A review of prognostic scores after liver resection in hepatocellular carcinoma: the MSKCC, SLICER and SSCLIP scores

Prognostic Factors for Patients with Proliferative Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Resection

Purpose

There is a scarcity of predictive models currently accessible for prognosticating proliferative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), an integrated class of subtype, characterized by a dismal prognosis. Consequently, this study aimed to develop and validate a novel prognostic model capable of accurately predicting the prognosis of proliferative HCC after curative resection.

Patients and Methods

This retrospective multicenter study included patients with solitary HCC who underwent curative liver resection from August 2014 to December 2020 (n = 816). Patients were stratified into either the proliferative HCC cohort (n = 259) or the nonproliferative HCC cohort (n = 557) based on histological criteria. Disease-free survival (DFS) was compared between the two groups before and after one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM). Of all the proliferative HCC patients, 203 patients were assigned to training cohort, and 56 patients were assigned to validation cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed in training cohort to identify risk factors associated with worse DFS. Thereafter, a predictive model was constructed, subsequently validated in the validation cohort.

Results

The DFS of proliferative HCC was significantly worse than nonproliferative HCC before and after PSM. Meanwhile, multivariate regression analysis revealed that liver cirrhosis (P = 0.032) and larger tumor size (P = 0.000) were independent risk factors of worse DFS. Lastly, the discriminative abilities of the predictive model for 1, 3, 5-year DFS rates, as determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, were 0.702, 0.720, and 0.809 in the training cohort and 0.752, 0.776, and 0.851 in the validation cohort, respectively.

Conclusion

This study developed a predictive model with satisfactory accuracy to predict the worse DFS in proliferative HCCs after liver resection. Moreover, this predictive model may serve as a valuable tool for clinicians to predict postoperative HCC recurrence, thereby enabling them to implement early preventative strategies.

Scirrhous Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Systematic Review and Pooled Data Analysis of Clinical, Radiological, and Histopathological Features

Background

Aberrant subtypes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) account for 20–30% of all HCCs and habitually present a challenge in diagnosis and treatment. Scirrhous hepatocellular carcinoma (s-HCC) is often misdiagnosed as cholangiocarcinoma, fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma, or metastasis.

Methods

Electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Knowledge, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, and WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform) were searched for publications on scirrhous hepatocellular carcinoma without date or language restrictions. Quality assessment was performed using a tool proposed by Murad et al for case reports and series. For observational studies, MINORS quality assessment tool was used. This study was registered at PROSPERO (CRD42020212323).

Results

S-HCC arises in patients with chronic hepatitis (hepatitis B in 60% and hepatitis C in 21%). S-HCC primarily affects men with a mean age of 55.8 years. Serum AFP is elevated above 20IU/mL in 66.7% of the patients. On ultrasound, s-HCC presents as hypoechoic or mosaic pattern lesions (47.6% each) and causes a retraction of the liver surface (70%) when near the capsule. Delayed enhancement of the tumor is evident in 87.0%. On MRI, 65.0% of s-HCCs show a target appearance. Histopathologic pattern is mostly irregular (97.6%). Lesions show a bulging appearance (100%), septae (85.6%) and a central scar (63.5%), and usually lack central necrosis (75%). Immunohistochemistry shows HepPar 1 positivity in 64.6%, CK7 in 40.7%, and EMA in 41.9%. The 5-year overall survival rate estimates 45.2% and 45.5% of the patients experience a recurrence after hepatectomy.

Conclusion

S-HCC is a rare subtype of HCC primarily arising in hepatitis- or cirrhosis-afflicted livers and incorporates atypical radiological and histopathological HCC features. Despite lower recurrence rates, overall survival of patients with s-HCC is poorer than generally for HCC, underlining the need for individualized treatment. Patients with atypical lesions of the liver should be referred to tertiary hospitals for interdisciplinary assessment and treatment.

Factors predicting long-term outcomes of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after primary curative treatment: the role of surgical or nonsurgical methods

Background

We quantified the elusive effects of putative factors on the clinical course of early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after primary surgical or nonsurgical curative treatment.

Methods

Patients with newly diagnosed early HCC who received surgical resection (SR) or percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with or without transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) from January 2003 to December 2016 were enrolled. The cumulative overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were compared. A polytomous logistic regression was used to estimate factors for early and late recurrence. Independent predictors of OS were identified using Cox proportional hazard regression.

Results

One hundred twenty-five patients underwent SR, and 176 patients underwent RFA, of whom 72 were treated with TACE followed by RFA. Neither match analysis based on propensity score nor multiple adjustment regression yielded a significant difference in DFS and OS between the two groups. Multivariate analysis showed high AFP (> 20 ng/mL), and multinodularity significantly increased risk of early recurrence (< 1 year). In contrast, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus and multinodularity were significantly associated with late recurrence (> 1 year). Multivariate Cox regression with recurrent events as time-varying covariates identified older age (HR = 1.55, 95% CI:1.01–2.36), clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) (HR = 1.97, 95% CI:1.26–3.08), early recurrence (HR = 6.62, 95% CI:3.79–11.6) and late recurrence (HR = 3.75, 95% CI:1.99–7.08) as independent risk factors of mortality. A simple risk score showed fair calibration and discrimination in early HCC patients after primary curative treatment. In the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A subgroup, SR significantly improved DFS compared to RFA with or without TACE.

Conclusion

Host and tumor factors rather than the initial treatment modalities determine the outcomes of early HCC after primary curative treatment. Statistical models based on recurrence types can predict early HCC prognosis but further external validation is necessary.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-07948-9.