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Tyrer F, Gharibzadeh S, Gillies C, Lawson C, Routen A, Islam N, Razieh C, Zaccardi F, Yates T, Davies MJ, Brightling CE, Chalmers JD, Docherty AB, Elneima O, Evans RA, Greening NJ, Harris VC, Harrison EM, Ho L, Horsley A, Houchen‐Wolloff L, Leavy OC, Lone NI, Marks M, McAuley HJC, Poinasamy K, Quint JK, Raman B, Richardson M, Saunders R, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Wain LV, Khunti K. Incidence of diabetes mellitus following hospitalisation for COVID-19 in the United Kingdom: A prospective observational study. Diabetes Obes Metab 2025; 27:767-776. [PMID: 39563623 PMCID: PMC11701205 DOI: 10.1111/dom.16071] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/16/2024] [Revised: 11/01/2024] [Accepted: 11/03/2024] [Indexed: 11/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND People hospitalised for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have elevated incidence of diabetes. However, it is unclear whether this is due to shared risk factors, confounding or stress hyperglycaemia in response to acute illness. METHODS We analysed a multicentre prospective cohort study (PHOSP-COVID) of people ≥18 years discharged from NHS hospitals across the United Kingdom following COVID-19. Individuals were included if they attended at least one research visit with a HbA1c measurement within 14 months of discharge and had no history of diabetes at baseline. The primary outcome was new onset diabetes (any type), as defined by a first glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) measurement ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol). Follow-up was censored at the last HbA1c measurement. Age-standardised incidence rates and incidence rate ratios (adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, length of hospital stay, body mass index, smoking, physical activity, deprivation, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia/hypercholesterolaemia, intensive therapy unit admission, invasive mechanical ventilation, corticosteroid use and C-reactive protein score) were calculated using Poisson regression. Incidence rates were compared with the control groups of published clinical trials in the United Kingdom by applying the same inclusion and exclusion criteria, where possible. RESULTS Incidence of diabetes was 91.4 per 1000 person-years and was higher in South Asian (incidence rate ratios [IRR] = 3.60; 1.77, 7.32; p < 0.001) and Black ethnic groups (IRR = 2.36; 1.07, 5.21; p = 0.03) compared with White ethnic groups. When restricted to similar characteristics, the incidence rates were similar to those in UK clinical trials data. CONCLUSION Diabetes incidence following hospitalisation for COVID-19 is high, but it remains uncertain whether it is disproportionately higher than pre-pandemic levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Freya Tyrer
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Safoora Gharibzadeh
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Clare Gillies
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Claire Lawson
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Ash Routen
- Centre for Ethnic Health, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Nazrul Islam
- School of Primary Care, Population Sciences and Medical EducationUniversity of SouthamptonSouthamptonUK
| | - Cameron Razieh
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Francesco Zaccardi
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Tom Yates
- Leicester Diabetes Centre, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Melanie J. Davies
- Leicester Diabetes Centre, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Christopher E. Brightling
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | | | - Annemarie B. Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghUK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Rachael A. Evans
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Neil J. Greening
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Victoria C. Harris
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghUK
| | - Ling‐Pei Ho
- MRC Human Immunology UnitUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity and Respiratory MedicineUniversity of ManchesterManchesterUK
| | - Linzy Houchen‐Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Olivia C. Leavy
- Department of Population Health SciencesUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Nazir I. Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher InstituteUniversity of EdinburghEdinburghUK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical ResearchLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical MedicineLondonUK
| | - Hamish J. C. McAuley
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | | | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of MedicineUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Ruth Saunders
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Amish Singapuri
- The Institute of Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Louise V. Wain
- Department of Population Health SciencesUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
| | - Kamlesh Khunti
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
- Leicester Diabetes Centre, Diabetes Research CentreUniversity of LeicesterLeicesterUK
