Long-term exposure to elevated CO2 enhances plant community stability by suppressing dominant plant species in a mixed-grass prairie

Plant phenology response to nitrogen addition decreases community biomass stability in an alpine meadow

Phenology is a sensitive indicator of plant responses to environmental changes, and its shifts could impact community structure and function. However, the effects of phenological shifts on community stability are poorly understood. We conducted a 4-yr N enrichment and precipitation change experiment to assess their effects on community stability through phenological responses. To do so, we measured phenological duration and overlap (based on leaf-out and flowering phenology of 55 species) in an alpine meadow on the Tibetan Plateau. N enrichment extended the vegetative stage of grasses, sedges, and community by 4.62, 4.72, and 11.74 d, respectively, but shortened that of forbs by 6.14 d and increased the overlap of flowering among individuals within the community. Meanwhile, N enrichment decreased species richness, asynchrony, and stability of sedges. Furthermore, N enrichment decreased community stability by decreasing asynchrony but was not associated with richness. Interestingly, N enrichment also decreased sedges stability by extending their vegetative stage and increasing the overlap of flowering, consequently reducing community stability. Our findings imply that N enrichment reduces phenological compensation and thus threatens grassland stability, which highlights the importance of phenological niches in understanding the maintenance of grassland stability under ongoing climate change.

Community organization and network stability of co-occurring microbiota under the influence of Kuroshio Current

The Kuroshio Current structures environmental characteristics and biodiversity in the northwestern Pacific Ocean (NWPO), a region renowned for its dynamic oceanographic processes and rich marine ecosystems. However, the assembly and associations responses of prokaryotes and microeukaryotes to the Kuroshio Current remain largely unknown. Here, co-occurrence properties and stability of prokaryotic and eukaryotic microbiomes from three regions influenced by the Kuroshio: Kuroshio South of Japan (KSJ), Kuroshio Extension (KE), and the Kuroshio-Oyashio interfrontal zone (KOIZ) are systematically investigated. Microbiomes in the KE showed reduced phylogenetic distance and broader niche breadth than those in the KSJ and KOIZ. Microeukaryotic robustness was highest in the KE and lowest in the KOIZ, while prokaryotes showed the opposite pattern. Prokaryotic and microeukaryotic robustness and compositional stability formed complementary stabilizing and phylogenetic distance along vertical gradients in the KOIZ region, helping to maintain community and ecosystem stability. Prokaryotes and microeukaryotes formed complementary stabilizing under the influence of the Kuroshio Current. Overall, the network of prokaryotes was more stable than that of microeukaryotes, and microeukaryotes were more sensitive to environmental variations than prokaryotes. These results show how the Kuroshio Current influences the community organization and co-occurrence stability of prokaryotic and eukaryotic microbiomes, respectively, as well as their contrasting adaptability and survival strategies to environmental variation.

Overlooked in-situ sulfur disproportionation fuels dissimilatory nitrate reduction to ammonium in sulfur-based system: Novel insight of nitrogen recovery

Sulfur-based denitrification is a promising technology in treatments of nitrate-contaminated wastewaters. However, due to weak bioavailability and electron-donating capability of elemental sulfur, its sulfur-to-nitrate ratio has long been low, limiting the support for dissimilatory nitrate reduction to ammonium (DNRA) process. Using a long-term sulfur-packed reactor, we demonstrate here for the first time that DNRA in sulfur-based system is not negligible, but rather contributes a remarkable 40.5 %-61.1 % of the total nitrate biotransformation for ammonium production. Through combination of kinetic experiments, electron flow analysis, 16S rRNA amplicon, and microbial network succession, we unveil a cryptic in-situ sulfur disproportionation (SDP) process which significantly facilitates DNRA via enhancing mass transfer and multiplying 86.7-210.9 % of bioavailable electrons. Metagenome assembly and single-copy gene phylogenetic analysis elucidate the abundant genomes, including uc_VadinHA17, PHOS-HE36, JALNZU01, Thiobacillus, and Rubrivivax, harboring complete genes for ammonification. Notably, a unique group of self-SDP-coupled DNRA microorganism was identified. This study unravels a previously concealed fate of DNRA, which highlights the tremendous potential for ammonium recovery and greenhouse gas mitigation. Discovery of a new coupling between nitrogen and sulfur cycles underscores great revision needs of sulfur-driven denitrification technology.

Community stability of free-living and particle-attached bacteria in a subtropical reservoir with salinity fluctuations over 3 years

Changes in salinity have a profound influence on ecological services and functions of inland freshwater ecosystems, as well as on the shaping of microbial communities. Bacterioplankton, generally classified into free-living (FL) and particle-attached (PA) forms, are main components of freshwater ecosystems and play key functional roles for biogeochemical cycling and ecological stability. However, there is limited knowledge about the responses of community stability of both FL and PA bacteria to salinity fluctuations. Here, we systematically explored changes in community stability of both forms of bacteria based on high-frequency sampling in a shallow urban reservoir (Xinglinwan Reservoir) in subtropical China for 3 years. Our results indicated that (1) salinity was the strongest environmental factor determining FL and PA bacterial community compositions - rising salinity increased the compositional stability of both bacterial communities but decreased their α-diversity. (2) The community stability of PA bacteria was significantly higher than that of FL at high salinity level with low salinity variance scenarios, while the opposite was found for FL bacteria, i.e., their stability was higher than PA bacteria at low salinity level with high variance scenarios. (3) Both bacterial traits (e.g., bacterial genome size and interaction strength of rare taxa) and precipitation-induced factors (e.g., changes in salinity and particle) likely contributed collectively to differences in community stability of FL and PA bacteria under different salinity scenarios. Our study provides additional scientific basis for ecological management, protection and restoration of urban reservoirs under changing climatic and environmental conditions.

