The utility of ctDNA in detecting minimal residual disease following curative surgery in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Towards Recommendations for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Predictive, Prognostic, and Serial Biomarker Tests in Oncology

BACKGROUND

Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) of biomarkers is challenging due to the indirect impact on health outcomes and the lack of sufficient fit-for-purpose data. Hands-on guidance is lacking.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed firstly to explore how CEAs in the context of three different types of biomarker applications have addressed these challenges, and secondly to develop recommendations for future CEAs.

METHODS

A scoping review was performed for three biomarker applications: predictive, prognostic, and serial testing, in advanced non-small cell lung cancer, early-stage colorectal cancer, and all-stage colorectal cancer, respectively. Information was extracted on the model assumptions and uncertainty, and the reported outcomes. An in-depth analysis of the literature was performed describing the impact of model assumptions in the included studies.

RESULTS

A total of 43 CEAs were included (31 predictive, 6 prognostic, and 6 serial testing). Of these, 40 utilized different sources for test and treatment parameters, and three studies utilized a single source. Test performance was included in 78% of these studies utilizing different sources, but this parameter was differently expressed across biomarker applications. Sensitivity analyses for test performance was only performed in half of these studies. For the linkage of test results to treatments outcomes, a minority of the studies explored the impact of suboptimal adherence to test results, and/or explored potential differences in treatment effects for different biomarker subgroups. Intermediate outcomes were reported by 67% of studies.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified various approaches for dealing with challenges in CEAs of biomarker tests for three different biomarker applications. Recommendations on assumptions, handling uncertainty, and reported outcomes were drafted to enhance modeling practices for future biomarker cost-effectiveness evaluations.

Combined Analyses of Circulating Tumor DNA and Immunoscore in Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer: A Post Hoc Analysis of the PRODIGE-GERCOR IDEA-France/HORG-IDEA-Greece Trials

PURPOSE

Immunoscore (IS) and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) are two emerging technologies in improving prognostication and tailoring adjuvant treatments in patients resected from a stage III colon cancer (CC). Here, we analyzed the prognostic value of the two biomarkers in patients who participated in the randomized phase III IDEA-France and HORG trials.

METHODS

Plasma samples were collected after surgery and before adjuvant chemotherapy. ctDNA analysis was performed using a clinically validated, personalized, tumor-informed 16-plex protein chain reaction assay. Multivariable analyses for time to recurrence (TTR; patients without recurrence or death due to CC) and overall survival (OS) were performed using ctDNA and IS results, along with other parameters including treatment duration and disease risk group.

RESULTS

Of the 554 patients with available ctDNA results, 445 were ctDNA-negative (80.3%) and 109 were ctDNA-positive (19.7%); baseline characteristics showed more T4/N2 and venous embolism/lymphatic invasion/perineural invasion+ in ctDNA-positive patients. With a median follow-up of 6.7 years, the 2-year TTR rate was 43.5% (95% CI, 34.1 to 52.6) for ctDNA-positive patients and 88.1% (95% CI, 84.7 to 90.8) for ctDNA-negative patients (P < .0001). ctDNA was confirmed as an independent prognostic marker for both TTR (adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR], 5.21 [95% CI, 3.59 to 7.58]; P < .001) and OS (adjHR, 4.84 [95% CI, 3.40 to 6.89]; P < .001). ctDNA remained the most significant prognostic factor irrespective of disease stage, treatment duration, and IS results. IS was not prognostic in ctDNA-positive patients but remained a significant prognostic tool for ctDNA-negative patients.

CONCLUSION

In this combined analysis of two adjuvant trials dedicated to patients with stage III CC after surgery, ctDNA was detectable in 19.7% of the patients and was confirmed as a major independent prognostic biomarker. IS seems to bring additional prognostic information in the 80.3% of patients who are ctDNA-negative.

Identification and external validation of tumor DNA methylation panel for the recurrence risk stratification of stage II colon cancer

BACKGROUND

Tailoring surveillance and treatment strategies for stage II colon cancer (CC) after curative surgery remains challenging, and personalized approaches are lacking. We aimed to identify a gene methylation panel capable of stratifying high-risk stage II CC patients for recurrence beyond traditional clinical variables.

METHODS

Genome-wide tumor tissue DNA methylation data were analyzed from 562 stage II CC patients who underwent surgery in Germany (DACHS study). The cohort was divided into a training set (N = 395) and an internal validation set (N = 131), with external validation performed on 97 stage II CC patients from Spain. DNA methylation markers were primarily selected using the Elastic Net Cox model. The resulting prognostic index (PI), a combination of clinical factors and selected methylation markers, was compared to baseline models using clinical variables or microsatellite instability (MSI), with discrimination and prediction accuracy assessed through time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and Brier scores.

