A nomogram for individualized estimation of survival among patients with brain metastasis

New insights into HER2-low breast cancer brain metastasis: A retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

A considerable number of patients with breast cancer will suffer from brain metastasis in the advanced setting. The HER2 status serves as a significant prognostic factor and the reference of applying treatment for patients with breast cancer brain metastasis (BCBM).

METHODS

Between January 2010 and July 2021, patients with BCBM who had available HER2 status were identified. The patients with HER2 1+ in immunohistochemistry (IHC) or IHC 2+ and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) negative were categorized as HER2-low. Comparisons were conducted between the HER2-low and HER2-zero population. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) after the diagnosis of BCBM. Survival outcomes were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

In this study, we analyzed 71 patients with the HER2-low breast cancer subtype and 64 patients with the HER2-zero subtype. Despite the limited sample size, our findings revealed a significantly better OS for patients with HER2-low cancer compared to their HER2-zero counterparts (26 m vs 20 m, p = 0.0017). This trend was particularly notable in the HR-negative group (26 m vs 13 m, p = 0.0078), whereas no significant difference was observed among the HR-positive patients. Furthermore, Cox regression analysis revealed that the HER2-low status was an independent prognostic factor for better survival in the HR-negative patients (p = 0.046 in multivariate analysis).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients diagnosed with HER2-low BCBM exhibited a more favorable prognosis than those with HER2-zero BCBM, particularly within the HR-negative subgroup. The low expression of HER2 is supposed to be linked to the prolonged survival of BCBM patients.

Propensity score-matched analysis comparing hippocampus-avoidance whole-brain radiotherapy plus simultaneous integrated boost with hippocampus‑avoidance whole-brain radiotherapy alone for multiple brain metastases-a retrospective study in multiple institutions

BACKGROUND

The optimal treatment for multiple brain metastases has been recently controversially discussed.This study was aimed to explore the feasibility of Hippocampus-Avoidance Whole-Brain Radiotherapy plus a simultaneous integrated boost (HA-WBRT + SIB) in patients with multiple brain metastases and assess tumor control in comparison with Hippocampus-Avoidance Whole-Brain Radiotherapy (HA-WBRT) alone for brain metastases.

METHODS

In this study, 63 patients with multiple brain metastases (≥ 4 metastases) had undergone HA-WBRT + SIB between January 2016 and December 2020 in the observation group:HA-WBRT (30 Gy in 12 fractions, the maximum dose of the hippocampus ≤ 14 Gy) plus a simultaneous integrated boost (48 Gy in 12 fractions) for brain metastases.Overall Survival (OS), Median survival,intracranial control (IC = control within the entire brain), intracranial progression-free survival (iPFS) and adverse events were compared with the control group (a HA-WBRT retrospective cohort) by propensity score matching analysis.

RESULTS

After 1:1 propensity score matching,there were 56 patients in each group (the observation group, the control group). OS, median survival and iPFS were significantly longer in the observation group (18.4 vs. 10.9 months, P<0.001), (13.0 vs. 8.0 months, P<0.001), (13.9 vs.7.8 months, P<0.001). In comparison of 1-year-IC rates, the observation group also demonstrated higher than the control group (51.8% vs. 21.4%, P = 0.002), respectively. Seven hippocampal metastases were found in the control group (4/56,7.1%) and the observation group (3/56,5.4%) after HA-WBRT. The death rate of intracranial progression were 23.2% in the observation group and 37.5% in the control group.All adverse events were not significant difference between the two groups (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

HA-WBRT + SIB resulted in better OS,median survival, IC, iPFS, an acceptable risk of radiation response, and a potential way of declining neurocognitive adverse events, which may be a better treatment for patients with multiple brain metastases.

Prognostic assessment in patients operated for brain metastasis from systemic tumors

BACKGROUND

Established models for prognostic assessment in patients with brain metastasis do not stratify for prior surgery. Here we tested the prognostic accuracy of the Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) score model in patients operated for BM and explored further prognostic factors.

METHODS

We included 285 patients operated for brain metastasis at the University Hospital Zurich in the analysis. Information on patient characteristics, imaging, staging, peri- and postoperative complications and survival were extracted from the files and integrated into a multivariate Cox hazard model.

RESULTS

The GPA score showed an association with outcome. We further identified residual tumor after surgery (p = 0.007, hazard ratio (HR) 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-2.3) steroid use (p = 0.021, HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.1-2.6) and number of extracranial metastasis sites (p = 0.009, HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.6) at the time of surgery as independent prognostic factors. A trend was observed for postoperative infection of the subarachnoid space (p = 0.102, HR 3.5, 95% CI 0.8-15.7).

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm the prognostic capacity of the GPA score in a cohort of operated patients with brain metastasis. However, extent of resection and steroid use provide additional aid for the prognostic assessment in these patients.

Predicting leptomeningeal disease spread after resection of brain metastases using machine learning

OBJECTIVE

The incidence of leptomeningeal disease (LMD) has increased as treatments for brain metastases (BMs) have improved and patients with metastatic disease are living longer. Sample sizes of individual studies investigating LMD after surgery for BMs and its risk factors have been limited, ranging from 200 to 400 patients at risk for LMD, which only allows the use of conventional biostatistics. Here, the authors used machine learning techniques to enhance LMD prediction in a cohort of surgically treated BMs.

METHODS

A conditional survival forest, a Cox proportional hazards model, an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) classifier, an extra trees classifier, and logistic regression were trained. A synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was used to train the models and handle the inherent class imbalance. Patients were divided into an 80:20 training and test set. Fivefold cross-validation was used on the training set for hyperparameter optimization. Patients eligible for study inclusion were adults who had consecutively undergone neurosurgical BM treatment, had been admitted to Brigham and Women's Hospital from January 2007 through December 2019, and had a minimum of 1 month of follow-up after neurosurgical treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 1054 surgically treated BM patients were included in this analysis. LMD occurred in 168 patients (15.9%) at a median of 7.05 months after BM diagnosis. The discrimination of LMD occurrence was optimal using an XGboost algorithm (area under the curve = 0.83), and the time to LMD was prognosticated evenly by the random forest algorithm and the Cox proportional hazards model (C-index = 0.76). The most important feature for both LMD classification and regression was the BM proximity to the CSF space, followed by a cerebellar BM location. Lymph node metastasis of the primary tumor at BM diagnosis and a cerebellar BM location were the strongest risk factors for both LMD occurrence and time to LMD.

