Including Race in Pediatric Estimated GFR Equations: Is This a Genuine Need?

Limitations of U25 CKiD and CKD-EPI eGFR formulae in patients 2-20 years of age with measured GFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m2-a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

When applying Pierce U25 formula for estimating glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), we observed a higher proportion of eGFR < 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 2). We compared agreement and accuracy of the Pierce U25 (ages 2-25), Pottel (ages 2-100), and CKD-EPI (ages 18-100) formulae to GFR measurements.

METHODS

Post hoc analysis of the three eGFRs compared to 367 99m technetium-diethylene-triamine penta-acetic acid (99Tc DTPA) GFR measurements (240 patients) using 3 sampling points and Brockner/Mørtensen correction (body surface area calculation based on ideal weight) on simultaneous serum creatinine and cystatin C measurements.

RESULTS

Overall, the U25 formula performed well with a Spearman r of 0.8102 (95% confidence interval 0.7706 to 0.8435, p < 0.0001) while diagnostic accuracy was low in patients with normal mGFR. The U25 formula reclassified 29.5% of patients with normal mGFR as CKD stage 2; whereas the average of the modified Schwartz formula based on serum creatinine and the Filler formula based on cystatin C, only over-diagnosed CKD stage 2 in 8.5%, 24.5% within 10% and 62.7% within 30%. We therefore combined both. The average Schwartz/Filler eGFR had 36.5% of results within 10%, 84.7% within 30%, and normal mGFR accuracy was 26.8%, 63.9% for 10% and 30%, respectively, outperforming the CKD-EPI and Pottel formulae.

CONCLUSIONS

The Pierce U25 formula results correlated well with mGFR < 75 mL/min/1.73 m2. Over the entire GFR range, accuracy was better for patients with a higher mGFR, when averaging the combined Schwartz/Filler formulae. More work is needed to prospectively confirm our findings in other centers.

Retaining Race in Chronic Kidney Disease Diagnosis and Treatment

The best overall measure of kidney function is glomerular filtration rate (GFR) as commonly estimated from serum creatinine concentrations (eGFRcr) using formulas that correct for the higher average creatinine concentrations in Blacks. After two decades of use, these formulas have come under scrutiny for estimating GFR differently in Blacks and non-Blacks. Discussions of whether to include race (Black vs. non-Black) in the calculation of eGFRcr fail to acknowledge that the original race-based eGFRcr provided the same CKD treatment recommendations for Blacks and non-Blacks based on directly (exogenously) measured GFR. Nevertheless, the National Kidney Foundation and the American Society of Nephrology Task Force on Reassessing the Inclusion of Race in Diagnosing Kidney Disease removed race in CKD treatment guidelines and pushed for the immediate adoption of a race-free eGFRcr formula by physicians and clinical laboratories. This formula is projected to negate CKD in 5.51 million White and other non-Black adults and reclassify CKD to less severe stages in another 4.59 million non-Blacks, in order to expand treatment eligibility to 434,000 Blacks not previously diagnosed and to 584,000 Blacks previously diagnosed with less severe CKD. This review examines: 1) the validity of the arguments for removing the original race correction, and 2) the performance of the proposed replacement formula. Excluding race in the derivation of eGFRcr changed the statistical bias from +3.7 to -3.6 ml/min/1.73m2 in Blacks and from +0.5 to +3.9 in non-Blacks, i.e., promoting CKD diagnosis in Blacks at the cost of restricting diagnosis in non-Blacks. By doing so, the revised eGFRcr greatly exaggerates the purported racial disparity in CKD burden. Claims that the revised formulas identify heretofore undiagnosed CKD in Blacks are not supported when studies that used kidney failure replacement therapy and mortality are interpreted as proxies for baseline CKD. Alternatively, a race-stratified eGFRcr (i.e., separate equations for Blacks and non-Blacks) would provide the least biased eGFRcr for both Blacks and non-Blacks and the best medical treatment for all patients.