An in silico ensemble method for lead discovery: decision forest

Machine learning and deep learning for brain tumor MRI image segmentation

Brain tumors are often fatal. Therefore, accurate brain tumor image segmentation is critical for the diagnosis, treatment, and monitoring of patients with these tumors. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a commonly used imaging technique for capturing brain images. Both machine learning and deep learning techniques are popular in analyzing MRI images. This article reviews some commonly used machine learning and deep learning techniques for brain tumor MRI image segmentation. The limitations and advantages of the reviewed machine learning and deep learning methods are discussed. Even though each of these methods has a well-established status in their individual domains, the combination of two or more techniques is currently an emerging trend.

Review of machine learning and deep learning models for toxicity prediction

The ever-increasing number of chemicals has raised public concerns due to their adverse effects on human health and the environment. To protect public health and the environment, it is critical to assess the toxicity of these chemicals. Traditional in vitro and in vivo toxicity assays are complicated, costly, and time-consuming and may face ethical issues. These constraints raise the need for alternative methods for assessing the toxicity of chemicals. Recently, due to the advancement of machine learning algorithms and the increase in computational power, many toxicity prediction models have been developed using various machine learning and deep learning algorithms such as support vector machine, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, ensemble learning, and deep neural network. This review summarizes the machine learning- and deep learning-based toxicity prediction models developed in recent years. Support vector machine and random forest are the most popular machine learning algorithms, and hepatotoxicity, cardiotoxicity, and carcinogenicity are the frequently modeled toxicity endpoints in predictive toxicology. It is known that datasets impact model performance. The quality of datasets used in the development of toxicity prediction models using machine learning and deep learning is vital to the performance of the developed models. The different toxicity assignments for the same chemicals among different datasets of the same type of toxicity have been observed, indicating benchmarking datasets is needed for developing reliable toxicity prediction models using machine learning and deep learning algorithms. This review provides insights into current machine learning models in predictive toxicology, which are expected to promote the development and application of toxicity prediction models in the future.

Developing a SARS-CoV-2 main protease binding prediction random forest model for drug repurposing for COVID-19 treatment

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic resulted in millions of people becoming infected with the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus and close to seven million deaths worldwide. It is essential to further explore and design effective COVID-19 treatment drugs that target the main protease of SARS-CoV-2, a major target for COVID-19 drugs. In this study, machine learning was applied for predicting the SARS-CoV-2 main protease binding of Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved drugs to assist in the identification of potential repurposing candidates for COVID-19 treatment. Ligands bound to the SARS-CoV-2 main protease in the Protein Data Bank and compounds experimentally tested in SARS-CoV-2 main protease binding assays in the literature were curated. These chemicals were divided into training (516 chemicals) and testing (360 chemicals) data sets. To identify SARS-CoV-2 main protease binders as potential candidates for repurposing to treat COVID-19, 1188 FDA-approved drugs from the Liver Toxicity Knowledge Base were obtained. A random forest algorithm was used for constructing predictive models based on molecular descriptors calculated using Mold2 software. Model performance was evaluated using 100 iterations of fivefold cross-validations which resulted in 78.8% balanced accuracy. The random forest model that was constructed from the whole training dataset was used to predict SARS-CoV-2 main protease binding on the testing set and the FDA-approved drugs. Model applicability domain and prediction confidence on drugs predicted as the main protease binders discovered 10 FDA-approved drugs as potential candidates for repurposing to treat COVID-19. Our results demonstrate that machine learning is an efficient method for drug repurposing and, thus, may accelerate drug development targeting SARS-CoV-2.

Machine learning models for rat multigeneration reproductive toxicity prediction

Reproductive toxicity is one of the prominent endpoints in the risk assessment of environmental and industrial chemicals. Due to the complexity of the reproductive system, traditional reproductive toxicity testing in animals, especially guideline multigeneration reproductive toxicity studies, take a long time and are expensive. Therefore, machine learning, as a promising alternative approach, should be considered when evaluating the reproductive toxicity of chemicals. We curated rat multigeneration reproductive toxicity testing data of 275 chemicals from ToxRefDB (Toxicity Reference Database) and developed predictive models using seven machine learning algorithms (decision tree, decision forest, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, support vector machine, linear discriminant analysis, and logistic regression). A consensus model was built based on the seven individual models. An external validation set was curated from the COSMOS database and the literature. The performances of individual and consensus models were evaluated using 500 iterations of 5-fold cross-validations and the external validation data set. The balanced accuracy of the models ranged from 58% to 65% in the 5-fold cross-validations and 45%–61% in the external validations. Prediction confidence analysis was conducted to provide additional information for more appropriate applications of the developed models. The impact of our findings is in increasing confidence in machine learning models. We demonstrate the importance of using consensus models for harnessing the benefits of multiple machine learning models (i.e., using redundant systems to check validity of outcomes). While we continue to build upon the models to better characterize weak toxicants, there is current utility in saving resources by being able to screen out strong reproductive toxicants before investing in vivo testing. The modeling approach (machine learning models) is offered for assessing the rat multigeneration reproductive toxicity of chemicals. Our results suggest that machine learning may be a promising alternative approach to evaluate the potential reproductive toxicity of chemicals.

Deep Learning Models for Predicting Gas Adsorption Capacity of Nanomaterials

Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs), a class of porous nanomaterials, have been widely used in gas adsorption-based applications due to their high porosities and chemical tunability. To facilitate the discovery of high-performance MOFs for different applications, a variety of machine learning models have been developed to predict the gas adsorption capacities of MOFs. Most of the predictive models are developed using traditional machine learning algorithms. However, the continuously increasing sizes of MOF datasets and the complicated relationships between MOFs and their gas adsorption capacities make deep learning a suitable candidate to handle such big data with increased computational power and accuracy. In this study, we developed models for predicting gas adsorption capacities of MOFs using two deep learning algorithms, multilayer perceptron (MLP) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, with a hypothetical set of about 130,000 structures of MOFs with methane and carbon dioxide adsorption data at different pressures. The models were evaluated using 10 iterations of 10-fold cross validations and 100 holdout validations. The MLP and LSTM models performed similarly with high prediction accuracy. The models for predicting gas adsorption at a higher pressure outperformed the models for predicting gas adsorption at a lower pressure. The deep learning models are more accurate than the random forest models reported in the literature, especially for predicting gas adsorption capacities at low pressures. Our results demonstrated that deep learning algorithms have a great potential to generate models that can accurately predict the gas adsorption capacities of MOFs.

