Parotid gland mean dose as a xerostomia predictor in low-dose domains

NTCP modelling of xerostomia after radiotherapy for oropharyngeal cancer using the PRO-CTCAE and CTCAE scoring systems at different time-points post-RT

PURPOSE

This study aims at determining the parameter values of three normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models for the contralateral parotid gland, contralateral submandibular gland (SMG) and contralateral salivary glands regarding the endpoint of xerostomia 6-24 months after radiotherapy for oropharynx cancer.

METHODS

The treatment and outcome data of 231 patients with favorable risk, HPV-associated oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma are analyzed. 60 Gy intensity modulated radiotherapy was delivered to all the patients. The presence and severity of xerostomia was recorded (pre- and post- radiotherapy) by the PRO-CTCAE and the CTCAE scoring systems. In both scoring systems, patients with a change in symptom severity (from baseline) of ≥ 2 were considered responders.

RESULTS

Xerostomia was observed in 61.3 %, 39.2 %, 28.6 % and 27.0 % of the patients based on the PRO-CTCAE scoring system at 6-, 12-, 18- and 24-months post-RT, respectively. The AUCs of the contralateral salivary glands ranged between 0.58-0.64 in the LKB model with the gEUD ranging between 20.3 Gy and 24.7 Gy.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the PRO-CTCAE scores, mean dose < 22 Gy, V50 < 10 % for the contralateral salivary glands and mean dose < 18 Gy, V45 < 10 % for the contralateral parotid were found to significantly reduce by a factor of 2-3 the risk for radiation induced xerostomia that is observed at 6-24 months post-RT, respectively. Also, gEUD < 22 Gy to the contralateral salivary glands and < 18 Gy to the contralateral parotid was found to significantly reduce the risk for radiation induced xerostomia that is observed at 6-24 months post-RT by 2.0-2.3 times.

A systematic review of the normal tissue complication probability models and parameters: Head and neck cancers treated with conformal radiotherapy

This systematic review study aims to provide comprehensive data on different radiobiological models, parameters, and endpoints used for calculating the normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) based on clinical data from head and neck cancer patients treated with conformal radiotherapy. A systematic literature search was carried out according to the PRISMA guideline for the identification of relevant publications in six electronic databases of Embase, PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar to July 2022 using specific keywords in the paper's title and abstract. The initial search resulted in 1368 articles for all organs for the review article about the NTCP parameters. One hundred and seventy-eight articles were accepted for all organs with complete parameters for the mentioned models and finally, 20 head and neck cancer articles were accepted for review. Analysis of the studies shows that the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman (LKB) model properly links the NTCP curve parameters to the postradiotherapy endpoints. In the LKB model for esophagus, the minimum, and maximum corresponding parameters were reported as TD50  = 2.61 Gy with grade ≥3 radiation-induced esophagitis endpoints as the minimum TD50 and TD50  = 68 Gy as the maximum ones. nmin  = 0.06, nmax  = 1.04, mmin  = 0.1, and mmax  = 0.65, respectively. Unfortunately, there was not a wide range of published articles on other organs at risk like ear or cauda equina except Burman et al. (Fitting of normal tissue tolerance data to an analytic function. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys Ther. 1991;21:123-135). Findings suggest that the validation of different radiobiological models and their corresponding parameters need to be investigated in vivo and in vitro for developing a more accurate NTCP model to be used for radiotherapy treatment planning optimization.

Prediction of Radiation-Induced Parotid Gland-Related Xerostomia in Patients With Head and Neck Cancer: Regeneration-Weighted Dose

