A simplified method for computed tomographic estimation of prognosis in acute pancreatitis

The Value of Modified Renal Rim Grade in Predicting Acute Kidney Injury Following Severe Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVE

To retrospectively determine the value of modified renal rim grade (MRRG) in predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) in the early phase of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

This institutional review board-approved retrospective study included patients with SAP who underwent abdominal contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) within 48 hours after disease onset. Modified renal rim grade, renal rim grade, CT severity index, modified CT severity index, extrapancreatic inflammation on CT scores, and posterior pararenal (PPR) space involvement were assessed. Clinical data, including bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis and New Japanese Severity Scoring system scores, were collected. Primary end points were AKI and mortality. Scores were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Correlational analyses between MRRG scores and the other scores were performed with Spearman analysis.

RESULT

One hundred five consecutive patients were enrolled in our study. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of MRRG in predicting AKI (0.90) and mortality (0.83) were comparable to extrapancreatic inflammation on CT (0.89 and 0.85, P > 0.05) and were higher than those of the other CT scores (P < 0.05). Modified renal rim grade score of greater than 4 yielded sensitivities and specificities of 81% and 89% for predicting AKI and 88% and 66% for mortality. Modified renal rim grade correlated moderately with bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (Spearman r = 0.47) and New Japanese Severity Scoring system (r = 0.43) scores. Besides, the prevalence of PPR space involvement in nonrecovery AKI patients was higher than that in recovery patients (94% vs 36%, P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Modified renal rim grade is well correlated with the occurrence of AKI and mortality in SAP. The PPR space involvement is a promising prognostic factor for nonrecovery of AKI in SAP patients.

Evaluation of extrapancreatic inflammation on abdominal computed tomography as an early predictor of organ failure in acute pancreatitis as defined by the revised Atlanta classification

The aim of the study was to determine whether extrapancreatic inflammation on computed tomography (EPIC) is helpful in predicting organ failure in the early phase of acute pancreatitis (AP) as defined by the 2012 revised Atlanta classification.Patients (n = 208) who underwent abdominal computed tomography (CT) within 24 hours after AP onset and admission were retrospectively identified. Each patient's EPIC score, Balthazar score, bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) score were obtained. Primary endpoints were organ failure occurrence and death. Scores were evaluated by receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC) analysis.Median age was 45 years (range: 18-83 years). Forty-seven patients (22.6%) developed organ failure, and 5 patients (2.4%) developed infection and underwent surgery. Two patients died. The median EPIC score was 2 (range: 0-7). EPIC score accuracy (AUC = 0.724) in predicting organ failure was similar to that of BISAP (0.773) and SIRS (0.801) scores, whereas Balthazar scoring was not significant (P = .293). An EPIC score of 3 or greater had a sensitivity and specificity of 80.65% and 63.16%, respectively. EPIC scores correlated moderately with organ failure severity (Spearman r = 0.321) and number of failed organs (r = 0.343).The EPIC scoring system can be useful in predicting the occurrence of organ failure, but it does not differentiate severity and number of failed organs in early phase AP.

Extra-pancreatic necrosis alone: Contours of an emerging entity

Acute pancreatitis is of two morphologic types: interstitial edematous pancreatitis that is not associated with any tissue necrosis and necrotizing pancreatitis wherein the pancreatic parenchyma with or without varying amount of extra-pancreatic tissue/fat undergoes necrosis. Necrotizing pancreatitis has a worse outcome compared with interstitial pancreatitis because of increased severity related to a heightened systemic response and cytokine storm associated with tissue necrosis. Increasingly, an entity of extra-pancreatic necrosis (EPN) alone, wherein the pancreatic parenchyma is normal on an enhanced computed tomographic scan but the peri-pancreatic tissues undergo necrosis, is being recognized. Available data suggest that the outcomes in patients with EPN alone are between the excellent prognosis of patients with interstitial and adverse prognosis of patients with necrotizing pancreatitis. The extent of EPN also seems to determine the outcome. This review summarizes the currently available literature on this entity and various radiological scores that have been suggested to determine the presence and stage of EPN.

Acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis, an inflammatory disorder of the pancreas, is the leading cause of admission to hospital for gastrointestinal disorders in the USA and many other countries. Gallstones and alcohol misuse are long-established risk factors, but several new causes have emerged that, together with new aspects of pathophysiology, improve understanding of the disorder. As incidence (and admission rates) of acute pancreatitis increase, so does the demand for effective management. We review how to manage patients with acute pancreatitis, paying attention to diagnosis, differential diagnosis, complications, prognostic factors, treatment, and prevention of second attacks, and the possible transition from acute to chronic pancreatitis.

Time period from onset of pain to hospital admission and patients' awareness in acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the period between onset of pain and hospital-admission (pain-to-admission time) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), to investigate the prognostic value and associated factors of this time, and to ascertain the knowledge about the pancreas in these patients.