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Gharibzadeh S, Routen A, Razieh C, Zaccardi F, Lawson C, Gillies C, Heller S, Davies M, Atkins H, Bain SC, Lone NL, Poinasamy K, Peto T, Robertson E, Young B, Johnston D, Quint J, Valabhji J, Ismail K, Marks M, Horsley A, Docherty A, Harrison E, Chalmers J, Ho LP, Raman B, Brightling C, Elneima O, Evans R, Greening N, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Wain L, Langenberg C, Dennis J, Petrie J, Sattar N, Leavy O, Richardson M, Saunders RM, McArdle A, McASuley H, Yates T, Khunti K. Long term health outcomes in people with diabetes 12 months after hospitalisation with COVID-19 in the UK: a prospective cohort study. EClinicalMedicine 2025; 79:103005. [PMID: 39834716 PMCID: PMC11743801 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.103005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2024] [Revised: 11/25/2024] [Accepted: 11/27/2024] [Indexed: 01/22/2025] Open
Abstract
Background People with diabetes are at increased risk of hospitalisation, morbidity, and mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Long-term outcomes for people with diabetes previously hospitalised with COVID-19 are, however, unknown. This study aimed to determine the longer-term physical and mental health effects of COVID-19 in people with and without diabetes. Methods The PHOSP-COVID study is a multicentre, long-term follow-up study of adults discharged from hospital between 1 February 2020 and 31 March 2021 in the UK following COVID-19, involving detailed assessment at 5 and 12 months after discharge. The association between diabetes status and outcomes were explored using multivariable linear and logistic regressions. Findings People with diabetes who survived hospital admission with COVID-19 display worse physical outcomes compared to those without diabetes at 5- and 12-month follow-up. People with diabetes displayed higher fatigue (only at 5 months), frailty, lower physical performance, and health-related quality of life and poorer cognitive function. Differences in outcomes between diabetes status groups were largely consistent from 5 to 12-months. In regression models, differences at 5 and 12 months were attenuated after adjustment for BMI and presence of other long-term conditions. Interpretation People with diabetes reported worse physical outcomes up to 12 months after hospital discharge with COVID-19 compared to those without diabetes. These data support the need to reduce inequalities in long-term physical and mental health effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection in people with diabetes. Funding UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research. The study was approved by the Leeds West Research Ethics Committee (20/YH/0225) and is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN10980107).
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Affiliation(s)
- Safoora Gharibzadeh
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Ash Routen
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK
| | - Cameron Razieh
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
- Health Analysis and Life Events Division, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UK
| | - Francesco Zaccardi
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Claire Lawson
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust and the University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- NIHR Applied Research Collaboration–East Midlands, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Clare Gillies
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Simon Heller
- Department of Oncology and Metabolism, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Melanie Davies
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust and the University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre and Diabetes Research Centre, College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Helen Atkins
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Stephen C. Bain
- Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Swansea Bay University Health Board, UK
| | - Nazir L. Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Tunde Peto
- Department of Clinical Ophthalmology, Institute of Ophthalmology, University College London, London University, London, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Jonathan Valabhji
- Division of Metabolism, Digestion & Reproduction, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Institute of Psychiatry, Kings College London, London, UK
| | - Khalida Ismail
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Annemarie Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - James Chalmers
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Betty Raman
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Chris Brightling
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachel Evans
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil Greening
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | | | - Marco Sereno
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise Wain
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Claudia Langenberg
- Precision Healthcare University Research Institute – PHURI, Queen Mary University London; And Berlin Institute of Health at Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - John Dennis
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK
| | - John Petrie
- School of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Clarice Pears Building, Level 5 90 Byres Road, Glasgow, G12 8TB, UK
- Robertson Centre for Biostatistics, School of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, UK