PURPOSE

Despite improvements to treatment, patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) still experience radiation-induced xerostomia due to salivary gland damage. The stem cells of the parotid gland (PG), concentrated in the gland's main ducts (stem cell rich [SCR] region), play a critical role in the PG's response to radiation. Treatment optimization requires a dose metric that properly accounts for the relative contributions of dose to this SCR region and the PG's remainder (non-SCR region) to the risk of xerostomia in normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models for xerostomia.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Treatment and toxicity data of 1013 prospectively followed patients with HNC treated with definitive radiation therapy (RT) were used. The regeneration-weighted dose, enabling accounting for the hypothesized different effects of dose to the SCR and non-SCR region on the risk of xerostomia, was defined as Dreg PG = Dmean SCR region + r × Dmean non-SCR region, where Dreg is the regeneration-weighted dose, Dmean is the mean dose, and r is the weighting factor. Considering the different volumes of these regions, r > 3.6 in Dreg PG demonstrates an enhanced effect of the SCR region. The most predictive value of r was estimated in 102 patients of a previously published trial testing stem cell sparing RT. For each endpoint, Dreg PG, dose to other organs, and clinical factors were used to develop NTCP models using multivariable logistic regression analysis in 663 patients. The models were validated in 350 patients.

RESULTS

Dose to the contralateral PG was associated with daytime, eating-related, and physician-rated grade ≥2 xerostomia. Consequently, r was estimated and found to be smaller than 3.6 for most PG function-related endpoints. Therefore, the contribution of Dmean SCR region to the risk of xerostomia was larger than predicted by Dmean PG. Other frequently selected predictors were pretreatment xerostomia and Dmean oral cavity. The validation showed good discrimination and calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

Tools for clinical implementation of stem cell sparing RT were developed: regeneration-weighted dose to the parotid gland that accounted for regional differences in radiosensitivity within the gland and NTCP models that included this new dose metric and other prognostic factors.

Development and validation of a nomogram for prediction of recovery from moderate-severe xerostomia post-radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

PURPOSE

Aim to create and validate a comprehensive nomogram capable of accurately predicting the transition from moderate-severe to normal-mild xerostomia post-radiotherapy (postRT) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). Materials and methods We constructed and internally verified a prediction model using a primary cohort comprising 223 patients who were pathologically diagnosed with NPC from February 2016 to December 2019. LASSO regression model was used to identify the clinical factors and relevant variables (the pre-radiotherapy (XQ-preRT) and immediate post-radiotherapy (XQ-postRT) xerostomia questionnaire scores, as well as the mean dose (D_mean) delivered to the parotid gland (PG), submandibular gland (SMG), sublingual gland (SLG), tubarial gland (TG), and oral cavity). Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to develop the prediction model, which was presented as a nomogram. The models' performance with regard to calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness was evaluated. The external validation cohort comprised 78 patients. Results Due to better discrimination and calibration in the training cohort, age, gender, XQ-postRT, and D_mean of PG, SMG, and TG were included in the individualized prediction model (C-index of 0.741 (95% CI:0.717 to 0.765). Verification of the nomogram's performance in internal and external validation cohorts revealed good discrimination (C-index of 0.729 (0.692 to 0.766) and 0.736 (0.702 to 0.770), respectively) and calibration. Decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram was clinically useful. The 12-month and 24-month moderate-severe xerostomia rate was statistically lower in the SMG-spared arm (28.4% (0.230 to 35.2) and 5.2% (0.029 to 0.093), respectively) than that in SMG-unspared arm (56.8% (0.474 to 0.672) and 12.5% (0.070 to 0.223), respectively), with an HR of 1.84 (95%CI: 1.412 to 2.397, p= 0.000). The difference in restricted mean survival time for remaining moderate-severe xerostomia between the two arms at 24 months was 5.757 months (95% CI, 3.863 to 7.651; p=0.000). Conclusion The developed nomogram, incorporating age, gender, XQ-postRT, and D_mean to PG, SMG, and TG, can be used for predicting recovery from moderate-severe xerostomia post-radiotherapy in NPC patients. Sparing SMG is highly important for the patient's recovery.

Quality of Life and Patient-Reported Outcomes Following Proton Therapy for Oropharyngeal Carcinoma: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Complex anatomy surrounding the oropharynx makes proton therapy (PT), especially intensity-modulated PT (IMPT), a potentially attractive option due to its ability to reduce the volume of irradiated healthy tissues. Dosimetric improvement may not translate to clinically relevant benefits. As outcome data are emerging, we aimed to evaluate the evidence of the quality of life (QOL) and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) following PT for oropharyngeal carcinoma (OC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We searched PubMed and Scopus electronic databases (date: 15 February 2023) to identify original studies on QOL and PROs following PT for OC. We employed a fluid strategy in the search strategy by tracking citations of the initially selected studies. Reports were extracted for information on demographics, main results, and clinical and dose factor correlates. Quality assessment was performed using the NIH's Quality Assessment Tool for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies. The PRISMA guidelines were followed in the preparation of this report.