METHODS

An analysis of a prospective multicenter study was done, which included 188 patients with AP.

RESULTS

Median pain-to-admission time was 27 hours (interquartile range, 6.0-72.0). Median pain-to-admission time was significantly shorter in intensive care unit (ICU) patients (10 hours) compared to non-ICU patients (36 hours) (P = 0.045). Short pain-to-admission time was associated with high pain level. Median pain level (0, no pain; 10, maximal pain) was 8.0 (interquartile range, 7.0-10.0). Older age correlated with lower pain level (r = -0.26; P = 0.002). Multiple logistic regression analysis including the admission values for serum lipase and C-reactive protein and the corresponding interactions to the pain-to-admission time showed substantial discriminative ability regarding ICU admission (concordance index, 0.706; P = 0.006). 86% (112/130) knew that they have a pancreas, 72% (81/112) of these patients knew that AP exists, and 56% (45/81) recognized that AP is potentially fatal.

CONCLUSIONS

Knowledge about AP in hospitalized AP patients is poor. Serum lipase and C-reactive protein in dependency of the pain-to-admission time might be a suitable predictor for severity of AP.

A comparative evaluation of radiologic and clinical scoring systems in the early prediction of severity in acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

The early identification of clinically severe acute pancreatitis (AP) is critical for the triage and treatment of patients. The aim of this study was to compare the accuracy of computed tomography (CT) and clinical scoring systems for predicting the severity of AP on admission.

METHODS

Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data of all consecutive patients with a primary diagnosis of AP during a two-and-half-year period was prospectively collected for this study. A retrospective analysis of the abdominal CT data was performed. Seven CT scoring systems (CT severity index (CTSI), modified CT severity index (MCTSI), pancreatic size index (PSI), extrapancreatic score (EP), ''extrapancreatic inflammation on CT'' score (EPIC), ''mesenteric oedema and peritoneal fluid'' score (MOP), and Balthazar grade) as well as two clinical scoring systems: Acute Physiology, Age, and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE)-II and Bedside Index for Severity in AP (BISAP) were comparatively evaluated with regard to their ability to predict the severity of AP on admission (first 24 h of hospitalization). Clinically severe AP was defined as one or more of the following: mortality, persistent organ failure and/or the presence of local pancreatic complications that require intervention. All CT scans were reviewed in consensus by two radiologists, each blinded to patient outcome. The accuracy of each imaging and clinical scoring system for predicting the severity of AP was assessed using receiver operating curve analysis.

RESULTS

Of 346 consecutive episodes of AP, there were 159 (46%) episodes in 150 patients (84 men, 66 women; mean age, 54 years; age range, 21-91 years) who were evaluated with a contrast-enhanced CT scan (n = 131 episodes) or an unenhanced CT scan (n = 28 episodes) on the first day of admission. Clinically severe AP was diagnosed in 29/159 (18%) episodes; 9 (6%) patients died. Overall, the Balthazar grading system (any CT technique) and CTSI (contrast-enhanced CT only) demonstrated the highest accuracy among the CT scoring systems for predicting severity, but this was not statistically significant. There were no statistically significant differences between the predictive accuracies of CT and clinical scoring systems.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive accuracy of CT scoring systems for severity of AP is similar to clinical scoring systems. Hence, a CT on admission solely for severity assessment in AP is not recommended.

Prediction of severe acute pancreatitis at admission to hospital using artificial neural networks

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are non-linear pattern recognition techniques, which can be used as a tool in medical decision-making. The aim of this study was to construct and validate an ANN model for early prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

Patients treated for AP from 2002 to 2005 (n = 139) and from 2007 to 2009 (n = 69) were analyzed to develop and validate the ANN model. Severe AP was defined according to the Atlanta criteria.

RESULTS

ANNs selected 6 of 23 potential risk variables as relevant for severity prediction, including duration of pain until arrival at the emergency department, creatinine, hemoglobin, alanine aminotransferase, heart rate, and white blood cell count. The discriminatory power for prediction of progression to a severe course, determined from the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, was 0.92 for the ANN model, 0.84 for the logistic regression model (p = 0.030), and 0.63 for the APACHE II score (p < 0.001). The numbers of correctly classified patients for a sensitivity of 50 and 75% were significantly higher for the ANN model than for logistic regression (p = 0.002) and APACHE II (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The ANN model identified 6 risk variables available at the time of admission, including duration of pain, a finding not being presented as a risk factor before. The severity classification developed proved to be superior to APACHE II. and IAP.

Significance of renal rim grade on computed tomography in severity evaluation of acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

Multifactor scoring systems, such as the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, are useful for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP); however, they are rather complicated. The aim of this study was to introduce renal rim grade (RRG) as a severity assessment measure for AP.

