Development and external validation of DISPAIR fistula risk score for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula risk after distal pancreatectomy

Impact of diabetes mellitus on postoperative complications in patients undergoing pancreatic surgery

BACKGROUND

Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocols decrease postoperative complications, but data on their effect on diabetic patients undergoing pancreatectomy are scarce. This study assessed whether diabetes mellitus (DM) was a morbidity predictor after pancreatectomy within an ERAS program.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study including all patients who underwent pancreatectomy (2012-2022) and followed an ERAS pathway was performed. Multivariable analysis was used to determine whether DM was a morbidity predictor. Association between ERAS compliance and morbidity rate was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 558 patients were included (266 women, median age 66, median body-mass index 25). Most patients underwent open pancreatoduodenectomy (n=369, 66%). In diabetic patients with overall ERAS compliance≤60 %, morbidity was 38/40 (95%), whereas in diabetic patients with overall ERAS compliance>60 %, it decreased to 37/50 (74%, p=0.008). DM was not found as an independent complication predictor (OR 0.7, 95%CI 0.4-1.2, p=0.186), while body-mass index>25 kg/m2 and preoperative biliary stenting were preoperative morbidity predictors (OR 1.1, 95%CI 1.0-1.1, p=0.049; OR 1.7, 95%CI 1.0-2.5, p=0.044).

CONCLUSION

This study showed that DM was not associated with postoperative complications after pancreatectomy within an ERAS program. It highlighted the importance of a good ERAS compliance to decrease the risk of postoperative complications in DM patients.

International multicentre validation of the left pancreatectomy pancreatic fistula prediction models and development and validation of the combined DISPAIR-FRS prediction model

BACKGROUND

Every fifth patient undergoing left pancreatectomy develops a postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF). Accurate POPF risk prediction could help. Two independent preoperative prediction models have been developed and externally validated: DISPAIR and D-FRS. The aim of this study was to validate, compare, and possibly update the models.

METHODS

Patients from nine high-volume pancreatic surgery centres (8 in Europe and 1 in North America) were included in this retrospective cohort study. Inclusion criteria were age over 18 years and open or minimally invasive left pancreatectomy since 2010. Model performance was assessed with discrimination (receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves) and calibration (calibration plots). The updated model was developed with logistic regression and internally-externally validated.

RESULTS

Of 2284 patients included, 497 (21.8%) developed POPF. Both DISPAIR (area under the ROC curve (AUC) 0.62) and D-FRS (AUC 0.62) performed suboptimally, both in the pooled validation cohort combining every centre's data and centre-wise. An updated model, named DISPAIR-FRS, was constructed by combining the most stable predictors from the existing models and incorporating other readily available patient demographics, such as age, sex, transection site, pancreatic thickness at the transection site, and main pancreatic duct diameter at the transection site. Internal-external validation demonstrated an AUC of 0.72, a calibration slope of 0.93, and an intercept of -0.02 for the updated model.

CONCLUSION

The combined updated model of DISPAIR and D-FRS named DISPAIR-FRS demonstrated better performance and can be accessed at www.tinyurl.com/the-dispair-frs.

Suture versus stapler in distal pancreatectomy and its impact on postoperative pancreatic fistula

Postoperative pancreatic fistula is a critical complication after distal pancreatectomy. The aim of this systematic review is to assess new reports on the main pancreatic stump closure techniques (stapler and hand-sewn suture) in distal pancreatectomy, to define their influence on postoperative pancreatic fistula rates. A literature review was performed following PRISMA guidelines (PROSPERO: CRD42023408181). The survey was conducted in Medline (via PubMed) and EMBASE. Clinical trials and cohorts were included if they assessed pancreatic fistula rates after distal pancreatectomy, and excluded if they used a fistula rating system other than the ISGPF one. The risk of bias was assessed using the Study Quality Assessment Tools | NHLBI, NIH. A meta-analysis was presented as forest-plots. Eleven articles were included, representing 1498 patients. No significant difference was found between Suture and Bare stapler (95% CI 0.91-1.68) or Bare stapler and Reinforced stapler for A-graded fistula rates (95% CI 0.78-1.28) and B-graded fistula rates (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.784). Most articles showed unclear risk of detection bias. This meta-analysis found no difference in fistula rates between stump closure techniques. This choice should be made by surgeons' and hospital administration's preferences.

Topical application of Glauber's salt accelerates the absorption of abdominal fluid after pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

Abdominal fluid collection (AFC) is one of the most common complications after pancreatic surgery, yet there are few recommendations on how to manage it. Most cases of AFC only require observation, while others may require more invasive techniques. Unfortunately, there are no drugs that effectively promote the absorption of AFCs. The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential efficacy of Glauber's salt solution for promoting the absorption of AFCs after pancreatectomy.

