Plasma lactate at admission does not predict mortality and complications in hip fracture patients: a prospective observational study

Association of Serum Lactate Levels Measured in the Emergency Department with 30-Day Mortality in Older Patients with Unilateral Hip Fractures

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures are frequent injuries in older patients and are associated with high mortality rates. This study assessed the association between serum lactate level and 30-day mortality in older patients with unilateral hip fractures and examined the prognostic value of this association on the clinical outcomes of these patients.

METHODS

This retrospective, single-center study included patients aged ≥65 years admitted to the emergency department due to low-energy trauma and diagnosed with unilateral hip fracture upon admission. The additional inclusion criteria were patients with independent ambulation or walker or cane assistance before the injury, with available data on serum lactate levels on venous blood gas analysis, and who underwent surgery.

RESULTS

Among the 330 included patients, 30.9% experienced postoperative complications and 10.3% died within 30 days. Using a lactate cut-off value of 2 mmol/L to distinguish between living and deceased patients, the sensitivity and specificity were 41% and 88%, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that high lactate and low albumin levels and male sex were associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Identifying risk factors for mortality in geriatric patients with hip fractures is important. Male sex, low albumin levels, and particularly increased lactate levels were independent predictors of short-term mortality in these patients.

Novel biomarkers for prediction of outcome in hip fracture patients-An exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the value of biomarkers for prognostication in hip fracture patients. The main objective of the present study was to assess if biomarkers add useful information to an existing risk score for prediction of 30-day mortality in patients suffering from out of hospital hip fractures.

METHODS

In a prospective observational single centre study, association between plasma concentration of ninety-two biomarkers at admission and 30-day mortality was analysed using logistic regression adjusted for risk factors included in Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS). Biomarkers associated with the outcome in the adjusted analysis were further evaluated by calculating the net reclassification improvement (NRI) and the change in area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) relative to the NHFS.

RESULTS

997 patients were included. Sixty-two patients died within 30 days (6.2%). Eleven biomarkers were associated with 30-day mortality in adjusted analysis. Of these biomarkers Growth Differentiation Factor-15 (GDF-15) had NRI for the primary outcome (12.1%; 95% CI: 1.2-23.3) and Carbohydrate Antigen 125 (CA-125) improved the AUC relative to NHFS (improvement: 0.05; 95% CI: 0.01-0.10, P = .027). Both CA-125 and GDF-15 improved the AUC for a composite outcome of 30-day mortality and cardiovascular complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding GDF-15 or CA-125 to the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score improves the discrimination with regard to predicting 30-day mortality and may help to identify a subgroup of hip fracture patients with a particularly poor prognosis. The value of these biomarkers should be explored in further studies to confirm clinical utility.