Opposing effects of warming on the stability of above- and belowground productivity in facing an extreme drought event

Climate warming, often accompanied by extreme drought events, could have profound effects on both plant community structure and ecosystem functioning. However, how warming interacts with extreme drought to affect community- and ecosystem-level stability remains a largely open question. Using data from a manipulative experiment with three warming treatments in an alpine meadow that experienced one extreme drought event, we investigated how warming modulates resistance and recovery of community structural and ecosystem functional stability in facing with extreme drought. We found warming decreased resistance and recovery of aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) and structural resistance but increased resistance and recovery of belowground net primary productivity (BNPP), overall net primary productivity (NPP), and structural recovery. The findings highlight the importance of jointly considering above- and belowground processes when evaluating ecosystem stability under global warming and extreme climate events. The stability of dominant species, rather than species richness and species asynchrony, was identified as a key predictor of ecosystem functional resistance and recovery, except for BNPP recovery. In addition, structural resistance of common species contributed strongly to the resistance changes in BNPP and NPP. Importantly, community structural resistance and recovery dominated the resistance and recovery of BNPP and NPP, but not for ANPP, suggesting the different mechanisms underlie the maintenance of stability of above- versus belowground productivity. This study is among the first to explain that warming modulates ecosystem stability in the face of extreme drought and lay stress on the need to investigate ecological stability at the community level for a more mechanistic understanding of ecosystem stability in response to climate extremes.

Do rice growth and yield respond similarly to abrupt and gradual increase in atmospheric CO2?

Crops have been well studied at abruptly elevated CO2 (e[CO2]). In fact, atmospheric CO2 concentration is rising gradually, but its ecological effect is little known. Thus, rice growth and yield were investigated under gradual e[CO2] (GE) and abrupt e[CO2] (AE) using open-top chambers. Gradual e[CO2] involved an ambient CO2 (a[CO2]) + 40 μmol mol-1 per year in 2016 until a[CO2] + 200 μmol mol-1 in 2020, while AE maintained a[CO2] + 200 μmol mol-1 from 2016 to 2020. We found that steady-state photosynthetic rates responded similarly and increased significantly under GE and AE, however, photosynthetic induction time in dynamic photosynthesis was reduced by AE. Gradual e[CO2] had little effect on biomass before the grain filling stage, while AE significantly stimulated biomass because of the stronger tillering ability and faster photosynthetic induction rate. Neither e[CO2] increased biomass at maturity, however, a significant increase in panicle density was observed under AE. Surprisingly, rice yield was not promoted by both e[CO2], possibly resulting from the reduced carbon assimilation caused by accelerated phenology from grain filling to maturity. These results promote a new understanding of the CO2 fertilization effect with small and slow increases in CO2 concentration, closer to what happens in nature. This may partly challenge the classic view of elevated CO2 fertilization effects from AE.

Environmental gradients shape microbiome assembly and stability in the East China sea

Microbiomes play a key role in marine ecosystem functioning and sustainability. Their organization and stability in coastal areas, particularly in anthropogenic-influenced regions, however, remains unclear compared with an understanding of how microbial community shifts respond to marine environmental gradients. Here, the assembly and community associations across vertical and horizontal gradients in the East China Sea are systematically researched. The seawater microbial communities possessed higher robustness and lower fragmentation and vulnerability compared to the sediment microbiomes. Spatial gradients act as a deterministic filtering factor for microbiome organization. Microbial communities had lower phylogenetic distance and higher niche breadth in the nearshore and offshore areas compared to intermediate areas. The phylogenetic distance of microbiomes decreased from the surface to the bottom but the niche breadth was enhanced in surface and bottom environments. Vertical gradients destabilized microbial associations, while the community diversity was enhanced. Multivariate regression tree analysis and canonical correspondence analysis indicated that depth, distance from shore, nutrient availability, temperature, salinity, and chlorophyll a, affected the distribution and co-occurrence of microbial groups. Our results highlight the crucial roles of environmental gradients in determining microbiome association and stability. These results improve our understanding of the survival strategies/adaptive mechanisms of microbial communities in response to environmental variation and provide new insights for protecting the ecosystems and maintaining the sustainability of ecological functions.

Land use conversion increases network complexity and stability of soil microbial communities in a temperate grassland

Soils harbor highly diverse microbial communities that are critical to soil health, but agriculture has caused extensive land use conversion resulting in negative effects on critical ecosystem processes. However, the responses and adaptations of microbial communities to land use conversion have not yet been understood. Here, we examined the effects of land conversion for long-term crop use on the network complexity and stability of soil microbial communities over 19 months. Despite reduced microbial biodiversity in comparison with native tallgrass prairie, conventionally tilled (CT) cropland significantly increased network complexity such as connectivity, connectance, average clustering coefficient, relative modularity, and the number of species acting at network hubs and connectors as well as resulted in greater temporal variation of complexity indices. Molecular ecological networks under CT cropland became significantly more robust and less vulnerable, overall increasing network stability. The relationship between network complexity and stability was also substantially strengthened due to land use conversion. Lastly, CT cropland decreased the number of relationships between network structure and environmental properties instead being strongly correlated to management disturbances. These results indicate that agricultural disturbance generally increases the complexity and stability of species "interactions", possibly as a trade-off for biodiversity loss to support ecosystem function when faced with frequent agricultural disturbance.