CONCLUSIONS

The outcomes of LMD patients in the BM population are predictable using SMOTE and machine learning. Lymph node metastasis of the primary tumor at BM diagnosis and a cerebellar BM location were the strongest LMD risk factors.

Efficacy of Stereotactic Radiosurgery as Single or Combined Therapy for Brain Metastasis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

To determine the efficacy of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) in treating patients with brain metastases (BMs), a network meta-analysis (NMA) of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and a direct comparison of cohort studies were performed. Relevant literature regarding the effectiveness of SRS alone and in combination with whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) and surgery was retrieved using systematic database searches up to April 2019. The patterns of overall survival (OS), one-year OS, progression-free survival (PFS), one-year local brain control (LBC), one-year distant brain control (DBC), neurological death (ND), and complication rate were analyzed. A total of 18 RCTs and 37 cohorts were included in the meta-analysis. Our data revealed that SRS carried a better OS than SRS+WBRT (p= 0.048) and WBRT (p= 0.041). Also, SRS+WBRT demonstrated a significantly improved PFS, LBC, and DBC compared to WBRT alone and SRS alone. Finally, SRS achieved the same LBC as high as surgery, but intracranial relapse occurred considerably more frequently in the absence of WBRT. However, there were not any significant differences in ND and toxicities between SRS and other groups. Therefore, SRS alone may be a better alternative since increased patient survival may outweigh the increased risk of brain tumor recurrence associated with it.

The brain-penetrant cell-cycle inhibitor p28 sensitizes brain metastases to DNA-damaging agents

Background

Brain metastases (BMs), the most common tumors of the central nervous system, are life-threatening with a dismal prognosis. The major challenges to developing effective treatments for BMs are the limited abilities of drugs to target tumors and to cross the blood-brain barrier (BBB). We aimed to investigate the efficacy of our therapeutic approach against BMs in mouse models that recapitulate the clinical manifestations of BMs.

Methods

BMs mouse models were constructed by injecting human breast, lung cancer, and melanoma intracardially, which allowed the BBB to remain intact. We investigated the ability of the cell-penetrating peptide p28 to cross the BBB in an in vitro 3D model and in the BMs animal models. The therapeutic effects of p28 in combination with DNA-damaging agents (radiation and temozolomide) on BMs were also evaluated.

Results

p28 crossed the intact BBB more efficiently than the standard chemotherapeutic agent, temozolomide. Upon crossing the BBB, p28 localized preferentially to tumor lesions and enhanced the efficacy of DNA-damaging agents by activating the p53-p21 axis. In the BMs animal models, radiation in combination with p28 significantly reduced the tumor burden of BMs.

Conclusions

The cell-cycle inhibitor p28 can cross the BBB localize to tumor lesions in the brain and enhance the inhibitory effects of DNA-damaging agents on BMs, suggesting the potential therapeutic benefits of this molecule in BMs.

Advances in Brain Metastasis Models

To obtain achievements in addressing the clinical challenges of brain metastasis, we need a clear understanding of its biological mechanisms. Brain metastasis research is challenged by many practical scientific barriers. Depending on the purpose of the study, experimental brain metastasis models in vivo can be used. It is now possible to re-create the architecture and physiology of human organs. Human organoids provide unique opportunities for the study of human disease and complement animal models. The translation of experimental findings to clinical application has several barriers in the development of treatment for brain metastasis. A variety of models have provided significant contributions to the knowledge of brain metastasis pathology and remain pivotal tools for examining novel therapeutic strategies.

Low-Energy X-Ray Intraoperative Radiation Therapy (Lex-IORT) for Resected Brain Metastases: A Single-Institution Experience

BACKGROUND

Resection followed by local radiation therapy (RT) is the standard of care for symptomatic brain metastases. However, the optimal technique, fractionation scheme and dose are still being debated. Lately, low-energy X-ray intraoperative RT (lex-IORT) has been of increasing interest.

METHOD

Eighteen consecutive patients undergoing BM resection followed by immediate lex-IORT with 16-30 Gy applied to the spherical applicator were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic, RT-specific, radiographic and clinical data were reviewed to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of IORT for BM. Descriptive statistics and Kaplan-Meyer analysis were applied.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up time was 10.8 months (range, 0-39 months). The estimated local control (LC), distant brain control (DBC) and overall survival (OS) at 12 months post IORT were 92.9% (95%-CI 79.3-100%), 71.4% (95%-CI 50.2-92.6%) and 58.0% (95%-CI 34.1-81.9%), respectively. Two patients developed radiation necrosis (11.1%) and wound infection (CTCAE grade III); both had additional adjuvant treatment after IORT. For five patients (27.8%), the time to the start or continuation of systemic treatment was ≤15 days and hence shorter than wound healing and adjuvant RT would have required.

CONCLUSION

In accordance with previous series, this study demonstrates the effectiveness and safety of IORT in the management of brain metastases despite the small cohort and the retrospective characteristic of this analysis.

Prognostication of overall survival in patients with brain metastases using diffusion tensor imaging and dynamic susceptibility contrast-enhanced MRI

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic utility of DTI and DSC-PWI perfusion-derived parameters in brain metastases patients.

METHODS

Retrospective analyses of DTI-derived parameters (MD, FA, CL, CP, and CS) and DSC-perfusion PWI-derived rCBVmax from 101 patients diagnosed with brain metastases prior to treatment were performed. Using semi-automated segmentation, DTI metrics and rCBVmax were quantified from enhancing areas of the dominant metastatic lesion. For each metric, patients were classified as short- and long-term survivors based on analysis of the best coefficient for each parameter and percentile to separate the groups. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare mOS between these groups. Multivariate survival analysis was subsequently conducted. A correlative histopathologic analysis was performed in a subcohort (n = 10) with DTI metrics and rCBVmax on opposite ends of the spectrum.

RESULTS

Significant differences in mOS were observed for MDmin (p < 0.05), FA (p < 0.01), CL (p < 0.05), and CP (p < 0.01) and trend toward significance for rCBVmax (p = 0.07) between the two risk groups, in the univariate analysis. On multivariate analysis, the best predictive survival model was comprised of MDmin (p = 0.05), rCBVmax (p < 0.05), RPA (p < 0.0001), and number of lesions (p = 0.07). On histopathology, metastatic tumors showed significant differences in the amount of stroma depending on the combination of DTI metrics and rCBVmax values. Patients with high stromal content demonstrated poorer mOS.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment DTI-derived parameters, notably MDmin and rCBVmax, are promising imaging markers for prognostication of OS in patients with brain metastases. Stromal cellularity may be a contributing factor to these differences.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The correlation of DTI-derived metrics and perfusion MRI with patient outcomes has not been investigated in patients with treatment naïve brain metastasis. DTI and DSC-PWI can aid in therapeutic decision-making by providing additional clinical guidance.

