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Zhang C, Jiang S, Wang J, Wu X, Ke L. Development and validation a nomogram for predicting new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation following pulmonary resection. BMC Surg 2024; 24:43. [PMID: 38297276 PMCID: PMC10829272 DOI: 10.1186/s12893-024-02331-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2023] [Accepted: 01/23/2024] [Indexed: 02/02/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (NOPAF) following pulmonary resection is a common clinical concern. The aim of this study was to construct a nomogram to intuitively predict the risk of NOPAF and offered protective treatments. METHODS Patients who underwent pulmonary resection between January 2018 and December 2020 were consecutively enrolled. Forward stepwise multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to screen independent predictors, and a derived nomogram model was built. The model performance was evaluated in terms of calibration, discrimination and clinical utility and validated with bootstrap resampling. RESULTS A total of 3583 patients who met the research criteria were recruited for this study. The incidence of NOPAF was 1.507% (54/3583). A nomogram, composed of five independent predictors, namely age, admission heart rate, extent of resection, laterality, percent maximum ventilation volume per minute (%MVV), was constructed. The concordance index (C-index) was 0.811. The nomogram showed substantial discriminative ability, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.811 (95% CI 0.758-0.864). Moreover, the model shows prominent calibration performance and higher net clinical benefits. CONCLUSION We developed a novel nomogram that can predict the risk of NOPAF following pulmonary resection, which may assist clinicians predict the individual probability of NOPAF and perform available prophylaxis. By using bootstrap resampling for validation, the optimal discrimination and calibration were demonstrated, indicating that the nomogram may have clinical practicality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chuankai Zhang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Hefei, China.
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Anhui, Hefei, 230001, China.
| | - Songsong Jiang
- Department of Cardiology, The Affiliated Anhui Provincial Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Jun Wang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Hefei, China
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Anhui, Hefei, 230001, China
| | - Xianning Wu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Hefei, China
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Anhui, Hefei, 230001, China
| | - Li Ke
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Hefei, China
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, University of Science and Technology of China, Anhui, Hefei, 230001, China
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Abstract
Atrial fibrillation is associated with aging, obesity, heart disease, diabetes, and/or hypertension. Recent evidence suggests that parenchymal and vascular lung diseases increase atrial fibrillation risk. We review the epidemiology, clinical features, pathophysiologic mechanisms, and treatment implications of atrial fibrillation associated with diseases of the lungs and their vasculature, especially pulmonary hypertension. We also consider other features of pulmonary disease-associated atrial fibrillation. A key mediator of these conditions is right heart disease and right atrial remodeling. We pay particular attention to the pathophysiology and treatment challenges in atrial fibrillation associated with right heart disease induced by pulmonary diseases, including pulmonary hypertension.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roddy Hiram
- Department of Medicine, Montreal Heart Institute (MHI), Université de Montréal, Montréal, Quebec, Canada.
| | - Steeve Provencher
- Centre de Recherche de l'Institut Universitaire de Cardiologie et de Pneumologie de Quebec, Quebec, Canada; Department of medicine, Université Laval, 2325 rue de l'Universite, Montréal, Quebec G1V 0A6, Canada
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Rivington J, Twohig P. Quantifying Risk Factors for Atrial Fibrillation: Retrospective Review of a Large Electronic Patient Database. J Atr Fibrillation 2020; 13:2365. [PMID: 34950310 PMCID: PMC8691333 DOI: 10.4022/jafib.2365] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2020] [Revised: 07/14/2020] [Accepted: 07/28/2020] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite the numerous comorbidities associated with atrial fibrillation (AF), the relative risk has been varying and not well-documented. AIM To quantify the risk of diseases associated with AF. METHODS Population-based retrospective analysis in IBM Explorys (1999-2019), an electronic database with over 63 million patients in the United States. Odds ratios were calculated between AF and other diseases. AF patients were also stratified by age, gender, and race to assess trends of AF in different demographic groups. RESULTS 1,812,620 patients had AF in the database. Congestive heart failure had the highest association with AF (OR 42.95). Cardiomyopathy, coronary artery disease, hypertension, and myocardial infarction all had odds greater than 15. Anemia of chronic disease and chronic kidney disease had odds greater than 18, the highest for chronic inflammatory conditions. Other conditions commonly associated with AF were found to have odds less than 8, including hyperthyroidism, alcohol use, and sleep apnea. Helicobacter pylori infection had the lowest odds at 1.98. CONCLUSIONS Epidemiologic information could be integrated with current clinical algorithms to more rapidly identify patients at risk of AF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jaclyn Rivington