RESULTS

The final PI incorporated age, sex, tumor stage, location, and 27 DNA methylation markers. The PI consistently outperformed the baseline model including age, sex, and tumor stage in time-dependent AUC across validation cohorts (e.g., 1-year AUC and 95 % confidence interval: internal validation set, PI: 0.66, baseline model: 0.52; external validation set, PI: 0.72, baseline model: 0.64). In internal validation, the PI also showed a consistently improved time-dependent AUC compared with a combination of MSI and tumor stage only. Nevertheless, the PI did not improve the prediction accuracy of CC recurrence compared to the baseline model.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified 27 tumor tissue DNA methylation biomarkers that improved the discriminative power in classifying recurrence risk among stage II colon cancer patients. While this methylation panel alone lacks sufficient prediction accuracy for clinical application, its discriminative improvement suggests potential value as part of a multimodal risk-stratification tool.

Utility of circulating tumor DNA to detect minimal residual disease in colorectal cancer: A systematic review and network meta-analysis

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is a promising biomarker for predicting minimal residual disease (MRD) and guiding treatment decisions in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aimed to examine the study designs and settings of ongoing clinical trials that use ctDNA to guide treatment decisions and to determine the best timing for detecting MRD in non-metastatic CRC. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and clinicaltrials.gov for English language records. The ctDNA settings from the clinical trials were categorized by randomization to ctDNA testing, treatment options based on ctDNA results, and the timing of ctDNA testing relative to adjuvant therapy. For prospective studies, a network meta-analysis using a frequentist approach was conducted to examine the pairwise associations between different ctDNA timing strategies and MRD, defined as recurrence, relapse, and progression. The main approaches in ctDNA-based interventional trial designs were categorized as ctDNA-guided treatment, ctDNA-by-treatment, ctDNA-guided surveillance, and ctDNA-enriched adjuvant therapy for guiding treatment decisions, including both escalation and de-escalation strategies, and surveillance. Overall, both preoperative and postoperative ctDNA detection were linked to higher risks of progression, with pooled hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 5.23 (2.10-13.00) and 7.95 (5.30-11.91), respectively. Among the timing strategies, ctDNA testing after adjuvant therapy was the most effective for identifying high-risk patients, strongly suggesting the presence of residual disease. This study comprehensively reviewed the clinical settings of ctDNA testing in ongoing trials and provided evidence supporting the selection of post-adjuvant therapy as the optimal timing for ctDNA testing.

Circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker of prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly being used as a potential biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. However, the role of ctDNA in CRC prognosis prediction remains unclear. The objective is to systematically assess the clinical value of ctDNA in colorectal cancer prognosis prediction throughout the treatment cycle.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and clinical trials.gov database was searched from January 2016 to April 2023. Observational studies and randomized clinical trials reporting on ctDNA and prognostic outcomes in CRC patients were included. Pooled hazard risk ratios (HRs) were calculated for the primary outcomes, relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Random-effects models were preferred considering the potential heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Sixty-five cohort studies were included. Association between ctDNA and shorter RFS or OS was significant, especially after the full-course treatment recommended by the guidelines (HR = 8.92 [ 95 % CI: 6.02-13.22], P < 0.001, I2 = 73 %; HR = 3.05 [ 95 % CI: 1.72-5.41], P < 0.001, I2 = 48 %) for all types of CRC patients. Despite the presence of heterogeneity, subgroup analyses showed that the cancer type and ctDNA detection assays may be the underlying cause. Besides, ctDNA may detect recurrence earlier than radiographic progression, but no uniform sampling time point between studies might bring bias. However, ctDNA detection did not appear to correlate with pathological complete response achievement in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

CONCLUSION

ctDNA detection was significantly associated with poorer prognosis. The potential applications in prognostic prediction are promising and remain to be evaluated in other fields.

Japan society of clinical oncology position paper on appropriate clinical use of molecular residual disease (MRD) testing

Although the 5-year relative survival rates for resectable solid tumors have improved over the past few years, the risk of postoperative recurrence necessitates effective monitoring strategies. Recent advancements in molecular residual disease (MRD) testing based on circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis have shown considerable promise in the context of predicting recurrence; however, significant barriers to widespread clinical implementation remain-mainly, low awareness among healthcare professionals, high costs, and lack of standardized assays and comprehensive evidence. This position paper, led by the Japan Society of Clinical Oncology, aims to establish a common framework for the appropriate clinical use of MRD testing in a tumor type-agnostic manner. It synthesizes currently available evidence, reviews region-specific clinical trends, addresses critical clinical questions related to MRD testing, and offers recommendations to guide healthcare professionals, biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies, and regulatory authorities. These recommendations were developed based on a voting process involving 15 expert members, ensuring a consensus-driven approach. These findings underscore the importance of collaborative efforts among various stakeholders in enhancing the clinical utility of MRD testing. This project aimed to foster consensus and provide clear guidelines to support the advancement of precision medicine in oncology and improve patient outcomes in the context of perioperative care.

