Quantitative assessment of the activity of antituberculosis drugs and regimens

Pharmacometrics in tuberculosis: progress and opportunities

Tuberculosis remains one of the leading causes of death by a communicable agent, infecting up to one-quarter of the world's population, predominantly in disadvantaged communities. Pharmacometrics employs quantitative mathematical models to describe the relationships between pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics, and to predict drug doses, exposures, and responses. Pharmacometric approaches have provided a scientific basis for improved dosing of antituberculosis drugs and concomitantly administered antiretrovirals at the population level. The development of modelling frameworks including physiologically-based pharmacokinetics, quantitative systems pharmacology and machine learning provides an opportunity to extend the role of pharmacometrics to in silico quantification of drug-drug interactions, prediction of doses for special populations, dose optimization and individualization, and understanding the complex exposure-response relationships of multidrug regimens in terms of both efficacy and safety, informing regimen design for future study. In this short clinically-focused review, we explore what has been done, and what opportunities exist for pharmacometrics to impact tuberculosis pharmacotherapy.

Drug exposure and susceptibility of second-line drugs correlate with treatment response in patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: a multi-centre prospective cohort study in China

Background

Understanding the impact of drug exposure and susceptibility on treatment response of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) will help to optimise treatment. This study aimed to investigate the association between drug exposure, susceptibility and response to MDR-TB treatment.

Methods

Drug exposure and susceptibility for second-line drugs were measured for patients with MDR-TB. Multivariate analysis was applied to investigate the impact of drug exposure and susceptibility on sputum culture conversion and treatment outcome. Probability of target attainment was evaluated. Random Forest and CART (Classification and Regression Tree) analysis was used to identify key predictors and their clinical targets among patients on World Health Organization-recommended regimens.

Results

Drug exposure and corresponding susceptibility were available for 197 patients with MDR-TB. The probability of target attainment was highly variable, ranging from 0% for ethambutol to 97% for linezolid, while patients with fluoroquinolones above targets had a higher probability of 2-month culture conversion (56.3% versus 28.6%; adjusted OR 2.91, 95% CI 1.42–5.94) and favourable outcome (88.8% versus 68.8%; adjusted OR 2.89, 95% CI 1.16–7.17). Higher exposure values of fluoroquinolones, linezolid and pyrazinamide were associated with earlier sputum culture conversion. CART analysis selected moxifloxacin area under the drug concentration–time curve/minimum inhibitory concentration (AUC_0–24h/MIC) of 231 and linezolid AUC_0–24h/MIC of 287 as best predictors for 6-month culture conversion in patients receiving identical Group A-based regimens. These associations were confirmed in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

Our findings indicate that target attainment of TB drugs is associated with response to treatment. The CART-derived thresholds may serve as targets for early dose adjustment in a future randomised controlled study to improve MDR-TB treatment outcome.

Drug exposure and susceptibility were proved to be associated with treatment responses during multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment, and identified thresholds may serve as targets for dose adjustment in future clinical studies to improve treatment efficacyhttps://bit.ly/3pZQbFU