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Developing a predictive model for an emerging epidemic on cassava in sub-Saharan Africa. Sci Rep 2023; 13:12603. [PMID: 37537204 PMCID: PMC10400665 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-38819-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2022] [Accepted: 07/15/2023] [Indexed: 08/05/2023] Open
Abstract
The agricultural productivity of smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is severely constrained by pests and pathogens, impacting economic stability and food security. An epidemic of cassava brown streak disease, causing significant yield loss, is spreading rapidly from Uganda into surrounding countries. Based on sparse surveillance data, the epidemic front is reported to be as far west as central DRC, the world's highest per capita consumer, and as far south as Zambia. Future spread threatens production in West Africa including Nigeria, the world's largest producer of cassava. Using innovative methods we develop, parameterise and validate a landscape-scale, stochastic epidemic model capturing the spread of the disease throughout Uganda. The model incorporates real-world management interventions and can be readily extended to make predictions for all 32 major cassava producing countries of SSA, with relevant data, and lays the foundations for a tool capable of informing policy decisions at a national and regional scale.
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Distribution of Bemisia tabaci in different agro-ecological regions in Uganda and the threat of vector-borne pandemics into new cassava growing areas. FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS 2023. [DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2023.1068109] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Previous studies in sub-Saharan Africa have showed the spread of cassava mosaic disease (CMD) and cassava brown streak disease (CBSD) pandemics into different cassava growing regions by high Bemisia tabaci populations. Studies did indicate that there were stark differences in some whitefly species, yet they have not looked extensively across agroecologies. Members of B. tabaci species complex termed sub-Saharan Africa 1 (SSA1) and SSA2 have been linked to the spread of CMD and CBSD viruses. During the period of a severe CMD pandemic in the 1990s, SSA2 was the most predominant until the resurgence of SSA1, particularly SSA1-subgroup1 (SSA1-SG1) from the early 2000s to date. Cassava being a drought resilient crop has become an important food security crop and has been introduced into new areas and regions. Considering the role B. tabaci in the spread of cassava virus pandemics into neighboring regions, we investigated the genetic diversity and distribution of B. tabaci in nine different agro-ecological regions of Uganda in 2017. Adult whiteflies were collected from cassava and 33 other host plants from cassava-growing areas, those with limited cassava and areas with no cassava, where it is being introduced as a food security crop. The partial sequences of the mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase 1 (mtCO1) gene (657 bp) were used to determine the phylogenetic relationships between the sampled B. tabaci. Cassava B. tabaci SSA1 (-SG1, -SG2, -Hoslundia (previously called SSA1-SG1/2), -SG3), SSA2 and SSA3; non-cassava B. tabaci SSA6, SSA10, SSA11, SSA12, SSA13, MED-ASL, MED-Q1, MEAM1, Indian Ocean; and other Bemisia species, Bemisia afer and Bemisia Uganda1 were identified in the study. SSA3, one of the key B. tabaci species that occurs on cassava in West Africa, was identified for the first time in Uganda. The SSA1-SG1 was widely distributed, predominated on cassava and was found on 17 other host-plants. The ability of SSA1-SG1 to exist in environments with limited or no cassava growing poses the risk of continued spread of virus pandemics. Therefore, measures must be put in place to prevent the introduction of diseased materials into new areas, since the vectors exist.
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Expansion and impact of cassava brown streak and cassava mosaic diseases in Africa: A review. FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS 2022. [DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2022.1076364] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Africa produces over half of global cassava; however, the continent's average yield is below the potential yields achieved under experimental conditions. Many factors contributing to low yield include lack of quality varieties, poor soils, limited access to capital, competition for labor, as well as pests and diseases. Plant diseases are the major biotic constraints to cassava production and have caused considerable food insecurity in Africa. Although there has been some level of disease management which has contributed to the increase in cassava production, the two viral diseases: cassava mosaic disease (CMD) and cassava brown streak disease (CBSD) still claim between 30–40% and upto 70%, respectively of Africa's cassava harvest. Given the importance of the two diseases in Africa, we review the expansion of CBSD and CMD; impacts of the two diseases on food security and how they can be managed. We provide insights in the spread of the two diseases, management efforts, and future directions.