METHODS

This study included 196 patients who underwent pancreatomy and had AFCs on at least 2 cross-sectional follow-up CT images between 2020 and 2022. AFCs were defined as effusion with a diameter ≥ 3 cm and located around the pancreatic resection margin. We retrospectively investigated the relationship between Glauber's salt concentration and clinical variables.

RESULTS

The rate of clinically significant pancreatic fistula (grades B + C) was significantly higher in the control group (62.8% vs. 40.7%, P = 0.014). The median maximum diameter of the AFC was smaller, and the median time for the AFC to decrease to 30 mm in diameter was shorter in the Glauber's salt group than in the control group (41.9 mm vs. 53.5 mm, P = 0.008; 35.5 d vs. 100 d, P < 0.001). According to the multivariate analysis, percutaneous drainage and the application of Glauber's salt were found to be independent risk factors for AFCs decreasing to less than 30 mm in diameter (HR = 2.338, 95% CI = 1.524-3.585, P < 0.001; HR = 1.853, 95% CI = 1.327-2.589, P < 0.001). Additionally, patients with a maximum postoperative temperature exceeding 38.5 °C exhibited enhanced AFC absorption (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.850, 95% CI = 1.268-2.701; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Topical application of Glauber's salt solution after pancreatic surgery can promote the absorption of AFCs.

Meta-analysis of routine abdominal drainage versus no drainage following distal pancreatectomy: Does the best available evidence overcome "HPB surgeon's paranoia"?

AIMS

To evaluate comparative outcomes of routine abdominal drainage versus no drainage after distal pancreatectomy (DP).

METHODS

A systematic search of MEDLINE, CENTRAL and Web of Science and bibliographic reference lists were conducted (last search: 20th April 2024). All comparative studies reporting outcomes of DP with routine abdominal drainage and no drainage were included and their risk of bias were assessed. Overall perioperative complications, clinically-relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF), delayed gastric emptying (DGE), postoperative haemorrhage, surgical site infections (SSIs), need for radiological intervention, reoperation, re-admission, and postoperative mortality were the evaluated outcome parameters.

RESULTS

Eight comparative studies (2 randomised and 6 observational) reporting 8164 patients who underwent DP with (n = 6394) or without (n = 1770) routine abdominal drainage were included. Routine abdominal drainage was associated with significantly higher rates of CR-POPF (OR 2.87; 95 % CI 2.34-3.52, p < 0.00001), radiological intervention (OR 1.33; 95 % CI 1.10-1.61, p = 0.0003), SSIs (OR 2.47; 95 % CI 1.29-4.72, p = 0.006) or re-admission (OR 1.54; 95 % CI 1.30-1.82, P < 0.00001) compared to no use of drain. However, there was no significant difference in C-D III or higher postoperative morbidities (OR 1.25; 95 % CI 0.98-1.60, p = 0.08), DGE (OR 1.17; 95 % CI 0.81-1.67, p = 0.41), reoperation (OR 1.11; 95 % CI 0.80-1.54, P = 0.53), postoperative haemorrhage (OR 0.59; 95 % CI 0.18-2.00, P = 0.40), or mortality (RD 0.0; 95 % CI -0.01-0.01, p = 0.76) between two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The meta-analysis of best available evidence indicates safety of "no drain policy" in distal pancreatectomy considering its lower risk of CR-POPF, re-intervention and hospital re-admission. More randomised evidence is required to overcome the "HPB surgeon's paranoia".

Computed tomography-based radiomics and body composition analysis for predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy

Background

Preoperative risk assessment of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is still lacking. This study aimed to develop and validate a combined model based on radiomics, pancreatic duct diameter, and body composition analysis for the prediction of CR-POPF in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

Methods

Multivariable logistic regression was used to construct a combined model in conjunction with radiomics score (Rad-score), pancreatic duct diameter, and visceral fat area/total abdominal muscle area index (VFA/TAMAI). The models were internally validated using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. The predictive performance of these models was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The preoperative combined model was validated by 1,000 bootstrap resampling with the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.839 (95% confidence interval: 0.757-0.907). The calibration curves and DCA showed that the combined model outperformed the clinical model and radiomics model. The combined model was presented as a web-based calculator (https://whyyjyljz.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/).

Conclusions

We explored a method of combining radiomics features, pancreatic duct diameter, and body composition analysis predictors in preoperative assessment for risk of CR-POPF and developed a combined model that showed relatively good performance, but future studies with a larger sample size are needed to verify the stability and generalizability of this model.

Impact of pancreas transection site on incidence of pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy: a propensity score matched study

BACKGROUND

Distal pancreatectomy (DP) is performed for lesions in the body and tail of the pancreas. The morbidity profile is considerable, mainly due to clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF). This study aims to investigate potential differences in CR-POPF related to transection site.