Added survival benefit of whole brain radiotherapy in brain metastatic non-small cell lung cancer: Development and external validation of an individual prediction model

Background

The heterogeneous survival benefit of whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) in brain metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was prospectively evidenced in the Quality of Life after Treatment for Brain Metastases (QUARTZ) trial, resulting in inconsistent guideline recommendations and diverse clinical practices for giving WBRT. The objective of this study was to develop and externally validate an individual prediction model to demonstrate the added survival benefit of WBRT to assist decision making when giving WBRT is undetermined.

Methods

For model development, we collected 479 brain metastatic NSCLC patients unfit for surgery or stereotactic radiotherapy techniques at Siriraj Hospital. Potential predictors were age, sex, performance status, histology, genetic mutation, neurological symptoms, extracranial disease, previous systemic treatment, measurable lesions, further systemic treatment, and WBRT. Cox proportional hazard regression was used for survival analysis. We used multiple imputations to handle missing data and a backward selection method for predictor selection. Bootstrapping was used for internal validation, while model performance was assessed with discrimination (c-index) and calibration prediction accuracy. The final model was transformed into a nomogram and a web-based calculator. An independent cohort from Sawanpracharak Hospital was used for external validation.

Results

In total, 452 patients in the development cohort died. The median survival time was 4.4 (95% CI, 3.8-4.9) months, with 5.1 months for patients who received WBRT and 2.3 months for those treated with optimal supportive care (OSC). The final model contained favorable predictors: female sex, KPS > 70, receiving additional systemic treatment, and WBRT. Having active extracranial disease, experiencing neurological symptoms, and receiving previous systemic treatment were adverse predictors. After optimism correction, the apparent c-index dropped from 0.71 (95% CI, 0.69-0.74) to 0.70 (95% CI, 0.69-0.73). The predicted and observed values agreed well in all risk groups. Our model performed well in the external validation cohort, with a c-index of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.59-0.73) and an acceptable calibration.

Conclusions

This model (https://siriraj-brainmetscore.netlify.app/) predicted the added survival benefit of WBRT for individual brain metastatic NSCLC patients, with satisfactory performance in the development and validation cohorts. The results certify its value in aiding treatment decision-making when the administration of WBRT is unclear.

Survival Prediction After Neurosurgical Resection of Brain Metastases: A Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

Current prognostic models for brain metastases (BMs) have been constructed and validated almost entirely with data from patients receiving up-front radiotherapy, leaving uncertainty about surgical patients.

OBJECTIVE

To build and validate a model predicting 6-month survival after BM resection using different machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

An institutional database of 1062 patients who underwent resection for BM was split into an 80:20 training and testing set. Seven different machine learning algorithms were trained and assessed for performance; an established prognostic model for patients with BM undergoing radiotherapy, the diagnosis-specific graded prognostic assessment, was also evaluated. Model performance was assessed using area under the curve (AUC) and calibration.

RESULTS

The logistic regression showed the best performance with an AUC of 0.71 in the hold-out test set, a calibration slope of 0.76, and a calibration intercept of 0.03. The diagnosis-specific graded prognostic assessment had an AUC of 0.66. Patients were stratified into regular-risk, high-risk and very high-risk groups for death at 6 months; these strata strongly predicted both 6-month and longitudinal overall survival ( P < .0005). The model was implemented into a web application that can be accessed through http://brainmets.morethanml.com .

CONCLUSION

We developed and internally validated a prediction model that accurately predicts 6-month survival after neurosurgical resection for BM and allows for meaningful risk stratification. Future efforts should focus on external validation of our model.

Association of Underweight and Weight Loss With Poor Prognosis and Poor Therapy Effectiveness in Brain Metastases: A Retrospective Study

Background

The prognostic role of body mass index (BMI) in patients with brain metastases is controversial. We aim to investigate the impact of BMI on prognosis and anti-cancer therapy effectiveness in brain metastases.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with brain metastases between Oct 2010 and July 2019 were followed for mortality through April 2021. The prognostic role of BMI on overall survival was assessed by a restricted cubic spline (RCS) using a flexible model to visualize the relationship between the BMI values and hazard ratios of all-cause mortality, followed by a cox regression model. The disparity of survival outcomes in patients receiving anti-cancer therapies or those did not was evaluated according to the classification of BMI.

Results

A total of 2,466 patients were included in the analysis, including 241 in the underweight (BMI &lt; 18.5 kg/m2) group, 1,503 in the normal weight group (BMI 18.5–23.9 kg/m2), and 722 in the overweight (BMI ≥ 24 kg/m2) group. Relative to the normal weight group, underweight patients were associated with poor prognosis (adjusted HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.07–1.46, p = 0.005). However, those in the overweight group showed similar overall survival when compared to the normal-weight group. Patients with weight loss were associated with a higher risk of mortality compared with patients without significant weight loss. In underweight patients, there was an insignificant difference in survival outcomes whether they received anti-cancer therapies or not.

Conclusion

Underweight and significant weight loss were associated with poor prognosis in brain metastases. Meanwhile, anti-cancer therapies did not significantly improve overall survival in patients with underweight. These findings suggest that improving nutrition to maintain body weight is critical for patients with brain metastases.

Combination Laser Interstitial Thermal Therapy Plus Stereotactic Radiotherapy (SRT) Increases Time to Progression for Biopsy-Proven Recurrent Brain Metastases

Background

Improved survival for patients with brain metastases has been accompanied by a rise in tumor recurrence after stereotactic radiotherapy (SRT). Laser interstitial thermal therapy (LITT) has emerged as an effective treatment for SRT failures as an alternative to open resection or repeat SRT. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy of LITT followed by SRT (LITT+SRT) in recurrent brain metastases.

Methods

A multicenter, retrospective study was performed of patients who underwent treatment for biopsy-proven brain metastasis recurrence after SRT at an academic medical center. Patients were stratified by “planned LITT+SRT” versus “LITT alone” versus “repeat SRT alone.” Index lesion progression was determined by modified Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology Brain Metastases (RANO-BM) criteria.