RESULTS

Seven reports were selected, including one from a recently published paper captured from citation tracking. Five compared PT and photon-based therapy, although none were randomized controlled trials. Most endpoints with significant differences favored PT, including xerostomia, cough, need for nutritional supplements, dysgeusia, food taste, appetite, and general symptoms. However, some endpoints favored photon-based therapy (sexual symptoms) or showed no significant difference (e.g., fatigue, pain, sleep, mouth sores). The PROs and QOL improve following PT but do not appear to return to baseline.

CONCLUSION

Evidence suggests that PT causes less QOL and PRO deterioration than photon-based therapy. Biases due to the non-randomized study design remain obstacles to a firm conclusion. Whether or not PT is cost-effective should be the subject of further investigation.

Machine learning for normal tissue complication probability prediction: Predictive power with versatility and easy implementation

Background and purpose

A popular Normal tissue Complication (NTCP) model deployed to predict radiotherapy (RT) toxicity is the Lyman-Burman Kutcher (LKB) model of tissue complication. Despite the LKB model's popularity, it can suffer from numerical instability and considers only the generalized mean dose (GMD) to an organ. Machine learning (ML) algorithms can potentially offer superior predictive power of the LKB model, and with fewer drawbacks. Here we examine the numerical characteristics and predictive power of the LKB model and compare these with those of ML.

Materials and methods

Both an LKB model and ML models were used to predict G2 Xerostomia on patients following RT for head and neck cancer, using the dose volume histogram of parotid glands as the input feature. Model speed, convergence characteristics and predictive power was evaluated on an independent training set.

Results

We found that only global optimization algorithms could guarantee a convergent and predictive LKB model. At the same time our results showed that ML models remained unconditionally convergent and predictive, while staying robust to gradient descent optimization. ML models outperform LKB in Brier score and accuracy but compare to LKB in ROC-AUC.

Conclusion

We have demonstrated that ML models can quantify NTCP better than or as well as LKB models, even for a toxicity that the LKB model is particularly well suited to predict. ML models can offer this performance while offering fundamental advantages in model convergence, speed, and flexibility, and so could offer an alternative to the LKB model that could potentially be used in clinical RT planning decisions.

Sub-regional analysis of the parotid glands: model development for predicting late xerostomia with radiomics features in head and neck cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The irradiation of sub-regions of the parotid has been linked to xerostomia development in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC). In this study, we compared the xerostomia classification performance of radiomics features calculated on clinically relevant and de novo sub-regions of the parotid glands of HNC patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

All patients (N = 117) were treated with TomoTherapy in 30-35 fractions of 2-2.167 Gy per fraction with daily mega-voltage-CT (MVCT) acquisition for image-guidance purposes. Radiomics features (N = 123) were extracted from daily MVCTs for the whole parotid gland and nine sub-regions. The changes in feature values after each complete week of treatment were considered as predictors of xerostomia (CTCAEv4.03, grade ≥ 2) at 6 and 12 months. Combinations of predictors were generated following the removal of statistically redundant information and stepwise selection. The classification performance of the logistic regression models was evaluated on train and test sets of patients using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) associated with the different sub-regions at each week of treatment and benchmarked with the performance of models solely using dose and toxicity at baseline.

RESULTS

In this study, radiomics-based models predicted xerostomia better than standard clinical predictors. Models combining dose to the parotid and xerostomia scores at baseline yielded an AUCtest of 0.63 and 0.61 for xerostomia prediction at 6 and 12 months after radiotherapy while models based on radiomics features extracted from the whole parotid yielded a maximum AUCtest of 0.67 and 0.75, respectively. Overall, across sub-regions, maximum AUCtest was 0.76 and 0.80 for xerostomia prediction at 6 and 12 months. Within the first two weeks of treatment, the cranial part of the parotid systematically yielded the highest AUCtest.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that variations of radiomics features calculated on sub-regions of the parotid glands can lead to earlier and improved prediction of xerostomia in HNC patients.

