Early warning of the Indian Ocean Dipole using climate network analysis

Mesoscale eddy in situ observation and characterization via underwater glider and complex network theory

Mesoscale eddies have attracted increased attention due to their central role in ocean energy and mass transport. The observations of their three-dimensional structure will facilitate the understanding of nonlinear eddy dynamics. In this paper, we propose a novel framework, the mesoscale eddy characterization from ordinal modalities recurrence networks method (MeC-OMRN), that utilizes a Petrel-II underwater glider for in situ observations and vertical structure characterization of a moving mesoscale eddy in the northern South China Sea. First, higher resolution continuous observation profile data collected throughout the traversal by the underwater glider are acquired and preprocessed. Subsequently, we analyze and compute these nonlinear data. To further amplify the hidden structural features of the mesoscale eddy, we construct ordinal modalities sequences rich in spatiotemporal characteristics based on the measured vertical density of the mesoscale eddy. Based on this, we employ ordinal modalities recurrence plots (OMRPs) to depict the vertical structure inside and outside the eddy, revealing significant differences in the OMRPs and the unevenness of density stratification within the eddy. To validate our intriguing findings from the perspective of complex network theory, we build the multivariate weighted ordinal modalities recurrence networks, through which network measures exhibit a more random distribution of vertical density stratification within the eddy, possibly due to more intense vertical convection and oscillations within the eddy's seawater micelles. These framework and intriguing findings are anticipated to be applied to more data-driven in situ observation tasks of oceanic phenomena.

Recent achievements in nonlinear dynamics, synchronization, and networks

This Focus Issue covers recent developments in the broad areas of nonlinear dynamics, synchronization, and emergent behavior in dynamical networks. It targets current progress on issues such as time series analysis and data-driven modeling from real data such as climate, brain, and social dynamics. Predicting and detecting early warning signals of extreme climate conditions, epileptic seizures, or other catastrophic conditions are the primary tasks from real or experimental data. Exploring machine-based learning from real data for the purpose of modeling and prediction is an emerging area. Application of the evolutionary game theory in biological systems (eco-evolutionary game theory) is a developing direction for future research for the purpose of understanding the interactions between species. Recent progress of research on bifurcations, time series analysis, control, and time-delay systems is also discussed.

A Holistic Approach to Cardiometabolic and Infectious Health in the General Population of Reunion Island: The REUNION Study

INTRODUCTION

Reunion Island is a French overseas department in the South West Indian Ocean with a unique multi-ethnic population. Cardiovascular diseases are the most common chronic conditions with higher prevalences of hypertension and diabetes compared to mainland France. Moreover, Reunion Island is particularly exposed to vector-borne diseases such as chikungunya and dengue. Our objective is to describe the prevalence of cardiometabolic and infectious diseases in Reunion Island and explore causal mechanisms linking these diseases.

METHODS

The REUNION study is an ongoing French prospective study. From January 2022, 2,000 consenting participants (18-68 years old) are being recruited from the general population according to polling lists and random generation of cellphone number. Baseline examination consists of (i) general health examination, assessment of cardiovascular risk factors, markers of subclinical atherosclerosis, bronchial obstruction, neuropathic and autonomic dysfunction, (ii) questionnaires to determine sociodemographic characteristics, diet, exposure to vector-borne diseases, mental health and cognitive functions, social inequalities in health and ethnic origins, (iii) biological sampling for determination of cardiovascular risk factors, seroprevalence of infectious diseases, innovative lipid biomarkers, advanced omics, composition of intestinal, periodontal and skin microbiota, and biobanking.

CONCLUSIONS

The REUNION study should provide new insights into the prevalence of cardiometabolic and infectious diseases, as well as their potential associations through the examination of various environmental pathways and a wide range of health aspects.

Motion states identification of underwater glider based on complex networks and graph convolutional networks

Underwater glider (UG) plays an important role in ocean observation and exploration for a more efficient and deeper understanding of complex ocean environment. Timely identifying the motion states of UG is conducive for timely attitude adjustment and detection of potential anomalies, thereby improving the working reliability of UG. Combining limited penetrable visibility graph (LPVG) and graph convolutional networks (GCN) with self-attention mechanisms, we propose a novel method for motion states identification of UG, which is called as visibility graph and self-attention mechanism-based graph convolutional network (VGSA-GCN). Based on the actual sea trial data of UG, we chose the attitude angle signals of motion states related sensors collected by the control system of UG as the research object and constructed complex networks based on the LPVG method from pitch angle, roll angle, and heading angle data in diving and climbing states. Then, we build a self-attention mechanism-based GCN framework and classify the graphs under different motion states constructed by a complex network. Compared with support vector machines, convolutional neural network, and GCN without self-attention pooling layer, the proposed VGSA-GCN method can more accurately distinguish the diving and climbing states of UG. Subsequently, we analyze the variation of the transitivity coefficient corresponding to these two motion states. The results suggest that the coordination of the various sensors in the attitude adjustment unit during diving becomes closer and more efficient, which corresponds to the higher network measure of the diving state compared to the climbing state.

Arctic weather variability and connectivity

The Arctic's rapid sea ice decline may influence global weather patterns, making the understanding of Arctic weather variability (WV) vital for accurate weather forecasting and analyzing extreme weather events. Quantifying this WV and its impacts under human-induced climate change remains a challenge. Here we develop a complexity-based approach and discover a strong statistical correlation between intraseasonal WV in the Arctic and the Arctic Oscillation. Our findings highlight an increased variability in daily Arctic sea ice, attributed to its decline accelerated by global warming. This weather instability can influence broader regional patterns via atmospheric teleconnections, elevating risks to human activities and weather forecast predictability. Our analyses reveal these teleconnections and a positive feedback loop between Arctic and global weather instabilities, offering insights into how Arctic changes affect global weather. This framework bridges complexity science, Arctic WV, and its widespread implications.