Results

Fifty-five patients met inclusion criteria, with a median follow-up of 7.3 months (range: 1.0–30.5), age of 60 years (range: 37–86), Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) of 80 (range: 60–100), and pre-LITT/biopsy contrast-enhancing volume of 5.7 cc (range: 0.7–19.4). Thirty-eight percent of patients underwent LITT+SRT, 45% LITT alone, and 16% SRT alone. Median time to index lesion progression (29.8, 7.5, and 3.7 months [P = .022]) was significantly improved with LITT+SRT. When controlling for age in a multivariate analysis, patients treated with LITT+SRT remained significantly less likely to have index lesion progression (P = .004).

Conclusions

These data suggest that LITT+SRT is superior to LITT or repeat SRT alone for treatment of biopsy-proven brain metastasis recurrence after SRT failure. Prospective trials are warranted to validate the efficacy of using combination LITT+SRT for treatment of recurrent brain metastases.

A prognostic risk model based on DNA methylation levels of genes and lncRNAs in lung squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Recurrence is a risk factor for the prognosis of lung squamous carcinoma (LUSC). DNA methylation levels of RNAs are also associated with LUSC prognosis. This study aimed to construct a prognostic model with high performance in predicting LUSC prognosis using the methylation levels of lncRNAs and genes.

Methods

The differentially expressed RNAs (DERs) and differentially methylated RNAs (DMRs) between the recurrent and non-recurrent LUSC tissues in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA; training dataset) were identified. Weighted correlation network analysis was performed to identify co-methylation networks. Differentially methylated genes and lncRNAs with opposite expression-methylation levels were used for the screening of prognosis-associated RNAs. The prognostic model was constructed and its performance was validated in the GSE39279 dataset.

Results

A total of 664 DERs and 981 DMRs (including 972 genes) in recurrent LUSC tissues were identified. Three co-methylation modules, including 226 differentially methylated genes, were significantly associated with LUSC. Among prognosis-associated RNAs, 18 DERs/DMRs with opposite methylation-expression levels were included in the methylation prognostic risk model. LUSC patients with high risk scores had a poor prognosis compared with patients who had low risk scores (TCGA: HR = 3.856, 95% CI [2.297-6.471]; GSE39279: HR = 3.040, 95% CI [1.435-6.437]). This model had a high accuracy in predicting the prognosis (AUC = 0.903 and 0.800, respectively), equivalent to the nomogram model inclusive of clinical variables.

Conclusions

Referring to the methylation levels of the 16-RNAs might help to predict the survival outcomes in LUSC.

The Usefulness of Prognostic Tools in Breast Cancer Patients with Brain Metastases

Simple Summary

Due to the variability of an individual’s prognosis and the variety of treatment options available to breast cancer (BC) patients with brain metastases (BM), establishing the proper therapy is challenging. Since 1997, several prognostic tools for BC patients with BM have been proposed with variable precision in determining the overall survival. The majority of prognostic tools include the performance status, the age at BM diagnosis, the number of BM, the primary tumor phenotype/genotype and the extracranial metastases status as an outcome of systemic therapy efficacy. It is necessary to update the prognostic indices used by physicians as advances in local and systemic treatments develop and change the parameters of survival. Free access to prognostic tools online may increase their routine adoption in clinical practice. Clinical trials on BC patients with BM remains a broad field for the application of prognostic tools.

Abstract

Background: Determining the proper therapy is challenging in breast cancer (BC) patients with brain metastases (BM) due to the variability of an individual’s prognosis and the variety of treatment options available. Several prognostic tools for BC patients with BM have been proposed. Our review summarizes the current knowledge on this topic. Methods: We searched PubMed for prognostic tools concerning BC patients with BM, published from January 1997 (since the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group developed) to December 2021. Our criteria were limited to adults with newly diagnosed BM regardless of the presence or absence of any leptomeningeal metastases. Results: 31 prognostic tools were selected: 13 analyzed mixed cohorts with some BC cases and 18 exclusively analyzed BC prognostic tools. The majority of prognostic tools in BC patients with BM included: the performance status, the age at BM diagnosis, the number of BM (rarely the volume), the primary tumor phenotype/genotype and the extracranial metastasis status as a result of systemic therapy. The prognostic tools differed in their specific cut-off values. Conclusion: Prognostic tools have variable precision in determining the survival of BC patients with BM. Advances in local and systemic treatment significantly affect survival, therefore, it is necessary to update the survival indices used depending on the type and period of treatment.

Survival Benefit from Surgical Resection in Lung Cancer Patients with Brain Metastases: a Single-Center, Propensity-Matched Analysis Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Brain metastases (BMs) are the most serious complication of lung cancer, affecting the prognosis of lung cancer patients, and pose distinct clinical challenges. This study was designed to explore the prognostic factors related to lung cancer BM and the value of surgical resection in BMs from lung cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 714 patients with lung cancer BMs screened between January 2010 and January 2018 at the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. A 1:1 propensity score matching analysis was performed to reduce the potential bias between the surgery and the nonsurgery group. In both the raw and the propensity-score matched dataset, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to evaluate risk factors for survival.

RESULTS

After matching, 258 patients (129 surgery, 129 no surgery) were analyzed. Multivariate analyses after propensity score matching demonstrated that surgical resection was an independent protective factor for overall survival (OS), and older age, lower Karnofsky Performance Scale (KPS) score, and extracranial metastases were independent risk factors for worse OS. Patients without extracranial metastases, without synchronous BM and with a single BM had a better prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings showed that surgical resection, age, KPS score, and extracranial metastases are independent prognostic factors for predicting the OS of patients with lung cancer BMs, and surgical resection for brain metastatic lesions could significantly improve the OS. However, only certain groups of patients with BMs can benefit from intracranial lesion resection, such as no extracranial metastases and metachronous metastases.

Automated detection and quantification of brain metastases on clinical MRI data using artificial neural networks

Background

Reliable detection and precise volumetric quantification of brain metastases (BM) on MRI are essential for guiding treatment decisions. Here we evaluate the potential of artificial neural networks (ANN) for automated detection and quantification of BM.

Methods

A consecutive series of 308 patients with BM was used for developing an ANN (with a 4:1 split for training/testing) for automated volumetric assessment of contrast-enhancing tumors (CE) and non-enhancing FLAIR signal abnormality including edema (NEE). An independent consecutive series of 30 patients was used for external testing. Performance was assessed case-wise for CE and NEE and lesion-wise for CE using the case-wise/lesion-wise DICE-coefficient (C/L-DICE), positive predictive value (L-PPV) and sensitivity (C/L-Sensitivity).

