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Kostick-Quenet KM, Lang B, Dorfman N, Estep J, Mehra MR, Bhimaraj A, Civitello A, Jorde U, Trachtenberg B, Uriel N, Kaplan H, Gilmore-Szott E, Volk R, Kassi M, Blumenthal-Barby JS. Patients' and physicians' beliefs and attitudes towards integrating personalized risk estimates into patient education about left ventricular assist device therapy. PATIENT EDUCATION AND COUNSELING 2024; 122:108157. [PMID: 38290171 DOI: 10.1016/j.pec.2024.108157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2023] [Revised: 01/06/2024] [Accepted: 01/14/2024] [Indexed: 02/01/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Personalized risk (PR) estimates may enhance clinical decision making and risk communication by providing individualized estimates of patient outcomes. We explored stakeholder attitudes toward the utility, acceptability, usefulness and best-practices for integrating PR estimates into patient education and decision making about Left Ventricular Assist Device (LVAD). METHODS AND RESULTS As part of a 5-year multi-institutional AHRQ project, we conducted 40 interviews with stakeholders (physicians, nurse coordinators, patients, and caregivers), analyzed using Thematic Content Analysis. All stakeholder groups voiced positive views towards integrating PR in decision making. Patients, caregivers and coordinators emphasized that PR can help to better understand a patient's condition and risks, prepare mentally and logistically for likely outcomes, and meaningfully engage in decision making. Physicians felt it can improve their decision making by enhancing insight into outcomes, enhance tailored pre-emptive care, increase confidence in decisions, and reduce bias and subjectivity. All stakeholder groups also raised concerns about accuracy, representativeness and relevance of algorithms; predictive uncertainty; utility in relation to physician's expertise; potential negative reactions among patients; and overreliance. CONCLUSION Stakeholders are optimistic about integrating PR into clinical decision making, but acceptability depends on prospectively demonstrating accuracy, relevance and evidence that benefits of PR outweigh potential negative impacts on decision making quality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Benjamin Lang
- Center for Medical Ethics and Health Policy, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Natalie Dorfman
- Center for Medical Ethics and Health Policy, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Nir Uriel
- Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Holland Kaplan
- Center for Medical Ethics and Health Policy, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Eleanor Gilmore-Szott
- Center for Medical Ethics and Health Policy, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Robert Volk
- University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX, USA
| | | | - J S Blumenthal-Barby
- Center for Medical Ethics and Health Policy, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
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Cowap L, Riley V, Grogan S, Ellis NJ, Crone D, Cottrell E, Chambers R, Clark-Carter D, Gidlow CJ. "They are saying it's high, but I think it's quite low": exploring cardiovascular disease risk communication in NHS health checks through video-stimulated recall interviews with patients - a qualitative study. BMC PRIMARY CARE 2024; 25:126. [PMID: 38654245 PMCID: PMC11036616 DOI: 10.1186/s12875-024-02357-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2023] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND NHS Health Check (NHSHC) is a national cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk identification and management programme. However, evidence suggests a limited understanding of the most used metric to communicate CVD risk with patients (10-year percentage risk). This study used novel application of video-stimulated recall interviews to understand patient perceptions and understanding of CVD risk following an NHSHC that used one of two different CVD risk calculators. METHODS Qualitative, semi-structured video-stimulated recall interviews were conducted with patients (n = 40) who had attended an NHSHC using either the QRISK2 10-year risk calculator (n = 19) or JBS3 lifetime CVD risk calculator (n = 21). Interviews were transcribed and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. RESULTS Analysis resulted in the development of four themes: variability in understanding, relief about personal risk, perceived changeability of CVD risk, and positive impact of visual displays. The first three themes were evident across the two patient groups, regardless of risk calculator; the latter related to JBS3 only. Patients felt relieved about their CVD risk, yet there were differences in understanding between calculators. Heart age within JBS3 prompted more accessible risk appraisal, yet mixed understanding was evident for both calculators. Event-free survival age also resulted in misunderstanding. QRISK2 patients tended to question the ability for CVD risk to change, while risk manipulation through JBS3 facilitated this understanding. Displaying information visually also appeared to enhance understanding. CONCLUSIONS Effective communication of CVD risk within NHSHC remains challenging, and lifetime risk metrics still lead to mixed levels of understanding in patients. However, visual presentation of information, alongside risk manipulation during NHSHCs can help to increase understanding and prompt risk-reducing lifestyle changes. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN10443908. Registered 7th February 2017.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lisa Cowap
- Staffordshire University, Stoke-on-Trent, UK
| | | | - Sarah Grogan
- Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK
| | | | - Diane Crone
- Cardiff Metropolitan University, Cardiff, UK
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Kerr WT, Patterson EH, O'Sullivan IM, Horbatch FJ, Darpel KA, Patel PS, Robinson-Mayer N, Winder GS, Beimer NJ. Elevated Mortality Rate in Patients With Functional Seizures After Diagnosis and Referral. Neurol Clin Pract 2024; 14:e200227. [PMID: 38223352 PMCID: PMC10783975 DOI: 10.1212/cpj.0000000000200227] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2023] [Accepted: 10/03/2023] [Indexed: 01/16/2024]
Abstract