| | - Naveed Sattar
- Division of Metabolism, Digestion & Reproduction, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Olivia Leavy
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Mattew Richardson
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Anne McArdle
- Department of Musculoskeletal Biology, Institute of Ageing and Chronic Disease, University of Liverpool and MRC- Arthritis Research UK Centre for Integrated Research Into Musculoskeletal Ageing (CIMA), UK
| | - Hamish McASuley
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Tom Yates
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Kamlesh Khunti
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
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Leavy OC, Russell RJ, Harrison EM, Lone NI, Kerr S, Docherty AB, Sheikh A, Richardson M, Elneima O, Greening NJ, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, McAuley HJ, Saunders RM, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Aul R, Beirne P, Bolton CE, Brown JS, Choudhury G, Diar Bakerly N, Easom N, Echevarria C, Fuld J, Hart N, Hurst JR, Jones M, Parekh D, Pfeffer P, Rahman NM, Rowland-Jones S, Shah AM, Wootton DG, Jolley C, Thompson AR, Chalder T, Davies MJ, De Soyza A, Geddes JR, Greenhalf W, Heller S, Howard L, Jacob J, Jenkins RG, Lord JM, Man WDC, McCann GP, Neubauer S, Openshaw PJ, Porter J, Rowland MJ, Scott JT, Semple MG, Singh SJ, Thomas D, Toshner M, Lewis K, Heaney LG, Briggs A, Zheng B, Thorpe M, Quint JK, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Wain LV, Brightling CE, Evans RA. 1-year health outcomes associated with systemic corticosteroids for COVID-19: a longitudinal cohort study. ERJ Open Res 2024; 10:00474-2024. [PMID: 39351379 PMCID: PMC11440406 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00474-2024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2024] [Accepted: 05/15/2024] [Indexed: 10/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Background In patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) requiring supplemental oxygen, dexamethasone reduces acute severity and improves survival, but longer-term effects are unknown. We hypothesised that systemic corticosteroid administration during acute COVID-19 would be associated with improved health-related quality of life (HRQoL) 1 year after discharge. Methods Adults admitted to hospital between February 2020 and March 2021 for COVID-19 and meeting current guideline recommendations for dexamethasone treatment were included using two prospective UK cohort studies (Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 and the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium). HRQoL, assessed by the EuroQol-Five Dimensions-Five Levels utility index (EQ-5D-5L UI), pre-hospital and 1 year after discharge were compared between those receiving corticosteroids or not after propensity weighting for treatment. Secondary outcomes included patient-reported recovery, physical and mental health status, and measures of organ impairment. Sensitivity analyses were undertaken to account for survival and selection bias. Findings Of the 1888 participants included in the primary analysis, 1149 received corticosteroids. There was no between-group difference in EQ-5D-5L UI at 1 year (mean difference 0.004, 95% CI -0.026-0.034). A similar reduction in EQ-5D-5L UI was seen at 1 year between corticosteroid exposed and nonexposed groups (mean±sd change -0.12±0.22 versus -0.11±0.22). Overall, there were no differences in secondary outcome measures. After sensitivity analyses modelled using a cohort of 109 318 patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19, EQ-5D-5L UI at 1 year remained similar between the two groups. Interpretation Systemic corticosteroids for acute COVID-19 have no impact on the large reduction in HRQoL 1 year after hospital discharge. Treatments to address the persistent reduction in HRQoL are urgently needed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olivia C. Leavy
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- These authors contributed equally
| | - Richard J. Russell
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- These authors contributed equally
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nazir I. Lone
- The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Steven Kerr
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie B. Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J. Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria Claire Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester, NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J.C. McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Raminder Aul
- St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Paul Beirne
- The Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK
| | - Charlotte E. Bolton
- University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK
- NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, Nottingham, UK
| | - Jeremy S. Brown
- UCL Respiratory, Department of Medicine, University College London, Rayne Institute, London, UK
| | - Gourab Choudhury
- University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nawar Diar Bakerly
- Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK
- Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Nicholas Easom
- Infection Research Group, Hull University Teaching Hospitals, Hull, UK
- University of Hull, Hull, UK
| | - Carlos Echevarria
