A new approach method for characterizing inter-species toxicodynamic variability

Identifying human toxicodynamic variability: A systematic evidence map of the current knowledge

Current chemical risk assessment uses a default uncertainty factor (UF) of 3.16 for toxicodynamic (TD) variability in humans. The objective was to create a systematic evidence map (SEM) of the human variability in TD by identifying and organizing the available empirical data to assess if a further refinement of the default UF of 3.16 for TD can be achieved. PubMed and Web of Science™ were searched from 2004-2023. Studies were screened according to the eligibility criteria. Inclusion criteria included studies, where TD could be separated from toxicokinetics (TK) to exclude an impact of TK on TD variability. The literature search retrieved 2408 studies. Manual screening identified 23 in vitro studies assessing human TD variability quantitively, of which only seven in vitro studies provided quantitative estimates of a TD variability factor. No in vivo study met the inclusion criteria. Several studies found TD UF of 3.16 not covering human variability; others did. However, the data were heterogeneous, and variability in Points of Departure (PODs) and methods used to estimate TD variability complicated comparisons across studies. A standardized approach for TDVFs determination is identified. This SEM underscores the scarcity of data assessing human variability in TD, while omitting the influence of TK.

Reducing uncertainty in dose-response assessments by incorporating Bayesian benchmark dose modeling and in vitro data on population variability

There are two primary sources of uncertainty in the interpretability of toxicity values, like the reference dose (RfD): estimates of the point of departure (POD) and the absence of chemical-specific human variability data. We hypothesize two solutions-employing Bayesian benchmark dose (BBMD) modeling to refine POD determination and combining high-throughput toxicokinetic modeling with population-based toxicodynamic in vitro data to characterize chemical-specific variability. These hypotheses were tested by deriving refined probabilistic estimates for human doses corresponding to a specific effect size (M) in the Ith population percentile (HDM I) across 19 Superfund priority chemicals. HDM I values were further converted to biomonitoring equivalents in blood and urine for benchmarking against human data. Compared to deterministic default-based RfDs, HDM I values were generally more protective, particularly influenced by chemical-specific data on interindividual variability. Incorporating chemical-specific in vitro data improved precision in probabilistic RfDs, with a median 1.4-fold reduction in uncertainty variance. Comparison with US Environmental Protection Agency's Exposure Forecasting exposure predictions and biomonitoring data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey identified chemicals with margins of exposure nearing or below one. Overall, to mitigate uncertainty in regulatory toxicity values and guide chemical risk management, BBMD modeling and chemical-specific population-based human in vitro data are essential.

Incorporating new approach methods (NAMs) data in dose-response assessments: The future is now!

Regulatory dose-response assessments traditionally rely on in vivo data and default assumptions. New Approach Methods (NAMs) present considerable opportunities to both augment traditional dose-response assessments and accelerate the evaluation of new/data-poor chemicals. This review aimed to determine the potential utilization of NAMs through a unified conceptual framework that compartmentalizes derivation of toxicity values into five sequential Key Dose-response Modules (KDMs): (1) point-of-departure (POD) determination, (2) test system-to-human (e.g. inter-species) toxicokinetics and (3) toxicodynamics, (4) human population (intra-species) variability in toxicodynamics, and (5) toxicokinetics. After using several "traditional" dose-response assessments to illustrate this framework, a review is presented where existing NAMs, including in silico, in vitro, and in vivo approaches, might be applied across KDMs. Further, the false dichotomy between "traditional" and NAMs-derived data sources is broken down by organizing dose-response assessments into a matrix where each KDM has Tiers of increasing precision and confidence: Tier 0: Default/generic values, Tier 1: Computational predictions, Tier 2: Surrogate measurements, and Tier 3: Direct measurements. These findings demonstrated that although many publications promote the use of NAMs in KDMs (1) for POD determination and (5) for human population toxicokinetics, the proposed matrix of KDMs and Tiers reveals additional immediate opportunities for NAMs to be integrated across other KDMs. Further, critical needs were identified for developing NAMs to improve in vitro dosimetry and quantify test system and human population toxicodynamics. Overall, broadening the integration of NAMs across the steps of dose-response assessment promises to yield higher throughput, less animal-dependent, and more science-based toxicity values for protecting human health.