Background and Objectives To evaluate the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of patients in the United States referred to a multidisciplinary clinic for treatment of functional seizures. Methods We identified patients who had or had not died based on automated retrospective review of electronic health records from a registry of patients referred to a single-center multidisciplinary functional seizures treatment clinic. We calculated an SMR by comparing the number of observed deaths with the expected number of deaths in an age-matched, sex-matched, and race-matched population within the same state, and year records were available. Results A total of 700 patients with functional seizures (mean age 37 years, 78% female) were followed up for 1,329 patient-years for a median of 15 months per patient (interquartile range 6-37 months). We observed 11 deaths, corresponding to a mortality rate of 8.2 per 1,000 patient-years and an SMR of 2.4 (95% confidence interval: 1.17-4.22). Five of 9 patients with identified circumstances around their death were in hospice care when they passed. None of the identified causes of death were related to seizures directly. Discussion These data provide further evidence of elevated mortality in functional seizures soon after diagnosis and referral to treatment. These data from the decentralized health care system of the United States build on the findings from other countries with large-scale health registries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wesley T Kerr
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Elissa H Patterson
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Isabel M O'Sullivan
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Faith J Horbatch
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Kyle A Darpel
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Palak S Patel
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Najda Robinson-Mayer
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Gerald S Winder
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
| | - Nicholas J Beimer
- Departments of Neurology and Biomedical Informatics (WTK), University of Pittsburgh, PA; Department of Neurology (WTK, EHP, IMO, FJH, KAD, PSP, NR-M, GSW, NJB); Department of Psychiatry (EHP, GSW, NJB), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Department of Neurology (KAD), St. Elizabeth Medical Center, Fort Thomas; Department of Neurology (KAD), Hazard Appalachian Regional Health, Hazard, KY; Department of Neurology (PSP), John F. Kennedy University Medical Center, Edison; Departments of Neurology and Psychiatry (PSP), Hackensack Meridian School of Medicine, Nutley, NJ; Department of Social Work (NR-M); and Department of Surgery (GSW), University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
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Alam F, LeBlanc VR, Baxter A, Tarshis J, Piquette D, Gu Y, Filipowska C, Krywenky A, Kester-Greene N, Cardinal P, Andrews M, Chartier F, Burrows C, Houzé-Cerfon CH, Burns JK, Kaustov L, Au S, Lam S, DeSousa S, Boet S. Age and its impact on crisis management performance and learning after simulation-based education by acute care physicians: a multicentre prospective cohort study. Br J Anaesth 2024; 132:383-391. [PMID: 38087740 DOI: 10.1016/j.bja.2023.10.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Revised: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 10/19/2023] [Indexed: 01/21/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Physiological changes associated with ageing could negatively impact the crisis resource management skills of acute care physicians. This study was designed to determine whether physician age impacts crisis resource management skills, and crisis resource management skills learning and retention using full-body manikin simulation training in acute care physicians. METHODS Acute care physicians at two Canadian universities participated in three 8-min simulated crisis (pulseless electrical activity) scenarios. An initial crisis scenario (pre-test) was followed by debriefing with a trained facilitator and a second crisis scenario (immediate post-test). Participants returned for a third crisis scenario 3-6 months later (retention post-test). RESULTS For the 48 participants included in the final analysis, age negatively correlated with baseline Global Rating Scale (GRS; r=-0.30, P<0.05) and technical checklist scores (r=-0.44, P<0.01). However, only years in practice and prior simulation experience, but not age, were significant in a subsequent stepwise regression analysis. Learning from simulation-based education was shown with a mean difference in scores from pre-test to immediate post-test of 2.28 for GRS score (P<0.001) and 1.69 for technical checklist correct score (P<0.001); learning was retained for 3-6 months. Only prior simulation experience was significantly correlated with a decreased change in learning (r=-0.30, P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS A reduced amount of prior simulation training and increased years in practice, but not age on its own, were significant predictors of low baseline crisis resource management performance. Simulation-based education leads to crisis resource management learning that is well retained for 3-6 months, regardless of age or years in practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fahad Alam
- Department of Anesthesia, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Anesthesiology & Pain Medicine University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Vicki R LeBlanc
- Department of Innovation in Medical Education, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada; University of Ottawa Simulation & Skills Centre, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Alan Baxter
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Jordan Tarshis
- Department of Anesthesia, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada; Department of Anesthesiology & Pain Medicine University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Dominique Piquette
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Yuqi Gu
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Caroline Filipowska
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Ashley Krywenky
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Nicole Kester-Greene
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Pierre Cardinal
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Meghan Andrews
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Montfort Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Francois Chartier
- Le Centre Hospitalier Affilié Universitaire Régional (CHAUR), Centre Intégré Universitaire de Santé et de Services Sociaux de la Mauricie-et-du-Centre-du-Québec (CIUSSS MCQ), Trois-Rivière, QC, Canada
| | - Claire Burrows
- Department of Anaesthesia, Western Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Western Health Anaesthesia and Critical Care Simulation, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Charles-Henri Houzé-Cerfon