Integrated radiomics, dose-volume histogram criteria and clinical features for early prediction of saliva amount reduction after radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal cancer patients

PURPOSE

Previously, the evaluation of xerostomia depended on subjective grading systems, rather than the accurate saliva amount reduction. Our aim was to quantify acute xerostomia with reduced saliva amount, and apply radiomics, dose-volume histogram (DVH) criteria and clinical features to predict saliva amount reduction by machine learning techniques.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Computed tomography (CT) of parotid glands, DVH, and clinical data of 52 patients were collected to extract radiomics, DVH criteria and clinical features, respectively. Firstly, radiomics, DVH criteria and clinical features were divided into 3 groups for feature selection, in order to alleviate the masking effect of the number of features in different groups. Secondly, the top features in the 3 groups composed integrated features, and features selection was performed again for integrated features. In this study, feature selection was used as a combination of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to alleviate multicollinearity. Finally, 6 machine learning techniques were used for predicting saliva amount reduction. Meanwhile, top radiomics features were modeled using the same machine learning techniques for comparison.

RESULT

17 integrated features (10 radiomics, 4 clinical, 3 DVH criteria) were selected to predict saliva amount reduction, with a mean square error (MSE) of 0.6994 and a R² score of 0.9815. Top 17 and 10 selected radiomics features predicted saliva amount reduction, with MSE of 0.7376, 0.7519, and R² score of 0.9805, 0.9801, respectively.

CONCLUSION

With the same number of features, integrated features (radiomics + DVH criteria + clinical) performed better than radiomics features alone. The important DVH criteria and clinical features mainly included, white blood cells (WBC), parotid_glands_Dmax, Age, parotid_glands_V15, hemoglobin (Hb), BMI and parotid_glands_V45.

Contouring the accessory parotid gland and major parotid glands as a single organ at risk during nasopharyngeal carcinoma radiotherapy

Background and purpose

No research currently exists on the role of the accessory parotid gland (APG) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We thereby aimed to assess the effects of APG on the dosimetry of the parotid glands (PGs) during NPC radiotherapy and evaluate its predictive value for late xerostomia.

Material and methods

The clinical data of 32 NPC patients with radiological evidence of the APG treated at Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital between November 2020 and February 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. Clinically approved treatment plans consisted of only the PGs as an organ at risk (OAR) (Plan1), while Plan2 was designed by considering the APG as a single organ at risk (OAR). The APG on Plan1 was delineated, and dose–volume parameters of the PGs alone (PG-only) and of the combined structure (PG+APG) were analyzed in both plans. The association of such dosimetric parameters in Plan1 with xerostomia at 6–9 months post-radiotherapy was further explored.

Results

Fifty APGs were found, with a mean volume of 3.3 ± 0.2 ml. Significant differences were found in all dosimetric parameters between Plan1 and Plan2. The mean dose and percentage of OAR volumes receiving more than 30 Gy significantly reduced in Plan1 itself (PG-only vs. PG+APG, 39.55 ± 0.83 Gy vs. 37.71 ± 0.75 Gy, and 62.00 ± 2.00% vs. 57.41 ± 1.56%, respectively; p &lt; 001) and reduced further in Plan2 (PG+APG, 36.40 ± 0.74 Gy, and 55.54 ± 1.61%, respectively; p &lt; 0.001). Three additional patients met the dose constraint in Plan1, which increased to seven in Plan2. With APG included, the predictive power of the dosimetric parameters for xerostomia tended to improve, although no significant differences were observed.

Conclusion

APG is anatomically similar to the PGs. Our findings suggest the potential benefits of treating the APG and PGs as a single OAR during radiotherapy (RT) of NPC by improving PG sparing.

A prediction model for xerostomia in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients receiving radical radiotherapy

Background

This study was to evaluate the predictors of xerostomia and Grade 3 xerostomia in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients receiving radical radiotherapy and establish prediction models for xerostomia and Grade 3 xerostomia based on the predictors.