Machine Learning Models for Predicting Cytotoxicity of Nanomaterials

The wide application of nanomaterials in consumer and medical products has raised concerns about their potential adverse effects on human health. Thus, more and more biological assessments regarding the toxicity of nanomaterials have been performed. However, the different ways the evaluations were performed, such as the utilized assays, cell lines, and the differences of the produced nanoparticles, make it difficult for scientists to analyze and effectively compare toxicities of nanomaterials. Fortunately, machine learning has emerged as a powerful tool for the prediction of nanotoxicity based on the available data. Among different types of toxicity assessments, nanomaterial cytotoxicity was the focus here because of the high sensitivity of cytotoxicity assessment to different treatments without the need for complicated and time-consuming procedures. In this review, we summarized recent studies that focused on the development of machine learning models for prediction of cytotoxicity of nanomaterials. The goal was to provide insight into predicting potential nanomaterial toxicity and promoting the development of safe nanomaterials.

Machine Learning Models for Predicting Liver Toxicity

Liver toxicity is a major adverse drug reaction that accounts for drug failure in clinical trials and withdrawal from the market. Therefore, predicting potential liver toxicity at an early stage in drug discovery is crucial to reduce costs and the potential for drug failure. However, current in vivo animal toxicity testing is very expensive and time consuming. As an alternative approach, various machine learning models have been developed to predict potential liver toxicity in humans. This chapter reviews current advances in the development and application of machine learning models for prediction of potential liver toxicity in humans and discusses possible improvements to liver toxicity prediction.

Machine Learning Methods in Drug Discovery

The advancements of information technology and related processing techniques have created a fertile base for progress in many scientific fields and industries. In the fields of drug discovery and development, machine learning techniques have been used for the development of novel drug candidates. The methods for designing drug targets and novel drug discovery now routinely combine machine learning and deep learning algorithms to enhance the efficiency, efficacy, and quality of developed outputs. The generation and incorporation of big data, through technologies such as high-throughput screening and high through-put computational analysis of databases used for both lead and target discovery, has increased the reliability of the machine learning and deep learning incorporated techniques. The use of these virtual screening and encompassing online information has also been highlighted in developing lead synthesis pathways. In this review, machine learning and deep learning algorithms utilized in drug discovery and associated techniques will be discussed. The applications that produce promising results and methods will be reviewed.

Development of a Nicotinic Acetylcholine Receptor nAChR α7 Binding Activity Prediction Model

Despite the well-known adverse health effects associated with tobacco use, addiction to nicotine found in tobacco products causes difficulty in quitting among users. Nicotinic acetylcholine receptors (nAChRs) are the physiological targets of nicotine and facilitate addiction to tobacco products. The nAChR-α7 subtype plays an important role in addiction; therefore, predicting the binding activity of tobacco constituents to nAChR-α7 is an important component for assessing addictive potential of tobacco constituents. We developed an α7 binding activity prediction model based on a large training data set of 843 chemicals with human α7 binding activity data extracted from PubChem and ChEMBL. The model was tested using 1215 chemicals with rat α7 binding activity data from the same databases. Based on the competitive docking results, the docking scores were partitioned to the key residues that play important roles in the receptor-ligand binding. A decision forest was used to train the human α7 binding activity prediction model based on the partition of docking scores. Five-fold cross validations were conducted to estimate the performance of the decision forest models. The developed model was used to predict the potential human α7 binding activity for 5275 tobacco constituents. The human α7 binding activity data for 84 of the 5275 tobacco constituents were experimentally measured to confirm and empirically validate the prediction results. The prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were 64.3, 40.0, and 81.6%, respectively. The developed prediction model of human α7 may be a useful tool for high-throughput screening of potential addictive tobacco constituents.

CoMPARA: Collaborative Modeling Project for Androgen Receptor Activity

BACKGROUND

Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) are xenobiotics that mimic the interaction of natural hormones and alter synthesis, transport, or metabolic pathways. The prospect of EDCs causing adverse health effects in humans and wildlife has led to the development of scientific and regulatory approaches for evaluating bioactivity. This need is being addressed using high-throughput screening (HTS) in vitro approaches and computational modeling.

OBJECTIVES

In support of the Endocrine Disruptor Screening Program, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) led two worldwide consortiums to virtually screen chemicals for their potential estrogenic and androgenic activities. Here, we describe the Collaborative Modeling Project for Androgen Receptor Activity (CoMPARA) efforts, which follows the steps of the Collaborative Estrogen Receptor Activity Prediction Project (CERAPP).

METHODS

The CoMPARA list of screened chemicals built on CERAPP's list of 32,464 chemicals to include additional chemicals of interest, as well as simulated ToxCast™ metabolites, totaling 55,450 chemical structures. Computational toxicology scientists from 25 international groups contributed 91 predictive models for binding, agonist, and antagonist activity predictions. Models were underpinned by a common training set of 1,746 chemicals compiled from a combined data set of 11 ToxCast™/Tox21 HTS in vitro assays.

RESULTS

The resulting models were evaluated using curated literature data extracted from different sources. To overcome the limitations of single-model approaches, CoMPARA predictions were combined into consensus models that provided averaged predictive accuracy of approximately 80% for the evaluation set.

DISCUSSION

The strengths and limitations of the consensus predictions were discussed with example chemicals; then, the models were implemented into the free and open-source OPERA application to enable screening of new chemicals with a defined applicability domain and accuracy assessment. This implementation was used to screen the entire EPA DSSTox database of ∼875,000 chemicals, and their predicted AR activities have been made available on the EPA CompTox Chemicals dashboard and National Toxicology Program's Integrated Chemical Environment. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5580.

CoMPARA: Collaborative Modeling Project for Androgen Receptor Activity

BACKGROUND

Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) are xenobiotics that mimic the interaction of natural hormones and alter synthesis, transport, or metabolic pathways. The prospect of EDCs causing adverse health effects in humans and wildlife has led to the development of scientific and regulatory approaches for evaluating bioactivity. This need is being addressed using high-throughput screening (HTS) in vitro approaches and computational modeling.