Results

The performance of detecting CE lesions on the validation dataset was not significantly affected when evaluating different volumetric thresholds (0.001–0.2 cm3; P = .2028). The median L-DICE and median C-DICE for CE lesions were 0.78 (IQR = 0.6–0.91) and 0.90 (IQR = 0.85–0.94) in the institutional as well as 0.79 (IQR = 0.67–0.82) and 0.84 (IQR = 0.76–0.89) in the external test dataset. The corresponding median L-Sensitivity and median L-PPV were 0.81 (IQR = 0.63–0.92) and 0.79 (IQR = 0.63–0.93) in the institutional test dataset, as compared to 0.85 (IQR = 0.76–0.94) and 0.76 (IQR = 0.68–0.88) in the external test dataset. The median C-DICE for NEE was 0.96 (IQR = 0.92–0.97) in the institutional test dataset as compared to 0.85 (IQR = 0.72–0.91) in the external test dataset.

Conclusion

The developed ANN-based algorithm (publicly available at www.github.com/NeuroAI-HD/HD-BM) allows reliable detection and precise volumetric quantification of CE and NEE compartments in patients with BM.

Genomic and Transcriptomic Profiling of Brain Metastases

Simple Summary

Brain metastases (BM) are the most common brain tumors in adults and are the main cause of cancer-associated death. Omics analysis of BM will allow for a better understanding of metastatic progression, prognosis and therapeutic targeting. In this study, BM samples underwent comprehensive molecular profiling with genomics and transcriptomics. Mutational signatures suggested that most mutations were gained prior to metastasis. A novel copy number event centered around the MCL1 gene was found in 75% of all samples. Transcriptomics revealed that melanoma BM formed a distinct cluster in comparison to other subtypes. Poor survival correlated to self-identified black race and absence of radiation treatment but not molecular profiles. These data identify potential new drivers of brain metastatic progression, implicate that melanoma BM are distinctive and likely responsive to unique therapies, and further investigation of sociodemographic and clinical features are needed in BM cohorts.

Abstract

Brain metastases (BM) are the most common brain tumors in adults occurring in up to 40% of all cancer patients. Multi-omics approaches allow for understanding molecular mechanisms and identification of markers with prognostic significance. In this study, we profile 130 BM using genomics and transcriptomics and correlate molecular characteristics to clinical parameters. The most common tumor origins for BM were lung (40%) followed by melanoma (21%) and breast (15%). Melanoma and lung BMs contained more deleterious mutations than other subtypes (p < 0.001). Mutational signatures suggested that the bulk of the mutations were gained before metastasis. A novel copy number event centered around the MCL1 gene was found in 75% of all samples, suggesting a broader role in promoting metastasis. Unsupervised hierarchical cluster analysis of transcriptional signatures available in 65 samples based on the hallmarks of cancer revealed four distinct clusters. Melanoma samples formed a distinctive cluster in comparison to other BM subtypes. Characteristics of molecular profiles did not correlate with survival. However, patients with self-identified black race or those who did not receive radiation correlated with poor survival. These data identify potential new drivers of brain metastatic progression. Our data also suggest further investigation of sociodemographic and clinical features is needed in BM cohorts.

Preclinical Solid Tumor Models to Study Novel Therapeutics in Brain Metastases

Metastases are the most common malignancy of the adult central nervous system and are becoming an increasingly troubling problem in oncology largely due to the lack of successful therapeutic options. The limited selection of treatments is a result of the currently poor understanding of the biological mechanisms of metastatic development, which in turn is difficult to achieve because of limited preclinical models that can accurately represent the clinical progression of metastasis. Described in this article are in vitro and in vivo model systems that are used to enhance the understanding of metastasis and to identify new therapies for the treatment of brain metastasis. © 2021 Wiley Periodicals LLC.

The Impact of Stereotactic or Whole Brain Radiotherapy on Neurocognitive Functioning in Adult Patients with Brain Metastases: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background &amp; Objectives: Radiotherapy is standard treatment for patients with brain metastases (BMs), although it may lead to radiation-induced cognitive impairment. This review explores the impact of whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) or stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) on cognition.

METHODS

The PRISMA guidelines were used to identify articles on PubMed and EmBase reporting on objective assessment of cognition before, and at least once after radiotherapy, in adult patients with nonresected BMs.

RESULTS

Of the 867 records screened, twenty articles (14 unique studies) were included. WBRT lead to decline in cognitive performance, which stabilized or returned to baseline in patients with survival of at least 9-15 months. For SRS, a decline in cognitive performance was sometimes observed shortly after treatment, but the majority of patients returned to or remained at baseline until a year after treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that after WBRT, patients can experience deterioration over a longer period of time. The cognitive side effects of SRS are transient. Therefore, this review advices to choose SRS as this will result in lowest risks for cognitive adverse side effects, irrespective of predicted survival. In an already cognitively vulnerable patient population with limited survival, this information can be used in communicating risks and aid in making educated decisions.

Treatment of multiple intracranial metastases in radiation oncology: a contemporary review of available technologies

The use of stereotactic radiosurgery to treat multiple intracranial metastases, frequently concurrently, has become increasingly common. The ability to accurately and safely deliver stereotactic radiosurgery treatment to multiple intracranial metastases (MIM) relies heavily on the technology available for targeting, planning, and delivering the dose. A number of platforms are currently marketed for such applications, each with intrinsic capabilities and limitations. These can be broadly categorised as cobalt-based, linac-based, and robotic. This review describes the most common representative technologies for each type along with their advantages and current limitations as they pertain to the treatment of multiple intracranial metastases. Each technology was used to plan five clinical cases selected to represent the clinical breadth of multiple metastases cases. The reviewers discuss the different strengths and limitations attributed to each technology in the case of MIM as well as the impact of disease-specific characteristics (such as total number of intracranial metastases, their size and relative proximity) on plan and treatment quality.