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Toulouse University Hospital, Toulouse, France; Toulouse Institute of Simulation Healthcare, Toulouse University Hospital, Toulouse, France
| | - Joseph K Burns
- Clinical Epidemiology Program, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Lilia Kaustov
- Department of Anesthesia, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Shelly Au
- Department of Anesthesia, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Sandy Lam
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Susan DeSousa
- Sunnybrook Canadian Simulation Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Sylvain Boet
- Department of Innovation in Medical Education, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada; Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
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Leung T, Gidlow C, Fedorowicz S, Lagord C, Thompson K, Woolner J, Taylor R, Clark J, Lloyd-Harris A. The Impact and Perception of England's Web-Based Heart Age Test of Cardiovascular Disease Risk: Mixed Methods Study. JMIR Cardio 2023; 7:e39097. [PMID: 36745500 PMCID: PMC9983813 DOI: 10.2196/39097] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/03/2022] [Revised: 10/24/2022] [Accepted: 10/28/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND It is well documented that individuals struggle to understand cardiovascular disease (CVD) percentage risk scores, which led to the development of heart age as a means of communicating risk. Developed for clinical use, its application in raising public awareness of heart health as part of a self-directed digital test has not been considered previously. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to understand who accesses England's heart age test (HAT) and its effect on user perception, knowledge, and understanding of CVD risk; future behavior intentions; and potential engagement with primary care services. METHODS There were 3 sources of data: routinely gathered data on all individuals accessing the HAT (February 2015 to June 2020); web-based survey, distributed between January 2021 and March 2021; and interviews with a subsample of survey respondents (February 2021 to March 2021). Data were used to describe the test user population and explore knowledge and understanding of CVD risk, confidence in interpreting and controlling CVD risk, and effect on future behavior intentions and potential engagement with primary care. Interviews were analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis. RESULTS Between February 2015 and June 2020, the HAT was completed approximately 5 million times, with more completions by men (2,682,544/4,898,532, 54.76%), those aged between 50 to 59 years (1,334,195/4,898,532, 27.24%), those from White ethnic background (3,972,293/4,898,532, 81.09%), and those living in the least deprived 20% of areas (707,747/4,898,532, 14.45%). The study concluded with 819 survey responses and 33 semistructured interviews. Participants stated that they understood the meaning of high estimated heart age and self-reported at least some improvement in the understanding and confidence in understanding and controlling CVD risk. Negative emotional responses were provoked among users when estimated heart age did not equate to their previous risk perceptions. The limited information needed to complete it or the production of a result when physiological risk factor information was missing (ie, blood pressure and cholesterol level) led some users to question the credibility of the test. However, most participants who were interviewed mentioned that they would recommend or had already recommended the test to others, would use it again in the future, and would be more likely to take up the offer of a National Health Service Health Check and self-reported that they had made or intended to make changes to their health behavior or felt encouraged to continue to make changes to their health behavior. CONCLUSIONS England's web-based HAT has engaged large number of people in their heart health. Improvements to England's HAT, noted in this paper, may enhance user satisfaction and prevent confusion. Future studies to understand the long-term benefit of the test on behavioral outcomes are warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Christopher Gidlow
- Centre for Health and Development, Staffordshire University, Stoke-on-Trent, United Kingdom
| | - Sophia Fedorowicz
- Centre for Health and Development, Staffordshire University, Stoke-on-Trent, United Kingdom
| | - Catherine Lagord
- Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Joshua Woolner
- Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, London, United Kingdom
| | - Rosie Taylor
- Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, London, United Kingdom
| | - Jade Clark
- Office for Health Improvement and Disparities, London, United Kingdom
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Kopec JA, Sayre EC, Shams B, Li LC, Xie H, Feehan LM, Esdaile JM. The Impact of 51 Risk Factors on Life Expectancy in Canada: Findings from a New Risk Prediction Model Based on Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:ijerph19158958. [PMID: 35897329 PMCID: PMC9332720 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19158958] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2022] [Revised: 07/15/2022] [Accepted: 07/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
Abstract
The aims of this study were (1) to develop a comprehensive risk-of-death and life expectancy (LE) model and (2) to provide data on the effects of multiple risk factors on LE. We used data for Canada from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study. To create period life tables for males and females, we obtained age/sex-specific deaths rates for 270 diseases, population distributions for 51 risk factors, and relative risk functions for all disease-exposure pairs. We computed LE gains from eliminating each factor, LE values for different levels of exposure to each factor, and LE gains from simultaneous reductions in multiple risk factors at various ages. If all risk factors were eliminated, LE in Canada would increase by 6.26 years for males and 5.05 for females. The greatest benefit would come from eliminating smoking in males (2.45 years) and high blood pressure in females (1.42 years). For most risk factors, their dose-response relationships with LE were non-linear and depended on the presence of other factors. In individuals with high levels of risk, eliminating or reducing exposure to multiple factors could improve LE by several years, even at a relatively advanced age.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jacek A. Kopec
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada
- Arthritis Research Canada, Vancouver, BC V5Y 3P2, Canada; (E.C.S.); (L.C.L.); (H.X.); (J.M.E.)