OBJECTIVES

In support of the Endocrine Disruptor Screening Program, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) led two worldwide consortiums to virtually screen chemicals for their potential estrogenic and androgenic activities. Here, we describe the Collaborative Modeling Project for Androgen Receptor Activity (CoMPARA) efforts, which follows the steps of the Collaborative Estrogen Receptor Activity Prediction Project (CERAPP).

METHODS

The CoMPARA list of screened chemicals built on CERAPP's list of 32,464 chemicals to include additional chemicals of interest, as well as simulated ToxCast™ metabolites, totaling 55,450 chemical structures. Computational toxicology scientists from 25 international groups contributed 91 predictive models for binding, agonist, and antagonist activity predictions. Models were underpinned by a common training set of 1,746 chemicals compiled from a combined data set of 11 ToxCast™/Tox21 HTS in vitro assays.

RESULTS

The resulting models were evaluated using curated literature data extracted from different sources. To overcome the limitations of single-model approaches, CoMPARA predictions were combined into consensus models that provided averaged predictive accuracy of approximately 80% for the evaluation set.

DISCUSSION

The strengths and limitations of the consensus predictions were discussed with example chemicals; then, the models were implemented into the free and open-source OPERA application to enable screening of new chemicals with a defined applicability domain and accuracy assessment. This implementation was used to screen the entire EPA DSSTox database of ∼ 875,000 chemicals, and their predicted AR activities have been made available on the EPA CompTox Chemicals dashboard and National Toxicology Program's Integrated Chemical Environment. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP5580.

Computational prediction models for assessing endocrine disrupting potential of chemicals

Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) mimic natural hormones and disrupt endocrine function. Humans and wildlife are exposed to EDCs might alter endocrine functions through various mechanisms and lead to an adverse effects. Hence, EDCs identification is important to protect the ecosystem and to promote the public health. Leveraging in-vitro and in-vivo experiments to identify potential EDCs is time consuming and expensive. Hence, quantitative structure-activity relationship is applied to screen the potential EDCs. Here, we summarize the predictive models developed using various algorithms to forecast the binding activity of chemicals to the estrogen and androgen receptors, alpha-fetoprotein, and sex hormone binding globulin.

Structural Changes Due to Antagonist Binding in Ligand Binding Pocket of Androgen Receptor Elucidated Through Molecular Dynamics Simulations

When a small molecule binds to the androgen receptor (AR), a conformational change can occur which impacts subsequent binding of co-regulator proteins and DNA. In order to accurately study this mechanism, the scientific community needs a crystal structure of the Wild type AR (WT-AR) ligand binding domain, bound with antagonist. To address this open need, we leveraged molecular docking and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to construct a structure of the WT-AR ligand binding domain bound with antagonist bicalutamide. The structure of mutant AR (Mut-AR) bound with this same antagonist informed this study. After molecular docking analysis pinpointed the suitable binding orientation of a ligand in AR, the model was further optimized through 1 μs of MD simulations. Using this approach, three molecular systems were studied: (1) WT-AR bound with agonist R1881, (2) WT-AR bound with antagonist bicalutamide, and (3) Mut-AR bound with bicalutamide. Our structures were very similar to the experimentally determined structures of both WT-AR with R1881 and Mut-AR with bicalutamide, demonstrating the trustworthiness of this approach. In our model, when WT-AR is bound with bicalutamide, Val716/Lys720/Gln733, or Met734/Gln738/Glu897 move and thus disturb the positive and negative charge clumps of the AF2 site. This disruption of the AF2 site is key for understanding the impact of antagonist binding on subsequent co-regulator binding. In conclusion, the antagonist induced structural changes in WT-AR detailed in this study will enable further AR research and will facilitate AR targeting drug discovery.

Competitive docking model for prediction of the human nicotinic acetylcholine receptor α7 binding of tobacco constituents

The detrimental health effects associated with tobacco use constitute a major public health concern. The addiction associated with nicotine found in tobacco products has led to difficulty in quitting among users. Nicotinic acetylcholine receptors (nAChRs) are the targets of nicotine and are responsible for addiction to tobacco products. However, it is unknown if the other >8000 tobacco constituents are addictive. Since it is time-consuming and costly to experimentally assess addictive potential of such larger number of chemicals, computationally predicting human nAChRs binding is important for in silico evaluation of addiction potential of tobacco constituents and needs structures of human nAChRs. Therefore, we constructed three-dimensional structures of the ligand binding domain of human nAChR α7 subtype and then developed a predictive model based on the constructed structures to predict human nAChR α7 binding activity of tobacco constituents. The predictive model correctly predicted 11 out of 12 test compounds to be binders of nAChR α7. The model is a useful tool for high-throughput screening of potential addictive tobacco constituents. These results could inform regulatory science research by providing a new validated predictive tool using cutting-edge computational methodology to high-throughput screen tobacco additives and constituents for their binding interaction with the human α7 nicotinic receptor. The tool represents a prediction model capable of screening thousands of chemicals found in tobacco products for addiction potential, which improves the understanding of the potential effects of additives.

Chemical space, diversity and activity landscape analysis of estrogen receptor binders

Understanding the structure–activity relationships (SAR) of endocrine-disrupting chemicals has a major importance in toxicology. Despite the fact that classifiers and predictive models have been developed for estrogens for the past 20 years, to the best of our knowledge, there are no studies of their activity landscape or the identification of activity cliffs. Herein, we report the first SAR of a public dataset of 121 chemicals with reported estrogen receptor binding affinities using activity landscape modeling. To this end, we conducted a systematic quantitative and visual analysis of the chemical space of the 121 chemicals. The global diversity of the dataset was characterized by means of Consensus Diversity Plot, a recently developed method. Adding pairwise activity difference information to the chemical space gave rise to the activity landscape of the data set uncovering a heterogeneous SAR, in particular for some structural classes. At least eight compounds were identified with high propensity to form activity cliffs. The findings of this work further expand the current knowledge of the underlying SAR of estrogenic compounds and can be the starting point to develop novel and potentially improved predictive models.

Global diversity and activity landscape analysis of endocrine-disrupting chemicals identifies activity cliffs that are rationalized at the structure level.