METHODS

One hundred twenty-two eligible AP patients who underwent abdominal computed tomography (CT) on admission were evaluated for RRG (grades 1-3). The end points were the severity of illness and hospital mortality. Furthermore, RRG was compared with the Balthazar score, the CT severity index, the Ranson score, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, using a receiver operating characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

The exacerbation rates into severe disease were 3% (grade 1), 48% (grade 2), and 89% (grade 3). The mortality rates were 3% (grade 1), 8% (grade 2), and 31% (grade 3). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves to predict the severe disease and mortality using the RRG system were comparable with other scoring systems.

CONCLUSIONS

Renal rim grade is useful for the evaluation of the severity of AP.

Acute pancreatitis: radiologic scores in predicting severity and outcome

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common inflammatory disease which can be mild and self-limiting without complications or severe with prolonged hospitalization, high morbidity, and high mortality. Different radiological scoring systems to predict severity and outcome in AP have been developed since the early 1990s. In the meantime, new insights in the pathophysiology of AP and consequently, therapeutic management of these patients have been introduced. The purpose of this review is therefore (1) to describe the current terminology and new concepts in the pathophysiology, (2) to outline the long existing and newly developed radiological scoring systems in prediction of severity and outcome with their respective advantages and limitations, and (3) to define the role of radiological prognostic scoring systems in the new environment of perception of the last decade. Risk stratification in AP requires scoring systems that can be calculated early in the course of disease which allows time for intervention. For that reason, scoring systems based on necrosis are not useful in severity prediction. The recent developed radiological scoring systems based on signs of systemic inflammatory response syndrome and organ dysfunction are promising in prediction of severity early after onset of AP.

Toward an update of the atlanta classification on acute pancreatitis: review of new and abandoned terms

OBJECTIVES

The 1992 Atlanta classification is a clinically based classification system that defines the severity and complications of acute pancreatitis. The purpose of this review was to assess whether the terms abandoned by the Atlanta classification are really discarded in the literature. The second objective was to review what new terms have appeared in the literature since the Atlanta symposium.

METHODS

We followed a Medline search strategy in review and guideline articles after the publication of the Atlanta classification. This search included the abandoned terms: "phlegmon," "infected pseudocyst," "hemorrhagic pancreatitis," and "persistent pancreatitis."

RESULTS

A total of 239 publications were reviewed, including 10 guideline articles and 42 reviews. The abandoned terms "hemorrhagic pancreatitis" and "persistent pancreatitis" are hardly encountered, in contrast, both "infected pseudocyst" and "phlegmon" are frequently used, and several authors question their abandonment. New terminology in acute pancreatitis consists of "organized pancreatic necrosis," "necroma," "extrapancreatic necrosis," and "central gland necrosis."

CONCLUSIONS

This review demonstrates that the Atlanta classification is still not universally accepted. Several abandoned terms are frequently used, and new terms have emerged that describe manifestations in acute pancreatitis that were not specifically addressed during the Atlanta symposium.

Strategic management of severe acute pancreatitis in the Jehovah's witness

Haemorrhage can be a lethal complication of severe acute pancreatitis. Management includes identification and control of the source of bleeding and supportive therapy such as blood transfusion. Individuals who refuse transfusion on the grounds of religious belief can provide a further major challenge. The management in these individuals can be focused from the outset with a strategy that aims to avert anaemia and transfusion. This article reports a case of severe acute pancreatitis in a woman of the Jehovah's Witness faith. The episode was complicated by infected pancreatic necrosis requiring surgical intervention. Careful strategic planning is critical to the management of severe acute pancreatitis in patients of the Jehovah's Witness faith. In this case, acute pancreatitis complicated by infected necrosis was successfully managed by the use of preoperative erythropoietin, venesection using paediatric blood vials, meticulous intraoperative attention to haemostasis and the use of adjunctive intraoperative techniques such as argon diathermy.

Contrast-enhanced computed tomography in acute pancreatitis: does contrast medium worsen its course due to impaired microcirculation?

BACKGROUND

An early and accurate diagnosis of severe acute (necrotizing) pancreatitis is important to allow timely institution of therapy to limit the extra-pancreatic sequelae of this necrotizing process and to minimize the incidence of super-infection of the necrosis (i.e., progression to infected necrosis). Contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) has become the cornerstone of diagnosis by confirming the clinical diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis based on the various clinical scoring criteria. Moreover, CECT serves as an anatomic roadmap for guiding radiological and surgical interventions. However, still-controversial experimental studies in animals in the mid-1990s suggested that the use of intravenous radiographic contrast media early in the course of the disease might exacerbate the necrotizing process by further impairing the already compromised pancreatic microcirculation. A series of experimental and clinical studies followed that have both refuted and supported this claim; unfortunately, none is conclusive, and the topic remains, as yet, unresolved.

AIMS

Our objective was to review objectively the available literature found by a Medline search on this subject.

METHODS

Meta-analysis and review.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Our conclusion, after analysis of these studies, is that there are no well-substantiated data that could resolve the controversy. However, several caveats will be offered.