METHODS

An observational cohort study from a prospectively maintained database was performed. Subtotal distal pancreatectomy (SDP) was defined as transection over the superior mesenteric vein, and DP was defined as transection lateral to this point. Propensity score matching (PSM) in 1:1 fashion was applied based on demographical and perioperative variables.

RESULTS

Six hundred and six patients were included in the analysis (1997-2020). Four hundred twenty (69.3%) underwent DP, while 186 (30.7%) underwent SDP. The rate of CR-POPF was 19.3% after DP and 20.4% after SDP (p = 0.74). SDP was associated with older age (63.1 vs 60.1 years, p = 0.016), higher occurrence of ductal adenocarcinoma (37.1 vs 17.6%, p = 0.001) and more frequent use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (3.8 vs 0.7%, p = 0.012). After PSM, 155 patients were left in each group. The difference in CR-POPF between DP and SDP remained statistically non-significant (20.6 vs 18.7%, p = 0.67).

CONCLUSION

This study found no difference in CR-POPF related to transection site during distal pancreatectomy.

Meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis of pancreatic stump closure using a hand-sewn or stapler technique in distal pancreatectomy

This study aimed to compare outcomes of hand-sewn and stapler closure techniques of pancreatic stump in patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy (DP). Impact of stapler closure reinforcement using mesh on outcomes was also evaluated. Literature search was carried out using multiple data sources to identify studies that compared hand-sewn and stapler closure techniques in management of pancreatic stump following DP. Odds ratio (OR) was determined for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) via random-effects modelling. Subsequently, trial sequential analysis was performed. Thirty-two studies with a total of 4,022 patients undergoing DP with hand-sewn (n = 1,184) or stapler (n = 2,838) closure technique of pancreatic stump were analyzed. Hand-sewn closure significantly increased the risk of clinically relevant POPF compared to stapler closure (OR: 1.56, p = 0.02). When stapler closure was considered, staple line reinforcement significantly reduced formation of such POPF (OR: 0.54, p = 0.002). When only randomized controlled trials were considered, there was no significant difference in clinically relevant POPF between hand-sewn and stapler closure techniques (OR: 1.20, p = 0.64) or between reinforced and standard stapler closure techniques (OR: 0.50, p = 0.08). When observational studies were considered, hand-sewn closure was associated with a significantly higher rate of clinically relevant POPF compared to stapler closure (OR: 1.59, p = 0.03). Moreover, when stapler closure was considered, staple line reinforcement significantly reduced formation of such POPF (OR: 0.55, p = 0.02). Trial sequential analysis detected risk of type 2 error. In conclusion, reinforced stapler closure in DP may reduce risk of clinically relevant POPF compared to hand-sewn closure or stapler closure without reinforcement. Future randomized research is needed to provide stronger evidence.

Comparison of outcomes with stapler versus hand-sewn closure of the pancreatic stump following minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy: a retrospective cohort study

Background:

Pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy is a common and potentially lethal complication. The optimal closure method for the pancreatic remnant during minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy (MDP) remains unclear.

Methods:

Data of consecutive patients who underwent MDP in our institution between July 2018 and June 2021 were collected. The outcomes of MDP with stapler and hand-sewn closure were compared. The primary outcome was clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) per the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery definition.

Results:

Of the 384 patients (stapler closure, 339; hand-sewn closure, 45) enrolled, 249 developed CR-POPF (grades B and C: 242 and 7 patients, respectively). The rates of grade B and grade C POPF in the stapler group were similar to the corresponding rates in the hand-sewn group (64.6% and 1.5% vs 51.1% and 4.4%, P = .078 and P = .223, respectively). No differences between the stapler and hand-sewn groups were observed regarding the median operation time (207 vs 222 minutes, P = .139), incidence of major complications (16.5% vs 20.0%, P = .559), and mortality (0.2% vs 0%, P = 1.000). The independent risk factors of CR-POPF were abdominal abscess, prolonged operation time, and transection site (P = .004, .006, and .001, respectively).

Conclusion:

The incidence and severity of CR-POPF by stapler closure of the pancreatic stump were comparable to those associated with hand-sewn closure in MDP in this retrospective cohort. Randomized controlled trials are needed to verify this finding.

Peri-firing compression in prevention of pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy: A systematic review and a cohort study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP) occurs in 20%-40% of patients and remains a leading cause of morbidity and increased healthcare cost in this patient group. Recently, several studies suggested decreased risk of CR-POPF with the use of peri-firing compression (PFC) technique. The aim of this report was to conduct a systematic review to get an overview of the current knowledge on the use of PFC in DP. In addition, our experience with PFC was presented.

METHODS

The systematic literature review was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. Also, 19 patients undergoing DP with the use of PFC at Oslo University Hospital were studied. The primary endpoint was incidence of CR-POPF.