A systematic review and BMD modeling approach to develop an AOP for humidifier disinfectant-induced pulmonary fibrosis and cell death

Dosimetry modeling and point of departure (POD) estimation using in vitro data are essential for mechanism-based hazard identification and risk assessment. This study aimed to develop a putative adverse outcome pathway (AOP) for humidifier disinfectant (HD) substances used in South Korea through a systematic review and benchmark dose (BMD) modeling. We collected in vitro toxicological studies on HD substances, including polyhexamethylene guanidine hydrochloride (PHMG-HCl), PHMG phosphate (PHMG-p), a mixture of 5-chloro-2-methyl-4-isothiazolin-3-one and 2-methyl-4-isothiazolin-3-one (CMIT/MIT), CMIT, and MIT from scientific databases. A total of 193 sets of dose-response data were extracted from 34 articles reporting in vitro experimental results of HD toxicity. The risk of bias (RoB) in each study was assessed following the office of health assessment and translation (OHAT) guideline. The BMD of each HD substance at different toxicity endpoints was estimated using the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) BMD software (BMDS). Interspecies- or interorgan differences or most critical effects in the toxicity of the HD substances were analyzed using a 95% lower confidence limit of the BMD (BMDL). We found a critical molecular event and cells susceptible to each HD substance and constructed an AOP of PHMG-p- or CMIT/MIT-induced damage. Notably, PHMG-p induced ATP depletion at the lowest in vitro concentration, endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress, epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT), inflammation, leading to fibrosis. CMIT/MIT enhanced mitochondrial reactive oxygen species (ROS) production, oxidative stress, mitochondrial dysfunction, resulting in cell death. Our approach will increase the current understanding of the effects of HD substances on human health and contribute to evidence-based risk assessment of these compounds.

How neurobehavior and brain development in alternative whole-organism models can contribute to prediction of developmental neurotoxicity

Developmental neurotoxicity (DNT) is not routinely evaluated in chemical risk assessment because current test paradigms for DNT require the use of mammalian models which are ethically controversial, expensive, and resource demanding. Consequently, efforts have focused on revolutionizing DNT testing through affordable novel alternative methods for risk assessment. The goal is to develop a DNT in vitro test battery amenable to high-throughput screening (HTS). Currently, the DNT in vitro test battery consists primarily of human cell-based assays because of their immediate relevance to human health. However, such cell-based assays alone are unable to capture the complexity of a developing nervous system. Whole organismal systems that qualify as 3 R (Replace, Reduce and Refine) models are urgently needed to complement cell-based DNT testing. These models can provide the necessary organismal context and be used to explore the impact of chemicals on brain function by linking molecular and/or cellular changes to behavioural readouts. The nematode Caenorhabditis elegans, the planarian Dugesia japonica, and embryos of the zebrafish Danio rerio are all suited to low-cost HTS and each has unique strengths for DNT testing. Here, we review the strengths and the complementarity of these organisms in a novel, integrative context and highlight how they can augment current cell-based assays for more comprehensive and robust DNT screening of chemicals. Considering the limitations of all in vitro test systems, we discuss how a smart combinatory use of these systems will contribute to a better human relevant risk assessment of chemicals that considers the complexity of the developing brain.

Evaluating scientific confidence in the concordance of in vitro and in vivo protective points of departure

To fulfil the promise of reducing reliance on mammalian in vivo laboratory animal studies, new approach methods (NAMs) need to provide a confident basis for regulatory decision-making. However, previous attempts to develop in vitro NAMs-based points of departure (PODs) have yielded mixed results, with PODs from U.S. EPA's ToxCast, for instance, appearing more conservative (protective) but poorly correlated with traditional in vivo studies. Here, we aimed to address this discordance by reducing the heterogeneity of in vivo PODs, accounting for species differences, and enhancing the biological relevance of in vitro PODs. However, we only found improved in vitro-to-in vivo concordance when combining the use of Bayesian model averaging-based benchmark dose modeling for in vivo PODs, allometric scaling for interspecies adjustments, and human-relevant in vitro assays with multiple induced pluripotent stem cell-derived models. Moreover, the available sample size was only 15 chemicals, and the resulting level of concordance was only fair, with correlation coefficients <0.5 and prediction intervals spanning several orders of magnitude. Overall, while this study suggests several ways to enhance concordance and thereby increase scientific confidence in vitro NAMs-based PODs, it also highlights challenges in their predictive accuracy and precision for use in regulatory decision making.