Grassland stability decreases with increasing number of global change factors: A meta-analysis

Experiments manipulating a single global change factor (GCF) have provided increasing evidence that global environmental changes, such as eutrophication, precipitation change, and warming, generally affect the temporal stability of grassland productivity. Whether the combined impact of global changes on grassland stability increases as the number of global changes increases remains unknown. Using a meta-analysis of 673 observations from 143 sites worldwide, including 7 different GCFs, we examined the responses of grassland temporal stability of productivity to increasing numbers of GCFs. We quantified the links between community stability, biotic factors (i.e., species richness, species stability, and species asynchrony), and abiotic factors (i.e., aridity index, experimental duration, and experimental intensity). Although inconsistent responses of community stability were found with different GCF types and combinations, when integrating existing GCFs studies and ignoring the identity of GCFs, we found a general decrease in community stability as the number of GCFs increases, but the main drivers of community stability varied with the numbers of GCFs. Specifically, one GCF mainly reduced species stability through species richness and thus weakened community stability. Two GCFs weakened community stability via independently weakening species stability and species asynchrony. Three GCFs reduce community stability mainly via independently weakening species asynchrony. Moreover, for single factor, the impact of GCFs on community stability was weaker under dryer conditions, but stronger when two or three factors were manipulated. In addition, the negative effect of GCFs on community stability was weaker with increasing experimental duration. Our study reveals that reduced community stability with increasing numbers of GCFs is caused by a shift from reduced species stability to reduced species asynchrony, suggesting that persistent global changes will destabilize grassland productivity by reducing asynchronous dynamics among species in response to natural environmental fluctuations.

The collapse and re-establishment of stability regulate the gradual transition of bacterial communities from macrophytes- to phytoplankton-dominated types in a large eutrophic lake

Eutrophic lakes often exhibit two alternative types: macrophytes-dominated (MD) and phytoplankton-dominated (PD). However, the nature of bacterial community types that whether the transition from the MD to the PD types occurs in a gradual or abrupt manner remains hotly debated. Further, the theoretical recognition that stability regulates the transition of bacterial community types remains qualitative. To address these issues, we divided the transition of bacterial communities along a trophic gradient into 12 successional stages, ranging from the MD to the PD types. Results showed that 12 states were clustered into three distinct regimes: MD type, intermediate transitional type and PD type. Bacterial communities were not different between consecutive stages, suggesting that the transition of alternative types occurs in a continuous gradient. At the same time, the stability of bacterial communities was significantly lower in the intermediate type than in the MD or PD types, highlighting that the collapse and re-establishment of community stability regulate the transition. Further, our results showed that the high complexity of taxon interactions and strong stochastic processes disrupt the stability. Ultimately, this study enables deeper insights into understanding the alternative types of microbial communities in the view of community stability.

Warming-driven indirect effects on alpine grasslands: short-term gravel encroachment rapidly reshapes community structure and reduces community stability

The community stability is the main ability to resist and be resilient to climate changes. In a world of climate warming and melting glaciers, alpine gravel encroachment was occurring universally and threatening hillside grassland ecosystem. Gravel encroachment caused by climate warming and glacial melting may alter community structure and community stability in alpine meadow. Yet, the effects of climate warming-induced gravel encroachment on grassland communities are unknown. Here, a 1-year short-term field experiment was conducted to explore the early stage drive process of gravel encroachment on community structure and stability at four different gravel encroachment levels 0%, 30%, 60%, and 90% gravel coverage at an alpine meadow on the Qinghai Tibetan Plateau, by analyzing the changes of dominant species stability and species asynchrony to the simulated gravel encroachment processes. Gravel encroachment rapidly changed the species composition and species ranking of alpine meadow plant community in a short period of time. Specifically, community stability of alpine meadow decreased by 61.78-79.48%, which may be due to the reduced dominant species stability and species asynchrony. Species asynchrony and dominant species stability were reduced by 2.65-17.39% and 46.51-67.97%, respectively. The results of this study demonstrate that gravel encroachment presents a severe negative impact on community structure and stability of alpine meadow in the short term, the longer term and comprehensive study should be conducted to accurate prediction of global warming-induced indirect effects on alpine grassland ecosystems.

Effect of microbial network complexity and stability on nitrogen and sulfur pollutant removal during sediment remediation in rivers affected by combined sewer overflows

Discovering the complexity and improving the stability of microbial networks in urban rivers affected by combined sewer overflows (CSOs) is essential for restoring the ecological functions of urban rivers, especially to improve their ability to resist CSO impacts. In this study, the effects of sediment remediation on the complexity and stability of microbial networks was investigated. The results revealed that the restored microbial community structure using different approaches in the river sediments differed significantly, and random matrix theory showed that sediment remediation significantly affected microbial networks and topological properties; the average path distance, average clustering coefficient, connectedness, and other network topological properties positively correlated with remediation time and weakened the small-world characteristics of the original microbial networks. Compared with other sediment remediation methods, regulating low dissolved oxygen (DO) shifts the microbial network module hubs from Actinobacteria and Bacteroidetes to Chloroflexi and Proteobacteria. This decreases the positive association of networks by 17%-18%, which intensifies the competitiveness among microorganisms, further weakening the influence and transmission of external pressure across the entire microbial network. Compared with that of the original sediment, the vulnerability of the restored network was reduced by more than 36%, while the compositional stability was improved by more than 12%, with reduced fluctuation in natural connectivity. This microbial network succession substantially increased the number of key enzyme-producing genes involved in nitrogen and sulfur metabolism, enhancing nitrification, denitrification, and assimilatory sulfate reduction, thereby increasing the removal rates of ammonia, nitrate, and acid volatile sulfide by 43.42%, 250.68% and 2.66%, respectively. This study comprehensively analyzed the succession patterns of microbial networks in urban rivers affected by CSOs before and after sediment remediation, which may provide a reference for reducing the impact of CSO pollution on urban rivers in the subsequent stages.

