT-eligible patients.

The use of prognostic models in allogeneic transplants: a perspective guide for clinicians and investigators

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) can cure many hematologic diseases, but it carries the potential risk of increased morbidity and mortality rates. Prognostic evaluation is a scientific entity at the core of care for potential recipients of HCT. It can improve the decision-making process of transplant vs no transplant, help choose the best transplant strategy and allows for future trials targeting patients' intolerances to transplant; hence, it ultimately improves transplant outcomes. Prognostic models are key for appropriate actuarial outcome estimates, which have frequently been shown to be better than physicians' subjective estimates. To make the most accurate prognostic evaluation for HCT, one should rely on >1 prognostic model. For relapse and relapse-related mortality risks, the refined disease risk index is currently the most informative model. It can be supplemented with disease-specific models that consider genetic mutations as predictors in addition to information on measurable residual disease. For nonrelapse mortality and HCT-related morbidity risks, the HCT-comorbidity index and Karnofsky performance status have proven to be the most reliable and most accepted by physicians. These can be supplemented with gait speed as a measure of frailty. Some other global prognostic models might add additional prognostic information. Physicians' educated perceptions can then put this information into context, taking into consideration conditioning regimen and donor choices. The future of transplant mandates (1) clinical investigators specifically trained in prognostication, (2) increased reliance on geriatric assessment, (3) the use of novel biomarkers such as genetic variants, and (4) the successful application of novel statistical methods such as machine learning.

Comparison of reduced intensity and nonmyeloablative conditioning for adults with acute myeloid leukemia undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in first or second remission

Reduced intensity conditioning (RIC) and nonmyeloablative (NMA) conditioning regimens have expanded use of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in AML to include older and medically less-fit patients, but relative efficacies and toxicities remain poorly defined. Here, we analyzed outcomes from 343 adults transplanted in remission after RIC (n = 137) or NMA (n = 206) conditioning between 2006 and 2021. The characteristics of RIC and NMA HCT patients were similar except that RIC patients were younger and their time between most recent remission achievement and allografting was shorter. There were no significant differences in relapse risk, relapse-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and non-relapse mortality (NRM) between RIC and NMA HCT patients, both overall (relapse: hazard ratio [HR] = 0.80, P = 0.27; RFS: HR = 0.93, P = 0.61; OS: HR = 0.93, P = 0.66; NRM: HR = 1.13, P = 0.59) and when patients were stratified by pre-HCT measurable residual disease (MRD) status. After multivariable adjustment, there was no statistically significant association between conditioning intensity and relapse (HR = 0.69, P = 0.088), RFS (HR = 0.86, P = 0.37), OS (HR = 0.89, P = 0.49), or NRM (HR = 1.37, P = 0.19). In this non-randomized cohort of adults undergoing allografting for AML in first or second remission at our center, we could not detect statistically significant differences in outcomes between those assigned to RIC and those assigned to NMA conditioning.