The use of genetic sonography to reduce the need for amniocentesis in women at high-risk for Down syndrome

Prenatal Screening and Diagnosis: Time for a Paradigm Shift

Recent advances in genetics and imaging have ushered substantial breakthroughs in screening and diagnosis for chromosomal and structural abnormalities. Thus, it is imperative that health care providers caring for pregnant individuals should reexamine established practices in prenatal screening and diagnosis. In the past, screening for chromosomal abnormalities was based almost entirely on Down syndrome. Pregnant individuals aged > 35 years were considered at "high risk" or of "advanced maternal age" based on age alone; however, the advent of tests with high sensitivity for prenatal detection of chromosomal abnormalities should lead to abandoning that concept, at least from the perspective of chromosomal abnormalities. Given that first-trimester and second-trimester screenings will fail to detect between 5 and 20% of Down syndrome, in most situations, noninvasive testing with cell-free DNA should be the first-line screen for Down syndrome. The fact that over 99% of fetuses with Down syndrome will be detected prenatally with cell-free DNA gives other fetal chromosomal and structural abnormalities increasing prominence. Chromosomal microarray analysis (CMA) permits prenatal detection of several clinically important chromosomal aberrations that cannot be detected by karyotype and may exist in structurally normal fetuses with low-risk cell-free DNA screening. As such, CMA should be more readily conducted when invasive testing is performed, regardless of the presence of a structural abnormality. Isolated sonographic "soft markers" have no clinical significance in patients who have normal cell-free DNA screening, can cause unwarranted anxiety and a negative impact on pregnancy, and perhaps it is time to stop discussing them. Detailed first-trimester ultrasound allows early detection of several severe fetal anomalies and, therefore, in settings with adequately trained personnel and resources, should be used more frequently. This opinion traces the evolution of prenatal screening and diagnosis and advocates for a paradigm shift that aligns with recent developments in prenatal screening and diagnostic capabilities. KEY POINTS: · Noninvasive prenatal testing with cell-free DNA should be available to all pregnant individuals.. · Chromosomal microarray should be available to all pregnant individuals undergoing amniocentesis.. · Patients >35 years with low-risk screening are not at "high risk" for chromosomal abnormalities..

Comparison of the ratio of second trimester fetal biometric measurements to fetal nasal bone length in fetuses with normal karyotype and trisomy 21

AIM

In this study, we compared the ratio of second trimester fetal biometric measurements to nasal bone length (NBL) in fetuses with normal karyotype and trisomy 21 to determine their diagnostic prognostic value.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included 148 pregnant women who obtained second-trimester ultrasonographic fetal anatomy and had amniocentesis (AS) for fetal karyotyping. The fetal karyotype results divided the groups into normal and trisomy 21 fetuses. Age, obstetric history, first and/or second trimester screening test risk ratios, fetal biometric measurements, and NBL mm, median (MoM) multiples, and percentile values were recorded and compared between groups.

RESULTS

BPD/NBL ratios above 9.26 predict trisomy 21 in fetuses with 77.6% sensitivity and 86.1% specificity (p = 0.001). HC/NBL ratios above 34.50 predict trisomy 21 in fetuses with 77.8% sensitivity and 88.8% specificity (p = 0.001). FL/NBL ratios above 6.02 predict trisomy 21 in fetuses with 69.6% sensitivity and 72.2% specificity (p = 0.001). HL/NB ratios above 6.56 predict trisomy 21 in fetuses with 95.5% sensitivity and 47.2% specificity (p = 0.001). The NBL MoM value demonstrated a high diagnostic accuracy for normal-karyotype fetuses (p = 0.021).

CONCLUSION

We found that BPD/NBL, HC/NBL, FL/NBL, and HL/NBL ratios differed between fetuses with a normal karyotype and those with trisomy 21, specifically the HC/NBL ratio, which predicted trisomy 21 with good diagnostic accuracy. In identifying normal-karyotype fetuses, the NBL MoM was highly accurate.

The second trimester genetic sonogram

The genetic sonogram, a fetal anatomic survey targeted at identifying features associated with aneuploidy, is carried out between 15 and 20 weeks' gestation. It has evolved as an adjunctive screening tool capable of further refining the individualized risk-calculation for trisomy that is based on maternal age or serum screening markers. The significance of a range of major structural anomalies and so-called "soft-markers" for trisomy, detected both in isolation and in combination, has been widely investigated. This review serves to describe the key components of the second trimester genetic sonogram and to illustrate how these markers are integrated into risk assessment for aneuploidy.

Screening for aneuploidy in first and second trimesters: is there an optimal paradigm?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This review serves to explore the recent literature regarding aneuploidy screening in both first and second trimesters. We aim to construct a comparative analysis of a range of proposed strategies for screening for trisomy 21.