Contrast-Enhanced Black Blood MRI Sequence Is Superior to Conventional T1 Sequence in Automated Detection of Brain Metastases by Convolutional Neural Networks

Background: in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), automated detection of brain metastases with convolutional neural networks (CNN) represents an extraordinary challenge due to small lesions sometimes posing as brain vessels as well as other confounders. Literature reporting high false positive rates when using conventional contrast enhanced (CE) T1 sequences questions their usefulness in clinical routine. CE black blood (BB) sequences may overcome these limitations by suppressing contrast-enhanced structures, thus facilitating lesion detection. This study compared CNN performance in conventional CE T1 and BB sequences and tested for objective improvement of brain lesion detection. Methods: we included a subgroup of 127 consecutive patients, receiving both CE T1 and BB sequences, referred for MRI concerning metastatic spread to the brain. A pretrained CNN was retrained with a customized monolayer classifier using either T1 or BB scans of brain lesions. Results: CE T1 imaging-based training resulted in an internal validation accuracy of 85.5% vs. 92.3% in BB imaging (p < 0.01). In holdout validation analysis, T1 image-based prediction presented poor specificity and sensitivity with an AUC of 0.53 compared to 0.87 in BB-imaging-based prediction. Conclusions: detection of brain lesions with CNN, BB-MRI imaging represents a highly effective input type when compared to conventional CE T1-MRI imaging. Use of BB-MRI can overcome the current limitations for automated brain lesion detection and the objectively excellent performance of our CNN suggests routine usage of BB sequences for radiological analysis.

WBRT for brain metastases from non-small cell lung cancer: for whom and when?-Contemporary point of view

The incidence of brain metastases (BM) is estimated between 20% and 40% of patients with solid cancer. The most common cause of this failure is lung cancer, and in locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) BM represent a common site of relapse in 30-55% cases. The basic criteria of therapeutic decision-making are based on the significant prognostic factors which are components of prognostic scores. The standard approach to treatment of BM from NSCLC include whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) which is used as adjuvant modality after local therapy (surgery or stereotactic radiosurgery) or as primary treatment and it remains the primary modality of treatment for patients with multiple metastases. WBRT is also used in combination with systemic therapy. The aim of presented review of literature is trying to answer which patients with BM from NSCLC should receive WBRT and when it could be omitted. There were presented the aspects of application of WBRT in relation to (I) choice between WBRT or the best supportive care and (II) employment of WBRT in combination with local treatment modalities [surgical resection or stereotactic radio-surgery (SRS)] and/or with systemic therapy. According to data from literature we concluded that the most important factor that needs to be considered when assessing the suitability of a patient for WBRT is the patient's prognosis based on the Lung-molGPA score. WBRT should be applied in treatment of multiple BM from lung cancer in patients with favourable prognosis and in in patients with presence of EML4-ALK translocation before therapy with crizotinib. Whereas WBRT could be omitted in patients with poor prognosis and after primary SRS.

NCCBM, a Nomogram Prognostic Model in Breast Cancer Patients With Brain Metastasis

Purpose: Nomogram prognostic models could greatly facilitate risk stratification and treatment strategies for cancer patients. We developed and validated a new nomogram prognostic model, named NCCBM, for breast cancer patients with brain metastasis (BCBM) using a large BCBM cohort from the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) database. Patients and Methods: Clinical data for 975 patients diagnosed from 2011 to 2014 were used to develop the nomogram prognostic model. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were determined by concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve. The results were validated using an independent cohort of 542 BCBM patients diagnosed from 2014 to 2015. Results: The following variables were selected in the final prognostic model: age, race, surgery, radiation therapy, chemotherapy, laterality, grade, molecular subtype, and extracranial metastatic sites. The C-index for the model described here was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0.71). The calibration curve for probability of survival showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation. The model was validated in an independent validation cohort with a C-index of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.68 to 0.73). Conclusion: We developed and validated a nomogram prognostic model for BCBM patients, and the proposed nomogram resulted in good performance.

A new model outperforming RPA and DS-GPA scores for individualized survival prediction of patients following whole brain irradiation for brain metastasis

PURPOSE

Survival after whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT) in patients with multiple brain metastases (BM) is currently predicted by group-based scoring systems with limited usability for decision. We aimed to develop a more relevant individualized predictive model than Radiation Therapy Oncology Group - Recursive Partitioning Analysis (RTOG-RPA) and Diagnosis - Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA) for patients with limited life-expectancy.

METHODS

Based on a Discovery cohort of patients undergoing WBRT, multivariable piecewise Cox regression models with time cut-offs at 1 and 3 months were developed to predict overall survival (OS). A final parsimonious model was defined, and an external validation cohort was used to assess its discrimination and calibration at one, six, and 12 months.

RESULTS

In the 173-patient Discovery cohort, the majority of patients had primary lung cancer (56%), presence of extracranial disease (ECD) (75%), Eastern Cooperative Oncolgy Group - Performance Status (ECOG-PS) score 1 (41%) and no intracranial hypertension (ICH) (74%). Most patients were classified as the RPA class II (48%). The final piecewise Cox model was based on primary site, age, ECD, ECOG-PS and ICH. An external validation of the model was carried out using a cohort of 79 patients. Individualized survival estimates obtained with this model outperformed the RPA and DS-GPA scores for overall survival prediction at 1-month, 6-months and 12- months in both Discovery and Validation cohorts. A R/Shiny web application was developed to obtain individualized predictions for new patients, providing an easy-to-use tool for clinicians and researchers.

CONCLUSION

Our model provides individualized estimates of survival for poor prognosis patients undergoing WBRT, outperforming actual scoring systems.

Edema-mass Ratio Based On Magnetic Resonance Imaging As A Preoperative Diagnostic Factor For Posterior Fossa Metastasis

BACKGROUND

Peritumoral edema of primary brain tumors is an important cause of morbidity and mortality. The number of studies currently available on the prognostic role of peritumoral brain edema in the posterior fossa is extremely limited.

OBJECTIVE

Based on the known importance of magnetic resonance imaging in diagnosing supratentorial metastases, this study aimed to investigate the effects of peritumoral edema on survival of patients with posterior fossa metastases and the preoperative diagnostic value of MRI.

METHODS

Edema and mass volumes of 49 patients with posterior fossa metastasis, who underwent surgery during 2012-2016, were measured using magnetic resonance imaging. The edema/mass indices were retrospectively calculated and interpreted by evaluating the demographic, clinical, and survival data.