- Department of Cardiology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, USA
| | - Patrick Twohig
- Department of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, USA
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Rivinius R, Helmschrott M, Ruhparwar A, Schmack B, Darche FF, Thomas D, Bruckner T, Katus HA, Ehlermann P, Doesch AO. COPD in patients after heart transplantation is associated with a prolonged hospital stay, early posttransplant atrial fibrillation, and impaired posttransplant survival. Clin Epidemiol 2018; 10:1359-1369. [PMID: 30310328 PMCID: PMC6166745 DOI: 10.2147/clep.s171929] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives COPD is associated with reduced physical activity, an increased risk for pulmonary infections, and impaired survival in nontransplant patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of COPD in patients after heart transplantation (HTX). Methods We performed an observational retrospective single-center study of 259 patients receiving HTX at Heidelberg University Hospital between 2003 and 2012. Patients were stratified by the Tiffeneau index (forced expiratory volume in 1 second/forced vital capacity [FEV1/FVC]) <0.70 before HTX. The analysis included demographics, posttransplant medication, length of the initial hospital stay after HTX, early posttransplant atrial fibrillation (AF), mortality, and causes of death. Results In total, 63 (24.3%) patients had an FEV1/FVC <0.70. These patients showed a prolonged hospital stay after HTX (52.0 days vs 43.4 days, mean difference (MD) = 8.6 days, 95% CI: 0.2, 17.0 days), a higher rate of early posttransplant AF (19.0% vs 8.2%, MD = 10.8%, 95% CI: 0.4%, 21.2%), and an increased 30-day mortality (9.5% vs 2.6%, HR = 3.79, 95% CI: 1.16, 12.40). Kaplan– Meier analysis showed a significant inferior 5-year survival in patients with an FEV1/FVC <0.70, along with a higher percentage of death due to transplant failure and infection/sepsis. In addition, a multivariate analysis for mortality within 5 years after HTX indicated an FEV1/FVC <0.70 as a significant risk factor for impaired 5-year posttransplant survival (HR =4.77, 95% CI: 2.76, 8.22). Conclusion COPD in patients after HTX is associated with a prolonged hospital stay, early posttransplant AF, and impaired posttransplant survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rasmus Rivinius
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany,
| | - Matthias Helmschrott
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany,
| | - Arjang Ruhparwar
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Bastian Schmack
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Fabrice F Darche
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany,
| | - Dierk Thomas
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany,
| | - Tom Bruckner
- Institute for Medical Biometry and Informatics, University of Heidelberg, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Hugo A Katus
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany,
| | - Philipp Ehlermann
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany,
| | - Andreas O Doesch
- Department of Cardiology, Angiology and Pneumology, Heidelberg University Hospital, Heidelberg, Germany, .,Department of Pneumology and Oncology, Asklepios Hospital, Bad Salzungen, Germany
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Song S, Yang PS, Kim TH, Uhm JS, Pak HN, Lee MH, Joung B. Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Increases the Risk of New-onset Atrial Fibrillation and Mortality of Patients with Atrial Fibrillation. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ARRHYTHMIA 2017. [DOI: 10.18501/arrhythmia.2017.028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
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Kittnar O, Yang SG, Mlček M. Experimental evaluation of the cardiac rhythm originating in myocardial sleeves of pulmonary veins using a monophasic action potential. Physiol Res 2013; 62:S49-56. [PMID: 24329703 DOI: 10.33549/physiolres.932604] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Spontaneous depolarization similar to that from the sinus node was documented from the myocardial sleeves of pulmonary veins (PV) after isolation procedures. It was then hypothesized that sinus node-like tissue is present in the PVs of humans. Based on a number of features, the myocardium of myocardial sleeves (MS) is highly arrhythmogenic. Membrane potentials originating from MS are invariably recordable at the PVs ostia in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and delayed conduction around the PVs ostia may play a role in re-entry process responsible for the initiation and maintenance of AF. Diagnostic and therapeutic evidence of premature atrial beats induced in MS of PVs and resulting in launch of AF was detected by 3D electroanatomic method of monophasic action potential (MAP). MAP recording plays an important role in a direct view of human myocardial electrophysiology under both physiological and pathological conditions. Its crucial importance lies in the fact that it enables the study of the action potential of myocardial cell in vivo and, therefore, the study of the dynamic relation of this potential with all the organism variables. The knowledge of pathological MAPs from PV myocardial sleeves can help us to confirm a diagnosis when finding the similar action potential morphology. MAP can be also used to evaluate the therapeutic efficiency of vagal nerves suppression, radiofrequency ablation or other treatment procedures in PVs myocardial sleeves as well as for post-treatment following up.