The Liver Toxicity Knowledge Base (LKTB) and drug-induced liver injury (DILI) classification for assessment of human liver injury

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) is challenging for drug development, clinical practice and regulation. The Liver Toxicity Knowledge Base (LTKB) provides essential data for DILI study. Areas covered: The LTKB provided various types of data that can be used to assess and predict DILI. Among much information available, several reference drug lists with annotated human DILI risk are of important. The LTKB DILI classification data include DILI severity concern determined by the FDA drug labeling, DILI severity score from the NIH LiverTox database, and other DILI classification schemes from the literature. Overall, ~1000 drugs were annotated with at least one classification scheme, of which around 750 drugs were flagged for some degree of DILI risk. Expert commentary: The LTKB provides a centralized repository of information for DILI study and predictive model development. The DILI classification data in LTKB could be a useful resource for developing biomarkers, predictive models and assessing data from emerging technologies such as in silico, high-throughput and high-content screening methodologies. In coming years, streamlining the prediction process by including DILI predictive models for both DILI severity and types in LTKB would enhance the identification of compounds with the DILI potential earlier in drug development and risk assessment.

Endocrine Disrupting Chemicals Mediated through Binding Androgen Receptor Are Associated with Diabetes Mellitus

Endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) can mimic natural hormone to interact with receptors in the endocrine system and thus disrupt the functions of the endocrine system, raising concerns on the public health. In addition to disruption of the endocrine system, some EDCs have been found associated with many diseases such as breast cancer, prostate cancer, infertility, asthma, stroke, Alzheimer’s disease, obesity, and diabetes mellitus. EDCs that binding androgen receptor have been reported associated with diabetes mellitus in in vitro, animal, and clinical studies. In this review, we summarize the structural basis and interactions between androgen receptor and EDCs as well as the associations of various types of diabetes mellitus with the EDCs mediated through androgen receptor binding. We also discuss the perspective research for further understanding the impact and mechanisms of EDCs on the risk of diabetes mellitus.

Development of Decision Forest Models for Prediction of Drug-Induced Liver Injury in Humans Using A Large Set of FDA-approved Drugs

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) presents a significant challenge to drug development and regulatory science. The FDA’s Liver Toxicity Knowledge Base (LTKB) evaluated >1000 drugs for their likelihood of causing DILI in humans, of which >700 drugs were classified into three categories (most-DILI, less-DILI, and no-DILI). Based on this dataset, we developed and compared 2-class and 3-class DILI prediction models using the machine learning algorithm of Decision Forest (DF) with Mold2 structural descriptors. The models were evaluated through 1000 iterations of 5-fold cross-validations, 1000 bootstrapping validations and 1000 permutation tests (that assessed the chance correlation). Furthermore, prediction confidence analysis was conducted, which provides an additional parameter for proper interpretation of prediction results. We revealed that the 3-class model not only had a higher resolution to estimate DILI risk but also showed an improved capability to differentiate most-DILI drugs from no-DILI drugs in comparison with the 2-class DILI model. We demonstrated the utility of the models for drug ingredients with warnings very recently issued by the FDA. Moreover, we identified informative molecular features important for assessing DILI risk. Our results suggested that the 3-class model presents a better option than the binary model (which most publications are focused on) for drug safety evaluation.

Development of estrogen receptor beta binding prediction model using large sets of chemicals

We developed an ER_β binding prediction model to facilitate identification of chemicals specifically bind ER_β or ER_α together with our previously developed ER_α binding model. Decision Forest was used to train ER_β binding prediction model based on a large set of compounds obtained from EADB. Model performance was estimated through 1000 iterations of 5-fold cross validations. Prediction confidence was analyzed using predictions from the cross validations. Informative chemical features for ER_β binding were identified through analysis of the frequency data of chemical descriptors used in the models in the 5-fold cross validations. 1000 permutations were conducted to assess the chance correlation. The average accuracy of 5-fold cross validations was 93.14% with a standard deviation of 0.64%. Prediction confidence analysis indicated that the higher the prediction confidence the more accurate the predictions. Permutation testing results revealed that the prediction model is unlikely generated by chance. Eighteen informative descriptors were identified to be important to ER_β binding prediction. Application of the prediction model to the data from ToxCast project yielded very high sensitivity of 90-92%. Our results demonstrated ER_β binding of chemicals could be accurately predicted using the developed model. Coupling with our previously developed ER_α prediction model, this model could be expected to facilitate drug development through identification of chemicals that specifically bind ER_β or ER_α.

Molecular dynamics simulations and applications in computational toxicology and nanotoxicology

Nanotoxicology studies toxicity of nanomaterials and has been widely applied in biomedical researches to explore toxicity of various biological systems. Investigating biological systems through in vivo and in vitro methods is expensive and time taking. Therefore, computational toxicology, a multi-discipline field that utilizes computational power and algorithms to examine toxicology of biological systems, has gained attractions to scientists. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of biomolecules such as proteins and DNA are popular for understanding of interactions between biological systems and chemicals in computational toxicology. In this paper, we review MD simulation methods, protocol for running MD simulations and their applications in studies of toxicity and nanotechnology. We also briefly summarize some popular software tools for execution of MD simulations.

Consensus Modeling for Prediction of Estrogenic Activity of Ingredients Commonly Used in Sunscreen Products

Sunscreen products are predominantly regulated as over-the-counter (OTC) drugs by the US FDA. The "active" ingredients function as ultraviolet filters. Once a sunscreen product is generally recognized as safe and effective (GRASE) via an OTC drug review process, new formulations using these ingredients do not require FDA review and approval, however, the majority of ingredients have never been tested to uncover any potential endocrine activity and their ability to interact with the estrogen receptor (ER) is unknown, despite the fact that this is a very extensively studied target related to endocrine activity. Consequently, we have developed an in silico model to prioritize single ingredient estrogen receptor activity for use when actual animal data are inadequate, equivocal, or absent. It relies on consensus modeling to qualitatively and quantitatively predict ER binding activity. As proof of concept, the model was applied to ingredients commonly used in sunscreen products worldwide and a few reference chemicals. Of the 32 chemicals with unknown ER binding activity that were evaluated, seven were predicted to be active estrogenic compounds. Five of the seven were confirmed by the published data. Further experimental data is needed to confirm the other two predictions.

sNebula, a network-based algorithm to predict binding between human leukocyte antigens and peptides

Understanding the binding between human leukocyte antigens (HLAs) and peptides is important to understand the functioning of the immune system. Since it is time-consuming and costly to measure the binding between large numbers of HLAs and peptides, computational methods including machine learning models and network approaches have been developed to predict HLA-peptide binding. However, there are several limitations for the existing methods. We developed a network-based algorithm called sNebula to address these limitations. We curated qualitative Class I HLA-peptide binding data and demonstrated the prediction performance of sNebula on this dataset using leave-one-out cross-validation and five-fold cross-validations. This algorithm can predict not only peptides of different lengths and different types of HLAs, but also the peptides or HLAs that have no existing binding data. We believe sNebula is an effective method to predict HLA-peptide binding and thus improve our understanding of the immune system.

