Discriminating Gaussian processes via quadratic form statistics

Multifractal spectral features enhance classification of anomalous diffusion

Anomalous diffusion processes, characterized by their nonstandard scaling of the mean-squared displacement, pose a unique challenge in classification and characterization. In a previous study [Mangalam et al., Phys. Rev. Res. 5, 023144 (2023)2643-156410.1103/PhysRevResearch.5.023144], we established a comprehensive framework for understanding anomalous diffusion using multifractal formalism. The present study delves into the potential of multifractal spectral features for effectively distinguishing anomalous diffusion trajectories from five widely used models: fractional Brownian motion, scaled Brownian motion, continuous-time random walk, annealed transient time motion, and Lévy walk. We generate extensive datasets comprising 10^{6} trajectories from these five anomalous diffusion models and extract multiple multifractal spectra from each trajectory to accomplish this. Our investigation entails a thorough analysis of neural network performance, encompassing features derived from varying numbers of spectra. We also explore the integration of multifractal spectra into traditional feature datasets, enabling us to assess their impact comprehensively. To ensure a statistically meaningful comparison, we categorize features into concept groups and train neural networks using features from each designated group. Notably, several feature groups demonstrate similar levels of accuracy, with the highest performance observed in groups utilizing moving-window characteristics and p varation features. Multifractal spectral features, particularly those derived from three spectra involving different timescales and cutoffs, closely follow, highlighting their robust discriminatory potential. Remarkably, a neural network exclusively trained on features from a single multifractal spectrum exhibits commendable performance, surpassing other feature groups. In summary, our findings underscore the diverse and potent efficacy of multifractal spectral features in enhancing the predictive capacity of machine learning to classify anomalous diffusion processes.

Goodness-of-fit test for stochastic processes using even empirical moments statistic

In this paper, we introduce a novel framework that allows efficient stochastic process discrimination. The underlying test statistic is based on even empirical moments and generalizes the time-averaged mean-squared displacement framework; the test is designed to allow goodness-of-fit statistical testing of processes with stationary increments and a finite-moment distribution. In particular, while our test statistic is based on a simple and intuitive idea, it enables efficient discrimination between finite- and infinite-moment processes even if the underlying laws are relatively close to each other. This claim is illustrated via an extensive simulation study, e.g., where we confront α-stable processes with stability index close to 2 with their standard Gaussian equivalents. For completeness, we also show how to embed our methodology into the real data analysis by studying the real metal price data.

Anomalous diffusion, aging, and nonergodicity of scaled Brownian motion with fractional Gaussian noise: overview of related experimental observations and models

How does a systematic time-dependence of the diffusion coefficient $D (t)$ affect the ergodic and statistical characteristics of fractional Brownian motion (FBM)? Here, we examine how the behavior of the...

Time-averaged mean squared displacement ratio test for Gaussian processes with unknown diffusion coefficient

The time-averaged mean squared displacement (TAMSD) is one of the most common statistics used for the analysis of anomalous diffusion processes. Anomalous diffusion is manifested by non-linear (mostly power-law) characteristics of the process in contrast to normal diffusion where linear characteristics are expected. One can distinguish between sub- and super-diffusive processes. We consider Gaussian anomalous diffusion models and propose a new approach used for their testing. This approach is based on the TAMSD ratio statistic for different time lags. Similar to the TAMSD, this statistic exhibits a specific behavior in the anomalous diffusion regime. Through its structure, it is independent of the diffusion coefficient, which, in general, does not influence anomalous diffusion behavior. Thus, the TAMSD ratio-based approach does not require preliminary knowledge of the diffusion coefficient's value, in contrast to the TAMSD-approach, where this value is crucial in the testing procedure. Based on the quadratic form representation of the TAMSD ratio, we calculate its main characteristics and propose a step-by-step testing procedure that can be applied for any Gaussian process. For the anomalous diffusion model used here, namely, the fractional Brownian motion, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. We show that the new approach outperforms the TAMSD-based one, especially for small sample sizes. Finally, the methodology is applied to the real data from the financial market.