In-line near-infrared analysis of milk coupled with machine learning methods for the daily prediction of blood metabolic profile in dairy cattle

Combining genetic markers, on-farm information and infrared data for the in-line prediction of blood biomarkers of metabolic disorders in Holstein cattle

BACKGROUND

Various blood metabolites are known to be useful indicators of health status in dairy cattle, but their routine assessment is time-consuming, expensive, and stressful for the cows at the herd level. Thus, we evaluated the effectiveness of combining in-line near infrared (NIR) milk spectra with on-farm (days in milk [DIM] and parity) and genetic markers for predicting blood metabolites in Holstein cattle. Data were obtained from 388 Holstein cows from a farm with an AfiLab system. NIR spectra, on-farm information, and single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) markers were blended to develop calibration equations for blood metabolites using the elastic net (ENet) approach, considering 3 models: (1) Model 1 (M1) including only NIR information, (2) Model 2 (M2) with both NIR and on-farm information, and (3) Model 3 (M3) combining NIR, on-farm and genomic information. Dimension reduction was considered for M3 by preselecting SNP markers from genome-wide association study (GWAS) results.

RESULTS

Results indicate that M2 improved the predictive ability by an average of 19% for energy-related metabolites (glucose, cholesterol, NEFA, BHB, urea, and creatinine), 20% for liver function/hepatic damage, 7% for inflammation/innate immunity, 24% for oxidative stress metabolites, and 23% for minerals compared to M1. Meanwhile, M3 further enhanced the predictive ability by 34% for energy-related metabolites, 32% for liver function/hepatic damage, 22% for inflammation/innate immunity, 42.1% for oxidative stress metabolites, and 41% for minerals, compared to M1. We found improved predictive ability of M3 using selected SNP markers from GWAS results using a threshold of > 2.0 by 5% for energy-related metabolites, 9% for liver function/hepatic damage, 8% for inflammation/innate immunity, 22% for oxidative stress metabolites, and 9% for minerals. Slight reductions were observed for phosphorus (2%), ferric-reducing antioxidant power (1%), and glucose (3%). Furthermore, it was found that prediction accuracies are influenced by using more restrictive thresholds (-log10(P-value) > 2.5 and 3.0), with a lower increase in the predictive ability.

CONCLUSION

Our results highlighted the potential of combining several sources of information, such as genetic markers, on-farm information, and in-line NIR infrared data improves the predictive ability of blood metabolites in dairy cattle, representing an effective strategy for large-scale in-line health monitoring in commercial herds.

Genomic prediction of blood biomarkers of metabolic disorders in Holstein cattle using parametric and nonparametric models

BACKGROUND

Metabolic disturbances adversely impact productive and reproductive performance of dairy cattle due to changes in endocrine status and immune function, which increase the risk of disease. This may occur in the post-partum phase, but also throughout lactation, with sub-clinical symptoms. Recently, increased attention has been directed towards improved health and resilience in dairy cattle, and genomic selection (GS) could be a helpful tool for selecting animals that are more resilient to metabolic disturbances throughout lactation. Hence, we evaluated the genomic prediction of serum biomarkers levels for metabolic distress in 1353 Holsteins genotyped with the 100K single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) chip assay. The GS was evaluated using parametric models best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP), Bayesian B (BayesB), elastic net (ENET), and nonparametric models, gradient boosting machine (GBM) and stacking ensemble (Stack), which combines ENET and GBM approaches.

RESULTS

The results show that the Stack approach outperformed other methods with a relative difference (RD), calculated as an increment in prediction accuracy, of approximately 18.0% compared to GBLUP, 12.6% compared to BayesB, 8.7% compared to ENET, and 4.4% compared to GBM. The highest RD in prediction accuracy between other models with respect to GBLUP was observed for haptoglobin (hapto) from 17.7% for BayesB to 41.2% for Stack; for Zn from 9.8% (BayesB) to 29.3% (Stack); for ceruloplasmin (CuCp) from 9.3% (BayesB) to 27.9% (Stack); for ferric reducing antioxidant power (FRAP) from 8.0% (BayesB) to 40.0% (Stack); and for total protein (PROTt) from 5.7% (BayesB) to 22.9% (Stack). Using a subset of top SNPs (1.5k) selected from the GBM approach improved the accuracy for GBLUP from 1.8 to 76.5%. However, for the other models reductions in prediction accuracy of 4.8% for ENET (average of 10 traits), 5.9% for GBM (average of 21 traits), and 6.6% for Stack (average of 16 traits) were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that the Stack approach was more accurate in predicting metabolic disturbances than GBLUP, BayesB, ENET, and GBM and seemed to be competitive for predicting complex phenotypes with various degrees of mode of inheritance, i.e. additive and non-additive effects. Selecting markers based on GBM improved accuracy of GBLUP.

