Huo TI, Lin HC, Huang YH, Wu JC, Chiang JH, Lee PC, Lee SD. The model for end-stage liver disease-based Japan Integrated Scoring system may have a better predictive ability for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing locoregional therapy.
Cancer 2006;
107:141-8. [PMID:
16708358 DOI:
10.1002/cncr.21972]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
The Japan Integrated Scoring (JIS) system was revealed as a better model for outcome prediction compared with the Cancer of Liver Italian Program system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) was better as a prognostic predictor for patients with cirrhosis compared with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) system, which is a parameter used in the JIS system. The objective of the current study was to investigate the performance of the modified MELD-based JIS system.
METHODS
In the modified JIS system, the CTP class in the original JIS was replaced with MELD cut-off scores of <10, 10 to 14, and >14. The modified JIS system was compared with the original system in 276 patients with HCC who underwent locoregional therapy (transarterial chemoembolization or percutaneous injection).
RESULTS
The mean +/- standard error original JIS score was 1.8 +/- 1.0 (range, 0-4), compared with 2.0 +/- 1.1 (range, 0-5) for the modified JIS system (P < .001). Using mortality as the endpoint, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the modified JIS system was 0.804 compared with 0.741 for the original JIS system (P = .008) at 12 months, and the AUC was 0.853 and 0.765, respectively (P < .001), at 24 months. Survival analysis showed that the modified JIS system had a better discriminatory ability for patients in different score groups and was more accurate for outcome prediction in the Cox multivariate model.
CONCLUSIONS
The current results indicated that the MELD-based, modified JIS system has improved predictive ability compared with the original system and is a more feasible model for clinical staging in patients with HCC who are undergoing locoregional therapy.
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