- The Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
- Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
| | - Jonathan Fuld
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK
- University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- NIHR Cambridge Clinical Research Facility, Cambridge, UK
| | - Nick Hart
- Lane Fox Respiratory Service, Guy's and St Thomas NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - John R. Hurst
- University College London, London, UK
- Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Mark Jones
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Dhruv Parekh
- University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- University Hospital Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
| | - Paul Pfeffer
- Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
- Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Najib M. Rahman
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
- CAMS Oxford Institute, Oxford, UK
| | - Sarah Rowland-Jones
- University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
- Sheffield Teaching NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK
| | - Ajay M. Shah
- Kings College London, London, UK
- Kings College London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Dan G. Wootton
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Caroline Jolley
- Kings College London, London, UK
- Kings College London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - A.A. Roger Thompson
- University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
- Sheffield Teaching NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK
| | - Trudie Chalder
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, Kings College London, London, UK
- South London and Maudsley NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Melanie J. Davies
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Anthony De Soyza
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
- Newcastle upon Tyne Teaching Hospitals Trust, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - John R. Geddes
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - William Greenhalf
- Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK
- University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- The CRUK Liverpool Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre, Liverpool, UK
| | - Simon Heller
- Department of Oncology and Metabolism, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Luke Howard
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
- Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Joseph Jacob
- Centre for Medical Image Computing, University College London, London, UK
- Lungs for Living Research Centre, University College London, London, UK
| | - R. Gisli Jenkins
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Janet M. Lord
- MRC Versus Arthritis Centre for Musculoskeletal Ageing Research, Institute of Inflammation and Ageing, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- NIHR Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Birmingham and the University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Will D-C. Man
- Royal Brompton and Harefield Clinical Group, Guy's and St Thomas NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- NHLI, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Gerry P. McCann
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Stefan Neubauer
- NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | - Joanna Porter
- UCL Respiratory, Department of Medicine, University College London, Rayne Institute, London, UK
- ILD Service, University College London Hospital, London, UK
| | - Matthew J. Rowland
- Kadoorie Centre for Critical Care Research, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Janet T. Scott
- MRC–University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK
| | - Malcolm G. Semple
- NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- Respiratory Medicine, Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Liverpool, UK
| | - Sally J. Singh
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Mark Toshner
- NIHR Cambridge Clinical Research Facility, Cambridge, UK
- Cambridge NIHR BRC, Cambridge, UK
| | - Keir Lewis
- Hywel Dda University Health Board, Wales, UK
- University of Swansea, Wales, UK
- Respiratory Innovation Wales, Wales, UK
| | - Liam G. Heaney
- Wellcome–Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK
- Belfast Health and Social Care Trust, Belfast, UK
| | - Andrew Briggs
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Bang Zheng
- London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Mathew Thorpe
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - James D. Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity and Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Louise V. Wain
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Christopher E. Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachael A. Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