RESULTS

The study consisted of 32 (65.3%) male and 17 (34.7%) female participants, with the mean age ± standard deviation of 47.25±29.25 (17-81) years. Among the 49 patients with posterior fossa metastases, 34 (69.4%) had carcinoma, while 15 (30.6%) had non-carcinoma metastases. The edema/mass indices of patients with carcinoma and non-carcinoma metastases were found to be 14.55±9.64 and 1.34±1.08, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (p<0.001). The mean survival of patients with carcinoma and non-carcinoma metastases was found to be 642±11.52 days and 726±9.32 days, respectively; however, this difference was not statistically significant (p=0.787).

CONCLUSION

The edema/mass ratio was found to be a significant diagnostic factor for the prediction of posterior fossa metastases. Further detailed studies are warranted to investigate the effect of edema/mass ratio on survival rate.

Computer Tomography Radiomics-Based Nomogram in the Survival Prediction for Brain Metastases From Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Underwent Whole Brain Radiotherapy

Prognostic parameters and models were believed to be helpful in improving the treatment outcome for patients with brain metastasis (BM). The purpose of this study was to investigate the feasibility of computer tomography (CT) radiomics based nomogram to predict the survival of patients with BM from non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT). A total of 195 patients with BM from NSCLC who underwent WBRT from January 2012 to December 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Radiomics features were extracted and selected from pretherapeutic CT images with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. A nomogram was developed and evaluated by integrating radiomics features and clinical factors to predict the survival of individual patient. Five radiomics features were screened out from 105 radiomics features according to the LASSO Cox regression. According to the optimal cutoff value of radiomics score (Rad-score), patients were stratified into low-risk (Rad-score <= −0.14) and high-risk (Rad-score > −0.14) groups. Multivariable analysis indicated that sex, karnofsky performance score (KPS) and Rad-score were independent predictors for overall survival (OS). The concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram in the training cohort and validation cohort was 0.726 and 0.660, respectively. An area under curve (AUC) of 0.786 and 0.788 was achieved for the short-term and long-term survival prediction, respectively. In conclusion, the nomogram based on radiomics features from CT images and clinical factors was feasible to predict the OS of BM patients from NSCLC who underwent WBRT.

A nomogram for predicting brain metastases of EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma patients and estimating the efficacy of therapeutic strategies

Background

To establish a nomogram for predicting the outcome of EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma patients with brain metastases (BMs) and to estimate the efficacy of different therapeutic strategies.

Methods

The data of 129 cases with BM from the period between January 1st 2011 and December 31st 2014 were collected, and all of the cases were pathologically confirmed to be lung adenocarcinoma, stages I–IV and with 19 and/or 21 exon mutations of EGFR. Cox regression analysis and log-rank test were used for data analysis. The nomogram was used to establish the progression models.

Results

In the univariate analysis, the stage, ECOG score, interval between the diagnosis of lung cancer and BM, the number of brain metastatic lesions, and the diameter of the maximal brain metastatic lesion correlated well with overall survival (OS). In multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, the ECOG score, interval between the diagnosis of lung cancer and BM, and the number of brain metastatic lesions correlated well with the OS. Patients were divided into the poor prognostic group and the good prognostic group based on the nomogram prognostic model score. Subgroup analysis showed that in the poor prognostic group, the OS of patients who received radiotherapy was better than that of the patients who did not receive radiotherapy as the first-line treatment (30 vs. 19 months, P<0.05). The OS was 30 months in the TKI subgroup and 21 months in the no TKI subgroup, but no statistical difference was found (P>0.05). Patients in the good prognostic group who received radiotherapy had a better 3-y OS rate than the patients who received no radiotherapy as the first-line treatment (91.2% vs. 58.1%, P<0.05). The 3-y OS rate was 87.6% in the TKI subgroup and 67.8% in the no TKI group (P<0.05).

Conclusions

We established an effective nomogram model to predict the progression of EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma patients with BM and the therapeutic effect of the individual treatments. Radiotherapy was beneficial for the patients of both the poor and good prognostic groups, but TKI may be better suited for treating the patients with good prognosis.

Laser Ablation of Abnormal Neurological Tissue Using Robotic NeuroBlate System (LAANTERN): 12-Month Outcomes and Quality of Life After Brain Tumor Ablation

BACKGROUND

Laser Ablation of Abnormal Neurological Tissue using Robotic NeuroBlate System (LAANTERN) is an ongoing multicenter prospective NeuroBlate (Monteris Medical) LITT (laser interstitial thermal therapy) registry collecting real-world outcomes and quality-of-life (QoL) data.

OBJECTIVE

To compare 12-mo outcomes from all subjects undergoing LITT for intracranial tumors/neoplasms.

METHODS

Demographics, intraprocedural data, adverse events, QoL, hospitalizations, health economics, and survival data are collected; standard data management and monitoring occur.

RESULTS

A total of 14 centers enrolled 223 subjects; the median follow-up was 223 d. There were 119 (53.4%) females and 104 (46.6%) males. The median age was 54.3 yr (range 3-86) and 72.6% had at least 1 baseline comorbidity. The median baseline Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) was 90. Of the ablated tumors, 131 were primary and 92 were metastatic. Most patients with primary tumors had high-grade gliomas (80.9%). Patients with metastatic cancer had recurrence (50.6%) or radiation necrosis (40%). The median postprocedure hospital stay was 33.4 h (12.7-733.4). The 1-yr estimated survival rate was 73%, and this was not impacted by disease etiology. Patient-reported QoL as assessed by the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Brain was stabilized postprocedure. KPS declined by an average of 5.7 to 10.5 points postprocedure; however, 50.5% had stabilized/improved KPS at 6 mo. There were no significant differences in KPS or QoL between patients with metastatic vs primary tumors.

CONCLUSION

Results from the ongoing LAANTERN registry demonstrate that LITT stabilizes and improves QoL from baseline levels in a malignant brain tumor patient population with high rates of comorbidities. Overall survival was better than anticipated for a real-world registry and comparative to published literature.

[18F]-Fluciclovine PET discrimination of recurrent intracranial metastatic disease from radiation necrosis

Background

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is often the primary treatment modality for patients with intracranial metastatic disease. Despite advances in magnetic resonance imaging, including use of perfusion and diffusion sequences and molecular imaging, distinguishing radiation necrosis from progressive tumor remains a diagnostic and clinical challenge. We investigated the sensitivity and specificity of ¹⁸F-fluciclovine PET to accurately distinguish radiation necrosis from recurrent intracranial metastatic disease in patients who had previously undergone SRS.