- Correspondence:
| | - Eric C. Sayre
- Arthritis Research Canada, Vancouver, BC V5Y 3P2, Canada; (E.C.S.); (L.C.L.); (H.X.); (J.M.E.)
| | - Benajir Shams
- Fraser Health Authority, Surrey, BC V3T 0H1, Canada;
| | - Linda C. Li
- Arthritis Research Canada, Vancouver, BC V5Y 3P2, Canada; (E.C.S.); (L.C.L.); (H.X.); (J.M.E.)
- Department of Physical Therapy, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada;
| | - Hui Xie
- Arthritis Research Canada, Vancouver, BC V5Y 3P2, Canada; (E.C.S.); (L.C.L.); (H.X.); (J.M.E.)
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
| | - Lynne M. Feehan
- Department of Physical Therapy, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada;
| | - John M. Esdaile
- Arthritis Research Canada, Vancouver, BC V5Y 3P2, Canada; (E.C.S.); (L.C.L.); (H.X.); (J.M.E.)
- Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V5Z 1M9, Canada
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Nuutinen M, Haukka J, Virkkula P, Torkki P, Toppila-Salmi S. Using machine learning for the personalised prediction of revision endoscopic sinus surgery. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0267146. [PMID: 35486626 PMCID: PMC9053825 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0267146] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/14/2021] [Accepted: 04/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Revision endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS) is often considered for chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS) if maximal conservative treatment and baseline ESS prove insufficient. Emerging research outlines the risk factors of revision ESS. However, accurately predicting revision ESS at the individual level remains uncertain. This study aims to examine the prediction accuracy of revision ESS and to identify the effects of risk factors at the individual level. METHODS We collected demographic and clinical variables from the electronic health records of 767 surgical CRS patients ≥16 years of age. Revision ESS was performed on 111 (14.5%) patients. The prediction accuracy of revision ESS was examined by training and validating different machine learning models, while the effects of variables were analysed using the Shapley values and partial dependence plots. RESULTS The logistic regression, gradient boosting and random forest classifiers performed similarly in predicting revision ESS. Area under the receiving operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values were 0.744, 0.741 and 0.730, respectively, using data collected from the baseline visit until six months after baseline ESS. The length of time during which data were collected improved the prediction performance. For data collection times of 0, 3, 6 and 12 months after baseline ESS, AUROC values for the logistic regression were 0.682, 0.715, 0.744 and 0.784, respectively. The number of visits before or after baseline ESS, the number of days from the baseline visit to the baseline ESS, patient age, CRS with nasal polyps (CRSwNP), asthma, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug exacerbated respiratory disease and immunodeficiency or suspicion of it all associated with revision ESS. Patient age and number of visits before baseline ESS carried non-linear effects for predictions. CONCLUSIONS Intelligent data analysis identified important predictors of revision ESS at the individual level, such as the frequency of clinical visits, patient age, Type 2 high diseases and immunodeficiency or a suspicion of it.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mikko Nuutinen
- Haartman Institute, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Nordic Healthcare Group, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Jari Haukka
- Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Paula Virkkula
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Paulus Torkki
- Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Sanna Toppila-Salmi
- Haartman Institute, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Skin and Allergy Hospital, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- * E-mail:
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8
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Williams SL, To Q, Vandelanotte C. What is the effectiveness of a personalised video story after an online diabetes risk assessment? A Randomised Controlled Trial. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0264749. [PMID: 35239723 PMCID: PMC8893700 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0264749] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2021] [Accepted: 02/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Online risk assessment tools for type 2 diabetes communicate risk information to motivate individuals to take actions and reduce their risk if needed. The impact of these tools on follow-up behaviours (e.g., General Practitioner (GP) visits, improvement in health behaviours) is unknown. This study examined effectiveness of a personalised video story and text-based message on GP and health professional visitations and health behaviours, of individuals assessed as ‘high risk’ following completion of the online Australian Type 2 Diabetes Risk Assessment Tool (AUSDRISK). Methods A Randomised Controlled Trial (conducted between October 2018 and April 2019) included 477 participants with a high score (≥12). The control group received a text-based message (TM) and the intervention group received both the text-based message and a personalised video story (TM+VS) encouraging them to take follow-up action. Participants reported follow-up actions (one- and three months), and physical activity (PA), dietary behaviours and body weight (baseline, one and three months). Generalized Linear Mixed Models and chi-squared tests were used to test differences in outcomes between groups over time. Results The intervention was not more effective for the TM+VS group compared to the TM only group (p-values>0.05 for all outcomes). More participants in the TM only group (49.8% compared to 40.0% in the VS+TM group) visited either a GP or health professional (p = 0.18). During the 3-month follow-up: 44.9% of all participants visited a GP (36.7%) and/or other health professional (31.0%). Significant improvements were found between baseline and three months, in both groups for weekly physical activity, daily fruit and vegetable intake and weight status. Conclusions Messages provided with online diabetes risk assessment tools to those with high-risk, positively influence GP and health professional visitations and promote short-term improvements in health behaviours that may contribute to an overall reduction in the development of type 2 diabetes. Trial registration Australia New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry; ACTRN12619000809134.