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Taquet M, Skorniewska Z, De Deyn T, Hampshire A, Trender WR, Hellyer PJ, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Leavy OC, Richardson M, Elneima O, McAuley HJC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Rogers N, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Mansoori P, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone NI, Quint J, Brightling CE, Wain LV, Evans RA, Geddes JR, Harrison PJ. Cognitive and psychiatric symptom trajectories 2-3 years after hospital admission for COVID-19: a longitudinal, prospective cohort study in the UK. Lancet Psychiatry 2024; 11:696-708. [PMID: 39096931 DOI: 10.1016/s2215-0366(24)00214-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2024] [Revised: 06/20/2024] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 08/05/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND COVID-19 is known to be associated with increased risks of cognitive and psychiatric outcomes after the acute phase of disease. We aimed to assess whether these symptoms can emerge or persist more than 1 year after hospitalisation for COVID-19, to identify which early aspects of COVID-19 illness predict longer-term symptoms, and to establish how these symptoms relate to occupational functioning. METHODS The Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID) is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of adults (aged ≥18 years) who were hospitalised with a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 at participating National Health Service hospitals across the UK. In the C-Fog study, a subset of PHOSP-COVID participants who consented to be recontacted for other research were invited to complete a computerised cognitive assessment and clinical scales between 2 years and 3 years after hospital admission. Participants completed eight cognitive tasks, covering eight cognitive domains, from the Cognitron battery, in addition to the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire for depression, the Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale, the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy Fatigue Scale, and the 20-item Cognitive Change Index (CCI-20) questionnaire to assess subjective cognitive decline. We evaluated how the absolute risks of symptoms evolved between follow-ups at 6 months, 12 months, and 2-3 years, and whether symptoms at 2-3 years were predicted by earlier aspects of COVID-19 illness. Participants completed an occupation change questionnaire to establish whether their occupation or working status had changed and, if so, why. We assessed which symptoms at 2-3 years were associated with occupation change. People with lived experience were involved in the study. FINDINGS 2469 PHOSP-COVID participants were invited to participate in the C-Fog study, and 475 participants (191 [40·2%] females and 284 [59·8%] males; mean age 58·26 [SD 11·13] years) who were discharged from one of 83 hospitals provided data at the 2-3-year follow-up. Participants had worse cognitive scores than would be expected on the basis of their sociodemographic characteristics across all cognitive domains tested (average score 0·71 SD below the mean [IQR 0·16-1·04]; p<0·0001). Most participants reported at least mild depression (263 [74·5%] of 353), anxiety (189 [53·5%] of 353), fatigue (220 [62·3%] of 353), or subjective cognitive decline (184 [52·1%] of 353), and more than a fifth reported severe depression (79 [22·4%] of 353), fatigue (87 [24·6%] of 353), or subjective cognitive decline (88 [24·9%] of 353). Depression, anxiety, and fatigue were worse at 2-3 years than at 6 months or 12 months, with evidence of both worsening of existing symptoms and emergence of new symptoms. Symptoms at 2-3 years were not predicted by the severity of acute COVID-19 illness, but were strongly predicted by the degree of recovery at 6 months (explaining 35·0-48·8% of the variance in anxiety, depression, fatigue, and subjective cognitive decline); by a biocognitive profile linking acutely raised D-dimer relative to C-reactive protein with subjective cognitive deficits at 6 months (explaining 7·0-17·2% of the variance in anxiety, depression, fatigue, and subjective cognitive decline); and by anxiety, depression, fatigue, and subjective cognitive deficit at 6 months. Objective cognitive deficits at 2-3 years were not predicted by any of the factors tested, except for cognitive deficits at 6 months, explaining 10·6% of their variance. 95 of 353 participants (26·9% [95% CI 22·6-31·8]) reported occupational change, with poor health being the most common reason for this change. Occupation change was strongly and specifically associated with objective cognitive deficits (odds ratio [OR] 1·51 [95% CI 1·04-2·22] for every SD decrease in overall cognitive score) and subjective cognitive decline (OR 1·54 [1·21-1·98] for every point increase in CCI-20). INTERPRETATION Psychiatric and cognitive symptoms appear to increase over the first 2-3 years post-hospitalisation due to both worsening of symptoms already present at 6 months and emergence of new symptoms. New symptoms occur mostly in people with other symptoms already present at 6 months. Early identification and management of symptoms might therefore be an effective strategy to prevent later onset of a complex syndrome. Occupation change is common and associated mainly with objective and subjective cognitive deficits. Interventions to promote cognitive recovery or to prevent cognitive decline are therefore needed to limit the functional and economic impacts of COVID-19. FUNDING National Institute for Health and Care Research Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Wolfson Foundation, MQ Mental Health Research, MRC-UK Research and Innovation, and National Institute for Health and Care Research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maxime Taquet
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK.
