Clinical and electrophysiological predictors of device-detected new-onset atrial fibrillation during 3 years after cardiac surgery

Determinants and impact of postoperative atrial fibrillation burden during 2.5 years of continuous rhythm monitoring after cardiac surgery: Results from the RACE V prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Early postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is common after cardiac surgery and is associated with late-POAF recurrences. However, little is known about the burden of POAF and its potential impact on long-term outcomes after cardiac surgery, particularly on the risk for late-POAF recurrences.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to establish the distribution of POAF burden and to determine the association between early-POAF burden and late-POAF recurrences during 2.5 years of continuous rhythm monitoring after cardiac surgery in patients with and without preoperative history of atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

Patients undergoing cardiac surgery were prospectively enrolled and postoperatively continuously monitored with an implantable loop recorder for 2.5 years. All patients underwent extensive clinical assessment at baseline. During follow-up, all AF episodes were registered, and AF associated metrics, such as burden, were calculated for different time intervals. Early-POAF was defined as AF within first 90 postoperative days and late-POAF as AF after this interval.

RESULTS

A total of 98 consecutive patients were included. POAF burden during the early postoperative phase was significantly higher compared to the late postoperative phase (P <.001). The longest individual POAF episode was strongly associated with increased POAF burden after adjusting for age, sex, and AF history (standardized Beta: 0.91, P <.001). Also, early-POAF burden was associated with late-POAF (re)occurrence after adjusting for age, sex, AF history (adjusted hazard ratio 1.93, 95% confidence interval 1.42-2.62, P <.001).

CONCLUSION

POAF burden was significantly associated with the longest individual POAF episode duration. Additionally, greater early-POAF burden was associated with increased late-POAF incidence, highlighting its potential in estimating the risk for long-term POAF recurrences.

Improving atrial fibrillation or flutter detection and management by smartphone-based photoplethysmography rhythm monitoring following cardiac surgery: a pragmatic randomized trial

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) after cardiac surgery are common and associated with adverse outcomes. The increased risk related to AF or AFL may extend beyond discharge. This study aims to determine whether photoplethysmography (PPG)-based smartphone monitoring to detect AF or AFL after hospital discharge following cardiac surgery improves AF management.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The intervention group performed 1 min rhythm checks three times daily using a smartphone-based PPG application during 6 weeks after hospitalization for cardiac surgery. The primary outcome involved AF management interventions by independent physicians, including initiation of oral anticoagulation (OAC), direct cardioversion, and up-titration or initiation of antiarrhythmic drugs. The study included 450 patients [mean (SD) age, 64.1 (9.2) years; 96 women (21.3%); 130 patients with AF history (28.9%); median (IQR) CHA2DS2-VASc score, 2 (1-3)], of whom 238 were randomized to PPG-based monitoring and 212 to usual care. AF/AFL was detected with PPG or electrocardiography in 44 patients (18.5%) in the monitoring group and 4 patients (1.9%) in the usual care group (OR 11.8; 95% CI, 4.2-33.3; P < 0.001); these were new detections in, respectively, 22 patients (9.2%) and 1 patient (0.5%) (OR 21.3; 95% CI, 2.9-166.7; P = 0.003). AF management interventions occurred in 24 patients (10.1%) in the monitoring group compared to 5 patients (2.4%) in the usual care group [odds ratio (OR), 5.1; 95% CI, 1.8-14.4; P = 0.002].

CONCLUSION

In unselected patients discharged home following cardiac surgery, PPG-based smartphone monitoring revealed significantly more AF/AFL which led to significantly more optimization of AF management.

Characterization of Post Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Atrial Fibrillation Patterns: Rationale and Design of an Investigator-Initiated Observational Study

New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after cardiac surgery is associated with increased rates of adverse events (including mortality and stroke). Its incidence after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is considered to be approximately 30%, and it is believed to be a transient condition. However, studies investigating POAF after CABG fail to provide appropriate data on incidence and arrhythmia patterns due to the use of intermittent rhythm detection strategies. These methods have a low sensitivity as compared with continuous monitoring. Subsequently, studies using these techniques most likely do not identify all patients with arrhythmia and do not adequately demonstrate the long-term incidence of arrhythmia, which in turn may affect its association with adverse events. The Characterization of Post Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Atrial Fibrillation Patterns (CABG-AF) study (German Clinical Trials Register Number: DRKS00018887) tests the hypothesis that the incidence of AF in the first 12 months after CABG is significantly underestimated. CABG-AF is an investigator-initiated multicenter, prospective, observational study in which 196 patients with no history of arrhythmia who underwent first-time CABG receive an insertable cardiac monitor for continuous postoperative rhythm monitoring. The primary end point of the study is any episode of AF within the first 12 months after surgery. Secondary end points include AF burden, AF density, and the ratio of silent to symptomatic AF episodes. End points will be investigated by automatic and patient-initiated data transfers from the implanted device, by telephone interview of patients, and by follow-up forms sent to patients by mail. The patients will be followed for a planned follow-up of 3 years. In conclusion, the CABG-AF study will provide information on the true incidence of AF after CABG and on the temporal patterns of the arrhythmia.

