Novel Genetic Variant Predicts Surgical Recurrence Risk in Crohn's Disease Patients

Prognostic models for predicting postoperative recurrence in Crohn's disease: a systematic review and critical appraisal

Background and Aims

Prophylaxis of postoperative recurrence is an intractable problem for clinicians and patients with Crohn's disease. Prognostic models are effective tools for patient stratification and personalised management. This systematic review aimed to provide an overview and critically appraise the existing models for predicting postoperative recurrence of Crohn's disease.

Methods

Systematic retrieval was performed using PubMed and Web of Science in January 2022. Original articles on prognostic models for predicting postoperative recurrence of Crohn's disease were included in the analysis. The risk of bias was assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment (PROBAST) tool. This study was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO; number CRD42022311737).

Results

In total, 1948 articles were screened, of which 15 were ultimately considered. Twelve studies developed 15 new prognostic models for Crohn's disease and the other three validated the performance of three existing models. Seven models utilised regression algorithms, six utilised scoring indices, and five utilised machine learning. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the models ranged from 0.51 to 0.97. Six models showed good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of >0.80. All models were determined to have a high risk of bias in modelling or analysis, while they were at low risk of applicability concerns.

Conclusions

Prognostic models have great potential for facilitating the assessment of postoperative recurrence risk in patients with Crohn's disease. Existing prognostic models require further validation regarding their reliability and applicability.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42022311737.

The implication of chromosomal abnormalities in the surgical outcomes of Chinese pediatric patients with congenital heart disease

Background

Copy number variations (CNVs) have been shown to be overrepresented in children with congenital heart disease (CHD). Genetic evaluation of CHD is currently underperformed in China. We sought to determine the occurrence of CNVs in CNV regions with disease-causing potential among a large cohort of Chinese pediatric CHD patients and investigate whether these CNVs could be the important critical modifiers of surgical intervention.

Methods

CNVs screenings were performed in 1,762 Chinese children who underwent at least one cardiac surgery. CNV status at over 200 CNV locus with disease-causing potential was analyzed with a high-throughput ligation-dependent probe amplification (HLPA) assay.

Results

We found 378 out of 1,762 samples (21.45%) to have at least one CNV and 2.38% of them were carrying multiple CNVs. The detection rates of ppCNVs (pathogenic and likely pathogenic CNVs) were 9.19% (162/1,762), significantly higher than that of the healthy Han Chinese individuals from The Database of Genomic Variants archive (9.19% vs. 3.63%; P = 0.0012). CHD cases with ppCNVs had a significantly higher proportion of complex surgeries compared to CHD patients with no ppCNVs (62.35% vs. 37.63%, P < 0.001). Duration of cardiopulmonary bypass and aortic cross clamp procedures were significantly longer in CHD cases with ppCNVs (all P < 0.05), while no group differences were identified for complications of surgery and one-month mortality after surgery. The detection rate of ppCNVs in the atrioventricular septal defect (AVSD) subgroup was significantly higher than that in other subgroups (23.10% vs. 9.70%, P = 0.002).

Conclusions

CNV burden is an important contributor to Chinese children with CHD. Our study demonstrated the robustness and diagnostic efficiency of HLPA method in the genetic screening of CNVs in CHD patients.

Contemporary Management of Postoperative Crohn's Disease after Ileocolonic Resection

Surgery remains an important treatment modality in the multidisciplinary management of patients with Crohn's disease (CD). To illustrate the recent advances in the management of postoperative CD we outline the contemporary approach to treatment: diagnosing disease recurrence using endoscopy or noninvasive methods and risk stratification underlying decisions to institute treatment. Endoscopic scoring indices are being refined to guide treatment decisions by accurately estimating the risk of recurrence based on endoscopic appearance. The original Rutgeerts score has been modified to separate anastomotic lesions from lesions in the neoterminal ileum. Two further indices, the REMIND score and the POCER index, were recently developed with the same intention. Noninvasive monitoring for recurrence using a method with high negative predictive value has the potential to simplify management algorithms and only perform ileocolonoscopy in a subset of patients. Fecal calprotectin, intestinal ultrasound, and magnetic resonance enterography are all being evaluated for this purpose. The use of infliximab for the prevention of postoperative recurrence is well supported by data, but management decisions are fraught with uncertainty for patients with previous exposure to biologics. Data on the use of ustekinumab and vedolizumab for postoperative CD are emerging, but controlled studies are lacking.

The Prevalence of Concomitant Skip Small Bowel Lesions in Crohn's Disease and Their Effects on Reoperation in Patients Undergoing Ileocolic Resection

AIMS

Concomitant lesions in the small intestine are common in Crohn's disease (CD). This study aimed to detect the incidence of small bowel (SB) lesions in patients undergoing surgical resection for symptomatic ileocolic disease and whether concomitant SB lesions are associated with reoperation due to recurrent CD.

METHODS

In this observational, historical cohort study, consecutive patients with CD undergoing primary ileocolic resection (ICR) from 2007 to 2019 were included. Clinical variables and intraoperative findings were extracted from a prospectively maintained database and analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression models for identifying risk factors of reoperation.

RESULTS

Of the 404 patients included, there were 202 (50%) patients having concomitant SB lesions, and 108 of them underwent concurrent surgical intervention for SB lesions whereas 94 did not. The presence of concomitant SB lesions was a risk factor for reoperation (p = 0.041). Subgroup analysis indicated that patients with concomitant uncomplicated SB lesions left in situ had a comparable rate of reoperation (p = 0.605) whereas patients having concomitant complicated SB lesions undergoing simultaneous surgical intervention showed a higher reoperation rate (P = 0.006) when compared with those without concomitant SB lesions. Interestingly, the adverse effects of concomitant SB lesions can be reversed in the setting of postoperative anti-TNF agents [HR 0.2; 95% CI (0.04-0.9); P=0.040].

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant SB lesion(s), especially those complicated lesions, could be a risk factor for postoperative surgical recurrence in patients undergoing ICR. Active postoperative management strategies such as anti-TNF agents should be provided for these patients.

Predictive Factors of Surgical Recurrence in Patients with Crohn's Disease on Long-Term Follow-Up: A Focus on Histology

In patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) that underwent surgery, predictive factors of surgical recurrence have been only partially identified. The aim of our study was to identify potential factors associated with an increased risk of surgical recurrence. A monocentric retrospective observational study was conducted including patients diagnosed with CD, according to ECCO criteria who received their first ileocolic resection. Overall, 162 patients were enrolled in our study; 54 of them were excluded due to a lack of sufficient data. The median follow-up was 136.5 months, IQR 91.5−176.5, and the surgical recurrence rate after the median follow-up was 21.3%. In the multivariate analysis, an age ≤ 28 years at the first surgical resection (aHR = 16.44, p < 0.001), current smoking (aHR = 15.84, p < 0.001), female sex (aHR = 7.58, p < 0.001), presence of granulomas at local lymph nodes (aHR = 12.19, p < 0.001), and treatment with systemic corticosteroids after the first surgical resection (aHR = 7.52, p = 0.002) were factors significantly associated with a risk of surgical recurrence, while cryptitis resulted in a protective factor (aHR = 0.02, p < 0.001). In conclusion, the heterogeneous spectrum of factors associated to the risk of surgical recurrence in patients with CD that underwent ileocolic resection supports the need of a personalized follow-up taking into account different clinical, surgical, and histologic features.