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Affiliation(s)
- Susan L. Williams
- Central Queensland University, School of Health Medical and Applied Sciences, Physical Activity Research Group, Appleton Institute, Queensland, Australia
- * E-mail:
| | - Quyen To
- Central Queensland University, School of Health Medical and Applied Sciences, Physical Activity Research Group, Appleton Institute, Queensland, Australia
| | - Corneel Vandelanotte
- Central Queensland University, School of Health Medical and Applied Sciences, Physical Activity Research Group, Appleton Institute, Queensland, Australia
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9
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Bartmann N, Rayburn-Reeves R, Lindemans J, Ariely D. Does Real Age Feedback Really Motivate Us to Change our Lifestyle? Results from an Online Experiment. HEALTH COMMUNICATION 2022:1-10. [PMID: 35100916 DOI: 10.1080/10410236.2022.2030078] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
We set out to research the causal impact of Real Age feedback, a popular tool on health and lifestyle platforms, on health behaviors. We ran an online experiment where participants were randomly assigned a Real Age that differed in both direction (older or younger) and magnitude (much or slightly) from their passport age, or to a control condition where they received no Real Age feedback. We measured the impact of Real Age feedback on motivation to begin a healthier lifestyle, interest in taking a Real Age test, and percentage click-rate on an optional health link. We found that younger Real Age feedback was associated with higher interest. In addition, participants who received a slightly older Real Age were significantly less motivated to begin a healthier lifestyle compared to not only those who received a much younger or much older Real Age, but also to those in the control condition, suggesting a backfire effect. This effect remained even after accounting for participant health, demographics, and other psychological correlates to motivation. Real Age tests may backfire and demotivate people, and the positive effects they may have on psychological states may not outweigh the negative effects. Though promising, we caution using Real Age tests in their current form as stand-alone interventions to get people motivated.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Dan Ariely
- Center for Advanced Hindsight, Duke University
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10
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Goh MCW, Kelly PJ, Deane FP. Enhancing Type 2 diabetes risk communication with message framing and tailored risk feedback: an online randomised controlled trial. AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY 2021. [DOI: 10.1080/00049530.2021.1997554] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Melvin C. W. Goh
- School of Psychology, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
- Illawarra Health and Medical Research Institute, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
| | - Peter J. Kelly
- School of Psychology, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
- Illawarra Health and Medical Research Institute, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
| | - Frank P. Deane
- School of Psychology, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
- Illawarra Health and Medical Research Institute, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia
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11
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Impact of a coronary artery calcium-guided statin treatment protocol on cardiovascular risk at 12 months: Results from a pragmatic, randomised controlled trial. Atherosclerosis 2021; 334:57-65. [PMID: 34482089 DOI: 10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2021.08.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2021] [Revised: 06/19/2021] [Accepted: 08/03/2021] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Coronary artery calcium (CAC) may encourage patients to adhere to primary prevention recommendations. This study sought to evaluate the benefit of a CAC-guided risk-management protocol in those with a family history of premature coronary artery disease (FHCAD). METHODS In this Australian multi-centre, randomized controlled trial (Coronary Artery Calcium score: Use to Guide management of Hereditary Coronary Artery Disease, CAUGHT-CAD), asymptomatic, statin-native participants at low-intermediate cardiovascular risk with FHCAD underwent CAC assessment. Those with CAC between 1 and 400 were randomized (1:1) to disclosing the CAC result to both patient and physician and commencing atorvastatin (intervention) or blinding the CAC result with risk factor education only (control). The primary endpoint of this sub-study was change in Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE) at 12 months. RESULTS Of 1088 participants who were scanned, 450 were randomised and 214 in both groups completed 1-year follow-up. At 1 year, PCE-risk decreased by 1.0% (95% CI 0.13 to 1.81) in the CAC-disclosed group and increased by 0.43% (95%CI 0.11-0.75) in the CAC-blinded group. LDL-C decreased in the CAC-disclosed group in both those who continued (1.5 mmol/L; 95% CI 1.36 to 1.74) and discontinued statins (0.62 mmol/L; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.92) but was unchanged in the CAC-blinded group. CONCLUSION Participants unblinded to their CAC showed reductions in LDL irrespective of statin continuation when compared to controls at 12 months. Improvements in individual risk factors and PCE risk were also noted. CAC assessment may positively influence patients and physicians to improve risk factor control.