Temporal stability of productivity is associated with complementarity and competitive intensities in intercropping

Year-to-year stability in crop production is a crucial aspect of feeding a growing global population. Evidence from natural ecosystems shows that increasing plant diversity generally increases the temporal stability of productivity; however, we have little knowledge of the mechanisms by which diversity affects stability. In fact, understanding the drivers of stability is a major knowledge gap in our understanding of biodiversity and ecosystem function in general. We varied resource inputs into crop monocultures and intercropping of maize/pea and maize/rapeseed for 3 years in field experiments to create a wide range of values for temporal stability, complementarity effects, selection effects, competition, and facilitation. We correlated whole-system temporal stability in productivity with these values and the stability of competitively subordinate species and competitively dominant species in the intercrops. We then used structural equation modeling (SEM), which combines complex path models with latent variables, to estimate how interspecific interactions for water, nitrogen, and phosphorus affected the relationships between stability and these values. Intercropping treatments did not increase stability, but the wide range of stability created by our experiments allowed us to explore the relationship of many factors with stability. Complementarity correlated positively with the temporal stability of grain yield and aboveground biomass, suggesting that either facilitative interactions or niche partitioning shifted over time in ways that promoted stability. Furthermore, the temporal stability of total productivity of intercropping relied most on the stability of more productive species. However, facilitation tested by relative interaction index independently did not correlate with stability, but the temporal stability of the whole system increased as the competitive effects of competitively dominant species (pea and rapeseed) on competitively subordinate species (maize) decreased and was highest when these competitive effects were virtually zero. SEM indicated that as competition for soil nitrogen from competitively dominant species on competitively subordinate species decreased, the overall temporal stability of whole-system aboveground biomass increased. This stability then led to greater stability in grain production. Our findings indicate that complex shifts in complementarity and competitive intensities are likely to be key mechanisms that maintain temporal stability in species-diverse agriculture and, potentially, in natural systems.

Soil disturbance and invasion magnify CO2 effects on grassland productivity, reducing diversity

Climate change, disturbance, and plant invasion threaten grassland ecosystems, but their combined and interactive effects are poorly understood. Here, we examine how the combination of disturbance and plant invasion influences the sensitivity of mixed-grass prairie to elevated carbon dioxide (eCO₂ ) and warming. We established subplots of intact prairie and disturbed/invaded prairie within a free-air CO₂ enrichment (to 600 ppmv) by infrared warming (+1.5°C day, 3°C night) experiment and followed plant and soil responses for 5 years. Elevated CO₂ initially led to moderate increases in biomass and plant diversity in both intact and disturbed/invaded prairie, but these effects shifted due to strong eCO₂ responses of the invasive forb Centaurea diffusa. In the final 3 years, biomass responses to eCO₂ in disturbed/invaded prairie were 10 times as large as those in intact prairie (+186% vs. +18%), resulting in reduced rather than increased plant diversity (-17% vs. +10%). At the same time, warming interacted with disturbance/invasion and year, reducing the rate of topsoil carbon recovery following disturbance. The strength of these interactions demonstrates the need to incorporate disturbance into predictions of climate change effects. In contrast to expectations from studies in intact ecosystems, eCO₂ may threaten plant diversity in ecosystems subject to soil disturbance and invasion.

Trading water for carbon in the future: Effects of elevated CO2 and warming on leaf hydraulic traits in a semiarid grassland

The effects of climate change on plants and ecosystems are mediated by plant hydraulic traits, including interspecific and intraspecific variability of trait phenotypes. Yet, integrative and realistic studies of hydraulic traits and climate change are rare. In a semiarid grassland, we assessed the response of several plant hydraulic traits to elevated CO₂ (+200 ppm) and warming (+1.5 to 3°C; day to night). For leaves of five dominant species (three graminoids and two forbs), and in replicated plots exposed to 7 years of elevated CO₂ , warming, or ambient climate, we measured: stomatal density and size, xylem vessel size, turgor loss point, and water potential (pre-dawn). Interspecific differences in hydraulic traits were larger than intraspecific shifts induced by elevated CO₂ and/or warming. Effects of elevated CO₂ were greater than effects of warming, and interactions between treatments were weak or not detected. The forbs showed little phenotypic plasticity. The graminoids had leaf water potentials and turgor loss points that were 10% to 50% less negative under elevated CO₂ ; thus, climate change might cause these species to adjust their drought resistance strategy away from tolerance and toward avoidance. The C4 grass also reduced allocation of leaf area to stomata under elevated CO₂ , which helps explain observations of higher soil moisture. The shifts in hydraulic traits under elevated CO₂ were not, however, simply due to higher soil moisture. Integration of our results with others' indicates that common species in this grassland are more likely to adjust stomatal aperture in response to near-term climate change, rather than anatomical traits; this contrasts with apparent effects of changing CO₂ on plant anatomy over evolutionary time. Future studies should assess how plant responses to drought may be constrained by the apparent shift from tolerance (via low turgor loss point) to avoidance (via stomatal regulation and/or access to deeper soil moisture).