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Utility of Ugandan genomic selection cassava breeding populations for prediction of cassava viral disease resistance and yield in West African clones. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 2022; 13:1018156. [PMID: 36507414 PMCID: PMC9728524 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2022.1018156] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2022] [Accepted: 10/24/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) is a staple crop for ~800 million people in sub-Saharan Africa. Its production and productivity are being heavily affected by the two viral diseases: cassava brown streak disease (CBSD) and cassava mosaic disease (CMD), impacting greatly on edible root yield. CBSD is currently endemic to central, eastern and southern Africa, if not contained could spread to West Africa the largest cassava producer and consumer in the continent. Genomic selection (GS) has been implemented in Ugandan cassava breeding for accelerated development of virus resistant and high yielding clones. This study leveraged available GS training data in Uganda for pre-emptive CBSD breeding in W. Africa alongside CMD and fresh root yield (FRW). First, we tracked genetic gain through the current three cycles of GS in Uganda. The mean genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs), indicated general progress from initial cycle zero (C0) to cycle one (C1) and cycle two (C2) for CBSD traits and yield except for CMD. Secondly, we used foliar data of both CBSD and CMD, as well as harvest root necrosis and yield data to perform cross-validation predictions. Cross-validation prediction accuracies of five GS models were tested for each of the three GS cycles and West African (WA) germplasm as a test set. In all cases, cross-validation prediction accuracies were low to moderate, ranging from -0.16 to 0.68 for CBSD traits, -0.27 to 0.57 for CMD and -0.22 to 0.41 for fresh root weight (FRW). Overall, the highest prediction accuracies were recorded in C0 for all traits tested across models and the best performing model in cross-validation was G-BLUP. Lastly, we tested the predictive ability of the Ugandan training sets to predict CBSD in W. African clones. In general, the Ugandan training sets had low prediction accuracies for all traits across models in West African germplasm, varying from -0.18 to 0.1. Based on the findings of this study, the cassava breeding program in Uganda has made progress through application of GS for most target traits, but the utility of the training population for pre-emptive breeding in WA is limiting. In this case, efforts should be devoted to sharing Ugandan germplasm that possess resistance with the W. African breeding programs for hybridization to fully enable deployment of genomic selection as a pre-emptive CBSD breeding strategy in W. Africa.
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Farmers' Sources and Varieties of Cassava Planting Materials in Coastal Kenya. FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS 2021. [DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2021.611089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) grows in diverse agro-ecological zones. In Kenya, it is widely cultivated in Western and Coastal regions. It is mainly grown for food and nutrition security and excess roots are sold to generate income for the farm households. Its productivity per unit of the land area is high compared to maize and wheat which are staple crops in the country. However, scarcity of cassava planting materials and pests and diseases limit production in these regions. This study aimed at revealing the sources and varieties of cassava planting materials used by farmers and other farmers' practices in coastal Kenya. Four focus group discussions (FGD) and a survey were conducted in 2018, using a semi-structured questionnaire targeting 250 farmers. The data collected on the sources of planting materials, preferred varieties and the practices employed by the farmers in cassava production, was analyzed using descriptive statistics. Majority of farmers (83%) interviewed indicated that they recycled planting materials from the previous crop while some 67% respondents obtained the planting material from their neighbors. Kenya Agricultural and Livestock Research Organization's (KALRO) and the local markets were reported as sources of planting materials by 11 and 5% farmer respondents, respectively. The only formal seed source reported was KALRO. The rest, own seed, neighbors, and the local markets, were informal seed sources. Piecemeal harvesting practiced by 98% of the farmers favored planting material recycling. Farmers dedicated a small proportion of their land (mean 0.2 ha) to cassava production as reported by 60 and 72.8% of farmers from Taita Taveta and Kilifi, respectively. Slightly above half (56%) of the farmers in Kilifi dedicated slightly more land to cassava, planting between 100 and 4,000 cuttings (2.5% of an acre up to a full acre) compared to 87% farmers from Taita Taveta who planted 100 cuttings or less (which is about 2.5% of an acre or less). A majority (81.1%) of farmers in Taita Taveta planted local cassava varieties compared to Kilifi's 57.8%. Slightly above half of the farmer respondents reported Kibandameno as the preferred variety followed by Tajirika as the second preferred variety as reported by 18% farmers. Kibandameno was preferred for its sweet taste by 75.6% farmers while Tajirika was preferred by 52.4% farmers because of the high yielding capacity. Nearly all farmer respondents, in Taita Taveta County obtained the planting material from informal seed sources, except a negligible number, who reported buying their planting material from KALRO, a formal seed source, far from their locality. Farmers sourcing cuttings from a formal seed source such as those from Kilifi County were more likely to use a tractor for land preparation compared to those who sourced planting materials informally who more likely had scarce knowledge on cassava production and the value of cassava. Therefore, interventions to establish a sustainable healthy cassava planting materials seed system are needed to address the systemic constraint and help develop a viable cassava value chain.