Circulating tumor DNA to monitor treatment response in solid tumors and advance precision oncology

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a dynamic biomarker in cancer, as evidenced by its increasing integration into clinical practice. Carrying tumor specific characteristics, ctDNA can be used to inform treatment selection, monitor response, and identify drug resistance. In this review, we provide a comprehensive, up-to-date summary of ctDNA in monitoring treatment response with a focus on lung, colorectal, and breast cancers, and discuss current challenges and future directions.

Dynamic ctDNA tracking stratifies relapse risk for triple negative breast cancer patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Early Triple negative breast cancer (eTNBC) is the subtype with the worst outcome. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is shown to predict the prognosis of breast cancer, but its utility in eTNBC remains unclear. 130 stage II-III female eTNBC patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have been enrolled prospectively and subjected to ctDNA analysis. ctDNA at post-NAC (pre-surgery) and post-surgery, but not at baseline, is associated with worse prognosis. A threshold of 1.1% maximum variant allele frequency at baseline stratifies patients with different relapse risk, which is validated internally and externally. A systemic tumor burden model integrating baseline and post-surgery ctDNA is independently prognostic (p = 0.022). Combining systemic tumor burden with pathologic response identifies a highly curable subgroup and a subgroup of high-risk eTNBC patients. ctDNA surveillance during follow-up identifies patients with high relapse risk. In conclusion, systemic ctDNA analysis demonstrates the utility of a systemic tumor burden model of ctDNA in risk stratification of eTNBC patients, which may guide future treatment escalation or de-escalation trials.

Clinical Validation of Local Versus Commercial Genomic Testing in Cancer: A Comparison of Tissue and Plasma Concordance

Genomic sequencing of tumours improves patient outcomes through implementation of precision oncology. At present, genomic testing is mainly confined to research settings, with samples sent to biopharmaceutical companies for analysis. The ever-expanding catalogue approved of targeted therapies has created an urgent unmet need for local genomic testing facilities, to enable upscaling of testing. Here, we compare the outcomes of local (IonTorrent™) and commercial (Foundation Medicine) genomic testing collected from 30 cancer patients in from plasma and tissue samples. Overall concordance was high in both tissue (98%) and plasma (94.2%). Variants identified by both platforms had a strong correlation in variant allele frequencies (VAF%): plasma: r = 0.99 p < 0.0001, tissue: r = 0.91 p < 0.0001. However, numerous low VAF% variants resulted in low positive percentage agreement (tissue 78.8% plasma 16.1%) and positive predictive values (tissue 56.3% plasma 71.4%). Local sequencing demonstrated higher fidelity in detecting fusions but low fidelity in detecting indels. Overall, this study supports the use of local genomic testing for routine molecular diagnostics but highlights outstanding issues before widespread implementation. Processing of variants detected at low VAF% and the limit of detection of assays needs to be addressed. Construction of gene panels requires careful consideration, including incorporation of markers of genomic instability.

Prognostic Impact of the Postoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level after Curative Resection of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Objectives

This study was conducted to investigate whether preoperative or postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) with a new cut-off value is more optimal for predicting long-term outcomes in patients with Stage II/III rectal cancer, and to investigate the effectiveness of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (POAC) based on the CEA values.

Methods

Serum CEA levels were measured preoperatively (pre-CEA) and postoperatively (post-CEA). The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was used to determine a cut-off for CEA. The cut-off for CEA relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) was established as that giving the highest AUROC. In comparison of superiority between pre- and post- CEA levels, Akaike's information criterion (AIC) was used in the Cox proportional-hazard regression model.

Results

The subjects were 323 patients who underwent curative surgical treatment for Stage II/III rectal cancer. AIC values indicated that RFS was better stratified by a post-CEA level with a cut-off of 2.3 ng/ml compared with other classifications of pre- or post- CEA. In Stage III or high-risk Stage II cases, there was no effect of POAC on RFS in those with post-CEA <2.3 ng/ml (p=0.39), but in those with post-CEA ≥2.3 ng/ml there was a trend for better RFS in patients who received POAC compared to those without POAC (p=0.06).

Conclusions

Patients with post-CEA ≥2.3 ng/ml had worse long-term outcomes compared with those with post-CEA <2.3 ng/ml. Post-CEA with a cut-off of 2.3 ng/ml may be useful in determining the indication for POAC for in Stage III or high-risk Stage II cases.