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Affiliation(s)
- O Kittnar
- Institute of Physiology, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague, Prague, Czech Republic.
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Ozaydin M, Kutlucan A, Turker Y, Koroglu B, Arslan A, Uysal BA, Erdogan D, Varol E, Dogan A. Association of inflammation with atrial fibrillation in hyperthyroidism. J Geriatr Cardiol 2013; 9:344-8. [PMID: 23341838 PMCID: PMC3545250 DOI: 10.3724/sp.j.1263.2012.06251] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2012] [Revised: 08/16/2012] [Accepted: 10/19/2012] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between inflammation and development of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with hyperthyroidism. Methods A total of 65 patients with newly diagnosed hyperthyroidism, 35 of whom were in sinus rhythm and 30 of whom in AF. Thirty five age- and gender-matched patients in a control group were included in the study. Factors associated with the development of AF were evaluated by multivariate regression analysis. Results Factors associated with AF in multivariate analysis included high sensitivity C reactive protein (HsCRP) [odds ratio (OR): 11.19; 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.80-69.53; P = 0.003], free T4 (OR: 8.76; 95% CI: 2.09–36.7; P = 0.003), and left atrial diameter (OR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.06–1.47; P = 0.008). Conclusions The results of the present study suggest that HsCRP, an indicator of inflammation, free T4 and left atrial diameter are associated with the development AF in patients with hyperthyroidism.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mehmet Ozaydin
- Department of Cardiology, Suleyman Demirel University, Kurtulus Mah 122. cad. Hatice Halici apt. no: 126, 32040 Isparta, Turkey
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Kang H, Bae BS, Kim JH, Jang HS, Lee BR, Jung BC. The relationship between chronic atrial fibrillation and reduced pulmonary function in cases of preserved left ventricular systolic function. Korean Circ J 2009; 39:372-7. [PMID: 19949621 PMCID: PMC2771825 DOI: 10.4070/kcj.2009.39.9.372] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2009] [Revised: 04/08/2009] [Accepted: 04/24/2009] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and Objectives The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between chronic atrial fibrillation (AF) and reduced pulmonary function. Subjects and Methods Eighty-six chronic AF patients who were enrolled from annual health examination programs were studied using echocardiography and pulmonary function tests (PFT). Echocardiography and PFT matched for age, gender, and year performed were selected by the control group who had normal sinus rhythms. Patients with ejection fractions <50%, valvular heart disease, or ischemic heart disease were excluded. Results In the chronic AF patients, the forced expiratory volume at one second (FEV1), FEV1%, and FEV1/forced vital capacity (FVC) were significantly reduced, and the right ventricular systolic pressure was significantly increased. Episodes of heart failure were more frequently associated with the chronic AF patients than the controls. In particular, the FEV1% had the most meaningful relationship to chronic AF after an adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors {p=0.003, Exp (B)=0.978, 95% confidence interval (CI):0.963-0.993}. Conclusion Reduced FEV1%, which represents the severity of airway obstruction, was associated with chronic AF, and the greater the pulmonary function impairment, the greater the co-existence with AF and congestive heart failure in those with preserved left ventricular systolic function.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hyunjae Kang
- Department of Cardiology, Fatima General Hospital, Daegu, Korea
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