Diagnostic exercise tests on 4000 consecutive men

Relation of Risk of Atrial Fibrillation With Systolic Blood Pressure Response During Exercise Stress Testing (from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing Project)

Decreases in systolic blood pressure during exercise may predispose to arrhythmias such as atrial fibrillation (AF) because of underlying abnormal autonomic tone. We examined the association between systolic blood pressure response and incident AF in 57,442 (mean age 54 ± 13 years, 47% women, and 29% black) patients free of baseline AF who underwent exercise treadmill stress testing from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing project. Exercise systolic blood pressure response was examined as a categorical variable across clinically relevant categories (>20 mm Hg: referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg, and ≤0 mm Hg) and per 1-SD decrease. Cox regression, adjusting for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, medications, history of coronary heart disease, history of heart failure, and metabolic equivalent of task achieved, was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between systolic blood pressure response and incident AF. Over a median follow-up of 5.0 years, a total of 3,381 cases (5.9%) of AF were identified. An increased risk of AF was observed with decreasing systolic blood pressure response (>20 mm Hg: HR 1.0, referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg: HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.99, 1.20; ≤0 mm Hg: HR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.40). Similar results were obtained per 1-SD decrease in systolic blood pressure response (HR 1.08, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.12). The results were consistent when stratified by age, sex, race, hypertension, and coronary heart disease. In conclusion, our results suggest that a decreased systolic blood pressure response during exercise may identify subjects who are at risk for developing AF.

Systolic Blood Pressure Response During Exercise Stress Testing: The Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project

Background

The prognostic significance of modest elevations in exercise systolic blood pressure response has not been extensively examined.

Methods and Results

We examined the association between systolic blood pressure response and all-cause death and incident myocardial infarction (MI) in 44 089 (mean age 53±13 years, 45% female, 26% black) patients who underwent exercise treadmill stress testing from the Henry Ford ExercIse Testing (FIT) Project (1991–2010). Exercise systolic blood pressure response was examined as a categorical variable (>20 mm Hg: referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg, and ≤0 mm Hg) and per 1 SD decrease. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI for the association between systolic blood pressure response and all-cause death and incident MI. Over a median follow-up of 10 years, a total of 4782 (11%) deaths occurred and over 5.2 years, a total of 1188 (2.7%) MIs occurred. In a Cox regression analysis adjusted for demographics, physical fitness, and cardiovascular risk factors, an increased risk of death was observed with decreasing systolic blood pressure response (>20 mm Hg: HR=1.0, referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg: HR=1.13, 95% CI=1.05, 1.22; ≤0 mm Hg: HR=1.21, 95% CI=1.09, 1.34). A trend for increased MI risk was observed (>20 mm Hg: HR=1.0, referent; 1 to 20 mm Hg: HR=1.09, 95% CI=0.93, 1.27; ≤0 mm Hg: HR=1.19, 95% CI=0.95, 1.50). Decreases in systolic blood pressure response per 1 SD were associated with an increased risk for all-cause death (HR=1.08, 95% CI=1.05, 1.11) and incident MI (HR=1.09, 95% CI=1.03, 1.16).

Conclusions

Our results suggest that modest increases in exercise systolic blood pressure response are associated with adverse outcomes.

Long-term effects of smoking and smoking cessation on exercise stress testing: three-year outcomes from a randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

The long-term effects of smoking and smoking cessation on markers of cardiovascular disease (CVD) prognosis obtained during treadmill stress testing (TST) are unknown. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the long-term effects of smoking cessation and continued smoking on TST parameters that predict CVD risk.

METHODS

In a prospective, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of 5 smoking cessation pharmacotherapies, symptom-limited TST was performed to determine peak METs, rate-pressure product (RPP), heart rate (HR) increase, HR reserve, and 60-second HR recovery, before and 3 years after the target smoking cessation date. Relationships between TST parameters and treatments among successful abstainers and continuing smokers were evaluated using multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

At baseline, the 600 current smokers (61% women) had a mean age of 43.4 (SD 11.5) years and smoked 20.7 (8.4) cigarettes per day. Their exercise capacity was 8.7 (2.3) METs, HR reserve was 86.6 (9.6)%, HR increase was 81.1 (20.9) beats/min, and HR recovery was 22.3 (11.3) beats. Cigarettes per day and pack-years were independently and inversely associated with baseline peak METs (P < .001), RPP (P < .01, pack-years only), HR increase (P < .05), and HR reserve (P < .01). After 3 years, 168 (28%) had quit smoking. Abstainers had greater improvements than continuing smokers (all P < .001) in RPP (2,055 mm Hg beats/min), HR increase (5.9 beats/min), and HR reserve (3.7%), even after statistical adjustment (all P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Smokers with a higher smoking burden have lower exercise capacity, lower HR reserve, and a blunted exercise HR response. After 3 years, TST improvements suggestive of improved CVD prognosis were observed among successful abstainers.