Circulating Tumor DNA Testing for Minimal Residual Disease and Its Application in Colorectal Cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) represents a heterogeneous group of diseases that imposes a considerable global and national health burden. Although most CRC patients are diagnosed at an early stage and undergo potentially curative treatment, a significant proportion experience recurrence. Currently, adjuvant chemotherapy decisions are primarily based on clinicopathological characteristics, which have well-recognized limitations in accurately identifying patients harboring minimal residual disease (MRD), often resulting in unnecessary chemotherapy exposure. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a promising surrogate marker for MRD, offering a more precise approach to identifying patients at risk of recurrence after curative-intent surgery and refining adjuvant chemotherapy decisions. Growing evidence from multiple studies has demonstrated that ctDNA outperforms traditional clinicopathological factors as a marker for MRD. This review synthesizes key studies supporting the role of ctDNA in MRD detection for CRC patients and evaluates clinical trials investigating the application of ctDNA in guiding adjuvant therapy decisions. This emerging strategy holds the potential to transform the adjuvant treatment paradigm in colorectal cancer by optimizing therapeutic precision and minimizing unnecessary treatment.

Levels of circulating tumor DNA correlate with tumor volume in gastro-intestinal stromal tumors: an exploratory long-term follow-up study

Patients with gastro-intestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) undergoing tyrosine kinase inhibitor therapy are monitored with regular computed tomography (CT) scans, exposing patients to cumulative radiation. This exploratory study aimed to evaluate circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing to monitor treatment response and compare changes in ctDNA levels with RECIST 1.1 and total tumor volume measurements. Between 2014 and 2021, six patients with KIT proto-oncogene, receptor tyrosine kinase (KIT) exon-11-mutated GIST from whom long-term plasma samples were collected prospectively were included in the study. ctDNA levels of relevant plasma samples were determined using the KIT exon 11 digital droplet PCR drop-off assay. Tumor volume measurements were performed using a semi-automated approach. In total, 94 of 130 clinically relevant ctDNA samples were analyzed. Upon successful treatment response, ctDNA became undetectable in all patients. At progressive disease, ctDNA was detectable in five out of six patients. Higher levels of ctDNA correlated with larger tumor volumes. Undetectable ctDNA at the time of progressive disease on imaging was consistent with lower tumor volumes compared to those with detectable ctDNA. In summary, ctDNA levels seem to correlate with total tumor volume at the time of progressive disease. Our exploratory study shows promise for including ctDNA testing in treatment follow-up.

Biomarkers in Colorectal Cancer: Actual and Future Perspectives

Biomarkers in colorectal cancer (CRC) are of great interest in the current literature due to improvements in techniques such as liquid biopsy and next-generation sequencing (NGS). However, screening methods vary globally, with multi-target stool DNA (mt-sDNA) predominantly used in the USA and, more recently, the Cologuard Plus; biomarkers such as the Galectins family and septins show promise in early detection. Gut microbiome assessments, such as Fusobacterium nucleatum, are under intense exploration. Diagnostic tests, such as circulating DNA analysis via NGS, exhibit effectiveness and are being increasingly adopted. Circulating tumor cells emerge as potential alternatives to traditional methods in terms of diagnosis and prognosis. Predictive biomarkers are well established in guidelines; nonetheless, with the aid of machine learning and artificial intelligence, these biomarkers may be improved. This review critically explores the actual dynamic landscape of CRC biomarkers and future, promising biomarkers involved in screening, diagnosis, and prognosis.

Early evaluation of the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of ctDNA-guided selection for adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II colon cancer

Background

Current patient selection for adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) after curative surgery for stage II colon cancer (CC) is suboptimal, causing overtreatment of high-risk patients and undertreatment of low-risk patients. Postoperative circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) could improve patient selection for ACT.

Objectives

We conducted an early model-based evaluation of the (cost-)effectiveness of ctDNA-guided selection for ACT in stage II CC in the Netherlands to assess the conditions for cost-effective implementation.

Methods

A validated Markov model, simulating 1000 stage II CC patients from diagnosis to death, was supplemented with ctDNA data. Five ACT selection strategies were evaluated: the current guideline (pT4, pMMR), ctDNA-only, and three strategies that combined ctDNA status with pT4 and pMMR status in different ways. For each strategy, the costs, life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), recurrences, and CC deaths were estimated. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of the costs of ctDNA testing, strategy adherence, ctDNA as a predictive biomarker, and ctDNA test performance.