| | - Zuzanna Skorniewska
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Thomas De Deyn
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Adam Hampshire
- Department of Neuroimaging, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
| | | | - Peter J Hellyer
- Department of Neuroimaging, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
| | - James D Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Translational Immune Discovery Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK; Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK; Division of Infection and Immunity, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Olivia C Leavy
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Hamish J C McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; Therapy Department, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Ewen M Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Nazir I Lone
- Population Health Sciences, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK; Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Jennifer Quint
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Christopher E Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise V Wain
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachael A Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, Department of Respiratory Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK; NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - John R Geddes
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Paul J Harrison
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK; NIHR Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
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5
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Elneima O, Hurst JR, Echevarria C, Quint JK, Walker S, Siddiqui S, Novotny P, Pfeffer PE, Brown JS, Shankar-Hari M, McAuley HJ, Leavy OC, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Sereno M, Richardson M, Saunders RM, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Greening NJ, Harrison EM, Docherty AB, Lone NI, Chalmers JD, Ho LP, Horsley A, Marks M, Poinasamy K, Raman B, Evans RA, Wain LV, Sheikh A, Brightling CE, De Soyza A, Heaney LG. Long-term impact of COVID-19 hospitalisation among individuals with pre-existing airway diseases in the UK: a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study - PHOSP-COVID. ERJ Open Res 2024; 10:00982-2023. [PMID: 39010888 PMCID: PMC11247371 DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00982-2023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2023] [Accepted: 03/06/2024] [Indexed: 07/17/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The long-term outcomes of COVID-19 hospitalisation in individuals with pre-existing airway diseases are unknown. Methods Adult participants hospitalised for confirmed or clinically suspected COVID-19 and discharged between 5 March 2020 and 31 March 2021 were recruited to the Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 (PHOSP-COVID) study. Participants attended research visits at 5 months and 1 year post discharge. Clinical characteristics, perceived recovery, burden of symptoms and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of individuals with pre-existing airway disease (i.e., asthma, COPD or bronchiectasis) were compared to the non-airways group. Results A total of 615 out of 2697 (22.8%) participants had a history of pre-existing airway diseases (72.0% diagnosed with asthma, 22.9% COPD and 5.1% bronchiectasis). At 1 year, the airways group participants were less likely to feel fully recovered (20.4% versus 33.2%, p<0.001), had higher burden of anxiety (29.1% versus 22.0%, p=0.002), depression (31.2% versus 24.7%, p=0.006), higher percentage of impaired mobility using short physical performance battery ≤10 (57.4% versus 45.2%, p<0.001) and 27% had a new disability (assessed by the Washington Group Short Set on Functioning) versus 16.6%, p=0.014. HRQoL assessed using EQ-5D-5L Utility Index was lower in the airways group (mean±SD 0.64±0.27 versus 0.73±0.25, p<0.001). Burden of breathlessness, fatigue and cough measured using a study-specific tool was higher in the airways group. Conclusion Individuals with pre-existing airway diseases hospitalised due to COVID-19 were less likely to feel fully recovered, had lower physiological performance measurements, more burden of symptoms and reduced HRQoL up to 1 year post-hospital discharge.
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Affiliation(s)
- Omer Elneima
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - John R. Hurst
- UCL Respiratory, Department of Medicine, University College London, London, UK
- Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Carlos Echevarria
- Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
- Translational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
| | | | | | - Salman Siddiqui
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Petr Novotny
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Paul E. Pfeffer
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK
- Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Jeremy S. Brown
- UCL Respiratory, Department of Medicine, University College London, London, UK
| | - Manu Shankar-Hari
- Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Hamish J.C. McAuley
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Olivia C. Leavy
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Marco Sereno
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Matthew Richardson
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Victoria C. Harris
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Linzy Houchen-Wolloff
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil J. Greening
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ewen M. Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Annemarie B. Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Nazir I. Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - James D. Chalmers
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- MRC Translational Discovery Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford BRC, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Division of Infection, Immunity and Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
| | | | - Betty Raman
- NIHR Oxford BRC, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Rachael A. Evans
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise V. Wain
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Centre for Inflammation Research, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Aziz Sheikh
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Chris E. Brightling
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre – Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Joint senior authors
| | - Anthony De Soyza
- Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
- Population Health Sciences Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK
- Joint senior authors
| | - Liam G. Heaney
- Wellcome-Wolfson Institute for Experimental Medicine, Queens University Belfast, Belfast, UK
- Belfast Health and Social Care Trust, Belfast, UK
- Joint senior authors
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