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Smallholder Cassava Planting Material Movement and Grower Behavior in Zambia: Implications for the Management of Cassava Virus Diseases. PHYTOPATHOLOGY 2021; 111:1952-1962. [PMID: 33856231 DOI: 10.1094/phyto-06-20-0215-r] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Cassava (Manihot esculenta) is an important food crop across sub-Saharan Africa, where production is severely inhibited by two viral diseases, cassava mosaic disease (CMD) and cassava brown streak disease (CBSD), both propagated by a whitefly vector and via human-mediated movement of infected cassava stems. There is limited information on growers' behavior related to movement of planting material, as well as growers' perception and awareness of cassava diseases, despite the importance of these factors for disease control. This study surveyed a total of 96 cassava subsistence growers and their fields across five provinces in Zambia between 2015 and 2017 to address these knowledge gaps. CMD symptoms were observed in 81.6% of the fields, with an average incidence of 52% across the infected fields. No CBSD symptoms were observed. Most growers used planting materials from their own (94%) or nearby (<10 km) fields of family and friends, although several large transactions over longer distances (10 to 350 km) occurred with friends (15 transactions), markets (1), middlemen (5), and nongovernmental organizations (6). Information related to cassava diseases and certified clean (disease-free) seed reached only 48% of growers. The most frequent sources of information related to cassava diseases included nearby friends, family, and neighbors, while extension workers were the most highly preferred source of information. These data provide a benchmark on which to plan management approaches to controlling CMD and CBSD, which should include clean propagation material, increasing growers' awareness of the diseases, and increasing information provided to farmers (specifically disease symptom recognition and disease management options).[Formula: see text] Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY 4.0 International license.
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Employing CRISPR/Cas Technology for the Improvement of Potato and Other Tuber Crops. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 2021; 12:747476. [PMID: 34764969 PMCID: PMC8576567 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2021.747476] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2021] [Accepted: 10/04/2021] [Indexed: 05/07/2023]
Abstract
New breeding technologies have not only revolutionized biological science, but have also been employed to generate transgene-free products. Genome editing is a powerful technology that has been used to modify genomes of several important crops. This review describes the basic mechanisms, advantages and disadvantages of genome editing systems, such as ZFNs, TALENs, and CRISPR/Cas. Secondly, we summarize in detail all studies of the CRISPR/Cas system applied to potato and other tuber crops, such as sweet potato, cassava, yam, and carrot. Genes associated with self-incompatibility, abiotic-biotic resistance, nutrient-antinutrient content, and post-harvest factors targeted utilizing the CRISPR/Cas system are analyzed in this review. We hope that this review provides fundamental information that will be useful for future breeding of tuber crops to develop novel cultivars.
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Effectiveness of genomic selection for improving provitamin A carotenoid content and associated traits in cassava. G3 (BETHESDA, MD.) 2021; 11:jkab160. [PMID: 33963852 PMCID: PMC8496257 DOI: 10.1093/g3journal/jkab160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2021] [Accepted: 04/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
Global efforts are underway to develop cassava with enhanced levels of provitamin A carotenoids to sustainably meet increasing demands for food and nutrition where the crop is a major staple. Herein, we tested the effectiveness of genomic selection (GS) for rapid improvement of cassava for total carotenoids content and associated traits. We evaluated 632 clones from Uganda's provitamin A cassava breeding pipeline and 648 West African introductions. At harvest, each clone was assessed for level of total carotenoids, dry matter content, and resistance to cassava brown streak disease (CBSD). All clones were genotyped with diversity array technology and imputed to a set of 23,431 single nucleotide polymorphic markers. We assessed predictive ability of four genomic prediction methods in scenarios of cross-validation, across population prediction, and inclusion of quantitative trait loci markers. Cross-validations produced the highest mean prediction ability for total carotenoids content (0.52) and the lowest for CBSD resistance (0.20), with G-BLUP outperforming other models tested. Across population, predictions showed low ability of Ugandan population to predict the performance of West African clones, with the highest predictive ability recorded for total carotenoids content (0.34) and the lowest for CBSD resistance (0.12) using G-BLUP. By incorporating chromosome 1 markers associated with carotenoids content as independent kernel in the G-BLUP model of a cross-validation scenario, prediction ability slightly improved from 0.52 to 0.58. These results reinforce ongoing efforts aimed at integrating GS into cassava breeding and demonstrate the utility of this tool for rapid genetic improvement.