Circulating BMP10 Levels Associate With Late Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation and Left Atrial Endomysial Fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Serum bone morphogenetic protein 10 (BMP10) blood levels are a marker for history of atrial fibrillation (AF) and for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with AF, including stroke, AF recurrences after catheter ablations, and mortality. The predictive value of BMP10 in patients undergoing cardiac surgery and association with morphologic properties of atrial tissues are unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to study the correlation between BMP10 levels and preoperative clinical traits, occurrence of early and late postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), and atrial fibrosis in patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

METHODS

Patients with and without preoperative AF history undergoing first cardiac surgery were included (RACE V, n = 147). Preoperative blood biomarkers were analyzed, left (n = 114) and right (n = 125) atrial appendage biopsy specimens were histologically investigated after WGA staining, and postoperative rhythm was monitored continuously with implantable loop recorders (n = 133, 2.5 years).

RESULTS

Adjusted multinomial logistic regression indicated that BMP10 accurately reflected a history of persistent AF (OR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.10-1.40, P = 0.001), similar to NT-pro-BNP. BMP10 levels were associated with increased late POAF90 occurrence after adjustment for age, sex, AF history, and early POAF occurrence (HR: 1.07 [per 0.1 ng/mL increase], 95% CI: 1.00-1.14, P = 0.041). Left atrial endomysial fibrosis (standardized β = 0.22, P = 0.041) but not overall fibrosis (standardized Β = 0.12, P = 0.261) correlated with circulating BMP10 after adjustment for age, sex, AF history, reduced LVF, and valvular surgery indication.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased BMP10 levels were associated with persistent AF history, increased late POAF incidence, and LAA endomysial fibrosis in a diverse sample of patients undergoing cardiac surgery.

Surgical Coronary Revascularization in Patients With Underlying Atrial Fibrillation: State-of-the-Art Review

The number of individuals referred for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) with preoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) is reported to be 8% to 20%. Atrial fibrillation is a known marker of high-risk patients as it was repeatedly found to negatively influence survival. Therefore, when performing surgical revascularization, consideration should be given to the concomitant treatment of the arrhythmia, the clinical consequences of the arrhythmia itself, and the selection of adequate surgical techniques. This state-of-the-art review aimed to provide a comprehensive analysis of the current understanding of, advancements in, and optimal strategies for CABG in patients with underlying AF. The following topics are considered: stroke prevention, prophylaxis and occurrence of postoperative AF, the role of surgical ablation and left atrial appendage occlusion, and an on-pump vs off-pump strategy. Multiple acute complications can occur in patients with preexisting AF undergoing CABG, each of which can have a significant effect on patient outcomes. Long-term results in these patients and the future perspectives of this scientific area were also addressed. Preoperative arrhythmia should always be considered for surgical ablation because such an approach improves prognosis without increasing perioperative risk. While planning a revascularization strategy, it should be noted that although off-pump coronary artery bypass provides better short-term outcomes, conventional on-pump approach may be beneficial at long-term follow-up. By collecting the current evidence, addressing knowledge gaps, and offering practical recommendations, this state-of-the-art review serves as a valuable resource for clinicians involved in the management of patients with AF undergoing CABG, ultimately contributing to improved outcomes and enhanced patient care.

Recurrence of new-onset post-operative AF after cardiac surgery: detected by implantable loop recorders: A systematic review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common complications after cardiac surgery. New-onset post-operative AF may signal an elevated risk of AF and associated outcomes in long-term follow-up. We aimed to estimate the rate of AF recurrence as detected by an implantable loop recorder (ILR) in patients experiencing post-operative AF within 30 days after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane CENTRAL to April 2023 for studies of adults who did not have known AF, experienced new-onset AF within 30 days of cardiac surgery and received an ILR. We pooled individual participant data on timing of AF recurrence using a random-effects model with a frailty model applied to a Cox proportional hazard analysis.