RECENT FINDINGS

First trimester combined screening (sonographic nuchal translucency combined with serum markers pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and the free beta subunit of human chorionic gonadotrophin) has superseded second trimester serum screening (alpha-fetoprotein, total human chorionic gonadotrophin, unconjugated estriol with or without inhibin-A) as a screening paradigm for the detection of trisomy 21. This move is attributed to the recognition of superior detection rates, lower false-positive rates and earlier results associated with the former strategy. Septated cystic hygroma has been recognized as a distinct entity which confers a high risk of aneuploidy and structural malformations. Further advances in screening performance are achievable by combining the results of first and second-trimester screens in a sequential manner, with much interest generated by programs that only include second-trimester testing contingent upon first-trimester results.

SUMMARY

Screening strategies for aneuploidy continue to evolve, with the most recent evidence favouring a contingent sequential approach.

Second trimester prenatal ultrasound for the detection of pregnancies at increased risk of Down syndrome

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between second trimester ultrasound findings (genetic sonogram) and the risk of Down syndrome.

METHODS

Prospective population-based cohort study of women who were at increased risk of chromosome abnormality based on serum screening.

RESULTS

Overall 9244 women with singleton pregnancies were included, including 245 whose fetuses had Down syndrome. Overall, 15.3% of the women had an abnormal genetic sonogram, including 14.2% of pregnancies with normal fetuses and 53.1% of those with Down syndrome. If the genetic sonogram were normal, the risk that a woman had a fetus with Down syndrome was reduced (likelihood ratio 0.55 [95% CI 0.49, 0.62]) However, if the normal genetic sonogram were used to counsel these high-risk women that they could avoid amniocentesis, approximately half of the cases of Down syndrome (115 of 245) would have been missed. The isolated ultrasound soft markers were the most commonly observed abnormality. These were seen in a high proportion of Down syndrome fetuses (13.9%) and normal fetuses (9.3%). In the absence of a structural anomaly, the isolated ultrasound soft markers of choroid plexus cyst, echogenic bowel, renal pyelectasis, clenched hands, clinodactyly, two-vessel umbilical cord, short femur, and short humerus were not associated with Down syndrome. Nuchal fold thickening was a notable exception, as a thick nuchal fold raised the risk of Down syndrome even when it was seen without an associated structural anomaly.

LIMITATIONS

All women included in this study were at high risk of Down syndrome based on serum screening, and thus the results of this study cannot be used as a basis to modify maternal age-related risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The accuracy of the genetic sonogram is less than previously reported. The genetic sonogram should not be used as a sequential test following serum biochemistry, as this would substantially reduce the prenatal diagnosis of Down syndrome cases. In contrast to prior reports, most isolated soft markers were not associated with Down syndrome.

The role of the second trimester genetic sonogram in screening for fetal Down syndrome

The Genetic Sonogram is an ultrasound examination done on second trimester fetuses that not only evaluates the fetus for structural malformations, but also searches for the sonographic markers of fetal Down syndrome. The main markers that comprise the genetic sonogram include the nuchal fold, short femur and humerus, pyelectasis, hyperechoic bowel, echogenic intracardiac focus, and any major abnormality. The absence of any marker on a second trimester scan conveys a 60-80% reduction in prior risk of Down syndrome based on advanced maternal age or serum screen risk. The presence of sonographic markers, either singly or in combination, will raise the baseline risk of Down syndrome using likelihood ratios calculated for each individual marker. Using this approach, approximately 75% of fetuses with Down syndrome can be identified by modifying the patient's baseline risk according to the results of the ultrasound. The second trimester scan will likely continue to play an important role in the future in the detection of aneuploidy.

The mid-trimester genetic sonogram

The genetic sonogram is a composite algorithm combining multiple individual markers to increase Down syndrome risk prediction. Transformation of sonographic information into a standard mathematical format represented an early challenge that has now been surmounted. Using increasingly sophisticated mathematical techniques, individual patient risk can be estimated. High diagnostic accuracy comparable to standard mid-trimester serum algorithms has been reported. Most recently, a few studies have reported the ability to combine serum and biochemical markers to achieve diagnostic accuracy comparable to first-trimester screen. Even fewer studies have reported combinations of ultrasound and maternal urine markers. While it is clear that consistently high sensitivity and specificity for Down syndrome can be achieved, almost all the studies are based on high-risk groups. Studies in low-risk populations have suffered from lack of standardization. The relevance of genetic sonogram in a low-risk population thus remains to be proven. The most significant challenge, however, remains the development of uniform and reproducible sonographic and measurement standards. This is likely to be the most important factor in optimizing the accuracy of the mid-trimester genetic sonogram.