Livestock exclusion reduces the temporal stability of grassland productivity regardless of eutrophication

Changes in livestock loads and eutrophication associated with human activities can modify the stability of grassland's aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP), by modifying the mean (μ) and/or standard deviation (σ) of ANPP. The changes in attributes of the plant community (i.e., species richness, species asynchrony, dominance) might in turn explain the ecosystem temporal (inter-annual) stability of grassland production. Here, we evaluated the interactive effects of changes in livestock loads and chronic nutrient addition on the temporal stability of ANPP (estimated as μ/σ) in temperate grasslands. We also assessed the role of different attributes of the plant community on ecosystem stability. We carried out a factorial experiment of domestic livestock exclusion and nutrient addition (10 g.m^-2.year^-1 of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; n = 6 blocks) during five consecutive years in a natural grassland devoted to cattle production (Flooding Pampa, Argentina). Domestic livestock exclusion reduced ANPP stability by 65%, regardless of nutrient load, mainly by the increase of ANPP standard deviation. This reduction in ANPP stability after livestock exclusion was associated mostly with higher plant species dominance and also with reductions in plant effective richness and in the asynchrony of grassland's species. Despite not finding direct negative effects of eutrophication on ANPP stability, chronic nutrient addition decreased effective species richness and asynchrony, which may translate into reductions in ANPP stability in the future. Our findings highlight that the presence of livestock maintains the temporal stability of ANPP mainly by lowering the dominance of the plant community. However, increases in nutrient loads in grasslands devoted to livestock production may threaten grassland's stability.

Nutrients and herbivores impact grassland stability across spatial scales through different pathways

Nutrients and herbivores are well-known drivers of grassland diversity and stability in local communities. However, whether they interact to impact the stability of aboveground biomass and whether these effects depend on spatial scales remain unknown. It is also unclear whether nutrients and herbivores impact stability via different facets of plant diversity including species richness, evenness, and changes in community composition through time and space. We used a replicated experiment adding nutrients and excluding herbivores for 5 years in 34 global grasslands to explore these questions. We found that both nutrient addition and herbivore exclusion alone reduced stability at the larger spatial scale (aggregated local communities; gamma stability), but through different pathways. Nutrient addition reduced gamma stability primarily by increasing changes in local community composition over time, which was mainly driven by species replacement. Herbivore exclusion reduced gamma stability primarily by decreasing asynchronous dynamics among local communities (spatial asynchrony). Their interaction weakly increased gamma stability by increasing spatial asynchrony. Our findings indicate that disentangling the processes operating at different spatial scales may improve conservation and management aiming at maintaining the ability of ecosystems to reliably provide functions and services for humanity.

Stability response of alpine meadow communities to temperature and precipitation changes on the Northern Tibetan Plateau

Biomass temporal stability plays a key role in maintaining sustainable ecosystem functions and services of grasslands, and climate change has exerted a profound impact on plant biomass. However, it remains unclear how the community biomass stability in alpine meadows responds to changes in some climate factors (e.g., temperature and precipitation). Long-term field aboveground biomass monitoring was conducted in four alpine meadows (Haiyan [HY], Henan [HN], Gande [GD], and Qumalai [QML]) on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. We found that climate factors and ecological factors together affected the community biomass stability and only the stability of HY had a significant decrease over the study period. The community biomass stability at each site was positively correlated with both the stability of the dominant functional group and functional groups asynchrony. The effect of dominant functional groups on community stability decreased with the increase of the effect of functional groups asynchrony on community stability and there may be a 'trade-off' relationship between the effects of these two factors on community stability. Climatic factors directly or indirectly affect community biomass stability by influencing the stability of the dominant functional group or functional groups asynchrony. Air temperature and precipitation indirectly affected the community stability of HY and HN, but air temperature in the growing season and nongrowing season had direct negative and direct positive effects on the community stability of GD and QML, respectively. The underlying mechanisms varied between community composition and local climate conditions. Our findings highlighted the role of dominant functional group and functional groups asynchrony in maintaining community biomass stability in alpine meadows and we highlighted the importance of the environmental context when exploring the stability influence mechanism. Studies of community stability in alpine meadows along with different precipitation and temperature gradients are needed to improve our comprehensive understanding of the mechanisms controlling alpine meadow stability.

Ambient climate determines the directional trend of community stability under warming and grazing

Changes in ecological processes over time in ambient treatments are often larger than the responses to manipulative treatments in climate change experiments. However, the impacts of human-driven environmental changes on the stability of natural grasslands have been typically assessed by comparing differences between manipulative plots and reference plots. Little is known about whether or how ambient climate regulates the effects of manipulative treatments and their underlying mechanisms. We collected two datasets, one a 36-year long-term observational dataset from 1983 to 2018, and the other a 10-year manipulative asymmetric warming and grazing experiment using infrared heaters with moderate grazing from 2006 to 2015 in an alpine meadow on the Tibetan Plateau. The 36-year observational dataset shows that there was a nonlinear response of community stability to ambient temperature with a positive relationship between them due to an increase in ambient temperature in the first 25 years and then a decrease in ambient temperature thereafter. Warming and grazing decreased community stability with experiment duration through an increase in legume cover and a decrease in species asynchrony, which was due to the decreasing background temperature through time during the 10-year experiment period. Moreover, the temperature sensitivity of community stability was higher under the ambient treatment than under the manipulative treatments. Therefore, our results suggested that ambient climate may control the directional trend of community stability while manipulative treatments may determine the temperature sensitivity of the response of community stability to climate relative to the ambient treatment. Our study emphasizes the importance of the context dependency of the response of community stability to human-driven environmental changes.