RESULTS

From 8671 citations, 8 single-centre prospective cohort studies met eligibility criteria. Data were available from 185 participants in 7 studies, with a median follow-up of 1.7 (IQR: 1.3-2.8) years. All included studies were at a low risk of bias. Pooled AF recurrence rates following 30 post-operative days were 17.8% (95% CI 11.9%-23.2%) at 3 months, 24.4% (17.7%-30.6%) at 6 months, 30.1% (22.8%-36.7%) at 12 months and 35.3% (27.6%-42.2%) at 18 months.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients who experience new-onset post-operative AF after cardiac surgery, AF recurrence lasting at least 30 s occurs in approximately 1 in 3 in the first year after surgery. The optimal frequency and modality to use for monitoring for AF recurrence in this population remain uncertain.

Clinical Predictors of Device-Detected Atrial Fibrillation During 2.5 Years After Cardiac Surgery: Prospective RACE V Cohort

BACKGROUND

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a frequent complication after cardiac surgery that is associated with late atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrences (late-POAF) and increased morbidity and long-term mortality.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine device-detected POAF incidence and to identify clinical variables associated with POAF, both in patients with and without preoperative AF history.

METHODS

A total of 133 consecutive patients undergoing cardiac surgery were prospectively enrolled and continuously monitored with an implantable loop recorder for 2.5 years after surgery. Preoperative transthoracic echocardiography, 12-lead electrocardiogram, blood biomarkers, and clinical data were analyzed to develop prediction models for early- and late-POAF.

RESULTS

In patients without preoperative AF history, early-POAF within the first 90 postoperative days occurred in 41 (47.1%) of 87 patients. Late-POAF after the first 90 postoperative days occurred in 22 (25%) of 87 patients, and 20 of these patients also had early-POAF during the first 90 days (20 of 22 [91%]). Increased right atrial minimum volume indexed for body surface area (RAVImin) and early-POAF were independently associated with late-POAF. A prediction model for late-POAF, which included RAVImin >11 mL/m2, age >65 years, and early-POAF, achieved an area under the curve of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.72-0.92). For patients with preoperative AF-history, late-POAF recurrences were frequent (22 of 33 [67%]). Increased RAVImin was independently associated with a higher incidence of late-POAF.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with and without AF history, late-POAF recurrences are frequent, including in patients undergoing surgical AF ablation. In patients with no history of AF, late-POAF might be predicted with excellent accuracy by using a combination of preoperative variables. In patients with a history of AF, signs of advanced AF substrate (eg, increased right atrial volumes) were associated with long-term AF recurrences. [Reappraisal of Atrial Fibrillation: Interaction Between Hypercoagulability, Electrical Remodeling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of AF; NCT03124576].

A novel predictive model for new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients after isolated cardiac valve surgery

Background

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) is a severe complication after cardiac surgery and is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke and mortality. The main aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors associated with POAF after isolated valve operation and to develop a risk prediction model.

Methods

This retrospective observational study involved patients without previous AF who underwent isolated valve surgery from November 2018 to October 2021. Patients were stratified into two groups according to the development of new-onset POAF. Baseline characteristics and perioperative data were collected from the two groups of patients. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to identify independent risk factors for the occurrence of POAF, and the results of the multivariate analysis were used to create a predictive nomogram.

Results

A total of 422 patients were included in the study, of which 163 (38.6%) developed POAF. The Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that cardiac function (odds ratio [OR] = 2.881, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.595–5.206; P &lt; 0.001), Left atrial diameter index (OR = 1.071, 95%CI = 1.028–1.117; P = 0.001), Operative time (OR = 1.532, 95%CI = 1.095–2.141; P = 0.013), Neutrophil count (OR = 1.042, 95%CI = 1.006–1.08; P = 0.021) and the magnitude of fever (OR = 3.414, 95%CI = 2.454–4.751; P &lt; 0.001) were independent predictors of POAF. The above Variables were incorporated, and a nomogram was successfully constructed with a C-index of 0.810. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.817.

Conclusion

Cardiac function, left atrial diameter index, operative time, neutrophil count, and fever were independent predictors of POAF in patients with isolated valve surgery. Establishing a nomogram model based on the above predictors helps predict the risk of POAF and may have potential clinical utility in preventive interventions.

