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Yu J, Xu Z, Zhuo Y, Wei H, Ye Y, Xu Q, Li Y, Yu L, Feng W, Hong P, Zhang K. Development and validation of a nomogram for steroid-resistance prediction in immune thrombocytopenia patients. Hematology 2021; 26:956-963. [PMID: 34871524 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2021.2003066] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Corticosteroid is first-line therapy in immune thrombocytopenia. However, nearly 30% of patients appear in steroid-resistance. Our research analyses the relevant indicators of patients and develops a risk prediction model to predict the poor response to steroid-therapy in ITP patients. METHODS We collected data from 111 ITP patients admitted to Xiamen University Zhongshan Hospital from 2013 to 2019 as the training cohort and 65 ITP patients during 2019-2020 as the external validation cohort. Screening significant factors(P < 0.05) in univariate analysis, and further identified to be independent variables in multivariable logistic regression analysis. Incorporated the significant risk factors in and presented them with a nomogram based on independent risk predictors. The nomogram was assessed by receiver operating characteristics curves and decision curve analysis. RESULTS We constructed a steroid-resistance prediction model based on the potential predictors including age, serum ferritin and expression of HBsAg. As a result, based on the area under the ROC curves, the training cohort (AUC: 0.718, 95% CI: 0.615-0.821) and the external validation cohort (AUC:0.799,95%CI:0.692-0.905), which displayed good discrimination. The decision curve showed that predicting the steroid-refractory risk in ITP patients using this nomogram with a range of the threshold probability between >16% and <70%. The nomogram appears good performance in predicting steroid-refractory ITP patients. CONCLUSION Prediction model shows that elder patients with a high level of ferritin and positive expression of HBsAg may appear a high possibility of steroid-resistance. For these patients, TPO-RAs can be considered to help patients to get better treatment effects and develop a better health-related quality of life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jieni Yu
- Department of Hematology, Shaoxing People's Hospital (Shaoxing Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine). Shaoxing, People's Republic of China.,Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.,The Medical College, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China
| | - Zhiqiang Xu
- Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China
| | - Yuanyuan Zhuo
- Department of Laboratory, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China
| | - Huahua Wei
- Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.,The Medical College, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China
| | - Yinhai Ye
- Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.,The Third Clinical Medical College, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, People's Republic of China
| | - Qinhong Xu
- Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.,The Medical College, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China
| | - Youli Li
- Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.,The Third Clinical Medical College, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, People's Republic of China
| | - Lihong Yu
- Department of Emergency, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China.,The Third Clinical Medical College, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, People's Republic of China
| | - Weiying Feng
- Department of Hematology, Shaoxing People's Hospital (Shaoxing Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine). Shaoxing, People's Republic of China
| | - Pan Hong
- Department of Hematology, Shaoxing People's Hospital (Shaoxing Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine). Shaoxing, People's Republic of China
| | - Kejie Zhang
- Department of Hematology, Zhongshan Hospital, Xiamen University, Xiamen, People's Republic of China
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Huang CE, Chen YY, Chang JJ, Kuan FC, Lee KD, Lu CH, Lung J, Shen CH, Chen CC. Thrombopoietic cytokines in patients with hepatitis C virus-associated immune thrombocytopenia. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2016; 22:54-60. [PMID: 27396368 DOI: 10.1080/10245332.2016.1204493] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Complex and multiple mechanisms are involved in the etiology of Hepatitis C virus-associated immune thrombocytopenia (HCV-ITP). Many hematopoietic growth factors affect the thrombopoiesis. The aim of this study was to clarify the interaction of the thrombopoietic factors in patients with HCV-ITP. METHODS We selected 33 patients with HCV-ITP and 17 normal individuals. We compare serum interleukin (IL)-3, IL-6, IL-11, thrombopoietin (Tpo), stem cell factor (SCF), granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF), tumour necrosis factor-α (TNFα), and spleen size between these two groups. RESULTS Our study shows that Tpo, IL-6, and TNFα significantly increased in patients with HCV-ITP compared to the normal population (Tpo:122.577 vs. 40.602; IL-6: 2.175 vs. 0.943; TNFα: 2.460 vs. 1.322). IL-11 was significantly lower in the HCV-ITP group (10.829 vs. 15.042). HCV-ITP patients had a higher spleen index (21.121 vs 13.498, P = 0.003). According to regression analysis and multiple linear regression analysis, only IL-11 had a significantly positive correlation with platelet count, while TNFα showed a negative correlation. DISCUSSIONS Tpo and IL-6 increased in patients with HCV-ITP, suggesting a positive feedback of low platelet count. TNFα-associated immune response is suspected to have an impact on low platelet count. IL-11 is assumed to directly affect thrombopoiesis. CONCLUSIONS This study is the most comprehensive study to evaluate the interaction between platelet count and the important thrombopoetic factors in patients with HCV-ITP. The thrombopoietic factors clearly play an important role in HCV-ITP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cih-En Huang
- a Division of Hematology and Oncology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan
| | - Yi-Yang Chen
- a Division of Hematology and Oncology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan
| | - Jung-Jung Chang
- b Division of Cardiology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan
| | - Feng-Che Kuan
- a Division of Hematology and Oncology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan
| | - Kuan-Der Lee
- a Division of Hematology and Oncology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan.,c College of Medicine , Chang Gung University , Tao-Yuan , Taiwan
| | - Chang-Hsien Lu
- a Division of Hematology and Oncology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan.,d Graduate Institute of Clinical Medical Sciences, Chang Gung University , Tao-Yuan , Taiwan
| | - Jrhau Lung
- e Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan
| | - Chien-Heng Shen
- f Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan
| | - Chih-Cheng Chen
- a Division of Hematology and Oncology , Chang Gung Memorial Hospital , Chia-yi , Taiwan.,c College of Medicine , Chang Gung University , Tao-Yuan , Taiwan
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