Results

Model predictions showed that compared to current guidelines, the ctDNA-only strategy was less effective (+2.2% recurrences, -0.016 QALYs), while the combination strategies were more effective (-3.6% recurrences, +0.038 QALYs). The combination strategies were not cost-effective, since the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was €67,413 per QALY, exceeding the willingness-to-pay threshold of €50,000 per QALY. Sensitivity analyses showed that the combination strategies would be cost-effective if the ctDNA test costs were lower than €1500, or if ctDNA status was predictive of treatment response, or if the ctDNA test performance improved substantially.

Conclusion

Adding ctDNA to current high-risk clinicopathological features (pT4 and pMMR) can improve patient selection for ACT and can also potentially be cost-effective. Future studies should investigate the predictive value of post-surgery ctDNA status to accurately evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ctDNA testing for ACT decisions in stage II CC.

Personalized ctDNA for Monitoring Disease Status in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Many patients with locoregionally advanced human papillomavirus-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) relapse. ctDNA has the potential to identify minimal residual disease, but its clinical utility for virus-negative HNSCC is not well understood.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We retrospectively evaluated a personalized, commercial ctDNA assay (Signatera, Natera) during clinical care of patients treated for predominantly newly diagnosed human papillomavirus-negative HNSCC. Signatera utilizes 16-plex PCR from matched tumor and blood. Objectives were to understand ctDNA detectability and correlate changes posttreatment with disease outcomes.

RESULTS

Testing was successful in 100/116 (86%) patients (median age: 65 years, 68% male, 65% smokers); testing failed in 16 (14%) because of insufficient tissue. Oral cavity (55, 47%) tumors were most common; most had stage III to IV disease (82, 71%), whereas 17 (15%) had distant metastases. Pretreatment, 75/100 patients with successful testing (75%) had detectable ctDNA (range: 0.03-4049.69 mean tumor molecules/mL). No clinical features predicted ctDNA detectability or levels (multivariate analysis). At a median follow-up of 5.1 months (range: 0.2-15.1), 55 (55%) had >1 test result (range: 1-7; 194 samples). Of 55 patients, 17 (31%) remained ctDNA positive after starting treatment. Progression-free survival was significantly worse for patients who were ctDNA positive versus ctDNA negative posttreatment (HR, 7.33; 95% confidence interval, 3.12-17.2; P < 0.001); 1-year overall survival was 89.1% versus 100%, respectively (HR, 7.46; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-119.5; P = 0.155).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor-informed ctDNA testing is feasible in nonviral HNSCC. ctDNA positivity is an indicator of disease progression and associated with inferior survival. Further research is warranted to understand whether ctDNA may be leveraged to guide therapy in HNSCC.

Current treatment of pT1 rectal cancers in Denmark: A retrospective national cohort study

AIM

Organ preservation strategies for patients with rectal cancer are increasingly common. In appropriately selected patients, local excision (LE) of pT1 cancers can reduce morbidity without compromising cancer-related outcomes. However, determining the need for completion surgery after LE can be challenging, and it is unknown if prior LE compromises subsequent total mesorectal excision (TME). The aim of this study is to describe the current management of patients with pT1 rectal cancers.

METHOD

This is a retrospective national cohort study of the Danish Colorectal Cancer Group database, including patients with newly diagnosed pT1 cancers between 2016 and 2020. Patients were stratified according to treatment into LE alone, completion TME after LE or upfront TME. The treatment and outcomes of these groups were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 1056 patients were included. Initial LE was performed in 715 patients (67.7%), of whom 194 underwent completion TME (27.1%). The remaining 341 patients underwent upfront TME (32.3%). Patients undergoing LE alone were more likely to be male with low rectal cancers and greater comorbidity. No differences in specimen quality or perioperative outcomes were noted between patients undergoing completion or upfront TME. Eighty-five patients (15.9%) had lymph node metastases (LNM). Pathological risk factors poorly discriminated between patients with and without LNM, with similar rates seen in patients with zero (14.1%), one (12.0%) or two (14.4%) risk factors.

CONCLUSION

LE is a key component of the treatment of pT1 rectal cancer and does not appear to affect the outcomes of completion TME. Patient selection for completion TME remains a major challenge, with current stratification methods appearing to be inadequate.