Blood biochemical changes upon subclinical intramammary infection and inflammation in Holstein cattle

The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between subclinical intramammary infection (IMI) from different pathogens combined with inflammation status and a set of blood biochemical traits including energy-related metabolites, indicators of liver function or hepatic damage, oxidative stress, inflammation, innate immunity, and mineral status in 349 lactating Holstein cows. Data were analyzed with a linear model including the following fixed class effects: days in milk, parity, herd, somatic cell count (SCC), bacteriological status (positive and negative), and the SCC × bacteriological status interaction. Several metabolites had significant associations with subclinical IMI or SCC. Increased SCC was associated with a linear decrease in cholesterol concentrations which ranged from -2% for the class ≥50,000 and <200,000 cells/mL to -11% for the SCC class ≥400,000 cells/mL compared with the SCC class <50,000 cells/mL. A positive bacteriological result was associated with an increase in bilirubin (+24%), paraoxonase (+11%), the ratio paraoxonase/cholesterol (+9%), and advanced oxidation protein product concentration (+23%). Increased SCC were associated with a linear decrease in ferric reducing antioxidant power concentrations ranging from -3% for the class ≥50,000 and <200,000 cells/mL to -9% for the SCC class ≥400,000 cells/mL (respect to the SCC class <50,000 cells/mL). A positive bacteriological result was associated with an increase in haptoglobin concentrations (+19%). Increased SCC were also associated with a linear increase in haptoglobin concentrations, which ranged from +24% for the class ≥50,000 and <200,000 cells/mL (0.31 g/L) to +82% for the SCC class ≥400,000 cells/mL (0.45 g/L), with respect to the SCC class <50,000 cells/mL (0.25 g/L). Increased SCC were associated with a linear increase in ceruloplasmin concentrations (+15% for SCC ≥50,000 cells/mL). The observed changes in blood biochemical markers, mainly acute phase proteins and oxidative stress markers, suggest that cows with subclinical IMI may experience a systemic involvement.

Prediction of detailed blood metabolic profile using milk infrared spectra and machine learning methods in dairy cattle

The adoption of preventive management decisions is crucial to dealing with metabolic impairments in dairy cattle. Various serum metabolites are known to be useful indicators of the health status of cows. In this study, we used milk Fourier-transform mid-infrared (FTIR) spectra and various machine learning (ML) algorithms to develop prediction equations for a panel of 29 blood metabolites, including those related to energy metabolism, liver function/hepatic damage, oxidative stress, inflammation/innate immunity, and minerals. For most traits, the data set comprised observations from 1,204 Holstein-Friesian dairy cows belonging to 5 herds. An exception was represented by β-hydroxybutyrate prediction, which contained observations from 2,701 multibreed cows pertaining to 33 herds. The best predictive model was developed using an automatic ML algorithm that tested various methods, including elastic net, distributed random forest, gradient boosting machine, artificial neural network, and stacking ensemble. These ML predictions were compared with partial least squares regression, the most commonly used method for FTIR prediction of blood traits. Performance of each model was evaluated using 2 cross-validation (CV) scenarios: 5-fold random (CV_r) and herd-out (CV_h). We also tested the best model's ability to classify values precisely in the 2 extreme tails, namely, the 25th (Q25) and 75th (Q75) percentiles (true-positive prediction scenario). Compared with partial least squares regression, ML algorithms achieved more accurate performance. Specifically, elastic net increased the R² value from 5% to 75% for CV_r and 2% to 139% for CV_h, whereas the stacking ensemble increased the R² value from 4% to 70% for CV_r and 4% to 150% for CV_h. Considering the best model, with the CV_r scenario, good prediction accuracies were obtained for glucose (R² = 0.81), urea (R² = 0.73), albumin (R² = 0.75), total reactive oxygen metabolites (R² = 0.79), total thiol groups (R² = 0.76), ceruloplasmin (R² = 0.74), total proteins (R² = 0.81), globulins (R² = 0.87), and Na (R² = 0.72). Good prediction accuracy in classifying extreme values was achieved for glucose (Q25 = 70.8%, Q75 = 69.9%), albumin (Q25 = 72.3%), total reactive oxygen metabolites (Q25 = 75.1%, Q75 = 74%), thiol groups (Q75 = 70.4%), total proteins (Q25 = 72.4%, Q75 = 77.2.%), globulins (Q25 = 74.8%, Q75 = 81.5%), and haptoglobin (Q75 = 74.4%). In conclusion, our study shows that FTIR spectra can be used to predict blood metabolites with relatively good accuracy, depending on trait, and are a promising tool for large-scale monitoring.