RESULTS

Seven articles reporting a total of 771 patients were ultimately included in the systematic review. Only two of these were case-control studies examining outcomes in patients with and without PFC, while the rest were case series. These were heterogeneous in terms of staplers used, cartridge selection policy, and PFC technique. Both case-control studies reported significantly reduced CR- POPF incidence with PFC. Eight (21%) of our patients developed CR-POPF after DP with PFC. Only one patient developed CR-POPF among those with pancreatic transection site thickness ⩽1.5 cm.

CONCLUSION

Evidence on potential benefits of PFC in DP is limited in quantity and quality. Our findings suggest that the use of PFC does not lead to reduction in the incidence of CR-POPF. Yet, there might be a benefit from PFC when dealing with a thin pancreas.

Effect of artificial or autologous coverage of the pancreatic remnant or anastomosis on postoperative pancreatic fistulas after partial pancreatectomy: meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pancreatic fistulas remain a driver of major complications after partial pancreatectomy. It is unclear whether coverage of the anastomosis or pancreatic remnant can reduce the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistulas. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of autologous or artificial coverage of the pancreatic remnant or anastomosis on outcomes after partial pancreatectomy.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed using MEDLINE and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) up to March 2024. All RCTs analysing a coverage method in patients undergoing partial pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy were included. The primary outcome was postoperative pancreatic fistula development. Subgroup analyses for pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy and artificial or autologous coverage were conducted.

RESULTS

A total of 18 RCTs with 2326 patients were included. In the overall analysis, coverage decreased the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistulas by 29% (OR 0.71, 95% c.i. 0.54 to 0.93, P < 0.01). This decrease was also seen in the 12 RCTs covering the remnant after distal pancreatectomy (OR 0.69, 95% c.i. 0.51 to 0.94, P < 0.02) and the 4 RCTs applying autologous coverage after pancreatoduodenectomy and distal pancreatectomy (OR 0.53, 95% c.i. 0.29 to 0.96, P < 0.04). Other subgroup analyses (artificial coverage or pancreatoduodenectomy) showed no statistically significant differences. The secondary endpoints of mortality, reoperations, and re-interventions were each affected positively by the use of coverage techniques. The certainty of evidence was very low to moderate.

CONCLUSION

The implementation of coverage, whether artificial or autologous, is beneficial after partial pancreatectomy, especially in patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy with autologous coverage.

Comparing the distal pancreatectomy fistula risk score (D-FRS) and DISPAIR-FRS for predicting pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy

BACKGROUNDS

Distal pancreatectomy fistula risk score (D-FRS) and DISPAIR-FRS has not been widely validated for predicting postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP).

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed 104 patients undergoing DP. The predictive value of the D-FRS and DISPAIR-FRS were compared. Risk factors associated with POPF were investigated by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Of the 104 patients, 23 (22.1%) were categorized into the POPF group (all grade B). The areas under the ROC (AUCs) of the D-FRS (preoperative), D-FRS (intraoperative), and DISPAIR-FRS were 0.737, 0.809, and 0.688, respectively. Stratified by the D-FRS (preoperative), the POPF rates in low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were 5%, 22.6%, and 36.4%, respectively. By the D-FRS (intraoperative), the POPF rates in low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk groups were 8.8%, 47.1%, and 47.4%, respectively. By the DISPAIR-FRS, the POPF rates in low-risk, intermediate-risk, and extreme-high-risk groups were 14.8%, 23.8% and 62.5%, respectively. Body mass index and main pancreatic duct diameter were independent risk factors of POPF both in preoperative (P = 0.014 and P = 0.033, respectively) and intraoperative (P = 0.015 and P = 0.039) multivariate analyses.

CONCLUSION

Both the D-FRS (preoperative), D-FRS (intraoperative), and DISPAIR-FRS has good performance in POPF prediction after DP. The risk stratification was not satisfactory in current Asian cohort.

Optimizing prediction models for pancreatic fistula after pancreatectomy: Current status and future perspectives

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a frequent complication after pancreatectomy, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. Optimizing prediction models for POPF has emerged as a critical focus in surgical research. Although over sixty models following pancreaticoduodenectomy, predominantly reliant on a variety of clinical, surgical, and radiological parameters, have been documented, their predictive accuracy remains suboptimal in external validation and across diverse populations. As models after distal pancreatectomy continue to be progressively reported, their external validation is eagerly anticipated. Conversely, POPF prediction after central pancreatectomy is in its nascent stage, warranting urgent need for further development and validation. The potential of machine learning and big data analytics offers promising prospects for enhancing the accuracy of prediction models by incorporating an extensive array of variables and optimizing algorithm performance. Moreover, there is potential for the development of personalized prediction models based on patient- or pancreas-specific factors and postoperative serum or drain fluid biomarkers to improve accuracy in identifying individuals at risk of POPF. In the future, prospective multicenter studies and the integration of novel imaging technologies, such as artificial intelligence-based radiomics, may further refine predictive models. Addressing these issues is anticipated to revolutionize risk stratification, clinical decision-making, and postoperative management in patients undergoing pancreatectomy.