Liquid biopsy into the clinics: Current evidence and future perspectives

As precision oncology has become a major part of the treatment landscape in oncology, liquid biopsies have developed as a particularly powerful tool as it surmounts several limitations of traditional tissue biopsies. These biopsies involve most commonly the isolation of circulating extracellular nucleic acids, including cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), as well as circulating tumor cells (CTCs), typically from blood. The clinical applications of liquid biopsies are diverse, encompassing the initial diagnosis and cancer detection, the application as a tool for prognostication in early and advanced tumor settings, the identification of potentially actionable alterations, the monitoring of response and resistance under systemic therapy and the detection of resistance mechanisms, the differentiation of distinct immune checkpoint blockade response patterns through serial samples, the prediction of immune checkpoint blockade responses based on initial liquid biopsy characteristics and the assessment of tumor heterogeneity. Moreover, molecular relapse monitoring in early-stage cancers and the personalization of adjuvant or additive therapy via MRD have become a major field of research in recent years. Compared to tissue biopsies, liquid biopsies are less invasive and can be collected serially, offering real-time molecular insights. Furthermore, liquid biopsies may allow for a more holistic evaluation of a patient's disease, as they assess material from all tumor sites and can theoretically reflect tumor heterogeneity. Furthermore, quicker turnaround-time also constitutes an advantage of liquid biopsies. Disadvantages or hurdles include the challenge of detecting low amounts of tumor deposits in peripheral blood or other fluids and the potential of different amounts tumor-shedding from different metastatic sites, as well as potentially false-positive from clonal hematopoietic mutations of indeterminate potential (CHIP) mutations. The clinical utility of liquid biopsies still must be validated in most settings and further research has to be done. Clinal trials including alternate bodily fluids and leveraging AI-technology are expected to revolutionize the field of liquid biopsies.

Increased blood draws for ultrasensitive ctDNA and CTCs detection in early breast cancer patients

Early breast cancer patients often experience relapse due to residual disease after treatment. Liquid biopsy is a methodology capable of detecting tumor components in blood, but low concentrations at early stages pose challenges. To detect them, next-generation sequencing has promise but entails complex processes. Exploring larger blood volumes could overcome detection limitations. Herein, a total of 282 high-volume plasma and blood-cell samples were collected for dual ctDNA/CTCs detection using a single droplet-digital PCR assay per patient. ctDNA and/or CTCs were detected in 100% of pre-treatment samples. On the other hand, post-treatment positive samples exhibited a minimum variant allele frequency of 0.003% for ctDNA and minimum cell number of 0.069 CTCs/mL of blood, surpassing previous investigations. Accurate prediction of residual disease before surgery was achieved in patients without a complete pathological response. A model utilizing ctDNA dynamics achieved an area under the ROC curve of 0.92 for predicting response. We detected disease recurrence in blood in the three patients who experienced a relapse, anticipating clinical relapse by 34.61, 9.10, and 7.59 months. This methodology provides an easily implemented alternative for ultrasensitive residual disease detection in early breast cancer patients.

Liquid biopsy in colorectal cancer: Onward and upward

Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. In recent years, liquid biopsy has emerged as one of the most interesting areas of research in oncology, leading to innovative trials and practical changes in all aspects of CRC management. RNAs and cell free DNA (cfDNA) methylation are emerging as promising biomarkers for early diagnosis. Post-surgical circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) can aid in evaluating minimal residual disease and personalising adjuvant treatment. In rectal cancer, ctDNA could improve response assessment to neoadjuvant therapy and risk stratification, especially in the era of organ-preservation trials. In the advanced setting, ctDNA analysis offers the opportunity to monitor treatment response and identify driver and resistance mutations more comprehensively than traditional tissue analysis, providing prognostic and predictive information. The aim of this review is to provide a detailed overview of the clinical applications and future perspectives of liquid biopsy in CRC.

Circulating tumor DNA analysis predicts recurrence and avoids unnecessary adjuvant chemotherapy in I-IV colorectal cancer

Background

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a biomarker that can define the risk of recurrence after curative-intent surgery for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). However, beyond the predictive power of postoperative ctDNA detection, the efficacy and potential limitations of ctDNA detection urgently need to be fully elucidated in a large cohort of CRC.

Objectives

To define potentially cured CRC patients through ctDNA monitoring following surgery.

Design

A prospective, multicenter, observational study.

Methods

We enrolled 309 patients with stages I-IV CRC who underwent definitive surgery. Tumor tissues were sequenced by a custom-designed next-generation sequencing panel to identify somatic mutations. Plasma was analyzed using a ctDNA-based molecular residual disease (MRD) assay which integrated tumor-genotype-informed and tumor-genotype-naïve ctDNA analysis. The turnaround time of the assay was 10-14 days.

Results

Postoperative ctDNA was detected in 5.4%, 13.8%, 15%, and 30% of patients with stage I, II, III, and IV disease, respectively, and in 17.5% of all longitudinal samples. Patients with positive postsurgery MRD had a higher recurrence rate than those with negative postsurgery MRD [hazard ratio (HR), 13.17; p < 0.0001], producing a sensitivity of 64.6%, a specificity of 94.8%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 75.6%, and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 91.5%. Furthermore, patients with positive longitudinal MRD also had a significantly higher recurrence rate (HR, 14.44; p < 0.0001), with increased sensitivity (75.0%), specificity (94.9%), PPV (79.6%), and NPV (93.4%). Subgroup analyses revealed that adjuvant therapy did not confer superior survival for patients with undetectable or detectable MRD. In addition, MRD detection was less effective in identifying lung-only and peritoneal metastases.