Multidecadal effects of fire in a grassland biodiversity hotspot: Does pyrodiversity enhance plant diversity?

Native grasslands have been vastly transformed with the expansion of human activities. Applied fire regimes offer conservation-based management an opportunity to enhance remaining grassland biodiversity and secure its persistence into the future. Fire regimes have complex interactions with abiotic and biotic ecosystem components that influence environmental heterogeneity and biodiversity. We examined the pyrodiversity-biodiversity hypothesis, which suggests that more species are supported where pyrodiversity, that is, the level of environmental heterogeneity associated with different fire regimes, is greater. A mesocosm-type field experiment, maintained for 38 yr, was used to determine the response of plant diversity to 1-, 2-, 5- and 12-yr fire-return interval treatments, with early-dormant, middormant and early-growing season burns. Our sampling regime was designed to assess the influence of fire treatments and combinations thereof, over spatial scale, on plant diversity. Pyrodiversity was maximized where fire regime diversity, simulated by varying the size of patches with different fire treatments, was greatest. Species richness was predicted to be reduced at short and long extremes of fire-return interval, as suggested by the intermediate-disturbance hypothesis. The influence of fire treatments on alpha and beta diversity, and plant functional groups, were tested using multivariate and Bayesian models. Multilevel models of plant height and growth form, with fire-return interval, reflected the strong indirect influence of fire-return interval on sward structure and the plant environment. The pyrodiversity-biodiversity and intermediate-disturbance hypotheses were only partially supported and depended on the plant group and spatial scale of assessment. Although both frequent and infrequent burns made important contributions to overall species richness, richness peaked where 20-40% of the area was protected from frequent fires. The larger contribution of frequent burning to diversity was due to an interaction with scale and forb turnover over the trial area. Extremes in fire-return intervals reduced forb richness, supporting the predictions of the intermediate-disturbance hypothesis. Spring burns had a weak negative influence on forb alpha diversity, but only at small scales. For a meaningful contribution of management to plant diversity, traditional fixed biennial burns need to be supplemented with smaller patches burned with longer fire-return intervals, and extremes in fire-return intervals avoided.

Drought mildly reduces plant dominance in a temperate prairie ecosystem across years

Shifts in dominance and species reordering can occur in response to global change. However, it is not clear how altered precipitation and disturbance regimes interact to affect species composition and dominance.We explored community-level diversity and compositional similarity responses, both across and within years, to a manipulated precipitation gradient and annual clipping in a mixed-grass prairie in Oklahoma, USA. We imposed seven precipitation treatments (five water exclusion levels [-20%, -40%, -60%, -80%, and -100%], water addition [+50%], and control [0% change in precipitation]) year-round from 2016 to 2018 using fixed interception shelters. These treatments were crossed with annual clipping to mimic hay harvest.We found that community-level responses were influenced by precipitation across time. For instance, plant evenness was enhanced by extreme drought treatments, while plant richness was marginally promoted under increased precipitation.Clipping promoted species gain resulting in greater richness within each experimental year. Across years, clipping effects further reduced the precipitation effects on community-level responses (richness and evenness) at both extreme drought and added precipitation treatments. Synthesis: Our results highlight the importance of studying interactive drivers of change both within versus across time. For instance, clipping attenuated community-level responses to a gradient in precipitation, suggesting that management could buffer community-level responses to drought. However, precipitation effects were mild and likely to accentuate over time to produce further community change.

Successional change in species composition alters climate sensitivity of grassland productivity

Succession theory predicts altered sensitivity of ecosystem functions to disturbance (i.e., climate change) due to the temporal shift in plant community composition. However, empirical evidence in global change experiments is lacking to support this prediction. Here, we present findings from an 8-year long-term global change experiment with warming and altered precipitation manipulation (double and halved amount). First, we observed a temporal shift in species composition over 8 years, resulting in a transition from an annual C₃ -dominant plant community to a perennial C₄ -dominant plant community. This successional transition was independent of any experimental treatments. During the successional transition, the response of aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) to precipitation addition magnified from neutral to +45.3%, while the response to halved precipitation attenuated substantially from -17.6% to neutral. However, warming did not affect ANPP in either state. The findings further reveal that the time-dependent climate sensitivity may be regulated by successional change in species composition, highlighting the importance of vegetation dynamics in regulating the response of ecosystem productivity to precipitation change.

Biomass responses in a temperate European grassland through 17 years of elevated CO2

Future increase in atmospheric CO₂ concentrations will potentially enhance grassland biomass production and shift the functional group composition with consequences for ecosystem functioning. In the "GiFACE" experiment (Giessen Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment), fertilized grassland plots were fumigated with elevated CO₂ (eCO₂ ) year-round during daylight hours since 1998, at a level of +20% relative to ambient concentrations (in 1998, aCO₂ was 364 ppm and eCO₂ 399 ppm; in 2014, aCO₂ was 397 ppm and eCO₂ 518 ppm). Harvests were conducted twice annually through 23 years including 17 years with eCO₂ (1998 to 2014). Biomass consisted of C3 grasses and forbs, with a small proportion of legumes. The total aboveground biomass (TAB) was significantly increased under eCO₂ (p = .045 and .025, at first and second harvest). The dominant plant functional group grasses responded positively at the start, but for forbs, the effect of eCO₂ started out as a negative response. The increase in TAB in response to eCO₂ was approximately 15% during the period from 2006 to 2014, suggesting that there was no attenuation of eCO₂ effects over time, tentatively a consequence of the fertilization management. Biomass and soil moisture responses were closely linked. The soil moisture surplus (c. 3%) in eCO₂ manifested in the latter years was associated with a positive biomass response of both functional groups. The direction of the biomass response of the functional group forbs changed over the experimental duration, intensified by extreme weather conditions, pointing to the need of long-term field studies for obtaining reliable responses of perennial ecosystems to eCO₂ and as a basis for model development.