Management and outcomes of hemorrhage after distal pancreatectomy: a multicenter study at high volume centers

BACKGROUND

Data on clinically relevant post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage (CR-PPH) are derived from series mostly focused on pancreatoduodenectomy, and data after distal pancreatectomy (DP) are scarce.

METHODS

All non-extended DP performed from 2014 to 2018 were included. CR-PPH encompassed grade B and C PPH. Risk factors, management, and outcomes of CR-PPH were evaluated.

RESULTS

Overall, 1188 patients were included, of which 561 (47.2 %) were operated on minimally invasively. Spleen-preserving DP was performed in 574 patients (48.4 %). Ninety-day mortality, severe morbidity and CR-POPF rates were 1.1 % (n = 13), 17.4 % (n = 196) and 15.5 % (n = 115), respectively. After a median interval of 8 days (range, 0-37), 65 patients (5.5 %) developed CR-PPH, including 28 grade B and 37 grade C. Reintervention was required in 57 patients (87.7 %). CR-PPH was associated with a significant increase of 90-day mortality, morbidity and hospital stay (p < 0.001). Upon multivariable analysis, prolonged operative time and co-existing POPF were independently associated with CR-PPH (p < 0.005) while a chronic use of antithrombotic agent trended towards an increase of CR-PPH (p = 0.081). As compared to CR-POPF, the failure-to-rescue rate in patients who developed CR-PPH was significantly higher (13.8 % vs. 1.3 %, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CR-PPH after DP remains rare but significantly associated with an increased risk of 90-day mortality and failure-to-rescue.

Endoscopic main duct stenting in refractory postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy - a friend or a foe?

BACKGROUND

Clinically relevant (CR) postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after distal pancreatectomy (DP) are common. Endoscopic treatment (ET) has only scarcely been explored. The aim of this study was to evaluate risk factors for CR POPF after DP and the efficacy of ET in adjunct to standard therapy.

METHODS

Consecutive patients without previous pancreatic surgery who underwent DP between 2011 and 2020 were evaluated, analyzing risk factors for CR POPF. The choice and performance of ET, main pancreatic duct (MPD) stenting, was not standardized. Healing time and complications after ET were registered.

RESULTS

406 patients underwent DP, CR POPF occurred in 29.6%. ET was performed in 17 patients 27 days (median) after index surgery. Risk for CR POPF was increased in ASA-PS 1-2 patients, MPD ≤ 3 mm, procedure time ≥ 3 h, and CRP ≥ 180 on postoperative day 3. POPF resolved with standard treatment after 32 days and 59 days in the ET group (p < 0.001). There was one mortality in the ET-group (not procedure related). Mild post-ERCP pancreatitis occurred in three patients.

CONCLUSIONS

CR POPF is common after DP. Long operating time, a narrow MPD, low ASA score, and high postoperative CRP were risk factors for CR POPF. ET was not beneficial but proper evaluation was not possible due to few patients and non-standardized treatment. Complications after ET appeared mild.

Nationwide validation of the distal fistula risk score (D-FRS)

PURPOSE

Distal pancreatectomy (DP) is associated with a high complication rate of 30-50% with postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) as a dominant contributor. Adequate risk estimation for POPF enables surgeons to use a tailor-made approach. Assessment of the risk of POPF prior to DP can lead to the application of preventive strategies. The current study aims to validate the recently published preoperative and intraoperative distal fistula risk score (D-FRS) in a nationwide cohort.

METHODS

This nationwide retrospective Dutch cohort study included all patients after DP for any indication, all of whom were registered in the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit (DPCA) database between 2013 and 2021. The D-FRS was validated by filling in the probability equations with data from this cohort. The predictive capacity of the models was represented by an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve.

RESULTS

A total of 896 patients underwent DP of which 152 (17%) developed POPF of whom 144 grade B (95%) and 8 grade C (5%). The preoperative D-FRS, consisting of the variables pancreatic neck thickness and pancreatic duct diameter, showed an AUROC of 0.73 (95%CI 0.68-0.78). The intraoperative D-FRS, comprising pancreatic neck, duct diameter, BMI, operating time, and soft pancreatic aspect, showed an AUROC of 0.69 (95%CI 0.64-0.74).

CONCLUSION

The current study is the first nationwide validation of the preoperative and intraoperative D-FRS showing acceptable distinguishing capacity for only the preoperative D-FRS for POPF. Therefore, the preoperative score could improve prevention and mitigation strategies such as drain management, which is currently investigated in the multicenter PANDORINA trial.

External validation of fistula risk scores for postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

Fistula risk scores such as distal fistula risk scores and DISPAIR have been recently developed to assess the risk of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy. This study aimed to validate these models externally using a large-scale Chinese cohort.