Methods

Totally, 365 patients with locoregionally advanced NPC who underwent radical radiotherapy were randomly divided into the training set (n = 255) and the testing set (n = 110) at a ratio of 7:3. All variables were included in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to screen out the potential predictors for xerostomia as well as the Grade 3 xerostomia in locoregionally advanced NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy. The random forest (RF), a decision tree classifier (DTC), and extreme-gradient boosting (XGB) models were constructed. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy were analyzed to evaluate the predictive performance of the models.

Results

In the RF model for predicting xerostomia, the sensitivity was 1.000 (95%CI 1.000–1.000), the PPV was 0.990 (95%CI 0.975–1.000), the NPV was 1.000 (95%CI 1.000–1.000), the AUC was 0.999 (95%CI 0.997–1.000) and the accuracy was 0.992 (95%CI 0.981–1.000) in the training set. The sensitivity was 0.933 (95%CI 0.880–0.985), the PPV was 0.933 (95%CI 0.880–0.985), and the AUC was 0.915 (95%CI 0.860–0.970) in the testing set. Hypertension, age, total radiotherapy dose, dose at 50% of the left parotid volume, mean dose to right parotid gland, mean dose to oral cavity, and course of induction chemotherapy were important variables associated with the risk of xerostomia in locoregionally advanced NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy. The AUC of DTC model for predicting xerostomia was 0.769 (95%CI 0.666–0.872) in the testing set. The AUC of the XGB model for predicting xerostomia was 0.834 (0.753–0.916) in the testing set. The RF model showed the good predictive ability with the AUC of 0.986 (95%CI 0.972–1.000) in the training set, and 0.766 (95%CI 0.626–0.905) in the testing set for identifying patients who at high risk of Grade 3 xerostomia in those with high risk of xerostomia.

Conclusions

An RF model for predicting xerostomia in locoregionally advanced NPC patients receiving radical radiotherapy and an RF model for predicting Grade 3 xerostomia in those with high risk of xerostomia showed good predictive ability.

Cluster model incorporating heterogeneous dose distribution of partial parotid irradiation for radiotherapy induced xerostomia prediction with machine learning methods

PURPOSE

A cluster model incorporating heterogeneous dose distribution within the parotid gland was developed and validated retrospectively for radiotherapy (RT) induced xerostomia prediction with machine learning (ML) techniques.

METHODS

Sixty clusters were obtained at 1 Gy step size with threshold doses ranging from 1 to 60 Gy, for each of the enrolled 155 patients with HNC from three institutions. Feature clusters were selected with the neighborhood component analysis (NCA) and subsequently fed into four supervised ML models for xerostomia prediction comparison: support vector machines (SVM), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), naïve Bayes (NB), and random forest (RF). The predictive performance of each model was evaluated using cross validation resampling with the area-under-the-curves (AUC) of the receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC). The xerostomia predicting capacity using testing data was assessed with accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for these models and three cluster connectivity choices. Mean dose based logistic regression served as the benchmark for evaluation.

RESULTS

Feature clusters identified by NCA fell in three threshold dose ranges: 5-15Gy, 25-35Gy, and 45-50Gy. Mean dose predictive power was 15% lower than that of the cluster model using the logistic regression classifier. Model validation demonstrated that kNN model outperformed slightly other three models but no substantial difference was observed. Applying the fine-tuned models to testing data yielded that the mean accuracy from SVM, kNN and NB models were between 0.68 and 0.7 while that of RF was ∼0.6. SVM model yielded the best sensitivity (0.76) and kNN model delivered consistent sensitivity and specificity. This is consistent with cross validation. Clusters calculated with three connectivity choices exhibited minimally different predictions.

CONCLUSION

Compared to mean dose, the proposed cluster model has shown its improvement as the xerostomia predictor. When combining with ML techniques, it could provide a clinically useful tool for xerostomia prediction and facilitate decision making during radiotherapy planning for patients with HNC.