Elevated CO2 and Warming Altered Grassland Microbial Communities in Soil Top-Layers

As two central issues of global climate change, the continuous increase of both atmospheric CO₂ concentrations and global temperature has profound effects on various terrestrial ecosystems. Microbial communities play pivotal roles in these ecosystems by responding to environmental changes through regulation of soil biogeochemical processes. However, little is known about the effect of elevated CO₂ (eCO₂) and global warming on soil microbial communities, especially in semiarid zones. We used a functional gene array (GeoChip 3.0) to measure the functional gene composition, structure, and metabolic potential of soil microbial communities under warming, eCO₂, and eCO₂ + warming conditions in a semiarid grassland. The results showed that the composition and structure of microbial communities was dramatically altered by multiple climate factors, including elevated CO₂ and increased temperature. Key functional genes, those involved in carbon (C) degradation and fixation, methane metabolism, nitrogen (N) fixation, denitrification and N mineralization, were all stimulated under eCO₂, while those genes involved in denitrification and ammonification were inhibited under warming alone. The interaction effects of eCO₂ and warming on soil functional processes were similar to eCO₂ alone, whereas some genes involved in recalcitrant C degradation showed no significant changes. In addition, canonical correspondence analysis and Mantel test results suggested that NO₃-N and moisture significantly correlated with variations in microbial functional genes. Overall, this study revealed the possible feedback of soil microbial communities to multiple climate change factors by the suppression of N cycling under warming, and enhancement of C and N cycling processes under either eCO₂ alone or in interaction with warming. These findings may enhance our understanding of semiarid grassland ecosystem responses to integrated factors of global climate change.

Elevated CO2 induces substantial and persistent declines in forage quality irrespective of warming in mixedgrass prairie

Increasing atmospheric [CO₂ ] and temperature are expected to affect the productivity, species composition, biogeochemistry, and therefore the quantity and quality of forage available to herbivores in rangeland ecosystems. Both elevated CO₂ (eCO₂ ) and warming affect plant tissue chemistry through multiple direct and indirect pathways, such that the cumulative outcomes of these effects are difficult to predict. Here, we report on a 7-yr study examining effects of CO₂ enrichment (to 600 ppm) and infrared warming (+1.5°C day/3°C night) under realistic field conditions on forage quality and quantity in a semiarid, mixedgrass prairie. For the three dominant forage grasses, warming effects on in vitro dry matter digestibility (IVDMD) and tissue [N] were detected only in certain years, varied from negative to positive, and were relatively minor. In contrast, eCO₂ substantially reduced IVDMD (two most abundant grasses) and [N] (all three dominant grass species) in most years, except the two wettest years. Furthermore, eCO₂ reduced IVDMD and [N] independent of warming effects. Reduced IVDMD with eCO₂ was related both to reduced [N] and increased acid detergent fiber (ADF) content of grass tissues. For the six most abundant forage species (representing 96% of total forage production), combined warming and eCO₂ increased forage production by 38% and reduced forage [N] by 13% relative to ambient climate. Although the absolute magnitude of the decline in IVDMD and [N] due to combined warming and eCO₂ may seem small (e.g., from 63.3 to 61.1% IVDMD and 1.25 to 1.04% [N] for Pascopyrum smithii), such shifts could have substantial consequences for the rate at which ruminants gain weight during the primary growing season in the largest remaining rangeland ecosystem in North America. With forage production increases, declining forage quality could potentially be mitigated by adaptively increasing stocking rates, and through management such as prescribed burning, fertilization at low rates, and legume interseeding to enhance forage quality.

Elevated CO2 and water addition enhance nitrogen turnover in grassland plants with implications for temporal stability

Temporal variation in soil nitrogen (N) availability affects growth of grassland communities that differ in their use and reuse of N. In a 7-year-long climate change experiment in a semi-arid grassland, the temporal stability of plant biomass production varied with plant N turnover (reliance on externally acquired N relative to internally recycled N). Species with high N turnover were less stable in time compared to species with low N turnover. In contrast, N turnover at the community level was positively associated with asynchrony in biomass production, which in turn increased community temporal stability. Elevated CO₂ and summer irrigation, but not warming, enhanced community N turnover and stability, possibly because treatments promoted greater abundance of species with high N turnover. Our study highlights the importance of plant N turnover for determining the temporal stability of individual species and plant communities affected by climate change.

Climate warming reduces the temporal stability of plant community biomass production

Anthropogenic climate change has emerged as a critical environmental problem, prompting frequent investigations into its consequences for various ecological systems. Few studies, however, have explored the effect of climate change on ecological stability and the underlying mechanisms. We conduct a field experiment to assess the influence of warming and altered precipitation on the temporal stability of plant community biomass in an alpine grassland located on the Tibetan Plateau. We find that whereas precipitation alteration does not influence biomass temporal stability, warming lowers stability through reducing the degree of species asynchrony. Importantly, biomass temporal stability is not influenced by plant species diversity, but is largely determined by the temporal stability of dominant species and asynchronous population dynamics among the coexisting species. Our findings suggest that ongoing and future climate change may alter stability properties of ecological communities, potentially hindering their ability to provide ecosystem services for humanity.