METHODS

The study enrolled adult patients who underwent distal pancreatectomy at a high-volume single center between January 2011 and December 2021. The clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula was defined as grade B/C, according to the 2016 International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve.

RESULTS

Among 653 eligible patients, 126 (19.3%) suffered from clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistulas. Independent predictors for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistulas included body mass index, diabetes mellitus, pancreatic thickness at both neck and transection sites, main pancreatic duct diameter, and soft pancreas. Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula risk increased with increasing score severity. All 3 prediction models showed acceptable discrimination, with area under the curve values of preoperative distal fistula risk score at 0.723 (95% confidence interval 0.687-0.757), intraoperative distal fistula risk score at 0.737 (95% confidence interval 0.701-0.770), and DISPAIR at 0.721 (95% confidence interval 0.685-0.755). No significant differences were found among them.

CONCLUSION

Distal fistula risk scores and DISPAIR are useful tools for predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy, highlighting their importance in guiding surgical approach decisions and mitigating strategies against this complication in clinical practice.

Predicting pancreatic fistula after central pancreatectomy using current fistula risk scores for pancreaticoduodenectomy and distal pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

The incidence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after central pancreatectomy (CP) is high, yet an effective predictive method is currently lacking. This study aimed to predict CR-POPF after CP by utilizing existing fistula risk scores (FRSs) for pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and distal pancreatectomy (DP).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients undergoing CP at our institution between January 2010 and July 2022. The primary outcome was CR-POPF (grade B/C) according to the 2016 International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery definition. To establish predictive models for CR-POPF after CP, we combined the FRSs for PD and DP using a calculation formula that considers the probability of the union of two events. As a result, we obtained twelve central FRS (C-FRS) models. The performance of each C-FRS was assessed using the area under the curves (AUC) and calibration plots.

RESULTS

A total of 115 patients undergoing CP were included. Among them, 38 (33%) were male, with a median age of 53 years. CR-POPF occurred in 35 (30.4%) patients, specifically 33 (28.7%) with grade B and 2 (1.7%) with grade C. Multivariate analysis showed that body mass index (BMI) [odds ratio (OR) 1.260, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.039-1.528, P = 0.019), pancreatic thickness at the cephalic transection site (OR 1.228, 95% CI 1.074-1.405, P = 0.003), cephalic main pancreatic duct (MPD) size (OR 41.872, 95%CI 7.614-230.265, P < 0.001), and distal MPD size (OR 0.142, 95% CI 0.036-0.561, P = 0.005) were independent predictive factors for CR-POPF. Discrimination was generally acceptable for all C-FRS models, with an AUC ranging from 0.748 (DISPAIR-a-FRS: 95% CI, 0.659-0.824) to 0.847 (Intraop-D-a-FRS: 95% CI, 0.768-0.907). The models were calibrated with adequate Brier scores ranging from 0.157 to 0.183. The performance in all subgroups was similar as that of the entire cohort. Three preoperative risk groups (low, intermediate, and high) were identified based on the clinical applicability of the Preop-D-Roberts-FRS, with corresponding incidences of CR-POPF as 0% (0/24), 30% (21/70), and 66.7% (14/21), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The derived C-FRS models show potential for accurately predicting the development of CR-POPF after CP. However, further validation studies are required to determine the most effective model. In the meantime, the Preop-D-Roberts-FRS is recommended for clinical practice due to its ease of use and preoperative predictability.

Pancreatic Fistulas: Current Evidence and Strategy-A Narrative Review

Pancreatic fistulas are highly feared complications following surgery on or near the pancreas, abdominal trauma, or severe inflammation. These fistulas arise from leaks in the pancreatic ductal system, leading to various complications such as abscesses, delayed gastric emptying, and hemorrhage. Severe cases present with sepsis or organ failure, dramatically increasing mortality and morbidity. Risk factors include smoking, high BMI, male gender, age, and surgery-related factors like prolonged operation time and non-ligation of the main pancreatic duct. Therefore, treatment options and preventive measurements have become a hot topic in recent years. Studies have investigated the use of fibrin sealants, different closure methods, and less invasive surgical techniques. Treatment options consist of conservative measurements and the use of percutaneous drainage, prophylactic transpapillary stenting, and surgery in severe cases. As EUS has become widely available, transmural stenting started to influence the management of pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs). However, studies on its use for the management of pancreatic fistulas are lacking. Medical treatment options like somatostatin analogs and pasireotide have been investigated but yielded mixed results.

