Powerful, scalable and resource-efficient meta-analysis of rare variant associations in large whole genome sequencing studies

Prioritizing disease-related rare variants by integrating gene expression data

Rare variants, comprising a vast majority of human genetic variations, are likely to have more deleterious impact on human diseases compared to common variants. Here we present carrier statistic, a statistical framework to prioritize disease-related rare variants by integrating gene expression data. By quantifying the impact of rare variants on gene expression, carrier statistic can prioritize those rare variants that have large functional consequence in the diseased patients. Through simulation studies and analyzing real multi-omics dataset, we demonstrated that carrier statistic is applicable in studies with limited sample size (a few hundreds) and achieves substantially higher sensitivity than existing rare variants association methods. Application to Alzheimer's disease reveals 16 rare variants within 15 genes with extreme carrier statistics. We also found strong excess of rare variants among the top prioritized genes in diseased patients compared to that in healthy individuals. The carrier statistic method can be applied to various rare variant types and is adaptable to other omics data modalities, offering a powerful tool for investigating the molecular mechanisms underlying complex diseases.

Enhancing prediction accuracy of coronary artery disease through machine learning-driven genomic variant selection

Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly becoming crucial in genome-wide association studies for identifying key genetic variants or SNPs that statistical methods might overlook. Statistical methods predominantly identify SNPs with notable effect sizes by conducting association tests on individual genetic variants, one at a time, to determine their relationship with the target phenotype. These genetic variants are then used to create polygenic risk scores (PRSs), estimating an individual's genetic risk for complex diseases like cancer or cardiovascular disorders. Unlike traditional methods, ML algorithms can identify groups of low-risk genetic variants that improve prediction accuracy when combined in a mathematical model. However, the application of ML strategies requires addressing the feature selection challenge to prevent overfitting. Moreover, ensuring the ML model depends on a concise set of genomic variants enhances its clinical applicability, where testing is feasible for only a limited number of SNPs. In this study, we introduce a robust pipeline that applies ML algorithms in combination with feature selection (ML-FS algorithms), aimed at identifying the most significant genomic variants associated with the coronary artery disease (CAD) phenotype. The proposed computational approach was tested on individuals from the UK Biobank, differentiating between CAD and non-CAD individuals within this extensive cohort, and benchmarked against standard PRS-based methodologies like LDpred2 and Lassosum. Our strategy incorporates cross-validation to ensure a more robust evaluation of genomic variant-based prediction models. This method is commonly applied in machine learning strategies but has often been neglected in previous studies assessing the predictive performance of polygenic risk scores. Our results demonstrate that the ML-FS algorithm can identify panels with as few as 50 genetic markers that can achieve approximately 80% accuracy when used in combination with known risk factors. The modest increase in accuracy over PRS performances is noteworthy, especially considering that PRS models incorporate a substantially larger number of genetic variants. This extensive variant selection can pose practical challenges in clinical settings. Additionally, the proposed approach revealed novel CAD-genetic variant associations.

Genetic variation across and within individuals

Germline variation and somatic mutation are intricately connected and together shape human traits and disease risks. Germline variants are present from conception, but they vary between individuals and accumulate over generations. By contrast, somatic mutations accumulate throughout life in a mosaic manner within an individual due to intrinsic and extrinsic sources of mutations and selection pressures acting on cells. Recent advancements, such as improved detection methods and increased resources for association studies, have drastically expanded our ability to investigate germline and somatic genetic variation and compare underlying mutational processes. A better understanding of the similarities and differences in the types, rates and patterns of germline and somatic variants, as well as their interplay, will help elucidate the mechanisms underlying their distinct yet interlinked roles in human health and biology.

Prioritizing disease-related rare variants by integrating gene expression data

Rare variants, comprising a vast majority of human genetic variations, are likely to have more deleterious impact on human diseases compared to common variants. Here we present carrier statistic, a statistical framework to prioritize disease-related rare variants by integrating gene expression data. By quantifying the impact of rare variants on gene expression, carrier statistic can prioritize those rare variants that have large functional consequence in the diseased patients. Through simulation studies and analyzing real multi-omics dataset, we demonstrated that carrier statistic is applicable in studies with limited sample size (a few hundreds) and achieves substantially higher sensitivity than existing rare variants association methods. Application to Alzheimer's disease reveals 16 rare variants within 15 genes with extreme carrier statistics. The carrier statistic method can be applied to various rare variant types and is adaptable to other omics data modalities, offering a powerful tool for investigating the molecular mechanisms underlying complex diseases.