Development of classification model and QSAR model for predicting binding affinity of endocrine disrupting chemicals to human sex hormone-binding globulin

Disturbing the transport process is a crucial pathway for endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) to disrupt endocrine function. However, this mechanism has not gotten enough attention, compared with that of hormone receptors and synthetase up to now, especially for the sex hormone transport process. In this study, we selected sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and EDCs as a model system and the relative competing potency of a chemical with testosterone binding to SHBG (log RBA) as the endpoints, to develop classification models and quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models. With the classification model, a satisfactory model with nR09, nR10 and RDF155v as the most relevant variables was screened. Statistic results indicated that the model had the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy of 86.4%, 80.0%, 84.4% and 85.7%, 87.5%, 86.2% for the training set and validation set, respectively, highlighting a high classification performance of the model. With the QSAR model, a satisfactory model with statistical parameters, specifically, an adjusted determination coefficient (Radj(2)) of 0.810, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.616, a leave-one-out cross-validation squared correlation coefficient (QLOO(2)) of 0.777, a bootstrap method (QBOOT(2)) of 0.756, an external validation coefficient (Qext(2)) of 0.544 and a RMSEext of 0.859, were obtained, which implied satisfactory goodness of fit, robustness and predictive ability. The applicability domain of the current model covers a large number of structurally diverse chemicals, especially a few classes of nonsteroidal compounds.

Experimental Data Extraction and in Silico Prediction of the Estrogenic Activity of Renewable Replacements for Bisphenol A

Bisphenol A (BPA) is a ubiquitous compound used in polymer manufacturing for a wide array of applications; however, increasing evidence has shown that BPA causes significant endocrine disruption and this has raised public concerns over safety and exposure limits. The use of renewable materials as polymer feedstocks provides an opportunity to develop replacement compounds for BPA that are sustainable and exhibit unique properties due to their diverse structures. As new bio-based materials are developed and tested, it is important to consider the impacts of both monomers and polymers on human health. Molecular docking simulations using the Estrogenic Activity Database in conjunction with the decision forest were performed as part of a two-tier in silico model to predict the activity of 29 bio-based platform chemicals in the estrogen receptor-α (ERα). Fifteen of the candidates were predicted as ER binders and fifteen as non-binders. Gaining insight into the estrogenic activity of the bio-based BPA replacements aids in the sustainable development of new polymeric materials.

CERAPP: Collaborative Estrogen Receptor Activity Prediction Project

BACKGROUND

Humans are exposed to thousands of man-made chemicals in the environment. Some chemicals mimic natural endocrine hormones and, thus, have the potential to be endocrine disruptors. Most of these chemicals have never been tested for their ability to interact with the estrogen receptor (ER). Risk assessors need tools to prioritize chemicals for evaluation in costly in vivo tests, for instance, within the U.S. EPA Endocrine Disruptor Screening Program.

OBJECTIVES

We describe a large-scale modeling project called CERAPP (Collaborative Estrogen Receptor Activity Prediction Project) and demonstrate the efficacy of using predictive computational models trained on high-throughput screening data to evaluate thousands of chemicals for ER-related activity and prioritize them for further testing.

METHODS

CERAPP combined multiple models developed in collaboration with 17 groups in the United States and Europe to predict ER activity of a common set of 32,464 chemical structures. Quantitative structure-activity relationship models and docking approaches were employed, mostly using a common training set of 1,677 chemical structures provided by the U.S. EPA, to build a total of 40 categorical and 8 continuous models for binding, agonist, and antagonist ER activity. All predictions were evaluated on a set of 7,522 chemicals curated from the literature. To overcome the limitations of single models, a consensus was built by weighting models on scores based on their evaluated accuracies.

RESULTS

Individual model scores ranged from 0.69 to 0.85, showing high prediction reliabilities. Out of the 32,464 chemicals, the consensus model predicted 4,001 chemicals (12.3%) as high priority actives and 6,742 potential actives (20.8%) to be considered for further testing.

CONCLUSION

This project demonstrated the possibility to screen large libraries of chemicals using a consensus of different in silico approaches. This concept will be applied in future projects related to other end points.

CITATION

Mansouri K, Abdelaziz A, Rybacka A, Roncaglioni A, Tropsha A, Varnek A, Zakharov A, Worth A, Richard AM, Grulke CM, Trisciuzzi D, Fourches D, Horvath D, Benfenati E, Muratov E, Wedebye EB, Grisoni F, Mangiatordi GF, Incisivo GM, Hong H, Ng HW, Tetko IV, Balabin I, Kancherla J, Shen J, Burton J, Nicklaus M, Cassotti M, Nikolov NG, Nicolotti O, Andersson PL, Zang Q, Politi R, Beger RD, Todeschini R, Huang R, Farag S, Rosenberg SA, Slavov S, Hu X, Judson RS. 2016.

CERAPP

Collaborative Estrogen Receptor Activity Prediction Project. Environ Health Perspect 124:1023-1033; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1510267.

Structures of androgen receptor bound with ligands: advancing understanding of biological functions and drug discovery

INTRODUCTION

Androgen receptor (AR) is a ligand-dependent transcription factor and a member of the nuclear receptor superfamily. It plays a vital role in male sexual development and regulates gene expression in various tissues, including prostate. Androgens are compounds that exert their biological effects via interaction with AR. Binding of androgens to AR initiates conformational changes in AR that affect binding of co-regulator proteins and DNA. AR agonists and antagonists are widely used in a variety of clinical applications (i.e. hypogonadism and prostate cancer therapy).

AREAS COVERED

This review provides a close look at structures of AR-ligand complexes and mutations in the receptor that have been revealed, discusses current challenges in the field, and sheds light on future directions.

EXPERT OPINION

AR is one of the primary targets for the treatment of prostate cancer, as AR antagonists inhibit prostate cancer growth. However, these drugs are not effective for long-term treatment and lead to castration-resistant prostate cancer. The structures of AR-ligand complexes are an invaluable scientific asset that enhances our understanding of biological functions and mechanisms of androgenic and anti-androgenic chemicals as well as promotes the discovery of superior drug candidates.