Temporal stability of plant communities is driven by several mechanisms and may be influenced by climate change. Here it is shown that warming, but not precipitation, reduces species asynchrony in an alpine grassland, leading to lower biomass temporal stability.

Specific arrangements of species dominance can be more influential than evenness in maintaining ecosystem process and function

The ecological consequences of species loss are widely studied, but represent an end point of environmental forcing that is not always realised. Changes in species evenness and the rank order of dominant species are more widespread responses to directional forcing. However, despite the repercussions for ecosystem functioning such changes have received little attention. Here, we experimentally assess how the rearrangement of species dominance structure within specific levels of evenness, rather than changes in species richness and composition, affect invertebrate particle reworking and burrow ventilation behaviour - important moderators of microbial-mediated remineralisation processes in benthic environments - and associated levels of sediment nutrient release. We find that the most dominant species exert a disproportionate influence on functioning at low levels of evenness, but that changes in biomass distribution and a change in emphasis in species-environmental interactions become more important in governing system functionality as evenness increases. Our study highlights the need to consider the functional significance of alterations to community attributes, rather than to solely focus on the attainment of particular levels of diversity when safeguarding biodiversity and ecosystems that provide essential services to society.

Impacts of warming and elevated CO2 on a semi-arid grassland are non-additive, shift with precipitation, and reverse over time

It is unclear how elevated CO2 (eCO2 ) and the corresponding shifts in temperature and precipitation will interact to impact ecosystems over time. During a 7-year experiment in a semi-arid grassland, the response of plant biomass to eCO2 and warming was largely regulated by interannual precipitation, while the response of plant community composition was more sensitive to experiment duration. The combined effects of eCO2 and warming on aboveground plant biomass were less positive in 'wet' growing seasons, but total plant biomass was consistently stimulated by ~ 25% due to unique, supra-additive responses of roots. Independent of precipitation, the combined effects of eCO2 and warming on C3 graminoids became increasingly positive and supra-additive over time, reversing an initial shift toward C4 grasses. Soil resources also responded dynamically and non-additively to eCO2 and warming, shaping the plant responses. Our results suggest grasslands are poised for drastic changes in function and highlight the need for long-term, factorial experiments.

Dual mechanisms regulate ecosystem stability under decade-long warming and hay harvest

Past global change studies have identified changes in species diversity as a major mechanism regulating temporal stability of production, measured as the ratio of the mean to the standard deviation of community biomass. However, the dominant plant functional group can also strongly determine the temporal stability. Here, in a grassland ecosystem subject to 15 years of experimental warming and hay harvest, we reveal that warming increases while hay harvest decreases temporal stability. This corresponds with the biomass of the dominant C4 functional group being higher under warming and lower under hay harvest. As a secondary mechanism, biodiversity also explains part of the variation in temporal stability of production. Structural equation modelling further shows that warming and hay harvest regulate temporal stability through influencing both temporal mean and variation of production. Our findings demonstrate the joint roles that dominant plant functional group and biodiversity play in regulating the temporal stability of an ecosystem under global change.

Climatic change controls productivity variation in global grasslands

Detection and identification of the impacts of climate change on ecosystems have been core issues in climate change research in recent years. In this study, we compared average annual values of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) with theoretical net primary productivity (NPP) values based on temperature and precipitation to determine the effect of historic climate change on global grassland productivity from 1982 to 2011. Comparison of trends in actual productivity (NDVI) with climate-induced potential productivity showed that the trends in average productivity in nearly 40% of global grassland areas have been significantly affected by climate change. The contribution of climate change to variability in grassland productivity was 15.2–71.2% during 1982–2011. Climate change contributed significantly to long-term trends in grassland productivity mainly in North America, central Eurasia, central Africa, and Oceania; these regions will be more sensitive to future climate change impacts. The impacts of climate change on variability in grassland productivity were greater in the Western Hemisphere than the Eastern Hemisphere. Confirmation of the observed trends requires long-term controlled experiments and multi-model ensembles to reduce uncertainties and explain mechanisms.

Elevated carbon dioxide is predicted to promote coexistence among competing species in a trait-based model

Differential species responses to atmospheric CO 2 concentration (Ca) could lead to quantitative changes in competition among species and community composition, with flow-on effects for ecosystem function. However, there has been little theoretical analysis of how elevated Ca (eC a) will affect plant competition, or how composition of plant communities might change. Such theoretical analysis is needed for developing testable hypotheses to frame experimental research. Here, we investigated theoretically how plant competition might change under eC a by implementing two alternative competition theories, resource use theory and resource capture theory, in a plant carbon and nitrogen cycling model. The model makes several novel predictions for the impact of eC a on plant community composition. Using resource use theory, the model predicts that eC a is unlikely to change species dominance in competition, but is likely to increase coexistence among species. Using resource capture theory, the model predicts that eC a may increase community evenness. Collectively, both theories suggest that eC a will favor coexistence and hence that species diversity should increase with eC a. Our theoretical analysis leads to a novel hypothesis for the impact of eC a on plant community composition. This hypothesis has potential to help guide the design and interpretation of eC a experiments.