Second-trimester biparietal diameter/nasal bone length ratio is an independent predictor of trisomy 21

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between the second-trimester fetal biparietal diameter/nasal bone length (BPD/NBL) ratio and trisomy 21.

METHODS

Thirty-one cases of trisomy 21 for which complete ultrasound images included the nasal bone were identified from the University of Washington prenatal diagnosis database and matched to 136 euploid fetuses based on maternal age, indication for referral, and gestational age.

RESULTS

The mean NBL was shorter (mean +/- SD, 2.3+/-1.7 mm versus 3.9+/-1.2 mm; P<.001) and the BPD/NBL ratio was greater (17.7 [range, 6.2-114] versus 11.7 [range, 5.8-80]; P<.001) in the fetuses with trisomy 21. The risk of trisomy 21 increased 2.4-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-3.4) with every 1-mm decrease in NBL and increased 1.08-fold (95% CI, 1.03-1.12) with each unit increase in the BPD/NBL ratio (P<.001). A multiple logistic regression model was constructed and included the BPD/NBL ratio, maternal indications (age>or=35 years, positive serum screening results, or both, yielding a risk of <1 per 270 for trisomy 21), and sonographic markers as covariates. The BPD/NBL ratio was found to be an independent predictor of trisomy 21 (odds ratio, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.03-1.11). An analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves revealed an improvement after the BPD/NBL ratio was added to a model containing the current second-trimester screening based on maternal age, serum screening, and sonographic markers (receiver operating characteristic curve area, mean +/-SE, 0.89+/-0.03 for the model with the BPD/NBL ratio versus 0.76+/- 0.06 without the BPD/NBL ratio; P=.009).

CONCLUSIONS

The second-trimester BPD/NBL ratio was a significant and independent predictor of trisomy 21. An assessment of the BPD/NBL ratio may improve the diagnosis of trisomy 21 when used with current prenatal screening practices.

Ultrasound screening of fetuses at increased risk for Down syndrome: how many missed diagnoses?

OBJECTIVE

To determine the number of Down syndrome (DS) fetuses identified, amniocenteses performed, and procedure-related losses incurred when second-trimester ultrasound is used to screen high-risk patients in order to determine who should undergo an amniocentesis.

METHODS

A decision analytic model was designed for women at increased risk for a DS fetus due to either advanced maternal age (AMA) or a positive expanded maternal serum alpha fetoprotein (MSAFP) screening test, also known as a triple screen (+triple) test. The model compared: (1) the current standard of offering all at-risk women amniocentesis to (2) a policy of performing amniocentesis only when sonographic markers of DS are seen on ultrasound. Baseline assumptions included a sensitivity of 60.6% for targeted ultrasound and a screen-positive rate of 16.2%.

RESULTS

If targeted ultrasound is used to determine whether high-risk patients should undergo amniocentesis, 56% (3933/7025) of all DS fetuses are missed. The diagnosis of DS is missed most frequently among women at highest risk for DS (AMA and +triple). In this subgroup of patients, there are 3152 DS fetuses in the second trimester, of which 2815 (89%) are identified by triple screen test. When an ultrasound screen is added, only 1709 (54%) of DS fetuses will be identified.

CONCLUSION

Substantially fewer DS fetuses will be detected when targeted ultrasound is used as a screen among already identified high-risk patients.

Different preferences for prenatal diagnosis in pregnancies following assisted reproduction versus spontaneous conception

The uptake of prenatal diagnosis in 436 singleton and 146 twin pregnancies following assisted reproduction was compared with a matched group of spontaneous conceptions. The first and second trimester ultrasound examination included target fetal anatomic evaluation and screening by specific markers described for fetal aneuploidy. Women with assisted conception attended significantly more often for first trimester prenatal diagnosis (57.9 versus 34.9%, P < 0.01), but had fewer examinations in the early second trimester at 15-18 weeks (37.8 versus 48.8%, P < 0.01) than those with spontaneous conception. Screen positive results of 6.5 and 6.9% for first trimester examination and 6.0 and 7.3% for second trimester examination were found in assisted conceptions and controls respectively. A significantly higher rate of invasive prenatal diagnosis was observed in the second trimester for spontaneous conceptions, 20.0 versus 11.8% (P < 0.01) compared with assisted conceptions. This was attributed to the higher rate of invasive procedures in advanced maternal age >/=35 years of 40.7 versus 28.6% (P = 0.01) in spontaneous and assisted conceptions respectively. With the purpose of avoiding invasive testing, women with assisted conception were more likely to use the results of the ultrasound examination to guide their final decision about invasive testing, rather than undergo genetic amniocentesis as a first option.