Conclusion

Postoperative ctDNA status is a strong predictor of recurrence independent of stage and microsatellite instability status. Longitudinal undetectable MRD could be used to define the potentially cured population in CRC patients undergoing curative-intent surgery.

Utilizing circulating tumour DNA as a prognostic predictor of gastric cancer: a meta-analysis

Background: Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has demonstrated robust diagnostic accuracy in several digestive cancers. However, the prognostic role of ctCDNA in gastric cancer (GC) is still controversial. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of ctDNA in GC.Methods: PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane databases were searched to identify studies reporting the use of ctDNA to predict GC outcome and all relevant studies published until November 2022 were enrolled for our analysis. Data were extracted by two authors independently and statistic analysis was conducted by R program with 'meta' and 'metafor' packages.Results: A total of 34 qualified articles with 5091 subjects were incorporated into our meta-analysis. The corresponding Hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 2.74 (95% CI:2.24-3.35), 3.13 (95% CI:2.08-4.72) and 3.04 (95% CI:2.46-3.76), respectively, in GC patients.Conclusion: Blood-based ctDNA assay would be a potential novel biomarker for GC evaluation and prediction.Simple Summary: This is the integrated meta-analysis on the association of circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) and prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) with an increasing number of studies exploring the prognostic value of GC in the last few years, which depicted that the detection of ctDNA could be a promising predictor in GC patients.

Integration of liquid biopsy and immunotherapy: opening a new era in colorectal cancer treatment

Immunotherapy has revolutionized the conventional treatment approaches for colorectal cancer (CRC), offering new therapeutic prospects for patients. Liquid biopsy has shown significant potential in early screening, diagnosis, and postoperative monitoring by analyzing circulating tumor cells (CTC) and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). In the era of immunotherapy, liquid biopsy provides additional possibilities for guiding immune-based treatments. Emerging technologies such as mass spectrometry-based detection of neoantigens and flow cytometry-based T cell sorting offer new tools for liquid biopsy, aiming to optimize immune therapy strategies. The integration of liquid biopsy with immunotherapy holds promise for improving treatment outcomes in colorectal cancer patients, enabling breakthroughs in early diagnosis and treatment, and providing patients with more personalized, precise, and effective treatment strategies.

Circulating Tumour DNA as Biomarker for Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) is a potential biomarker that could contribute to more judicious patient selection for personalised treatment. This review and meta-analysis gives an overview of the current knowledge in the literature investigating the value of ctDNA in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). A systematic search was conducted in electronic databases for studies published prior to the 26th of May 2023. Studies investigating the association between ctDNA and oncological outcomes in patients undergoing curative-intent local therapy for CRLM were included. Meta-analyses were performed to pool hazard ratios (HR) for the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). A total of eleven studies were included and nine were eligible for meta-analyses. Patients with detectable ctDNA after surgery experienced a significantly higher chance of recurrence (HR 3.12, 95% CI 2.27-4.28, p < 0.000010) and shorter OS (HR 5.04, 95% CI 2.53-10.04, p < 0.00001) compared to patients without detectable ctDNA. A similar association for recurrence was found in patients with detectable ctDNA after the completion of adjuvant therapy (HR 6.39, 95% CI 2.13-19.17, p < 0.0009). The meta-analyses revealed no association between detectable ctDNA before surgery and the RFS and OS. These meta-analyses demonstrate the strong association between detectable ctDNA after treatment and oncological outcomes in CRLM patients.

Diagnostic accuracy of tumor M2-pyruvate kinase (tM2-PK) as a non-invasive biomarker in colorectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The tumor pyruvate kinase M2 isoform (tM2-PK) is a glycolytic enzyme isoform that is present on the surface of rapidly proliferating cancer cells. The objective of this investigation was to assess the efficacy of the tM2-PK measurement assay in detecting colorectal cancer (CRC) through the analysis of serum/plasma and stool samples obtained from patients.

METHODS

The pooled diagnostic performance measures, including sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), the area under the curve (AUC), Q*index, and summary receiver-operating characteristic curve (SROC), were computed using the Meta-Disc V.1.4 and Comprehensive Meta-Analysis V.3.3 software. The statistical methods of I2 and chi-square were employed to assess the presence of heterogeneity. The estimation of publication bias was conducted through the implementation of Begg's rank correlation and Egger's regression asymmetry tests.

