What can we learn when fitting a simple telegraph model to a complex gene expression model?

In experiments, the distributions of mRNA or protein numbers in single cells are often fitted to the random telegraph model which includes synthesis and decay of mRNA or protein, and switching of the gene between active and inactive states. While commonly used, this model does not describe how fluctuations are influenced by crucial biological mechanisms such as feedback regulation, non-exponential gene inactivation durations, and multiple gene activation pathways. Here we investigate the dynamical properties of four relatively complex gene expression models by fitting their steady-state mRNA or protein number distributions to the simple telegraph model. We show that despite the underlying complex biological mechanisms, the telegraph model with three effective parameters can accurately capture the steady-state gene product distributions, as well as the conditional distributions in the active gene state, of the complex models. Some effective parameters are reliable and can reflect realistic dynamic behaviors of the complex models, while others may deviate significantly from their real values in the complex models. The effective parameters can also be applied to characterize the capability for a complex model to exhibit multimodality. Using additional information such as single-cell data at multiple time points, we provide an effective method of distinguishing the complex models from the telegraph model. Furthermore, using measurements under varying experimental conditions, we show that fitting the mRNA or protein number distributions to the telegraph model may even reveal the underlying gene regulation mechanisms of the complex models. The effectiveness of these methods is confirmed by analysis of single-cell data for E. coli and mammalian cells. All these results are robust with respect to cooperative transcriptional regulation and extrinsic noise. In particular, we find that faster relaxation speed to the steady state results in more precise parameter inference under large extrinsic noise.

Using steady-state formula to estimate time-dependent parameters of stochastic gene transcription models

When studying stochastic gene transcription, it is important to understand how system parameters are temporally modulated in response to varying environments. Experimentally, the dynamic distribution data of RNA copy numbers measured at multiple time points are often fitted to stochastic transcription models to estimate time-dependent parameters. However, current methods require determining which parameters are time-dependent, as well as their analytical formulas, before the optimal fit. In this study, we developed a method to estimate time-dependent parameters in a classical two-state model without prior assumptions regarding the system parameters. At each measured time point, the method fitted the dynamic distribution data using a steady-state distribution formula, in which the estimated constant parameters were approximated as time-dependent parameter values at the measured time point. The accuracy of this method can be guaranteed for RNA molecules with relatively high degradation rates and genes with relatively slow responses to induction. We quantify the accuracy of the method and implemented this method on two sets of dynamic distribution data from prokaryotic and eukaryotic cells, and revealed the temporal modulation of transcription burst size in response to environmental changes.

Coupling gene expression dynamics to cell size dynamics and cell cycle events: Exact and approximate solutions of the extended telegraph model

The standard model describing the fluctuations of mRNA numbers in single cells is the telegraph model which includes synthesis and degradation of mRNA, and switching of the gene between active and inactive states. While commonly used, this model does not describe how fluctuations are influenced by the cell cycle phase, cellular growth and division, and other crucial aspects of cellular biology. Here, we derive the analytical time-dependent solution of an extended telegraph model that explicitly considers the doubling of gene copy numbers upon DNA replication, dependence of the mRNA synthesis rate on cellular volume, gene dosage compensation, partitioning of molecules during cell division, cell-cycle duration variability, and cell-size control strategies. Based on the time-dependent solution, we obtain the analytical distributions of transcript numbers for lineage and population measurements in steady-state growth and also find a linear relation between the Fano factor of mRNA fluctuations and cell volume fluctuations. We show that generally the lineage and population distributions in steady-state growth cannot be accurately approximated by the steady-state solution of extrinsic noise models, i.e. a telegraph model with parameters drawn from probability distributions. This is because the mRNA lifetime is often not small enough compared to the cell cycle duration to erase the memory of division and replication. Accurate approximations are possible when this memory is weak, e.g. for genes with bursty expression and for which there is sufficient gene dosage compensation when replication occurs.

Stochastic Transcription with Alterable Synthesis Rates

Background: Gene transcription is a random bursting process that leads to large variability in mRNA numbers in single cells. The main cause is largely attributed to random switching between periods of active and inactive gene transcription. In some experiments, it has been observed that variation in the number of active transcription sites causes the initiation rate to vary during elongation. Results: We established a mathematical model based on the molecular reaction mechanism in single cells and studied a stochastic transcription system consisting of two active states and one inactive state, in which mRNA molecules are produced with two different synthesis rates. Conclusions: By calculation, we obtained the average mRNA expression level, the noise strength, and the skewness of transcripts. We gave a necessary and sufficient condition that causes the average mRNA level to peak at a limited time. The model could help us to distinguish an appropriate mechanism that may be employed by cells to transcribe mRNA molecules. Our simulations were in agreement with some experimental data and showed that the skewness can measure the deviation of the distribution of transcripts from the mean value. Especially for mature mRNAs, their distributions were almost able to be determined by the mean, the noise (or the noise strength), and the skewness.

The Basic Reproduction Number and Delayed Action of T Cells for Patients Infected with SARS-CoV-2

COVID-19 has been prevalent for the last two years. The transmission capacity of SARS-CoV-2 differs under the influence of different epidemic prevention policies, making it difficult to measure the infectivity of the virus itself. In order to evaluate the infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 in patients with different diseases, we constructed a viral kinetic model by adding the effects of T cells and antibodies. To analyze and compare the delay time of T cell action in patients with different symptoms, we constructed a delay differential equation model. Through the first model, we found that the basic reproduction number of severe patients is greater than that of mild patients, and accordingly, we constructed classification criteria for severe and mild patients. Through the second model, we found that the delay time of T cell action in severe patients is much longer than that in mild patients, and accordingly, we present suggestions for the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of different patients.

A Novel Dynamical Regulation of mRNA Distribution by Cross-Talking Pathways

In this paper, we use a similar approach to the one proposed by Chen and Jiao to calculate the mathematical formulas of the generating function V(z,t) and the mass function Pm(t) of a cross-talking pathways model in large parameter regions. Together with kinetic rates from yeast and mouse genes, our numerical examples reveal novel bimodal mRNA distributions for intermediate times, whereby the mode of distribution Pm(t) displays unimodality with the peak at m=0 for initial and long times, which has not been obtained in previous works. Such regulation of mRNA distribution exactly matches the transcriptional dynamics for the osmosensitive genes in Saccharomyces cerevisiae, which has not been generated by those models with one single pathway or feedback loops. This paper may provide us with a novel observation on transcriptional distribution dynamics regulated by multiple signaling pathways in response to environmental changes and genetic perturbations.

Silent transcription intervals and translational bursting lead to diverse phenotypic switching

For complex process of gene expression, we use theoretical analysis and stochastic simulations to study the phenotypic diversity induced by silent transcription intervals and translational bursting.