SUMMIT-FA: a new resource for improved transcriptome imputation using functional annotations

Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) integrate gene expression prediction models and genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to identify gene-trait associations. The power of TWAS is determined by the sample size of GWAS and the accuracy of the expression prediction model. Here, we present a new method, the Summary-level Unified Method for Modeling Integrated Transcriptome using Functional Annotations (SUMMIT-FA), which improves gene expression prediction accuracy by leveraging functional annotation resources and a large expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) summary-level dataset. We build gene expression prediction models in whole blood using SUMMIT-FA with the comprehensive functional database MACIE and eQTL summary-level data from the eQTLGen consortium. We apply these models to GWAS for 24 complex traits and show that SUMMIT-FA identifies significantly more gene-trait associations and improves predictive power for identifying "silver standard" genes compared to several benchmark methods. We further conduct a simulation study to demonstrate the effectiveness of SUMMIT-FA.

A power-based sliding window approach to evaluate the clinical impact of rare genetic variants in the nucleotide sequence or the spatial position of the folded protein

Systematic determination of novel variant pathogenicity remains a major challenge, even when there is an established association between a gene and phenotype. Here we present Power Window (PW), a sliding window technique that identifies the impactful regions of a gene using population-scale clinico-genomic datasets. By sizing analysis windows on the number of variant carriers, rather than the number of variants or nucleotides, statistical power is held constant, enabling the localization of clinical phenotypes and removal of unassociated gene regions. The windows can be built by sliding across either the nucleotide sequence of the gene (through 1D space) or the positions of the amino acids in the folded protein (through 3D space). Using a training set of 350k exomes from the UK Biobank (UKB), we developed PW models for well-established gene-disease associations and tested their accuracy in two independent cohorts (117k UKB exomes and 65k exomes sequenced at Helix in the Healthy Nevada Project, myGenetics, or In Our DNA SC studies). The significant models retained a median of 49% of the qualifying variant carriers in each gene (range 2%-98%), with quantitative traits showing a median effect size improvement of 66% compared with aggregating variants across the entire gene, and binary traits' odds ratios improving by a median of 2.2-fold. PW showcases that electronic health record-based statistical analyses can accurately distinguish between novel coding variants in established genes that will have high phenotypic penetrance and those that will not, unlocking new potential for human genomics research, drug development, variant interpretation, and precision medicine.

RAVAR: a curated repository for rare variant-trait associations

Rare variants contribute significantly to the genetic causes of complex traits, as they can have much larger effects than common variants and account for much of the missing heritability in genome-wide association studies. The emergence of UK Biobank scale datasets and accurate gene-level rare variant-trait association testing methods have dramatically increased the number of rare variant associations that have been detected. However, no systematic collection of these associations has been carried out to date, especially at the gene level. To address the issue, we present the Rare Variant Association Repository (RAVAR), a comprehensive collection of rare variant associations. RAVAR includes 95 047 high-quality rare variant associations (76186 gene-level and 18 861 variant-level associations) for 4429 reported traits which are manually curated from 245 publications. RAVAR is the first resource to collect and curate published rare variant associations in an interactive web interface with integrated visualization, search, and download features. Detailed gene and SNP information are provided for each association, and users can conveniently search for related studies by exploring the EFO tree structure and interactive Manhattan plots. RAVAR could vastly improve the accessibility of rare variant studies. RAVAR is freely available for all users without login requirement at http://www.ravar.bio.

Accurate and efficient estimation of local heritability using summary statistics and the linkage disequilibrium matrix

Existing SNP-heritability estimators that leverage summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) are much less efficient (i.e., have larger standard errors) than the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators which require access to individual-level data. We introduce a new method for local heritability estimation-Heritability Estimation with high Efficiency using LD and association Summary Statistics (HEELS)-that significantly improves the statistical efficiency of summary-statistics-based heritability estimator and attains comparable statistical efficiency as REML (with a relative statistical efficiency >92%). Moreover, we propose representing the empirical LD matrix as the sum of a low-rank matrix and a banded matrix. We show that this way of modeling the LD can not only reduce the storage and memory cost, but also improve the computational efficiency of heritability estimation. We demonstrate the statistical efficiency of HEELS and the advantages of our proposed LD approximation strategies both in simulations and through empirical analyses of the UK Biobank data.