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12
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Freivogel C, Visschers VHM. Antimicrobial-resistant bacteria in food: which behaviour change strategies increase consumers' risk awareness and preventive food-handling behaviour? Health Psychol Behav Med 2021; 9:350-379. [PMID: 34104565 PMCID: PMC8158281 DOI: 10.1080/21642850.2021.1912609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2020] [Accepted: 03/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We aimed to identify the potential of behaviour change strategies to effectively increase consumers' risk awareness, behavioural intention, and preventive food-handling behaviour to reduce the transmission risk of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria through food. The applied strategies targeted knowledge and determinants of the health action process approach (HAPA). We tested techniques that are expected to increase knowledge, risk perception, and positive outcome expectancy (Study 1) as well as those that increase planning and coping self-efficacy (Study 2) in two randomised control trials. METHODS In Study 1 (N = 328), a 2 × 2 between-subject design was employed to investigate the effects of an educational video about the spread of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria and a personalised risk message on knowledge, risk perception, outcome expectancy and consequently on intention regarding safe food-handling behaviour. In Study 2 (N = 129), we used a 2 × 2 design to examine to what extent goal setting (implemented vs. not implemented) and time (pre- vs. post-test) affected planning, coping self-efficacy, and preventive food-handling behaviour. RESULTS In Study 1, we found that the video increased knowledge and the perceived susceptibility of risk compared to the control video. We found no increase on the dependent variables after receiving the personalised risk message. In Study 2, goal setting significantly improved safe food-handling behaviour compared to the control condition. Moreover, participants in the goal-setting condition showed more planning of safe food-handling measures and of dealing with emerging barriers than participants in the control condition. CONCLUSIONS These findings demonstrate that the delivery of an educational video on the spread of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria is a useful strategy to increase risk awareness, whereas goal setting presents a promising approach to improve food-handling behaviour. Following the HAPA, an additional effective behaviour change technique is required that decreases negative outcome expectancies and improves coping self-efficacy, thereby further improving intention and behaviour.
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Affiliation(s)
- Claudia Freivogel
- School of Applied Psychology, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Northwestern Switzerland, Olten, Switzerland
| | - Vivianne H. M. Visschers
- School of Applied Psychology, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Northwestern Switzerland, Olten, Switzerland
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13
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Riley V, Ellis NJ, Cowap L, Grogan S, Cottrell E, Crone D, Chambers R, Clark-Carter D, Fedorowicz S, Gidlow C. A qualitative exploration of two risk calculators using video-recorded NHS health check consultations. BMC FAMILY PRACTICE 2020; 21:250. [PMID: 33272217 PMCID: PMC7716424 DOI: 10.1186/s12875-020-01315-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2020] [Accepted: 11/12/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The aim of the study was to explore practitioner-patient interactions and patient responses when using QRISK®2 or JBS3 cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk calculators. Data were from video-recorded NHS Health Check (NHSHC) consultations captured as part of the UK RIsk COmmunication (RICO) study; a qualitative study of video-recorded NHSHC consultations from 12 general practices in the West Midlands, UK. Participants were those eligible for NHSHC based on national criteria (40-74 years old, no existing diagnoses for cardiovascular-related conditions, not on statins), and practitioners, who delivered the NHSHC. METHOD NHSHCs were video-recorded. One hundred twenty-eight consultations were transcribed and analysed using deductive thematic analysis and coded using a template based around Protection Motivation Theory. RESULTS Key themes used to frame the analysis were Cognitive Appraisal (Threat Appraisal, and Coping Appraisal), and Coping Modes (Adaptive, and Maladaptive). Analysis showed little evidence of CVD risk communication, particularly in consultations using QRISK®2. Practitioners often missed opportunities to check patient understanding and encourage risk- reducing behaviour, regardless of the risk calculator used resulting in practitioner verbal dominance. JBS3 appeared to better promote opportunities to initiate risk-factor discussion, and Heart Age and visual representation of risk were more easily understood and impactful than 10-year percentage risk. However, a lack of effective CVD risk discussion in both risk calculator groups increased the likelihood of a maladaptive coping response. CONCLUSIONS The analysis demonstrates the importance of effective, shared practitioner-patient discussion to enable adaptive coping responses to CVD risk information, and highlights a need for effective and evidence-based practitioner training. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN ISRCTN10443908 . Registered 7th February 2017.