Conformal prediction to define applicability domain - A case study on predicting ER and AR binding

A fundamental element when deriving a robust and predictive in silico model is not only the statistical quality of the model in question but, equally important, the estimate of its predictive boundaries. This work presents a new method, conformal prediction, for applicability domain estimation in the field of endocrine disruptors. The method is applied to binders and non-binders related to the oestrogen and androgen receptors. Ensembles of decision trees are used as statistical method and three different sets (dragon, rdkit and signature fingerprints) are investigated as chemical descriptors. The conformal prediction method results in valid models where there is an excellent balance in quality between the internally validated training set and the corresponding external test set, both in terms of validity and with respect to sensitivity and specificity. With this method the level of confidence can be readily altered by the user and the consequences thereof immediately inspected. Furthermore, the predictive boundaries for the derived models are rigorously defined by using the conformal prediction framework, thus no ambiguity exists as to the level of similarity needed for new compounds to be in or out of the predictive boundaries of the derived models where reliable predictions can be expected.

A Rat α-Fetoprotein Binding Activity Prediction Model to Facilitate Assessment of the Endocrine Disruption Potential of Environmental Chemicals

Endocrine disruptors such as polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), diethylstilbestrol (DES) and dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT) are agents that interfere with the endocrine system and cause adverse health effects. Huge public health concern about endocrine disruptors has arisen. One of the mechanisms of endocrine disruption is through binding of endocrine disruptors with the hormone receptors in the target cells. Entrance of endocrine disruptors into target cells is the precondition of endocrine disruption. The binding capability of a chemical with proteins in the blood affects its entrance into the target cells and, thus, is very informative for the assessment of potential endocrine disruption of chemicals. α-fetoprotein is one of the major serum proteins that binds to a variety of chemicals such as estrogens. To better facilitate assessment of endocrine disruption of environmental chemicals, we developed a model for α-fetoprotein binding activity prediction using the novel pattern recognition method (Decision Forest) and the molecular descriptors calculated from two-dimensional structures by Mold² software. The predictive capability of the model has been evaluated through internal validation using 125 training chemicals (average balanced accuracy of 69%) and external validations using 22 chemicals (balanced accuracy of 71%). Prediction confidence analysis revealed the model performed much better at high prediction confidence. Our results indicate that the model is useful (when predictions are in high confidence) in endocrine disruption risk assessment of environmental chemicals though improvement by increasing number of training chemicals is needed.

QSAR Models at the US FDA/NCTR

Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) has been used in the scientific research community for many decades and applied to drug discovery and development in the industry. QSAR technologies are advancing fast and attracting possible applications in regulatory science. To facilitate the development of reliable QSAR models, the FDA had invested a lot of efforts in constructing chemical databases with a variety of efficacy and safety endpoint data, as well as in the development of computational algorithms. In this chapter, we briefly describe some of the often used databases developed at the FDA such as EDKB (Endocrine Disruptor Knowledge Base), EADB (Estrogenic Activity Database), LTKB (Liver Toxicity Knowledge Base), and CERES (Chemical Evaluation and Risk Estimation System) and the technologies adopted by the agency such as Mold(2) program for calculation of a large and diverse set of molecular descriptors and decision forest algorithm for QSAR model development. We also summarize some QSAR models that have been developed for safety evaluation of the FDA-regulated products.

Development and Validation of Decision Forest Model for Estrogen Receptor Binding Prediction of Chemicals Using Large Data Sets

Some chemicals in the environment possess the potential to interact with the endocrine system in the human body. Multiple receptors are involved in the endocrine system; estrogen receptor α (ERα) plays very important roles in endocrine activity and is the most studied receptor. Understanding and predicting estrogenic activity of chemicals facilitates the evaluation of their endocrine activity. Hence, we have developed a decision forest classification model to predict chemical binding to ERα using a large training data set of 3308 chemicals obtained from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration's Estrogenic Activity Database. We tested the model using cross validations and external data sets of 1641 chemicals obtained from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's ToxCast project. The model showed good performance in both internal (92% accuracy) and external validations (∼ 70-89% relative balanced accuracies), where the latter involved the validations of the model across different ER pathway-related assays in ToxCast. The important features that contribute to the prediction ability of the model were identified through informative descriptor analysis and were related to current knowledge of ER binding. Prediction confidence analysis revealed that the model had both high prediction confidence and accuracy for most predicted chemicals. The results demonstrated that the model constructed based on the large training data set is more accurate and robust for predicting ER binding of chemicals than the published models that have been developed using much smaller data sets. The model could be useful for the evaluation of ERα-mediated endocrine activity potential of environmental chemicals.

Estrogenic activity data extraction and in silico prediction show the endocrine disruption potential of bisphenol A replacement compounds

Bisphenol A (BPA) replacement compounds are released to the environment and cause widespread human exposure. However, a lack of thorough safety evaluations on the BPA replacement compounds has raised public concerns. We assessed the endocrine disruption potential of BPA replacement compounds in the market to assist their safety evaluations. A literature search was conducted to ascertain the BPA replacement compounds in use. Available experimental estrogenic activity data of these compounds were extracted from the Estrogenic Activity Database (EADB) to assess their estrogenic potential. An in silico model was developed to predict the estrogenic activity of compounds lacking experimental data. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations were performed to understand the mechanisms by which the estrogenic compounds bind to and activate the estrogen receptor (ER). Forty-five BPA replacement compounds were identified in the literature. Seven were more estrogenic and five less estrogenic than BPA, while six were nonestrogenic in EADB. A two-tier in silico model was developed based on molecular docking to predict the estrogenic activity of the 27 compounds lacking data. Eleven were predicted as ER binders and 16 as nonbinders. MD simulations revealed hydrophobic contacts and hydrogen bonds as the main interactions between ER and the estrogenic compounds.