FiMAP: A fast identity-by-descent mapping test for biobank-scale cohorts

Although genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified tens of thousands of genetic loci, the genetic architecture is still not fully understood for many complex traits. Most GWAS and sequencing association studies have focused on single nucleotide polymorphisms or copy number variations, including common and rare genetic variants. However, phased haplotype information is often ignored in GWAS or variant set tests for rare variants. Here we leverage the identity-by-descent (IBD) segments inferred from a random projection-based IBD detection algorithm in the mapping of genetic associations with complex traits, to develop a computationally efficient statistical test for IBD mapping in biobank-scale cohorts. We used sparse linear algebra and random matrix algorithms to speed up the computation, and a genome-wide IBD mapping scan of more than 400,000 samples finished within a few hours. Simulation studies showed that our new method had well-controlled type I error rates under the null hypothesis of no genetic association in large biobank-scale cohorts, and outperformed traditional GWAS single-variant tests when the causal variants were untyped and rare, or in the presence of haplotype effects. We also applied our method to IBD mapping of six anthropometric traits using the UK Biobank data and identified a total of 3,442 associations, 2,131 (62%) of which remained significant after conditioning on suggestive tag variants in the ± 3 centimorgan flanking regions from GWAS.

An in-depth association analysis of genetic variants within nicotine-related loci: Meeting in middle of GWAS and genetic fine-mapping

In the last two decades of Genome-wide association studies (GWAS), nicotine-dependence-related genetic loci (e.g., nicotinic acetylcholine receptor - nAChR subunit genes) are among the most replicable genetic findings. Although GWAS results have reported tens of thousands of SNPs within these loci, further analysis (e.g., fine-mapping) is required to identify the causal variants. However, it is computationally challenging for existing fine-mapping methods to reliably identify causal variants from thousands of candidate SNPs based on the posterior inclusion probability. To address this challenge, we propose a new method to select SNPs by jointly modeling the SNP-wise inference results and the underlying structured network patterns of the linkage disequilibrium (LD) matrix. We use adaptive dense subgraph extraction method to recognize the latent network patterns of the LD matrix and then apply group LASSO to select causal variant candidates. We applied this new method to the UK biobank data to identify the causal variant candidates for nicotine addiction. Eighty-one nicotine addiction-related SNPs (i.e.,-log(p) > 50) of nAChR were selected, which are highly correlated (average r2>0.8) although they are physically distant (e.g., >200 kilobase away) and from various genes. These findings revealed that distant SNPs from different genes can show higher LD r2 than their neighboring SNPs, and jointly contribute to a complex trait like nicotine addiction.

Re-analysis and meta-analysis of summary statistics from gene-environment interaction studies

MOTIVATION

statistics from genome-wide association studies enable many valuable downstream analyses that are more efficient than individual-level data analysis while also reducing privacy concerns. As growing sample sizes enable better-powered analysis of gene-environment interactions, there is a need for gene-environment interaction-specific methods that manipulate and use summary statistics.

RESULTS

We introduce two tools to facilitate such analysis, with a focus on statistical models containing multiple gene-exposure and/or gene-covariate interaction terms. REGEM (RE-analysis of GEM summary statistics) uses summary statistics from a single, multi-exposure genome-wide interaction study to derive analogous sets of summary statistics with arbitrary sets of exposures and interaction covariate adjustments. METAGEM (META-analysis of GEM summary statistics) extends current fixed-effects meta-analysis models to incorporate multiple exposures from multiple studies. We demonstrate the value and efficiency of these tools by exploring alternative methods of accounting for ancestry-related population stratification in genome-wide interaction study in the UK Biobank as well as by conducting a multi-exposure genome-wide interaction study meta-analysis in cohorts from the diabetes-focused ProDiGY consortium. These programs help to maximize the value of summary statistics from diverse and complex gene-environment interaction studies.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

REGEM and METAGEM are open-source projects freely available at https://github.com/large-scale-gxe-methods/REGEM and https://github.com/large-scale-gxe-methods/METAGEM.