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Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Riley
- Staffordshire University, Brindley Building, Leek Road, Stoke-on-Trent, ST4 2DF UK
| | - Naomi J. Ellis
- Staffordshire University, Brindley Building, Leek Road, Stoke-on-Trent, ST4 2DF UK
| | - Lisa Cowap
- Staffordshire University, Brindley Building, Leek Road, Stoke-on-Trent, ST4 2DF UK
| | - Sarah Grogan
- Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester Campus, Bonsall Street, Manchester, M15 6GX UK
| | | | - Diane Crone
- Cardiff Metropolitan University, Cyncoed Campus, Cyncoed Road, Cardiff, CF23 6XD UK
| | - Ruth Chambers
- Stoke-on-Trent Clinical Commissioning Group, Smithfield One Building, Stoke-on-Trent, ST1 4FA UK
| | - David Clark-Carter
- Staffordshire University, Brindley Building, Leek Road, Stoke-on-Trent, ST4 2DF UK
| | - Sophia Fedorowicz
- Staffordshire University, Brindley Building, Leek Road, Stoke-on-Trent, ST4 2DF UK
| | - Christopher Gidlow
- Staffordshire University, Brindley Building, Leek Road, Stoke-on-Trent, ST4 2DF UK
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Prediction of Lifetime and 10-Year Risk of Cancer in Individual Patients With Established Cardiovascular Disease. JACC CardioOncol 2020; 2:400-410. [PMID: 34396248 PMCID: PMC8352343 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaccao.2020.07.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2020] [Revised: 07/05/2020] [Accepted: 07/09/2020] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer share many common risk factors; patients with CVD also may be at risk of developing cancer. Objectives The aim of this study was to derive and externally validate prediction models for the estimation of lifetime and 10-year risk for total, colorectal, and lung cancer in patients with established CVD. Methods Data from patients with established CVD from the UCC-SMART cohort (N = 7,280) were used for model development, and from the CANTOS trial (N = 9,322) for model validation. Predictors were selected based on previously published cancer risk scores, clinical availability, and presence in the derivation dataset. Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted lifetime models were developed for the outcomes total, colorectal, and lung cancer. Results Selected predictors were age, sex, smoking, weight, height, alcohol use, antiplatelet use, diabetes, and C-reactive protein. External calibration for the 4-year risk of lung, colorectal, and total cancer was reasonable in our models, as was discrimination with C-statistics of 0.74, 0.64, and 0.63, respectively. Median predicted lifetime and 10-year risks in CANTOS were 26% (range 1% to 52%) and 13% (range 1% to 31%) for total cancer; 4% (range 0% to 13%) and 2% (range 0% to 6%) for colorectal cancer; and 5% (range 0% to 37%) and 2% (range 0% to 24%) for lung cancer. Conclusions Lifetime and 10-year risk of total, colorectal, and lung cancer can be estimated reasonably well in patients with established CVD with readily available clinical predictors. With additional study, these tools could be used in clinical practice to further aid in the emphasis of healthy lifestyle changes and to guide thresholds for targeted diagnostics and screening.
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15
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Choi BCK, Manuel DG. The Canadian Health Clock and health calculators. Canadian Journal of Public Health 2020; 111:726-736. [PMID: 32666353 PMCID: PMC7359436 DOI: 10.17269/s41997-020-00348-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/09/2019] [Accepted: 05/20/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Setting This paper documents a participatory process of Health Portfolio staff in the design of a clock, and announces the 2020 Canadian Health Clock, with links to numerous online health calculators. The clock is part of the Health Portfolio’s celebration activities in 2019 of “100 Years of Health”, as the Department of Health was established in Canada in 1919. Intervention The intervention was the development of a clock on the Government of Canada website with linkage to calculators as a health promotion tool. The clock was built on the concept of the 2004 Chronic Disease Clock, which shows the number of deaths so far today, and so far this year. The clock was developed using a consultative approach, following a review of the original clock. Outcomes The 2020 clock incorporates new data visualization concepts. New features, facilitated by improved technology, include: expansion to all causes of death; blinking red dots to enhance visual impact; and three clock versions (analogue, featuring a moving circle; digital, table format; and graphical, bar chart format). The clock also provides links to a number of health calculators, to allow people to seek personalized information to improve their health. Implications The online health clock and health calculators are good examples of innovation in health risk communication tools for effective knowledge translation and dissemination. They inform people about health statistics (clock) and their health (calculators). The clock engages people in the context of the Canadian population, whereas the calculators provide personalized information about improving an individual’s future health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bernard C K Choi
- Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research, Public Health Agency of Canada, Government of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. .,Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
| | - Douglas G Manuel
- Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.,Department of Family Medicine, and the School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