Integrating on-farm and genomic information improves the predictive ability of milk infrared prediction of blood indicators of metabolic disorders in dairy cows

BACKGROUND

Blood metabolic profiles can be used to assess metabolic disorders and to evaluate the health status of dairy cows. Given that these analyses are time-consuming, expensive, and stressful for the cows, there has been increased interest in Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy of milk samples as a rapid, cost-effective alternative for predicting metabolic disturbances. The integration of FTIR data with other layers of information such as genomic and on-farm data (days in milk (DIM) and parity) has been proposed to further enhance the predictive ability of statistical methods. Here, we developed a phenotype prediction approach for a panel of blood metabolites based on a combination of milk FTIR data, on-farm data, and genomic information recorded on 1150 Holstein cows, using BayesB and gradient boosting machine (GBM) models, with tenfold, batch-out and herd-out cross-validation (CV) scenarios.

RESULTS

The predictive ability of these approaches was measured by the coefficient of determination (R²). The results show that, compared to the model that includes only FTIR data, integration of both on-farm (DIM and parity) and genomic information with FTIR data improves the R² for blood metabolites across the three CV scenarios, especially with the herd-out CV: R² values ranged from 5.9 to 17.8% for BayesB, from 8.2 to 16.9% for GBM with the tenfold random CV, from 3.8 to 13.5% for BayesB and from 8.6 to 17.5% for GBM with the batch-out CV, and from 8.4 to 23.0% for BayesB and from 8.1 to 23.8% for GBM with the herd-out CV. Overall, with the model that includes the three sources of data, GBM was more accurate than BayesB with accuracies across the CV scenarios increasing by 7.1% for energy-related metabolites, 10.7% for liver function/hepatic damage, 9.6% for oxidative stress, 6.1% for inflammation/innate immunity, and 11.4% for mineral indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that, compared to using only milk FTIR data, a model integrating milk FTIR spectra with on-farm and genomic information improves the prediction of blood metabolic traits in Holstein cattle and that GBM is more accurate in predicting blood metabolites than BayesB, especially for the batch-out CV and herd-out CV scenarios.

Novel prediction models for hyperketonemia using bovine milk Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy

Metabolic diseases driven by negative energy balance in dairy cattle contribute to reduced milk production, increased disease incidence, culling, and death. Cow side tests for negative energy balance markers are available but are labor-intensive. Milk sample analysis using Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) allows for sampling numerous cows simultaneously. FTIR prediction models have moderate accuracy for hyperketonemia diagnosis (beta-hydroxybutyrate (BHB) ≥ 1.2 mmol/L). Most research using FTIR has focused on homogenous datasets and conventional prediction models, including partial least squares, linear discriminant analysis, and ElasticNet. Our objective was to evaluate more diverse modeling options, such as deep learning, gradient boosting machine models, and model ensembles for hyperketonemia classification. We compiled a sizable, heterogeneous dataset including milk FTIR and concurrent blood samples. Blood samples were tested for blood BHB, and wavenumber data was obtained from milk FTIR analysis. Using this dataset, we trained conventional prediction models and other options listed above. We demonstrate prediction model performance is similar for convolutional neural networks and ensemble models to simpler algorithm options. Results obtained from this study indicate that deep learning and model ensembles are potential algorithm options for predicting hyperketonemia in dairy cattle. Additionally, our results indicate hyperketonemia prediction models can be developed using heterogeneous datasets.

Biological Health Markers Associated with Oxidative Stress in Dairy Cows during Lactation Period

This review aims to summarize and present different biological health markers in dairy cows during the lactation period. Biochemical health markers provide an indicator of how foreign chemical substances, whether external or internal, affect the animal’s health. To understand the relationship between dairy cow health issues and oxidative stress, various biomarkers of oxidative stress must be investigated. Biochemical and hematological factors play a significant role in determining the biological health markers of animals. A variety of biochemical parameters are dependent on various factors, including the animal’s breed, its age, its development, its pregnancy status, and its production status. When assessing the health of cattle, a blood test is conducted to determine the blood chemistry. To diagnose diseases in dairy animals, the blood biochemistry is necessary to determine the cause of many physiological, metabolic, and pathological problems. Observing blood alterations during pregnancy and at peak lactation may determine what factors lift oxidative stress in cows due to disturbances in feed intake and metabolic processes.