A statistical framework for powerful multi-trait rare variant analysis in large-scale whole-genome sequencing studies

Large-scale whole-genome sequencing (WGS) studies have improved our understanding of the contributions of coding and noncoding rare variants to complex human traits. Leveraging association effect sizes across multiple traits in WGS rare variant association analysis can improve statistical power over single-trait analysis, and also detect pleiotropic genes and regions. Existing multi-trait methods have limited ability to perform rare variant analysis of large-scale WGS data. We propose MultiSTAAR, a statistical framework and computationally-scalable analytical pipeline for functionally-informed multi-trait rare variant analysis in large-scale WGS studies. MultiSTAAR accounts for relatedness, population structure and correlation among phenotypes by jointly analyzing multiple traits, and further empowers rare variant association analysis by incorporating multiple functional annotations. We applied MultiSTAAR to jointly analyze three lipid traits (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides) in 61,861 multi-ethnic samples from the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine (TOPMed) Program. We discovered new associations with lipid traits missed by single-trait analysis, including rare variants within an enhancer of NIPSNAP3A and an intergenic region on chromosome 1.

Weighted Selection Probability to Prioritize Susceptible Rare Variants in Multi-Phenotype Association Studies with Application to a Soybean Genetic Data Set

Rare variant association studies with multiple traits or diseases have drawn a lot of attention since association signals of rare variants can be boosted if more than one phenotype outcome is associated with the same rare variants. Most of the existing statistical methods to identify rare variants associated with multiple phenotypes are based on a group test, where a pre-specified genetic region is tested one at a time. However, these methods are not designed to locate susceptible rare variants within the genetic region. In this article, we propose new statistical methods to prioritize rare variants within a genetic region when a group test for the genetic region identifies a statistical association with multiple phenotypes. It computes the weighted selection probability (WSP) of individual rare variants and ranks them from largest to smallest according to their WSP. In simulation studies, we demonstrated that the proposed method outperforms other statistical methods in terms of true positive selection, when multiple phenotypes are correlated with each other. We also applied it to our soybean single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data with 13 highly correlated amino acids, where we identified some potentially susceptible rare variants in chromosome 19.

The sequence kernel association test for multicategorical outcomes

Disease heterogeneity is ubiquitous in biomedical and clinical studies. In genetic studies, researchers are increasingly interested in understanding the distinct genetic underpinning of subtypes of diseases. However, existing set-based analysis methods for genome-wide association studies are either inadequate or inefficient to handle such multicategorical outcomes. In this paper, we proposed a novel set-based association analysis method, sequence kernel association test (SKAT)-MC, the sequence kernel association test for multicategorical outcomes (nominal or ordinal), which jointly evaluates the relationship between a set of variants (common and rare) and disease subtypes. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we showed that SKAT-MC effectively preserves the nominal type I error rate while substantially increases the statistical power compared to existing methods under various scenarios. We applied SKAT-MC to the Polish breast cancer study (PBCS), and identified gene FGFR2 was significantly associated with estrogen receptor (ER)+ and ER- breast cancer subtypes. We also investigated educational attainment using UK Biobank data (N = 127 , 127 $N=127,127$ ) with SKAT-MC, and identified 21 significant genes in the genome. Consequently, SKAT-MC is a powerful and efficient analysis tool for genetic association studies with multicategorical outcomes. A freely distributed R package SKAT-MC can be accessed at https://github.com/Zhiwen-Owen-Jiang/SKATMC.

StocSum: stochastic summary statistics for whole genome sequencing studies

Genomic summary statistics, usually defined as single-variant test results from genome-wide association studies, have been widely used to advance the genetics field in a wide range of applications. Applications that involve multiple genetic variants also require their correlations or linkage disequilibrium (LD) information, often obtained from an external reference panel. In practice, it is usually difficult to find suitable external reference panels that represent the LD structure for underrepresented and admixed populations, or rare genetic variants from whole genome sequencing (WGS) studies, limiting the scope of applications for genomic summary statistics. Here we introduce StocSum, a novel reference-panel-free statistical framework for generating, managing, and analyzing stochastic summary statistics using random vectors. We develop various downstream applications using StocSum including single-variant tests, conditional association tests, gene-environment interaction tests, variant set tests, as well as meta-analysis and LD score regression tools. We demonstrate the accuracy and computational efficiency of StocSum using two cohorts from the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine Program. StocSum will facilitate sharing and utilization of genomic summary statistics from WGS studies, especially for underrepresented and admixed populations.