Structure-activity relationship study of trifluoromethylketone inhibitors of insect juvenile hormone esterase: comparison of several classification methods

Juvenile hormone esterase (JHE) plays a key role in the development and metamorphosis of holometabolous insects. Its inhibitors could possibly be targeted for insect control. Conversely, JHE may also be involved in endocrine disruption by xenobiotics, resulting in detrimental effects in beneficial insects. There is therefore a need to know the structural characteristics of the molecules able to monitor JHE activity, and to develop SAR and QSAR studies to estimate their effectiveness. For a large diverse population of 181 trifluoromethylketones (TFKs) - the most potent JHE inhibitors known to date - we recently proposed a binary classification (active/inactive) using a support vector machine and Codessa structural descriptors. We have now examined, using the same data set and with the same descriptors, the applicability and performance of five other machine learning approaches. These have been shown able to handle high dimensional data (with descriptors possibly irrelevant or redundant) and to cope with complex mechanisms, but without delivering explicit directly exploitable models. Splitting the data into five batches (training set 80%, test set 20%) and carrying out leave-one-out cross-validation, led to good results of comparable performance, consistent with our previous support vector classifier (SVC) results. Accuracy was greater than 0.80 for all approaches. A reduced set of 15 descriptors common to all the investigated approaches showed good predictive ability (confirmed using a three-layer perceptron) and gives some clues regarding a mechanistic interpretation.

Classification models for safe drug molecules

Frequent failure of drug candidates during development stages remains the major deterrent for an early introduction of new drug molecules. The drug toxicity is the major cause of expensive late-stage development failures. An early identification/optimization of the most favorable molecule will naturally save considerable cost, time, human efforts and minimize animal sacrifice. (Quantitative) Structure Activity Relationships [(Q)SARs] represent statistically derived predictive models correlating biological activity (including desirable therapeutic effect and undesirable side effects) of chemicals (drugs/toxicants/environmental pollutants) with molecular descriptors and/or properties. (Q)SAR models which categorize the available data into two or more groups/classes are known as classification models. Numerous techniques of diverse nature are being presently employed for development of classification models. Though there is an increasing use of classification models for prediction of either biological activity or toxicity, the future trend will naturally be towards the development of classification models capable of simultaneous prediction of biological activity, toxicity, and pharmacokinetic parameters so as to accelerate development of bioavailable safe drug molecules.

Discovery of estrogen receptor modulators: a review of virtual screening and SAR efforts

IMPORTANCE OF THE FIELD

Virtual screening (VS) coupled with structural biology is a significantly important approach to increase the number and enhance the success of projects in lead identification stage of drug discovery process. Recent advances and future directions in estrogen therapy have resulted in great demand for identifying the potential estrogen receptor (ER) modulators with more activity and selectivity.

AREAS COVERED IN THIS REVIEW

This review presents the current state of the art in VS and structure-activity relationship of ER modulators in recent discovery, and discusses the strengths and weaknesses of the technology.

WHAT THE READER WILL GAIN

Readers will gain an overview of the current platforms of in silico screening for discovery of ER modulators; they will learn which structural information is significantly correlated with the bioactivity of ER modulators and what novel strategies should be considered for the creation of more effective chemical structures.

TAKE HOME MESSAGE

With the goal of reducing toxicity and/or improving efficacy, challenges to the successful modeling of endocrine agents are proposed, providing new paradigms for the design of ER inhibitors.

Modeling chemical interaction profiles: II. Molecular docking, spectral data-activity relationship, and structure-activity relationship models for potent and weak inhibitors of cytochrome P450 CYP3A4 isozyme

Polypharmacy increasingly has become a topic of public health concern, particularly as the U.S. population ages. Drug labels often contain insufficient information to enable the clinician to safely use multiple drugs. Because many of the drugs are bio-transformed by cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzymes, inhibition of CYP activity has long been associated with potentially adverse health effects. In an attempt to reduce the uncertainty pertaining to CYP-mediated drug-drug/chemical interactions, an interagency collaborative group developed a consensus approach to prioritizing information concerning CYP inhibition. The consensus involved computational molecular docking, spectral data-activity relationship (SDAR), and structure-activity relationship (SAR) models that addressed the clinical potency of CYP inhibition. The models were built upon chemicals that were categorized as either potent or weak inhibitors of the CYP3A4 isozyme. The categorization was carried out using information from clinical trials because currently available in vitro high-throughput screening data were not fully representative of the in vivo potency of inhibition. During categorization it was found that compounds, which break the Lipinski rule of five by molecular weight, were about twice more likely to be inhibitors of CYP3A4 compared to those, which obey the rule. Similarly, among inhibitors that break the rule, potent inhibitors were 2–3 times more frequent. The molecular docking classification relied on logistic regression, by which the docking scores from different docking algorithms, CYP3A4 three-dimensional structures, and binding sites on them were combined in a unified probabilistic model. The SDAR models employed a multiple linear regression approach applied to binned 1D ¹³C-NMR and 1D ¹⁵N-NMR spectral descriptors. Structure-based and physical-chemical descriptors were used as the basis for developing SAR models by the decision forest method. Thirty-three potent inhibitors and 88 weak inhibitors of CYP3A4 were used to train the models. Using these models, a synthetic majority rules consensus classifier was implemented, while the confidence of estimation was assigned following the percent agreement strategy. The classifier was applied to a testing set of 120 inhibitors not included in the development of the models. Five compounds of the test set, including known strong inhibitors dalfopristin and tioconazole, were classified as probable potent inhibitors of CYP3A4. Other known strong inhibitors, such as lopinavir, oltipraz, quercetin, raloxifene, and troglitazone, were among 18 compounds classified as plausible potent inhibitors of CYP3A4. The consensus estimation of inhibition potency is expected to aid in the nomination of pharmaceuticals, dietary supplements, environmental pollutants, and occupational and other chemicals for in-depth evaluation of the CYP3A4 inhibitory activity. It may serve also as an estimate of chemical interactions via CYP3A4 metabolic pharmacokinetic pathways occurring through polypharmacy and nutritional and environmental exposures to chemical mixtures.