Metabolic Profiling in Ruminant Diagnostics

A herd-based approach and interpretative perspective is necessary in using metabolic profile testing in contrast to individual animal disease diagnostics. Metabolic profile testing requires formulating a question to be answered, followed by the appropriate selection of animals for testing. A range of blood analytes and nutrients can be determined with newer biomarkers being developed. Sample collection and handling and herd-based reference criteria adjusted to time relative to parturition are critical for interpretation. The objective of this article is to review the concepts and practical applications of metabolic profile testing in ruminants.

In-Line Vis-NIR Spectral Analysis for the Column Chromatographic Processes of the Ginkgo biloba L. Leaves. Part II: Batch-to-Batch Consistency Evaluation of the Elution Process

An in-line monitoring method for the elution process of Ginkgo biloba L. leaves using visible and near-infrared spectroscopy in conjunction with multivariate statistical process control (MSPC) was established. Experiments, including normal operating batches and abnormal ones, were designed and carried out. The MSPC model for the elution process was developed and validated. The abnormalities were detected successfully by the control charts of principal component scores, Hotelling T2, or DModX (distance to the model). The results suggested that the established method can be used for the in-line monitoring and batch-to-batch consistency evaluation of the elution process.

Comparison of machine learning models for bluetongue risk prediction: a seroprevalence study on small ruminants

Background

Bluetongue (BT) is a disease of concern to animal breeders, so the question on their minds is whether they can predict the risk of the disease before it occurs. The main objective of this study is to enhance the accuracy of BT risk prediction by relying on machine learning (ML) approaches to help in fulfilling this inquiry. Several risk factors of BT that affect the occurrence and magnitude of animal infection with the virus have been reported globally. Additionally, risk factors, such as sex, age, species, and season, unevenly affect animal health and welfare. Therefore, the seroprevalence study data of 233 apparently healthy animals (125 sheep and 108 goats) from five different provinces in Egypt were used to analyze and compare the performance of the algorithms in predicting BT risk.

Results

Logistic regression (LR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and a feedforward artificial neural network (ANN) were used to develop predictive BT risk models and compare their performance to the base model (LR). Model performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), accuracy, true positive rate (TPR), false positive rate (FPR), false negative rate (FNR), precision, and F1 score. The results indicated that RF performed better than other models, with an AUC score of 81%, ANN of 79.6%, and DT of 72.85%. In terms of performance and prediction, LR showed a much lower value (AUC = 69%). Upon further observation of the results, it was discovered that age and season were the most important predictor variables reported in classification and prediction.

Conclusion

The findings of this study can be utilized to predict and control BT risk factors in sheep and goats, with better diagnostic discrimination in terms of accuracy, TPR, FNR, FPR, and precision of ML models over traditional and commonly used LR models. Our findings advocate that the implementation of ML algorithms, mainly RF, in farm decision making and prediction is a promising technique for analyzing cross-section studies, providing adequate predictive power and significant competence in identifying and ranking predictors representing potential risk factors for BT.

Relationships between Milk and Blood Biochemical Parameters and Metabolic Status in Dairy Cows during Lactation

This study aimed to determine blood and milk metabolic parameters and their correlations for the purpose of evaluating metabolic status in dairy cows. Blood and milk samples were collected from 100 Holstein dairy cows during morning milking. The cows were allocated to four groups according to the production period, including cows in early (n = 18), full (n = 26), mid (n = 25) and late (n = 31) lactation. The value of non-esterified fatty acids (NEFA), β-hydroxybutyrate (BHB), glucose, triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TChol), total protein (TP), albumin, globulin, urea, total bilirubin (TBil), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and lactate dexydrogenase (LDH) in the blood were determined. The following milk parameters were measured: fat, protein, lactose, urea, AST, ALT, ALP, GGT, LDH and BHB. Blood serum NEFA, BHB, TBil, AST, ALT, ALP and LDH were higher in early lactation cows, whereas glucose, TP, globulin and urea levels were significantly lower in early lactation cows. Milk fat and lactose levels were lower in early lactation cows, whereas milk protein and the activities of AST, ALT, ALP and LDH in milk were highly greater in early lactation cows. Milk fat was positively correlated with glucose, TP and TG, and negatively correlated with BHB, NEFA, TBil, ALT, LDH and ALP levels in the blood. Enzyme activities in milk were positively correlated with those in blood and with blood NEFA, BHB and TBil levels, and negatively correlated with blood glucose, TChol and TG. A significant positive correlation existed between blood and milk BHB values. Many correlations showed the same slope during all lactation periods. In conclusion, similar changes in blood and milk metabolite concentration during lactation and milk to blood correlations confirm that milk has great potential in predicting of blood metabolites and metabolic status of cows.