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Jaspers NEM, Visseren FLJ, Numans ME, Smulders YM, van Loenen Martinet FA, van der Graaf Y, Dorresteijn JAN. Variation in minimum desired cardiovascular disease-free longevity benefit from statin and antihypertensive medications: a cross-sectional study of patient and primary care physician perspectives. BMJ Open 2018; 8:e021309. [PMID: 29804065 PMCID: PMC5988148 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-021309] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2017] [Revised: 03/27/2018] [Accepted: 03/29/2018] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Expressing therapy benefit from a lifetime perspective, instead of only a 10-year perspective, is both more intuitive and of growing importance in doctor-patient communication. In cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention, lifetime estimates are increasingly accessible via online decision tools. However, it is unclear what gain in life expectancy is considered meaningful by those who would use the estimates in clinical practice. We therefore quantified lifetime and 10-year benefit thresholds at which physicians and patients perceive statin and antihypertensive therapy as meaningful, and compared the thresholds with clinically attainable benefit. DESIGN Cross-sectional study. SETTINGS (1) continuing medical education conference in December 2016 for primary care physicians;(2) information session in April 2017 for patients. PARTICIPANTS 400 primary care physicians and 523 patients in the Netherlands. OUTCOME Months gain of CVD-free life expectancy at which lifelong statin therapy is perceived as meaningful, and months gain at which 10 years of statin and antihypertensive therapy is perceived as meaningful. Physicians were framed as users for lifelong and prescribers for 10-year therapy. RESULTS Meaningful benefit was reported as median (IQR). Meaningful lifetime statin benefit was 24 months (IQR 23-36) in physicians (as users) and 42 months (IQR 12-42) in patients willing to consider therapy. Meaningful 10-year statin benefit was 12 months (IQR 10-12) for prescribing (physicians) and 14 months (IQR 10-14) for using (patients). Meaningful 10-year antihypertensive benefit was 12 months (IQR 8-12) for prescribing (physicians) and 14 months (IQR 10-14) for using (patients). Women desired greater benefit than men. Age, CVD status and co-medication had minimal effects on outcomes. CONCLUSION Both physicians and patients report a large variation in meaningful longevity benefit. Desired benefit differs between physicians and patients and exceeds what is clinically attainable. Clinicians should recognise these discrepancies when prescribing therapy and implement individualised medicine and shared decision-making. Decision tools could provide information on realistic therapy benefit.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicole E M Jaspers
- Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Frank L J Visseren
- Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Mattijs E Numans
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
| | - Yvo M Smulders
- Department of Internal Medicine, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | | | - Yolanda van der Graaf
- Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
| | - Jannick A N Dorresteijn
- Department of Vascular Medicine, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
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Al-Barnawi A, He Y, Maglaras LA, Janicke H. Electronic medical records and risk management in hospitals of Saudi Arabia. Inform Health Soc Care 2018; 44:189-203. [PMID: 29584517 DOI: 10.1080/17538157.2018.1434181] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/17/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Electronic medical records systems and the associated risks have been well studied in developed countries; the same cannot be said for systems in developing countries. Previous research in Saudi Arabian health-care organizations has shown a low level of quality in hospital services due to ineffective risk management. The objective of this research is to apply the Systems Theoretic Accident Modelling and Processes (STAMP) risk management technique in Saudi Arabia and evaluate its implementation. PARTICIPANTS The participating organization is a health-care organization in Saudi Arabia Methods: A two-phase case study was conducted. The first phase implemented the STAMP technique to identify and manage risks to the system. For the second phase, the STAMP technique was extended to include a checklist, to increase STAMP's capability to mitigate risks, and the process reapplied. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION The results demonstrated that the inclusion of the STAMP Checklist reduced errors and prevented system failures compared to regular STAMP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abdullah Al-Barnawi
- a School of Computer Science and Informatics , De Montfort University , Leicester, UK
| | - Ying He
- a School of Computer Science and Informatics , De Montfort University , Leicester, UK
| | - Leandros A Maglaras
- a School of Computer Science and Informatics , De Montfort University , Leicester, UK
| | - Helge Janicke
- a School of Computer Science and Informatics , De Montfort University , Leicester, UK
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Dellafiora L, Dall'Asta C, Galaverna G. Toxicodynamics of Mycotoxins in the Framework of Food Risk Assessment-An In Silico Perspective. Toxins (Basel) 2018; 10:E52. [PMID: 29360783 PMCID: PMC5848153 DOI: 10.3390/toxins10020052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2017] [Revised: 01/16/2018] [Accepted: 01/20/2018] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Mycotoxins severely threaten the health of humans and animals. For this reason, many countries have enforced regulations and recommendations to reduce the dietary exposure. However, even though regulatory actions must be based on solid scientific knowledge, many aspects of their toxicological activity are still poorly understood. In particular, deepening knowledge on the primal molecular events triggering the toxic stimulus may be relevant to better understand the mechanisms of action of mycotoxins. The present work presents the use of in silico approaches in studying the mycotoxins toxicodynamics, and discusses how they may contribute in widening the background of knowledge. A particular emphasis has been posed on the methods accounting the molecular initiating events of toxic action. In more details, the key concepts and challenges of mycotoxins toxicology have been introduced. Then, topical case studies have been presented and some possible practical implementations of studying mycotoxins toxicodynamics have been discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luca Dellafiora
- Department of Food and Drug, University of Parma, 43124 Parma, Italy.
| | - Chiara Dall'Asta
- Department of Food and Drug, University of Parma, 43124 Parma, Italy.
| | - Gianni Galaverna
- Department of Food and Drug, University of Parma, 43124 Parma, Italy.
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