The selective management of small abdominal aortic aneurysms: the Kingston study

Thrombus volume is associated with cardiovascular events and aneurysm growth in patients who have abdominal aortic aneurysms

BACKGROUND

Patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) are predisposed to cardiovascular events and often experience continual expansion of their aneurysm. Cardiovascular events and expansion rates are positively correlated with aneurysm size. AAA is usually associated with intraluminal thrombus, which has previously been implicated in AAA pathogenesis. This study prospectively assessed the association of infrarenal abdominal aortic thrombus volume with cardiovascular events and AAA growth.

METHODS

Ninety-eight patients with AAAs underwent computed tomography angiography (CTA). The volume of infrarenal aorta thrombus was measured by a previously validated technique. Patients were monitored prospectively for a median of 3 years (interquartile range [IQR], 2.0-3.6 years), and cardiovascular events (nonfatal stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization, amputation, and cardiovascular death) were recorded. Of the original patients, 39 underwent repeat CTA a median of 1.5 years (IQR, 1.1-3.3 years) after entry to the study. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional analysis were used to examine the association of aortic thrombus with cardiovascular events and average weighted AAA growth.

RESULTS

There were 28 cardiovascular events during follow-up. The incidence of cardiovascular events was 23.4% and 49.2% for patients with small (smaller than the median) and large (median or larger) volumes of aortic thrombus, respectively, at 4 years (P = .040). AAA thrombus volume of median or larger was associated with increased cardiovascular events (relative risk [RR] 2.8, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-5.24) independent of other risk factors, including initial AAA diameter, but was only of borderline significance when patients were censored at the time of AAA repair (RR, 2.35; 95% CI, 0.98-5.63). In the subset of patients with CTA follow-up, the median annual increase in AAA volume was 5.1 cm³ (IQR, 0.8-10.3 cm³). Annual AAA volume increase was positively correlated with initial AAA diameter (r = 0.44, P = .006) and thrombus volume (r = 0.50, P = .001). Median or larger aortic thrombus volume was associated with rapid AAA volume increase (≥ 5 cm/y), independent of initial aortic diameter (RR, 15.0; 95% CI, 1.9-115.7; P = .009).

CONCLUSION

In this small cohort, infrarenal aortic thrombus volume was associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events and AAA progression. These results need to be confirmed and mechanisms underlying the associations clarified in large further studies.

Indications for operative management of abdominal aortic aneurysms

The increasing incidence of abdominal aortic aneurysms, along with the more frequent use of screening techniques, has resulted in greater numbers of patients with small abdominal aortic aneurysms. The questions of frequency of surveillance and timing of intervention are the two most controversial issues faced by surgeons dealing with this condition. Most management decisions are based on the size of the aneurysm but other factors must also be considered. This review makes recommendations on the management of small abdominal aortic aneurysms according to the current available evidence.

CT of acute abdominal aortic disorders

Aortic aneurysm rupture, aortic dissection, PAU, acute aortic occlusion, traumatic aortic injury, and aortic fistula represent acute abdominal aortic conditions. Because of its speed and proximity to the emergency department, helical CT is the imaging test of choice for these conditions. MR imaging also plays an important role in the imaging of aortic dissection and PAU, particularly when the patient is unable to receive intravenous contrast material. In this era of MDCT, conventional angiography is used as a secondary diagnostic tool to clarify equivocal findings on cross-sectional imaging. Ultrasound is helpful when CT is not readily available and the patient is unable or too unstable to undergo MR imaging.

The relationship between abdominal aortic aneurysm wall compliance, maximum diameter and growth rate

AIM

Aortic compliance as measured by the pressure-strain elastic modulus (Ep) and stiffness (beta), may allow a more precise estimate of rupture risk. The aim of this study was to determine the relationships between compliance, maximal aneurysm diameter and growth rate.

METHODS

Sixty abdominal aortic aneurysm patients of median age 73 years, were studied. Growth rate was derived from repeat ultrasound scans obtained over a median period of 21 months (range 6-48). At the end of follow-up, patients underwent measurement of maximum aortic diameter, Ep and beta using the Diamove echo-tracking system.

RESULTS

Growth rate correlated positively (r = 0.6, P < 0.01) with maximum diameter on entry to the study There was a positive correlation between mean arterial pressure and Ep (r = 0.3, P = 0.03), but not between mean arterial pressure and beta (r = 0.8, P = 0.61). A positive correlation was found between final maximum diameter and Ep (r = 0.22, P = 0.04) but not beta (r = 0.16, P = 0.11). There was no significant relationship between growth rate and Ep or beta.

CONCLUSION

Large aneurysms tended to be less compliant. Within a population of abdominal aortic aneurysm of similar maximum diameter there was a 10-fold variation in Ep and beta. Compliance and growth rate were not related. If aortic compliance is related to risk of rupture then this predictive information is likely to be largely independent of that currently obtained from size and growth rate.

Abdominal and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm

Most abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) and thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAA) are asymptomatic and are found on physical exam or incidentally during radiological studies for other indications. These aneurysms are repaired primarily because their risk of rupture increases geometrically as the size exceeds 5 cm. The potential morbidity of intraoperative visceral and spinal ischemia involved with TAAA repair may be reduced with various adjunctive maneuvers.

The cost-effectiveness of early surgery versus watchful waiting in the management of small abdominal aortic aneurysms

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to compare the relative cost-effectiveness of two clinical strategies for managing 4 to 5 cm diameter abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs): early surgery (repair 4 cm AAA when diagnosed) versus watchful waiting (monitor AAA with ultrasound size measurements every 6 months and repair if the diameter reaches 5 cm).

METHODS

We used a Markov decision tree to compute the expected survival in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for each strategy, based on literature-derived estimates for the probabilities of different outcomes in this model. We determined hospital costs for patients undergoing elective and emergency AAA repair at our center. With standard methods of cost accounting, we then calculated the additional cost per year of life saved by early surgery compared with watchful waiting (cost-effectiveness ratio, dollars/QALY).

RESULTS

Mean hospital costs for elective and emergency AAA repair were $24,020 and $43,208, respectively (1992 dollars). For our base-case analysis (60-year-old men with 4 cm diameter AAAs, with 5% elective operative mortality rate and 3.3% annual rupture rate), early surgery improved survival by 0.34 QALYs compared with watchful waiting, at an incremental cost of $17,404/QALY. Increased elective surgical mortality rate, decreased AAA rupture risk, and increased patient age all reduced the cost-effectiveness of early surgery. Future increases in elective operative risk, noncompliance with ultrasound follow-up and increased threshold size for elective AAA repair during watchful waiting all improved the cost-effectiveness of early surgery. Future increases in elective operative risk, noncompliance with ultrasound follow-up and increased threshold size for elective AAA repair during watchful waiting all improved the cost-effectiveness of early surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

The cost effectiveness of early surgery for 4 cm diameter AAAs in carefully selected patients compares favorably with that of other commonly accepted preventive interventions such as hypertension screening and treatment. With an upper limit of $40,000/QALY as an "acceptable" cost-effectiveness ratio, early surgery appears to be justified for patients 70 years old or younger, if the AAA rupture risk is 3%/year or more and the elective operative mortality rate is 5% or less. Although not a substitute for clinical judgment, this cost-effectiveness analysis delineates the essential tradeoffs and uncertainties in treating patients with small AAAs.