Fibrin sealants for the prevention of postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreatic surgery

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is one of the most frequent and potentially life-threatening complications following pancreatic surgery. Fibrin sealants have been used in some centres to reduce POPF rate. However, the use of fibrin sealant during pancreatic surgery is controversial. This is an update of a Cochrane Review last published in 2020.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the benefits and harms of fibrin sealant use for the prevention of POPF (grade B or C) in people undergoing pancreatic surgery compared to no fibrin sealant use.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, two other databases, and five trials registers on 09 March 2023, together with reference checking, citation searching, and contacting study authors to identify additional studies.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that compared fibrin sealant (fibrin glue or fibrin sealant patch) versus control (no fibrin sealant or placebo) in people undergoing pancreatic surgery.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We used standard methodological procedures expected by Cochrane.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 14 RCTs, randomising 1989 participants, comparing fibrin sealant use versus no fibrin sealant use for different locations: stump closure reinforcement (eight trials), pancreatic anastomosis reinforcement (five trials), or main pancreatic duct occlusion (two trials). Six RCTs were carried out in single centres; two in dual centres; and six in multiple centres. One RCT was conducted in Australia; one in Austria; two in France; three in Italy; one in Japan; two in the Netherlands; two in South Korea; and two in the USA. The mean age of the participants ranged from 50.0 years to 66.5 years. All RCTs were at high risk of bias. Application of fibrin sealants to pancreatic stump closure reinforcement after distal pancreatectomy We included eight RCTs involving 1119 participants: 559 were randomised to the fibrin sealant group and 560 to the control group after distal pancreatectomy. Fibrin sealant use may result in little to no difference in the rate of POPF (risk ratio (RR) 0.94, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73 to 1.21; 5 studies, 1002 participants; low-certainty evidence) and overall postoperative morbidity (RR 1.20, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.48; 4 studies, 893 participants; low-certainty evidence). After fibrin sealant use, approximately 199 people (155 to 256 people) out of 1000 developed POPF compared with 212 people out of 1000 when no fibrin sealant was used. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of fibrin sealant use on postoperative mortality (Peto odds ratio (OR) 0.39, 95% CI 0.12 to 1.29; 7 studies, 1051 participants; very low-certainty evidence) and total length of hospital stay (mean difference (MD) 0.99 days, 95% CI -1.83 to 3.82; 2 studies, 371 participants; very low-certainty evidence). Fibrin sealant use may reduce the reoperation rate slightly (RR 0.40, 95% CI 0.18 to 0.90; 3 studies, 623 participants; low-certainty evidence). Serious adverse events were reported in five studies (732 participants), and there were no serious adverse events related to fibrin sealant use (low-certainty evidence). The studies did not report quality of life or cost-effectiveness. Application of fibrin sealants to pancreatic anastomosis reinforcement after pancreaticoduodenectomy We included five RCTs involving 519 participants: 248 were randomised to the fibrin sealant group and 271 to the control group after pancreaticoduodenectomy. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of fibrin sealant use on the rate of POPF (RR 1.34, 95% CI 0.72 to 2.48; 3 studies, 323 participants; very low-certainty evidence), postoperative mortality (Peto OR 0.24, 95% CI 0.05 to 1.06; 5 studies, 517 participants; very low-certainty evidence), reoperation rate (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.33 to 1.66; 3 studies, 323 participants; very low-certainty evidence), and total hospital cost (MD -1489.00 US dollars, 95% CI -3256.08 to 278.08; 1 study, 124 participants; very low-certainty evidence). After fibrin sealant use, approximately 130 people (70 to 240 people) out of 1000 developed POPF compared with 97 people out of 1000 when no fibrin sealant was used. Fibrin sealant use may result in little to no difference both in overall postoperative morbidity (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.19; 4 studies, 447 participants; low-certainty evidence) and in total length of hospital stay (MD -0.33 days, 95% CI -2.30 to 1.63; 4 studies, 447 participants; low-certainty evidence). Serious adverse events were reported in two studies (194 participants), and there were no serious adverse events related to fibrin sealant use (very low-certainty evidence). The studies did not report quality of life. Application of fibrin sealants to pancreatic duct occlusion after pancreaticoduodenectomy We included two RCTs involving 351 participants: 188 were randomised to the fibrin sealant group and 163 to the control group after pancreaticoduodenectomy. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of fibrin sealant use on postoperative mortality (Peto OR 1.41, 95% CI 0.63 to 3.13; 2 studies, 351 participants; very low-certainty evidence), overall postoperative morbidity (RR 1.16, 95% CI 0.67 to 2.02; 2 studies, 351 participants; very low-certainty evidence), and reoperation rate (RR 0.85, 95% CI 0.52 to 1.41; 2 studies, 351 participants; very low-certainty evidence). Fibrin sealant use may result in little to no difference in the total length of hospital stay (median 16 to 17 days versus 17 days; 2 studies, 351 participants; low-certainty evidence). Serious adverse events were reported in one study (169 participants; low-certainty evidence): more participants developed diabetes mellitus when fibrin sealants were applied to pancreatic duct occlusion, both at three months' follow-up (33.7% fibrin sealant group versus 10.8% control group; 29 participants versus 9 participants) and 12 months' follow-up (33.7% fibrin sealant group versus 14.5% control group; 29 participants versus 12 participants). The studies did not report POPF, quality of life, or cost-effectiveness.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Based on the current available evidence, fibrin sealant use may result in little to no difference in the rate of POPF in people undergoing distal pancreatectomy. The evidence is very uncertain about the effect of fibrin sealant use on the rate of POPF in people undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy. The effect of fibrin sealant use on postoperative mortality is uncertain in people undergoing either distal pancreatectomy or pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula and pancreatitis after pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy: A review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is the leading cause of morbidity and early mortality in patients undergoing pancreatic resection. In addition, recent studies have identified postoperative acute pancreatitis (POAP) as an independent contributor to morbidity. Most perioperative mitigation strategies experimented for POPF have been shown to be in vain with no consensus on the best perioperative management. Clinical prediction models have been developed with the hope of identifying high POPF risk patients with the leading idea of finding subpopulations possibly benefiting from pre-existing or novel mitigation strategies. The aim of this review was to map out the existing prediction modeling studies to better understand the current stage of POPF prediction modeling, and the methodology behind them.

