Shared associations identify causal relationships between gene expression and immune cell phenotypes

Causal inference from cross-sectional earth system data with geographical convergent cross mapping

Causal inference in complex systems has been largely promoted by the proposal of some advanced temporal causation models. However, temporal models have serious limitations when time series data are not available or present insignificant variations, which causes a common challenge for earth system science. Meanwhile, there are few spatial causation models for fully exploring the rich spatial cross-sectional data in Earth systems. The generalized embedding theorem proves that observations can be combined together to construct the state space of the dynamic system, and if two variables are from the same dynamic system, they are causally linked. Inspired by this, here we show a Geographical Convergent Cross Mapping (GCCM) model for spatial causal inference with spatial cross-sectional data-based cross-mapping prediction in reconstructed state space. Three typical cases, where clearly existing causations cannot be measured through temporal models, demonstrate that GCCM could detect weak-moderate causations when the correlation is not significant. When the coupling between two variables is significant and strong, GCCM is advantageous in identifying the primary causation direction and better revealing the bidirectional asymmetric causation, overcoming the mirroring effect.

Unfolding the genotype-to-phenotype black box of cardiovascular diseases through cross-scale modeling

Complex traits such as cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the results of complicated processes jointly affected by genetic and environmental factors. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) identified genetic variants associated with diseases but usually did not reveal the underlying mechanisms. There could be many intermediate steps at epigenetic, transcriptomic, and cellular scales inside the black box of genotype-phenotype associations. In this article, we present a machine-learning-based cross-scale framework GRPath to decipher putative causal paths (pcPaths) from genetic variants to disease phenotypes by integrating multiple omics data. Applying GRPath on CVD, we identified 646 and 549 pcPaths linking putative causal regions, variants, and gene expressions in specific cell types for two types of heart failure, respectively. The findings suggest new understandings of coronary heart disease. Our work promoted the modeling of tissue- and cell type-specific cross-scale regulation to uncover mechanisms behind disease-associated variants, and provided new findings on the molecular mechanisms of CVD.