Advancing probabilistic risk assessment by integrating human biomonitoring, new approach methods, and Bayesian modeling: A case study with the mycotoxin deoxynivalenol

Deoxynivalenol (DON) is a mycotoxin frequently observed in cereals and cereal-based foods, with reported toxicological effects including reduced body weight, immunotoxicity and reproductive defects. The European Food Safety Authority used traditional risk assessment approaches to derive a deterministic Tolerable Daily Intake (TDI) of 1 μg/kg-day, however data from human biomarkers studies indicate widespread and variable exposure worldwide, necessitating more sophisticated and advanced methods to quantify population risk. The World Health Organization/International Programme on Chemical Safety (WHO/IPCS) has previously used DON as a case example in replacing the TDI with a probabilistic toxicity value, using default uncertainty and variability distributions to derive the Human Dose corresponding to an effect size M in the Ith percentile of the population (HDMI) for M = 5 % decrease in body weight and I = 1 %. In this study, we extend this case study by incorporating (1) Bayesian modeling approaches, (2) using both in vivo data and in vitro population new approach methods to replace default distributions for interspecies toxicokinetic (TK) differences and intraspecies TK and toxicodynamic (TD) variability, and (3) integrating biomonitoring data and probabilistic dose-response functions to characterize population risk distributions. We first derive an HDMI of 5.5 [1.4-24] μg/kg-day, also using TK modeling to converted the HDMI to Biomonitoring Equivalents, BEMI for comparison with biomonitoring data, with a blood BEMI of 0.53 [0.17-1.6] μg/L and a urinary excretion BEMI of 3.9 [1.0-16] μg/kg-day. We then illustrate how this integrative approach can advance quantitative risk characterization using two human biomonitoring datasets, estimating both the fraction of population with an effect size M ≥ 5 % as well as the distribution of effect sizes. Overall, we demonstrate that integration of Bayesian modeling, human biomonitoring data, and in vitro population-based TD data within the WHO/IPCS probabilistic framework yields more accurate, precise, and comprehensive risk characterization.

A Population-Based Human In Vitro Approach to Quantify Inter-Individual Variability in Responses to Chemical Mixtures

Human cell-based population-wide in vitro models have been proposed as a strategy to derive chemical-specific estimates of inter-individual variability; however, the utility of this approach has not yet been tested for cumulative exposures in mixtures. This study aimed to test defined mixtures and their individual components and determine whether adverse effects of the mixtures were likely to be more variable in a population than those of the individual chemicals. The in vitro model comprised 146 human lymphoblastoid cell lines from four diverse subpopulations of European and African descent. Cells were exposed, in concentration−response, to 42 chemicals from diverse classes of environmental pollutants; in addition, eight defined mixtures were prepared from these chemicals using several exposure- or hazard-based scenarios. Points of departure for cytotoxicity were derived using Bayesian concentration−response modeling and population variability was quantified in the form of a toxicodynamic variability factor (TDVF). We found that 28 chemicals and all mixtures exhibited concentration−response cytotoxicity, enabling calculation of the TDVF. The median TDVF across test substances, for both individual chemicals or defined mixtures, ranged from a default assumption (101/2) of toxicodynamic variability in human population to >10. The data also provide a proof of principle for single-variant genome-wide association mapping for toxicity of the chemicals and mixtures, although replication would be necessary due to statistical power limitations with the current sample size. This study demonstrates the feasibility of using a set of human lymphoblastoid cell lines as an in vitro model to quantify the extent of inter-individual variability in hazardous properties of both individual chemicals and mixtures. The data show that population variability of the mixtures is unlikely to exceed that of the most variable component, and that similarity in genome-wide associations among components may be used to accrue additional evidence for grouping of constituents in a mixture for cumulative assessments.