METHODS

A narrative review of the existing POPF prediction model studies was performed. Studies published before September 2022 were included.

RESULTS

While the number of POPF prediction models for pancreatoduodenectomy has increased, none of the currently existing models stand out from the crowd. For distal pancreatectomy, two unique POPF prediction models exist, but due to their freshness, no further external validation or adoption in clinics or research has been reported. There seems to be a lack of adherence to correct methodology or reporting guidelines in most of the studies, which has rendered external validity-if assessed-low. Few of the most recent studies have demonstrated preoperative assessment of pancreatic aspects from computed tomography (CT) scans to provide relatively strong predictors of POPF.

CONCLUSIONS

Main goal for the future would be to reach a consensus on the most important POPF predictors and prediction model. At their current state, few models have demonstrated adequate transportability and generalizability to be up to the task. Better understanding of POPF pathophysiology and the possible driving force of acute inflammation and POAP might be required before such a prediction model can be accessed.

Acute PresentatiOn of coLorectaL cancer - an internatiOnal snapshot (APOLLO): Protocol for a prospective, multicentre cohort study

AIM

The primary aim of the study is to describe the variation in the operative and nonoperative management of emergency presentations of colon and rectal cancer in an international cohort. Secondary aims will be to develop a risk prediction model for mortality and primary anastomosis and validate risk criteria of large bowel obstruction (LBO) in patients with previously known colorectal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy or awaiting elective surgery.

METHOD

This prospective, multicentre audit will be conducted via the student- and trainee-led EuroSurg Collaborative network internationally over 2023 with 90-day follow-up. Data will be collected on consecutive adult patients presenting to the hospital in an unplanned and urgent manner with colorectal cancer (CRC) due to malignant LBO, perforation, CRC-related haemorrhage, or other related reasons. Primary outcome is 90-day mortality. Secondary outcomes include rates of stomas, primary anastomosis, stenting, preoperative imaging, and complications or readmissions.

CONCLUSION

This protocol describes the methodology for the first international audit on the management of acutely presenting CRC. This study will utilise a large collaborative network with robust data validation and assurance strategies. APOLLO will provide a comprehensive understanding of current practice, develop risk prediction tools in this setting, and validate existing trial results.

Staple line lockstitch reinforcement decreases clinically relevant pancreatic fistula following distal pancreatectomy: Results of a propensity score matched retrospective analysis

Background

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) remains the primary complication of distal pancreatectomies. We aimed to review whether staple line reinforcement with continuous lockstitches would lead to decreased grade B and C pancreatic fistula in patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy.

Methods

This retrospective study enrolled consecutive patients scheduled to undergo distal pancreatectomy at a large tertiary hospital. A comparison was conducted between lockstitch reinforcement and non-reinforcement for remnant closure during distal pancreatectomies from August 2016 to February 2021. Propensity score matching was applied to balance the two groups with covariates including abdominal and back pain, diabetes mellitus, and estimated blood loss. The primary outcome was POPF rate.

Results

A total of 153 patients were enrolled in the study (89 lockstitch reinforcements, 64 non-reinforcements), of whom 128 patients (64 per group) were analyzed after propensity score matching (1:1). The total POPF rate was 21.9%. POPF was identified in 12.5% (8/64) of the patients who underwent resection with lockstitch reinforcement and 31.2% (20/64) of the patients without reinforcement (odds ratio 0.314, 95% confidence interval 0.130-0.760, P=0.010). No deaths occurred in either group. Neither the major complication rate nor the length of hospital stay after surgery differed between the groups.

Conclusions

Compared with the use of stapler alone, staple line lockstitch reinforcement for remnant closure during distal pancreatectomy could reduce the POPF rate. Further multicenter randomized clinical trials are required to confirm these results.