Randomized Trial of Surgical Left Atrial Appendage Closure: Protection Against Cerebrovascular Events

Following open-heart surgery, atrial fibrillation and stroke occur frequently. Left atrial appendage closure added to elective open-heart surgery could reduce the risk of ischemic stroke. We aim to examine if routine closure of the left atrial appendage in patients undergoing open-heart surgery provides long-term protection against cerebrovascular events independently of atrial fibrillation history, stroke risk, and oral anticoagulation use. Long-term follow-up of patients enrolled in the prospective, randomized, open-label, blinded evaluation trial entitled left atrial appendage closure by surgery (NCT02378116). Patients were stratified by oral anticoagulation status and randomized (1:1) to left atrial appendage closure in addition to elective open-heart surgery vs standard care. The primary composite endpoint was ischemic stroke events, transient ischemic attacks, and imaging findings of silent cerebral ischemic lesions. Two neurologists blinded for treatment assignment adjudicated cerebrovascular events. In total, 186 patients (82% males) were reviewed. At baseline, mean (standard deviation (SD)) age was68 (9) years and 13.4% (n = 25/186) had been diagnosed with atrial fibrillation. Median [interquartile range (IQR)] CHA2DS2-VASc was 3 [2,4] and 25.9% (n = 48/186) were receiving oral anticoagulants. Mean follow-up was 6.2 (2.5) years. The left atrial appendage closure group experienced fewer cerebrovascular events; intention-to-treat 11 vs 19 (P = 0.033, n = 186) and per-protocol 9 vs 17 (P = 0.186, n = 141). Left atrial appendage closure as an add-on open-heart surgery, regardless of pre-surgery atrial fibrillation and oral anticoagulation status, seems safe and may reduce cerebrovascular events in long-term follow-up. More extensive randomized clinical trials investigating left atrial appendage closure in patients without atrial fibrillation and high stroke risk are warranted.

Characterization of pre-existing arrhythmogenic substrate associated with de novo early and late postoperative atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

PoAF is the most common complication after cardiac surgery and may occur in patients with pre-existing arrhythmogenic substrate. Characterization of this substrate could aid in identifying patients at risk for PoAF. We therefore compared intra-atrial conduction parameters and electrogram morphology between patients without and with early- (≤5 days after surgery) and late- (up to 5 years) postoperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Epicardial mapping of the right and left atrium and Bachmann's Bundle (BB) was performed during sinus rhythm (SR) in 263 patients (207male, 67 ± 11 years). Unipolar potentials were classified as single, short or long double and fractionated potentials. Unipolar voltage, fractionation delay (time difference between the first and last deflection), conduction velocity (CV) and conduction block (CB) prevalence were measured. Comparing patients without (N = 166) and with PoAF (N = 97), PoAF was associated with lower CV and more CB at BB. Unipolar voltages were lower and more low-voltage areas were found at the left and right atrium and BB in PoAF patients. These differences were more pronounced in patients with late-PoAF (6%), which could even occur up to 5 years after surgery. Although several electrophysiological parameters were related to PoAF, age was the only independent predictor.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with de novo PoAF have more extensive arrhythmogenic substrate prior to cardiac surgery compared to those who remained in SR, which is even more pronounced in late-PoAF patients. Future studies should evaluate whether intra-operative electrophysiological examination enables identification of patients at risk for developing PoAF and hence (preventive) therapy.

Derivation and Validation of a Clinical Score for Predicting Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Noncardiac Elective Surgery (the HART Score)

Postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) represents the most frequent cardiac arrhythmia in the surgical setting. It affects almost 3% of all patients over 45 years old who underwent noncardiovascular surgery and is associated with a higher risk of stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and cardiac arrest. The study aimed to assess independent predictors of POAF and derive and validate a score for risk prediction in clinical practice. This was a retrospective cohort study including all consecutive candidates to all types of noncardiac elective surgery attending a cardiological preoperative assessment from 2016 to 2019. Exclusion criteria were a previous diagnosis of AF and the cancelation of the planned surgery. A total of 2,048 patients were enrolled (1350 men, aged 72 ± 12 years). A total of 44 patients experienced POAF (2.1%) - median 3 days (first to third quartile 2 to 4 days). Age (odds ratio [OR] 1.03 for each year, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.07), hypertension (OR 3.43, 95% CI 1.22 to 9.63), thyroid dysfunction (OR 2.47, 95% CI 1.22 to 5.01), and intermediate or high-risk surgery (OR 18.28, 95% CI 2.51 to 33.09) resulted as independent predictors of POAF (all p <0.05). The Hypertension, Age, surgery Risk, and Thyroid dysfunction score (OR 2.59 for each point, 95% CI 1.79 to 3.75, p <0.001) was then created based on those 4 items. A cut-off score ≥6 had a 70% sensitivity and a 72% specificity in detecting POAF (area under the curve 0.76). Bootstrapping for internal validation confirmed the overall results (area under the curve 0.72). In conclusion, POAF complicates around 2% of all noncardiac surgery. A 4-item risk score, such as the Hypertension, Age, surgery Risk, and Thyroid dysfunction score, could be effective in implementing POAF screening and improving management.