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Expansion of the Cassava Brown Streak Disease Epidemic in Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo. PLANT DISEASE 2021; 105:2177-2188. [PMID: 33258425 DOI: 10.1094/pdis-05-20-1135-re] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
Cassava plays a key role in ensuring food security and generating income for smallholder farmers throughout Central Africa, particularly in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). This status is threatened, however, by cassava brown streak disease (CBSD), which has expanded its incidence and range in eastern DRC. The study described here comprises the first extensive assessment of temporal change in the occurrence of CBSD and its causal viruses in DRC, based on surveys conducted during 2016 and 2018. Cassava fields were inspected in Ituri, Nord-Kivu, Sud-Kivu, Tanganyika, and Haut-Katanga provinces within eastern DRC to record foliar incidence and severity of CBSD. Leaf samples were collected for virus detection and species-level identification. New occurrences of CBSD, confirmed by virus diagnostic tests, were recorded in two provinces (Haut-Katanga and Sud-Kivu) and nine previously unaffected territories, covering an area of >62,000 km2, and at up to 900 km from locations of previously published reports of CBSD in DRC. Overall, average CBSD incidence within fields was 13.2% in 2016 and 16.1% in 2018. In the new spread zone of Haut-Katanga, incidence increased from 1.7 to 15.9%. CBSD is now present in provinces covering 321,000 km2, which is approximately 14% of the total area of DRC. This represents a major expansion of the CBSD epidemic, which was only recorded from one province (Nord-Kivu) in 2012. Both Cassava brown streak virus (CBSV) and Ugandan cassava brown streak virus were detected in Ituri, Nord-Kivu, and Sud-Kivu, but only CBSV was detected in Haut-Katanga. Overall, these results confirm the increasing threat that CBSD poses to cassava production in DRC and describe an important expansion in the African pandemic of CBSD.
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Why has permanent control of cassava brown streak disease in Sub-Saharan Africa remained a dream since the 1930s? INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 2021; 94:105001. [PMID: 34271188 DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2021.105001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2021] [Revised: 07/07/2021] [Accepted: 07/11/2021] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
Effective control of ipomoviruses that cause cassava brown streak disease (CBSD) in Africa has remained problematic despite eight remarkable decades (1930-2021) of research efforts. Molecular mechanisms underlying resistance breakdown in genetically improved cassava are still unknown. The vast genetic diversity of cassava brown streak viruses, which is crucial for the improvement of routine reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) assays in CBSD-endemic regions of Africa, is controversial and underrepresented. From a molecular epidemiology viewpoint, this review discusses the reasons for why permanent control of CBSD is difficult in the modern era, even with the presence of diverse in silico and omics tools, recombinant DNA, and high throughput next-generation sequencing technologies. Following an extensive nucleotide data search in the National Centre for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) database and a literature review in PubMed and Scopus, we report that genomic data of 87.62% (474/541) strains of cassava brown streak virus are missing due to poor sequencing capacity in Africa. The evolution dynamics of viral virulence and pathogenicity has not yet been fully explored from the available 67 (12.38%) genomic sequences, owing to poor bioinformatics capacity. Tanzania and Zambia have the highest and lowest disease inoculum pressure, correspondingly. Knowledge gaps in molecular biology and the overall molecular pathogenesis of CBSD viruses impede effective disease control in Africa. Recommendations for possible solutions to the research questions, controversies, and hypotheses raised in this study serve as a roadmap for the invention of more effective CBSD control methods.
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Influence of Cassava Morphological Traits and Environmental Conditions on Field Populations of Bemisia tabaci. INSECTS 2021; 12:insects12070604. [PMID: 34357264 PMCID: PMC8306399 DOI: 10.3390/insects12070604] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2021] [Revised: 06/28/2021] [Accepted: 06/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
High populations of species in the whitefly complex Bemisia tabaci Gennadius (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) were reported to cause severe damage to cassava in East and Central Africa. However, reasons for B. tabaci population increases are not well understood. We investigated the effect of cassava morphological traits, temperature, rainfall and relative humidity (RH) on the abundance of B. tabaci. Five cassava genotypes with varying levels of resistance to cassava mosaic disease, cassava brown streak disease, and B. tabaci infestation were planted in three Ugandan agro-ecological zones. The experiment was conducted in 2016 and 2017 in a randomized complete block design. Across all locations, the tallest genotype Alado alado supported the lowest number of B. tabaci adults. In areas with high B. tabaci prevalence, leaf area, leaf lobe width, and leaf lobe number exhibited significant positive effects (p < 0.001) on B. tabaci adult count. Positive effects of relative humidity and negative effects of temperature and rainfall on B. tabaci adult and nymph counts were observed in 2016 and 2017, resulting in low populations in Lira. Evidently, temperatures of 28-30 °C, rainfall of 30-150 mm and RH of 55-70%, and deployment of cassava genotypes of low plant height, large leaf area, and lobe width significantly enhanced B. tabaci population growth.