Modeling chemical interaction profiles: I. Spectral data-activity relationship and structure-activity relationship models for inhibitors and non-inhibitors of cytochrome P450 CYP3A4 and CYP2D6 isozymes

An interagency collaboration was established to model chemical interactions that may cause adverse health effects when an exposure to a mixture of chemicals occurs. Many of these chemicals—drugs, pesticides, and environmental pollutant—interact at the level of metabolic biotransformations mediated by cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzymes. In the present work, spectral data-activity relationship (SDAR) and structure-activity relationship (SAR) approaches were used to develop machine-learning classifiers of inhibitors and non-inhibitors of the CYP3A4 and CYP2D6 isozymes. The models were built upon 602 reference pharmaceutical compounds whose interactions have been deduced from clinical data, and 100 additional chemicals that were used to evaluate model performance in an external validation (EV) test. SDAR is an innovative modeling approach that relies on discriminant analysis applied to binned nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectral descriptors. In the present work, both 1D ¹³C and 1D ¹⁵N-NMR spectra were used together in a novel implementation of the SDAR technique. It was found that increasing the binning size of 1D ¹³C-NMR and ¹⁵N-NMR spectra caused an increase in the tenfold cross-validation (CV) performance in terms of both the rate of correct classification and sensitivity. The results of SDAR modeling were verified using SAR. For SAR modeling, a decision forest approach involving from 6 to 17 Mold² descriptors in a tree was used. Average rates of correct classification of SDAR and SAR models in a hundred CV tests were 60% and 61% for CYP3A4, and 62% and 70% for CYP2D6, respectively. The rates of correct classification of SDAR and SAR models in the EV test were 73% and 86% for CYP3A4, and 76% and 90% for CYP2D6, respectively. Thus, both SDAR and SAR methods demonstrated a comparable performance in modeling a large set of structurally diverse data. Based on unique NMR structural descriptors, the new SDAR modeling method complements the existing SAR techniques, providing an independent estimator that can increase confidence in a structure-activity assessment. When modeling was applied to hazardous environmental chemicals, it was found that up to 20% of them may be substrates and up to 10% of them may be inhibitors of the CYP3A4 and CYP2D6 isoforms. The developed models provide a rare opportunity for the environmental health branch of the public health service to extrapolate to hazardous chemicals directly from human clinical data. Therefore, the pharmacological and environmental health branches are both expected to benefit from these reported models.

Application of Machine Leaning in Drug Discovery and Development

Machine learning techniques have been widely used in drug discovery and development, particularly in the areas of cheminformatics, bioinformatics and other types of pharmaceutical research. It has been demonstrated they are suitable for large high dimensional data, and the models built with these methods can be used for robust external predictions. However, various problems and challenges still exist, and new approaches are in great need. In this Chapter, the authors will review the current development of machine learning techniques, and especially focus on several machine learning techniques they developed as well as their application to model building, lead discovery via virtual screening, integration with molecular docking, and prediction of off-target properties. The authors will suggest some potential different avenues to unify different disciplines, such as cheminformatics, bioinformatics and systems biology, for the purpose of developing integrated in silico drug discovery and development approaches.

Molecular biomarkers: a US FDA effort

Molecular biomarkers are used for various purposes, including disease diagnosis and prognosis, prediction and assessment of treatment response, and safety assessment. There has been a significant increase in the number of US FDA-approved drug labels containing information on molecular biomarkers over the last decade. Almost every pharmaceutical company has been developing molecular biomarker programs, either alone, through partnerships or other ventures. More molecular biomarkers are expected to be identified and validated in drug development, and used to support approval of drug products. This article summarizes the current status of molecular biomarkers used for FDA-approved drug products, and discusses the challenges and future perspectives for the identification and qualification of molecular biomarkers. Specific FDA programs and research projects related to molecular biomarkers are also discussed for supporting regulatory review in the future.

Mold(2), molecular descriptors from 2D structures for chemoinformatics and toxicoinformatics

Research applications in chemoinformatics and toxicoinformatics increasingly use representations of molecules in the form of numerical descriptors that capture the structural characteristics and properties of molecules. These representations are useful for ADME/toxicity prediction, diversity analysis, library design, QSAR/QSPR, virtual screening, and other purposes. Molecular descriptors have ranged from relatively simple forms calculated from simple two-dimensional (2D) chemical structures to more complex forms representing three-dimensional (3D) chemical structures or complex molecular fingerprints consisting of numerous bit positions to represent specific chemical information. The Mold (2) software was developed to enable the rapid calculation of a large and diverse set of descriptors encoding two-dimensional chemical structure information. Comparative analysis of Mold (2) descriptors with those calculated by Cerius (2), Dragon, and Molconn-Z on several data sets using Shannon entropy analysis demonstrated that Mold (2) descriptors convey a similar amount of information. In addition, using the same classification method, slightly better models were generated using Mold (2) descriptors compared to those generated using descriptors from the compared commercial software packages. The low computing cost for Mold (2) makes it suitable not only for small data sets, such as in QSAR, but also for large databases in virtual screening. High reproducibility and reliability are expected because Mold (2) does not require 3D structures. Mold (2) is freely available to the public ( http://www.fda.gov/nctr/science/centers/toxicoinformatics/index.htm).

A conceptual framework for predicting the toxicity of reactive chemicals: modeling soft electrophilicity

Although the literature is replete with QSAR models developed for many toxic effects caused by reversible chemical interactions, the development of QSARs for the toxic effects of reactive chemicals lacks a consistent approach. While limitations exit, an appropriate starting-point for modeling reactive toxicity is the applicability of the general rules of organic chemical reactions and the association of these reactions to cellular targets of importance in toxicology. The identification of plausible "molecular initiating events" based on covalent reactions with nucleophiles in proteins and DNA provides the unifying concept for a framework for reactive toxicity. This paper outlines the proposed framework for reactive toxicity. Empirical measures of the chemical reactivity of xenobiotics with a model nucleophile (thiol) are used to simulate the relative rates at which a reactive chemical is likely to bind irreversibly to cellular targets. These measures of intrinsic reactivity serve as correlates to a variety of toxic effects; what's more they appear to be more appropriate endpoints for QSAR modeling than the toxicity endpoints themselves.

SAR and QSAR modeling of endocrine disruptors

A number of xenobiotics by mimicking natural hormones can disrupt crucial functions in wildlife and humans. These chemicals termed endocrine disruptors are able to exert adverse effects through a variety of mechanisms. Fortunately, there is a growing interest in the study of these structurally diverse chemicals mainly through research programs based on in vitro and in vivo experimentations but also by means of SAR and QSAR models. The goal of our study was to retrieve from the literature all the papers dealing with structure-activity models on endocrine disruptor xenobiotics. A critical analysis of these models was made focusing our attention on the quality of the biological data, the significance of the molecular descriptors and the validity of the statistical tools used for deriving the models. The predictive power and domain of application of these models were also discussed.