Circadian variation in the circulatory responses to exercise: relevance to the morning peaks in strokes and cardiac events

Sudden cardiac and cerebral events are most common in the morning. A fundamental question is whether these events are triggered by the increase in physical activity after waking, and/or a result of circadian variation in the responses of circulatory function to exercise. Although signaling pathways from the master circadian clock in the suprachiasmatic nuclei to sites of circulatory control are not yet understood, it is known that cerebral blood flow, autoregulation and cerebrovascular reactivity to changes in CO(2) are impaired in the morning and, therefore, could explain the increased risk of cerebrovascular events. Blood pressure (BP) and the rate pressure product (RPP) show marked 'morning surges' when people are studied in free-living conditions, making the rupture of a fragile atherosclerotic plaque and sudden cardiac event more likely. Since cerebral autoregulation is reduced in the morning, this surge in BP may also exacerbate the risk of hemorrhagic and ischemic strokes in the presence of other acute and chronic risk factors. Increased sympathetic activity, decreased endothelial function, and increased platelet aggregability could also be important in explaining the morning peak in cardiac and cerebral events but how these factors respond to exercise at different times of day is unclear. Evidence is emerging that the exercise-related responses of BP and RPP are increased in the morning when prior sleep is controlled. We recommend that such 'semi-constant routine' protocols are employed to examine the relative influence of the body clock and exogenous factors on the 24-h variation in other circulatory factors.

24-hour variation in the reactivity of rate-pressure-product to everyday physical activity in patients attending a hypertension clinic

The exercise-related response of the rate-pressure-product (RPP) is a prognostic marker of autonomic imbalance, cardiovascular mortality, and silent myocardial ischemia in hypertension. In view of the well-known 24 h variation in out-of-hospital sudden cardiac events, our aim was to investigate whether the reactivity of RPP to everyday physical activities varies over the 24 h. Ambulatory measurements of systolic blood pressure (BP) and heart rate were recorded every 20 min for 24 h in 440 diurnally active patients attending a hypertension clinic. Wrist activity counts were summed over the 15 min that preceded a BP measurement. An RPP reactivity index was derived for each of twelve 2 h data bins by regressing the change in RPP against the change in logged activity counts. The RPP showed 24 h variation (p < 0.0005), with a peak of 11,004 (95% CI = 10,757 to 11,250) beat . min(-1) . mmHg occurring at 10:00 h (2 h after mean wake-time). The overall 24 h mean of RPP reactivity was 477 beat . min(-1) . mmHg . logged activity counts(-1) (95% CI = 426 to 529). The largest increase in RPP reactivity occurred within the first 2 h after waking (p < 0.0005). There were no subsequent significant differences in RPP reactivity up to 14 h after waking. The lowest RPP reactivity was found 18-20 h after waking, with a peak-to-trough variation of 593 beat . min(-1) . mmHg . logged activity counts(-1) (95% CI = 394 to 791, p < 0.0005). Although this variation was not moderated by BP status, age, or sex, less variability in RPP reactivity was found for the medicated individuals during the waking hours. These data suggest that under conditions of normal living, the reactivity of RPP to a given change in physical activity increases markedly during the first 2 h after waking from nocturnal sleep, the time when out-of-hospital sudden cardiac events are also most common. Therefore, these data add weight to the notion that reactivity of RPP to physical activity could be a prognostic marker of autonomic imbalance and cardiovascular mortality, although more research is needed to assess the specific prognostic value of 24 h ambulatory measurements of RPP and physical activity.

Can we identify those at risk for a nondiagnostic treadmill test in a chest pain observation unit?

BACKGROUND

Exercise treadmill testing (ETT) is a testing modality that has shown to be a useful chest pain observation unit (CPU). One limitation of this tool is the high rate of nondiagnostic tests. We aim to create a predictive model to discriminate a patient's risk for a nondiagnostic test.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of consecutive subjects admitted to our CPU and undergoing an ETT from January 2001 to December 2006. To account for any variation in physician practice, the training set was those patients admitted January 2004 to December 2006 and the testing set comprised those evaluated January 2001 to December 2003. Recursive partitioning with 10-fold cross validation was used to identify significant variables associated with the outcome measure of a nondiagnostic treadmill test. The beta coefficient from the regression model was used to create a risk score. This risk score was then used stratify patients.

RESULTS

A total of 1708 subjects underwent ETT during the study period. The training set comprised 408 subjects with 62 having a nondiagnostic test. Logistic regression identified age, prior history of coronary artery disease, smoking, and diabetes variables used to create a scoring system. The testing set identified 387 (29.7) subjects meeting our criteria as low risk (9.0%) nondiagnostic test and identified 298 (22.9%) at high risk for a nondiagnostic test (32.8%).

CONCLUSION

Using a simple scoring system to stratify patients undergoing ETT into 3 risk groups, we were able to identify a low-risk group <10% and a high-risk group >30% for having a nondiagnostic ETT.