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Genetic Gains for Yield and Virus Disease Resistance of Cassava Varieties Developed Over the Last Eight Decades in Uganda. FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 2021; 12:651992. [PMID: 34234794 PMCID: PMC8255924 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2021.651992] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2021] [Accepted: 05/28/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Achieving food security for an ever-increasing human population requires faster development of improved varieties. To this end, assessment of genetic gain for key traits is important to inform breeding processes. Despite the improvements made to increase production and productivity of cassava in Uganda at research level, there has been limited effort to quantify associated genetic gains. Accordingly, a study was conducted in Uganda to assess whether or not genetic improvement was evident in selected cassava traits using cassava varieties that were released from 1940 to 2019. Thirty-two varieties developed during this period, were evaluated simultaneously in three major cassava production zones; central (Namulonge), eastern (Serere), and northern (Loro). Best linear unbiased predictors (BLUPs) of the genotypic value for each clone were obtained across environments and regressed on order of release year to estimate annual genetic gains. We observed that genetic trends were mostly quadratic. On average, cassava mosaic disease (CMD) resistance increased by 1.9% per year, while annual genetic improvements in harvest index (0.0%) and fresh root yield (-5 kg per ha or -0.03% per ha) were non-substantial. For cassava brown streak disease (CBSD) resistance breeding which was only initiated in 2003, average annual genetic gains for CBSD foliar and CBSD root necrosis resistances were 2.3% and 1.5%, respectively. It's evident that cassava breeding has largely focused on protecting yield against diseases. This underpins the need for simultaneous improvement of cassava for disease resistance and high yield for the crop to meet its current and futuristic demands for food and industry.
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Technological Innovations for Improving Cassava Production in Sub-Saharan Africa. Front Genet 2021; 11:623736. [PMID: 33552138 PMCID: PMC7859516 DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2020.623736] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2020] [Accepted: 12/23/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Cassava is crucial for food security of millions of people in sub-Saharan Africa. The crop has great potential to contribute to African development and is increasing its income-earning potential for small-scale farmers and related value chains on the continent. Therefore, it is critical to increase cassava production, as well as its quality attributes. Technological innovations offer great potential to drive this envisioned change. This paper highlights genomic tools and resources available in cassava. The paper also provides a glimpse of how these resources have been used to screen and understand the pattern of cassava genetic diversity on the continent. Here, we reviewed the approaches currently used for phenotyping cassava traits, highlighting the methodologies used to link genotypic and phenotypic information, dissect the genetics architecture of key cassava traits, and identify quantitative trait loci/markers significantly associated with those traits. Additionally, we examined how knowledge acquired is utilized to contribute to crop improvement. We explored major approaches applied in the field of molecular breeding for cassava, their promises, and limitations. We also examined the role of national agricultural research systems as key partners for sustainable cassava production.
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Improving climate suitability for Bemisia tabaci in East Africa is correlated with increased prevalence of whiteflies and cassava diseases. Sci Rep 2020; 10:22049. [PMID: 33328547 PMCID: PMC7744558 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-79149-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2020] [Accepted: 11/26/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Projected climate changes are thought to promote emerging infectious diseases, though to date, evidence linking climate changes and such diseases in plants has not been available. Cassava is perhaps the most important crop in Africa for smallholder farmers. Since the late 1990’s there have been reports from East and Central Africa of pandemics of begomoviruses in cassava linked to high abundances of whitefly species within the Bemisia tabaci complex. We used CLIMEX, a process-oriented climatic niche model, to explore if this pandemic was linked to recent historical climatic changes. The climatic niche model was corroborated with independent observed field abundance of B. tabaci in Uganda over a 13-year time-series, and with the probability of occurrence of B. tabaci over 2 years across the African study area. Throughout a 39-year climate time-series spanning the period during which the pandemics emerged, the modelled climatic conditions for B. tabaci improved significantly in the areas where the pandemics had been reported and were constant or decreased elsewhere. This is the first reported case where observed historical climate changes have been attributed to the increase in abundance of an insect pest, contributing to a crop disease pandemic.
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