Current Omics Trends in Personalised Head and Neck Cancer Chemoradiotherapy

Chemoradiotherapy remains the most common management of locally advanced head and neck cancer. While both treatment components have greatly developed over the years, the quality of life and long-term survival of patients undergoing treatment for head and neck malignancies are still poor. Research in head and neck oncology is equally focused on the improvement of tumour response to treatment and on the limitation of normal tissue toxicity. In this regard, personalised therapy through a multi-omics approach targeting patient management from diagnosis to treatment shows promising results. The aim of this paper is to discuss the latest results regarding the personalised approach to chemoradiotherapy of head and neck cancer by gathering the findings of the newest omics, involving radiotherapy (dosiomics), chemotherapy (pharmacomics), and medical imaging for treatment monitoring (radiomics). The incorporation of these omics into head and neck cancer management offers multiple viewpoints to treatment that represent the foundation of personalised therapy.

Can the Risk of Dysphagia in Head and Neck Radiation Therapy Be Predicted by an Automated Transit Fluence Monitoring Process During Treatment? A First Comparative Study of Patient Reported Quality of Life and the Fluence-Based Decision Support Metric

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

The additional personnel and imaging procedures required for Adaptive Radiation Therapy (ART) pose a challenge for a broad implementation. We hypothesize that a change in transit fluence during the treatment course is correlated with the change of quality of life and thus can be used as a replanning trigger.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Twenty-one head and neck cancer (HNC) patients filled out an MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory (MDADI) questionnaire, before-and-after the radiotherapy treatment course. The transit fluence was measured by the Watchdog (WD) in-vivo portal dosimetry system. The patients were monitored with daily WD and weekly CBCTs. The region of interest (ROI) of each patient was defined as the outer contour of the patient between approximate spine levels C1 to C4, essentially the neck and mandible inside the beam's eye view. The nth day integrated transit fluence change, Δϕ_n, and the volume change, ΔV_ROI, of the ROI of each patient was calculated from the corresponding WD and CBCT measurements. The correlation between MDADI scores and age, gender, planning mean dose to salivary glands <D_sg>, weight change ΔW, ΔV_ROI, and Δϕ_n, were analyzed using the ranked-Pearson correlation.

RESULTS

No statistically significant correlation was found for age, gender and ΔW. <D_sg> was found to have clinically important correlation with functional MDADI (ρ = -0.39, P = 0.081). ΔV_ROI was found to have statistically significant correlation of 0.44, 0.47 and 0.44 with global, physical and functional MDADI (P-value < 0.05). Δϕ_n was found to have statistically significant ranked-correlation (-0.46, -0.46 and -0.45) with physical, functional and total MDADI (P-value < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

A transit fluence based decision support metric (DSM) is statistically correlated with the dysphagia risk. It can not only be used as an early signal in assisting clinicians in the ART patient selection for replanning, but also lowers the resource barrier of ART implementation.

A Risk Prediction Model by LASSO for Radiation-Induced Xerostomia in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Treated With Comprehensive Salivary Gland-Sparing Helical Tomotherapy Technique

Objective

This study aimed to develop a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-based multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model to predict radiation-induced xerostomia in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with comprehensive salivary gland–sparing helical tomotherapy technique.

Methods and Materials

LASSO with the extended bootstrapping technique was used to build multivariable NTCP models to predict factors of patient-reported xerostomia relieved by 50% and 80% compared with the level at the end of radiation therapy within 1 year and 2 years, R50-1year and R80-2years, in 203 patients with NPC. The model assessment was based on 10-fold cross-validation and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results

The prediction model by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation showed that radiation-induced xerostomia recovery could be predicted by prognostic factors of R50-1year (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, parotid Dmean, oral cavity Dmean, and treatment options) and R80-2years (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, oral cavity Dmean, N stage, and treatment options). These prediction models also demonstrated a good performance by the AUC.

Conclusion

The prediction models of R50-1year and R80-2years by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation were recommended to validate the NTCP model before comprehensive salivary gland–sparing radiation therapy in patients with NPC.