RESULTS

A total of 28 studies were found, involving 2900 participants (1560 cases and 1340 controls). The diagnostic accuracy of tM2-PK was calculated in CRC based on the pooled sensitivity of 83.70% (95% CI: 82.0% - 85.30%), specificity of 74.0% (95% CI: 72.0% - 76.0%), PLR of 4.432 (95% CI: 3.33 - 5.60), NLR of 0.187 (95% CI: 0.144 - 0.243), DOR of 30.182 (95% CI: 19.761 - 46.10) as well as AUC at 91.6%, and Q*-index at 85.0%. Publication bias was seen based on Begg's (p = 0.0006) and Egger's (p = 0.00015) tests.

CONCLUSION

The results demonstrate that tM2-PK exhibits promise as a fair marker for CTRC, with the potential to serve as a non-invasive biomarker.

Analysis of Plasma Circulating Tumor DNA in Borderline Resectable Pancreatic Cancer Treated with Neoadjuvant Modified FOLFIRINOX: Clinical Relevance of DNA Damage Repair Gene Alteration Detection

PURPOSE

There are no reliable biomarkers to guide treatment for patients with borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC) in the neoadjuvant setting. We used plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) sequencing to search biomarkers for patients with BRPC receiving neoadjuvant mFOLFIRINOX in our phase 2 clinical trial (NCT02749136).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Among the 44 patients enrolled in the trial, patients with plasma ctDNA sequencing at baseline or post-operation were included in this analysis. Plasma cell-free DNA isolation and sequencing were performed using the Guardant 360 assay. Detection of genomic alterations, including DNA damage repair (DDR) genes, were examined for correlations with survival.

RESULTS

Among the 44 patients, 28 patients had ctDNA sequencing data qualified for the analysis and were included in this study. Among the 25 patients with baseline plasma ctDNA data, 10 patients (40%) had alterations of DDR genes detected at baseline, inclu-ding ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2 and MLH1, and showed significantly better progression-free survival than those without such DDR gene alterations detected (median, 26.6 vs. 13.5 months; log-rank p=0.004). Patients with somatic KRAS mutations detected at baseline (n=6) had significantly worse overall survival (median, 8.5 months vs. not applicable; log-rank p=0.003) than those without. Among 13 patients with post-operative plasma ctDNA data, eight patients (61.5%) had detectable somatic alterations.

CONCLUSION

Detection of DDR gene mutations from plasma ctDNA at baseline was associated with better survival outcomes of pati-ents with borderline resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma treated with neoadjuvant mFOLFIRINOX and may be a prognostic biomarker.

Clinical application of circulating tumour DNA in colorectal cancer

Liquid biopsies that detect circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) have the potential to revolutionise the personalised management of colorectal cancer. For patients with early-stage disease, emerging clinical applications include the assessment of molecular residual disease after surgery, the monitoring of adjuvant chemotherapy efficacy, and early detection of recurrence during surveillance. In the advanced disease setting, data highlight the potential of ctDNA levels as a prognostic marker and as an early indicator of treatment response. ctDNA assessment can complement standard tissue-based testing for molecular characterisation, with the added ability to monitor emerging mutations under the selective pressure of targeted therapy. Here we provide an overview of the evidence supporting the use of ctDNA in colorectal cancer, the studies underway to address some of the outstanding questions, and the barriers to widespread clinical uptake.

Exploring the Role of Circulating Cell-Free RNA in the Development of Colorectal Cancer

Circulating tumor RNA (ctRNA) has recently emerged as a novel and attractive liquid biomarker. CtRNA is capable of providing important information about the expression of a variety of target genes noninvasively, without the need for biopsies, through the use of circulating RNA sequencing. The overexpression of cancer-specific transcripts increases the tumor-derived RNA signal, which overcomes limitations due to low quantities of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). The purpose of this work is to present an up-to-date review of current knowledge regarding ctRNAs and their status as biomarkers to address the diagnosis, prognosis, prediction, and drug resistance of colorectal cancer. The final section of the article discusses the practical aspects involved in analyzing plasma ctRNA, including storage and isolation, detection technologies, and their limitations in clinical applications.

Circulating tumor DNA: Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors - can we RECIST? Focus on colorectal cancer

Interest in the measurement of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in colorectal cancer (CRC) has increased during the past decade. The analysis of quantitative ctDNA changes as a general response evaluation criterion during systemic treatment is a scientific approach with high clinical potential, and results can be transferred to a pan-cancer concept if relevantly investigated. The purpose of this overview is to discuss the current evidence for ctDNA as a marker of response in metastatic CRC (mCRC) and to propose criteria for definitions of response to systemic therapies applicable in prospective clinical trials. We discuss the literature, which supports a new definition of ctDNA Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Finally, we discuss the challenges in preparations of the optimal trial design to establish the true clinical utility of ctDNA.