The prognostic value of haemodynamic parameters in the recovery phase of an exercise test. The Finnish Cardiovascular Study

We tested the hypothesis that the change from the peak to recovery values of systolic arterial pressure (SAP recovery) and rate-pressure product (RPP recovery) can be used to predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, as well as sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients referred to a clinical exercise stress test. As a part of the Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS), consecutive patients (n=2029; mean age+/-SD=57+/-13 years; 1290 men and 739 women) with a clinically indicated exercise test using a bicycle ergometer were included in the present study. Capacities of attenuated SAP recovery, RPP recovery and heart rate recovery (HRR) to stratify the risk of death were estimated. During a follow-up (mean+/-s.d.) of 47+/-13 months, 122 patients died; 58 of the deaths were cardiovascular and 33 were SCD. In Cox regression analysis after adjustment for the peak level of the variable under assessment, age, sex, use of beta-blockers, previous myocardial infarction and other common coronary risk factors, the hazard ratio of the continuous variable RPP recovery (in units 1000 mm Hg x b.p.m.) was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.73-0.98) for SCD, 0.87 (0.78-0.97) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.87 (0.81 to 0.94) for all-cause mortality. SAP recovery was not a predictor of mortality. The relative risks of having HRR below 18 b.p.m., a widely used cutoff point, were as follows: for SCD 1.28 (0.59-2.81, ns), for cardiovascular mortality 2.39 (1.34-4.26) and for all-cause mortality 2.40 (1.61-3.58). In conclusion, as a readily available parameter, RPP recovery is a promising candidate for a prognostic marker.

Fragmented QRS on a 12-lead ECG: a predictor of mortality and cardiac events in patients with coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

Fragmented QRS (fQRS) on a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with myocardial scar in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD).

OBJECTIVE

We postulated that fQRS is a predictor of cardiac events and mortality in patients who have known CAD or who are being evaluated for CAD.

METHODS

The cardiac events (myocardial infarction, need for revascularization, or cardiac death) and all-cause mortality were retrospectively reviewed in 998 patients (mean age 65.5 +/- 11.9 years, male 967) who underwent nuclear stress test. The fQRS on a 12-lead ECG included various RSR' patterns (> or =1 R' prime or notching of S wave or R wave) without typical bundle branch block in 2 contiguous leads corresponding to a major coronary artery territory.

RESULTS

All-cause mortality (93 [34.1%] vs 188 [25.9%]) and cardiac event rate (135 [49.5%] vs 200 [27.6%]) were higher in the fQRS group compared with the non-fQRS group during a mean follow-up of 57 +/- 23 months. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed significantly lower event-free survival for cardiac events (P <.001) and all-cause mortality (P = .02). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that significant fQRS was an independent significant predictor for cardiac events but not for all-cause mortality. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed no significant difference between fQRS and Q waves groups for cardiac events (P = .48) and all-cause mortality (P = .08).

CONCLUSION

The fQRS is an independent predictor of cardiac events in patients with CAD. It is associated with significantly lower event-free survival for a cardiac event on long-term follow-up.

The treadmill exercise-tolerance test is useful for the prediction and prevention of ischemic coronary events in elderly diabetics

BACKGROUND

Approximately 80% of cases of ischemic heart disease (IHD) occur in patients with nonstenotic coronary arteries, and few studies have systematically assessed exercise testing (TMT) as a predictor of risk in the elderly.

METHODS

TMT was carried out using a protocol for the independent and active elderly (n=176). After 4.1+/-0.5 years follow-up, logistic regression analysis was performed for each coronary risk factor such as diabetes mellitus (DM) and hypercholesterolemia (HC). According to the results, patients were divided into Gp HC, hypercholesterolemic patients; Gp DM, diabetics; Gp HC+DM, hypercholesterolemic diabetics; and Gp C, nonhyperlipidemic and nondiabetics. Sensitivity and specificity of TMT for IHD (significant stenosis or acute coronary syndrome) were analyzed.

RESULTS

Odds ratios for each risk factors are as follows: DM, 4.167; HC, 4.485; and DM+HC, 8.652. Notably, TMT was 17.59. Age was a significant risk, but hypertension was not. Positive ischemic signs in TMT were observed in 52.7%, 28.6%, 33.3%, and 16.3% in the Gp HC+DM, HC, DM, and C groups, respectively. Only three participants complained of chest pain during the TMT. Significant stenosis was observed in 75.0%, 71.4%, 69.2%, and 60.0% of coronary angiography (CAG)-receiving patients of Gp HC, DM, HC+DM, and C. During the observation term, acute coronary syndromes occurred in 4.7%, 3.3%, 5.5%, and 0% of patients in the Gp HC, DM, HC+DM, and C groups, respectively. The sensitivity of TMT for IHD was higher than 66.7% and specificity was higher than 94.1% in each group.

CONCLUSION

An exercise tolerance test in the elderly, especially for diabetics and hypercholesterolemic patients, is useful for the diagnosis of IHD.