Dose cluster model parameterization of the parotid gland in irradiation of head and neck cancer

To explore the parotid normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) modeling with percolation-based dose clusters for head-and-neck patients receiving concomitant chemotherapy and radiation therapy. Cluster models incorporating the spatial dose distribution in the parotid gland were developed to evaluate the radiation induced complication. Cluster metrics including the mean cluster size (NMCS) and the largest cluster size both normalized by the gland volume (NSLC) were evaluated and scrutinized against the benchmark NTCP. Two fitting strategies to the Lyman-Kutcher-Burman (LKB) model using the maximum likelihood method were devised: the volume parameter n fixed at 1.0 (mean dose model) and unrestricted (full LKB model). The fitted parameters TD50 and m were assessed with the LKB NTCP models with the available xerostomia data. NSLC was a better metric than NMCS with reference to the LKB model and strong correlation (r ~ 0.95) was observed between NTCP and NSLC. The mean dose model returned the parameter TD50 (39.9 Gy) and m (0.4) from the NSLC of threshold dose at around 40 Gy. Drastically different TD50 and m values were obtained from the fittings via the full LKB model, where the threshold dose would be near 27 Gy. Bootstrapping analyses further confirmed the fitting outcomes. Strong correlation with the traditional NTCP models revealed that the cluster model could achieve what NTCP models attain and may offer additional information. Parameterization of the model indicated that the model could have different predictions from current clinical recommendations. Further investigation using toxicity data is under way to validate the cluster model.

Incorporation of Dosimetric Gradients and Parotid Gland Migration Into Xerostomia Prediction

Purpose: Due to the sharp gradients of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) dose distributions, treatment uncertainties may induce substantial deviations from the planned dose during irradiation. Here, we investigate if the planned mean dose to parotid glands in combination with the dose gradient and information about anatomical changes during the treatment improves xerostomia prediction in head and neck cancer patients.

Materials and methods: Eighty eight patients were retrospectively analyzed. Three features of the contralateral parotid gland were studied in terms of their association with the outcome, i.e., grade ≥ 2 (G2) xerostomia between 6 months and 2 years after radiotherapy (RT): planned mean dose (MD), average lateral dose gradient (GRADX), and parotid gland migration toward medial (PGM). PGM was estimated using daily megavoltage computed tomography (MVCT) images. Three logistic regression models where analyzed: based on (1) MD only, (2) MD and GRADX, and (3) MD, GRADX, and PGM. Additionally, the cohort was stratified based on the median value of GRADX, and a univariate analysis was performed to study the association of the MD with the outcome for patients in low- and high-GRADX domains.

Results: The planned MD failed to recognize G2 xerostomia patients (AUC = 0.57). By adding the information of GRADX (second model), the model performance increased to AUC = 0.72. The addition of PGM (third model) led to further improvement in the recognition of the outcome (AUC = 0.79). Remarkably, xerostomia patients in the low-GRADX domain were successfully identified (AUC = 0.88) by the MD alone.

Conclusions: Our results indicate that GRADX and PGM, which together serve as a proxy of dosimetric changes, provide valuable information for xerostomia prediction.

Head and Neck Cancer Adaptive Radiation Therapy (ART): Conceptual Considerations for the Informed Clinician

For nearly 2 decades, adaptive radiation therapy (ART) has been proposed as a method to account for changes in head and neck tumor and normal tissue to enhance therapeutic ratios. While technical advances in imaging, planning and delivery have allowed greater capacity for ART delivery, and a series of dosimetric explorations have consistently shown capacity for improvement, there remains a paucity of clinical trials demonstrating the utility of ART. Furthermore, while ad hoc implementation of head and neck ART is reported, systematic full-scale head and neck ART remains an as yet unreached reality. To some degree, this lack of scalability may be related to not only the complexity of ART, but also variability in the nomenclature and descriptions of what is encompassed by ART. Consequently, we present an overview of the history, current status, and recommendations for the future of ART, with an eye toward improving the clarity and description of head and neck ART for interested clinicians, noting practical considerations for implementation of an ART program or clinical trial. Process level considerations for ART are noted, reminding the reader that, paraphrasing the writer Elbert Hubbard, "Art is not a thing, it is a way."

Early Changes in Serial CBCT-Measured Parotid Gland Biomarkers Predict Chronic Xerostomia After Head and Neck Radiation Therapy

PURPOSE

To determine whether serial cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) images taken during head and neck radiation therapy (HNR) can improve chronic xerostomia prediction.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

In a retrospective analysis, parotid glands (PGs) were delineated on daily kV CBCT images using deformable image registration for 119 HNR patients (60 or 70 Gy in 2 Gy fractions over 6 or 7 weeks). Deformable image registration accuracy for a subset of deformed contours was quantified using the Dice similarity coefficient and mean distance to agreement in comparison with manually drawn contours. Average weekly changes in CBCT-measured mean Hounsfield unit intensity and volume were calculated for each PG relative to week 1. Dose-volume histogram statistics were extracted from each plan, and interactions among dose, volume, and intensity were investigated. Univariable analysis and penalized logistic regression were used to analyze association with observer-rated xerostomia at 1 year after HNR. Models including CBCT delta imaging features were compared with clinical and dose-volume histogram-only models using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for grade ≥1 and grade ≥2 xerostomia prediction.

RESULTS

All patients experienced end-treatment PG volume reduction with mean (range) ipsilateral and contralateral PG shrinkage of 19.6% (0.9%-58.4%) and 17.7% (4.4%-56.3%), respectively. Midtreatment volume change was highly correlated with mean PG dose (r = -0.318, P < 1e^-6). Incidence of grade ≥1 and grade ≥2 xerostomia was 65% and 16%, respectively. For grade ≥1 xerostomia prediction, the delta-imaging model had an AUC of 0.719 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.603-0.830), compared with 0.709 (95% CI, 0.603-0.815) for the dose/clinical model. For grade ≥2 xerostomia prediction, the dose/clinical model had an AUC of 0.692 (95% CI, 0.615-0.770), and the addition of contralateral PG changes modestly improved predictive performance, with an AUC of 0.776 (0.643-0.912).

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of CBCT-measured PG image feature changes improves prediction over dose alone for chronic xerostomia prediction. Analysis of CBCT images acquired for treatment positioning may provide an inexpensive monitoring system to support toxicity-reducing adaptive radiation therapy.

Design and Selection of Machine Learning Methods Using Radiomics and Dosiomics for Normal Tissue Complication Probability Modeling of Xerostomia

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to investigate whether machine learning with dosiomic, radiomic, and demographic features allows for xerostomia risk assessment more precise than normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models based on the mean radiation dose to parotid glands.

Material and methods

A cohort of 153 head-and-neck cancer patients was used to model xerostomia at 0–6 months (early), 6–15 months (late), 15–24 months (long-term), and at any time (a longitudinal model) after radiotherapy. Predictive power of the features was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of univariate logistic regression models. The multivariate NTCP models were tuned and tested with single and nested cross-validation, respectively. We compared predictive performance of seven classification algorithms, six feature selection methods, and ten data cleaning/class balancing techniques using the Friedman test and the Nemenyi post hoc analysis.

Results

NTCP models based on the parotid mean dose failed to predict xerostomia (AUCs < 0.60). The most informative predictors were found for late and long-term xerostomia. Late xerostomia correlated with the contralateral dose gradient in the anterior–posterior (AUC = 0.72) and the right–left (AUC = 0.68) direction, whereas long-term xerostomia was associated with parotid volumes (AUCs > 0.85), dose gradients in the right–left (AUCs > 0.78), and the anterior–posterior (AUCs > 0.72) direction. Multivariate models of long-term xerostomia were typically based on the parotid volume, the parotid eccentricity, and the dose–volume histogram (DVH) spread with the generalization AUCs ranging from 0.74 to 0.88. On average, support vector machines and extra-trees were the top performing classifiers, whereas the algorithms based on logistic regression were the best choice for feature selection. We found no advantage in using data cleaning or class balancing methods.

Conclusion

We demonstrated that incorporation of organ- and dose-shape descriptors is beneficial for xerostomia prediction in highly conformal radiotherapy treatments. Due to strong reliance on patient-specific, dose-independent factors, our results underscore the need for development of personalized data-driven risk profiles for NTCP models of xerostomia. The facilitated machine learning pipeline is described in detail and can serve as a valuable reference for future work in radiomic and dosiomic NTCP modeling.