Methods

Fluciclovine PET imaging was performed in 8 patients with a total of 15 lesions that had previously undergone SRS and had subsequent MRI and clinical features suspicious for recurrent disease. The SUVmax of each lesion and the contralateral normal brain parenchyma were summated and evaluated at four different time points (5 min, 10 min, 30 min, and 55 min). Lesions were characterized as either recurrent disease (11 of 15 lesions) or radiation necrosis (4 of 15 lesions) and confirmed with histopathological correlation (7 lesions) or through serial MRI studies (8 lesions).

Results

Time activity curve analysis found statistically greater radiotracer accumulation for all lesions, including radiation necrosis, when compared to contralateral normal brain. While the mean and median SUV_max for recurrent disease were statistically greater than those of radiation necrosis at all time points, the difference was more significant at the earlier time points (p = 0.004 at 5 min–0.025 at 55 min). Using a SUV_max threshold of ≥ 1.3, fluciclovine PET demonstrated a 100% accuracy in distinguishing recurrent disease from radiation necrosis up to 30 min after injection and an accuracy of 87% (sensitivity = 0.91, specificity = 0.75) at the last time point of 55 min. However, tumor-to-background ratios (TBR_max) were not significantly different between recurrent disease and radiation necrosis at any time point due to variable levels of fluciclovine uptake in the background brain parenchyma.

Conclusions

Fluciclovine PET may play an important role in distinguishing active intracranial metastatic lesions from radiation necrosis in patients previously treated with SRS but needs to be validated in larger studies.

Type and timing of systemic therapy use predict overall survival for patients with brain metastases treated with radiation therapy

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to investigate whether systemic therapy (ST) use surrounding radiation therapy (RT) predicts overall survival (OS) after RT for patients with brain metastases (BMs).

METHODS

Provincial RT and pharmacy databases were used to review all adult patients in British Columbia, Canada, who received a first course of RT for BMs between 2012 and 2016 (n = 3095). Multivariate analysis on a randomly selected subset was used to develop an OS nomogram.

RESULTS

In comparison to the 2096 non-recipients of ST after RT, the median OS of the 999 recipients of ST after RT was 5.0 (95% Confidence interval (CI) 4.1-6.0) months longer (p < 0.0001). Some types of ST after RT were independently predictive of OS: targeted therapy (hazard ratio (HR) 0.42, CI 0.37-0.48), hormone therapy (HR 0.45, CI 0.36-0.55), cytotoxic chemotherapy (HR 0.71, CI 0.64-0.79), and immunotherapy (HR 0.64, CI 0.37-1.06). Patients who discontinued ST after RT had 0.9 (CI 0.3-1.4) months shorter median OS than patients who received no ST before or after RT (p < 0.0001). In the multivariate analysis of the 220-patient subset, established prognostic variables (extracranial disease, performance status, age, cancer diagnosis, and number of BMs), and the novel variables "ST before RT" and "Type of ST after RT" independently predicted OS. The nomogram predicted 6- and 12-month OS probability and median OS (bootstrap-corrected Harrell's Concordance Index = 0.70).

CONCLUSIONS

The type and timing of ST use surrounding RT predict OS for patients with BMs.

Genesis of Quality Measurements to Improve the Care Delivered to Patients With Brain Metastases

PURPOSE

High-value and high-quality health care requires outcome measurements to inform treatment decisions, but, to our knowledge, no standardized measurements exist to evaluate brain metastases (BMs) care. We propose a set of measurements and report on their implementation in the care of patients with BMs.

METHODS

On the basis of a stakeholders' needs assessment and review of the literature, we identified outcome and process measurements to assess the care of patients with BMs according to treatment modality. Retrospectively, we applied these indicators of care to all patients diagnosed and treated at our institution over 2 years.

RESULTS

We ascertained 5 outcome and 6 process measurements of relevance in the care of BMs. When applied to 209 patients (89.7%) who received cancer treatment, 77% were alive > 90 days after diagnosis. The proportion alive at 90 days after surgery, whole-brain radiation therapy (WBRT), and stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) was 82%, 59%, and 81%, respectively. Other performance measurements included 30-day postoperative readmission rate (6%), SRS within 30 days of surgery (79%), use of memantine with WBRT (41%), advance directives within 6 months of diagnosis (53%), and palliative care consultation for patients with poor prognosis or receiving WBRT (45%). Measurements for the 24 patients (10.3%) receiving best supportive care were advance directives documentation (67%) and referral to palliative or hospice care (83%).

CONCLUSION

We propose a set of measurements to apprise quality improvement efforts, inform treatment decision-making, and to use in evaluation of the performance of interdisciplinary BMs programs. Their refinement can potentially enhance the quality and value of care delivered to patients with BMs.

Medical management of brain metastases

The development of brain metastases occurs in 10–20% of all patients with cancer. Brain metastases portend poor survival and contribute to increased cancer mortality and morbidity. Despite multimodal treatment options, which include surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy, 5-year survival remains low. Besides, our current treatment modalities can have significant neurological comorbidities, which result in neurocognitive decline and a decrease in a patient’s quality of life. However, innovations in technology, improved understanding of tumor biology, and new therapeutic options have led to improved patient care. Novel approaches in radiotherapy are minimizing the neurocognitive decline while providing the same therapeutic benefit. In addition, advances in targeted therapies and immune checkpoint inhibitors are redefining the management of lung and melanoma brain metastases. Similar approaches to brain metastases from other primary tumors promise to lead to new and effective therapies. We are beginning to understand the appropriate combination of these novel approaches with our traditional treatment options. As advances in basic and translational science and innovative technologies enter clinical practice, the prognosis of patients with brain metastases will continue to improve.

Establishment of a Prognostic Nomogram for Lung Adenocarcinoma with Brain Metastases

BACKGROUND

The brain is one of the common metastatic sites of lung adenocarcinoma, and the prognosis associated with brain metastasis is not good. We performed a large data analyses to determine the prognostic factors of lung adenocarcinoma with brain metastases (LABM) and to develop a nomogram to predict its prognosis.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of 2879 patients with LABM from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. An X-tile analysis provided the optimal age cutoff point. We used univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to determine the independent prognostic factors of LABM. Finally, we established and validated a nomogram to predict the prognosis of LABM.

RESULTS

A total of 2879 patients with brain metastases were included in this study. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, race, sex, T stage, N stage, surgery, chemotherapy, bone metastasis, liver metastasis, and marital status were independent prognostic factors. We constructed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of LABM with the RMS package. Through calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic curves, and decision curve analyses, we found that the nomogram, which predicted the prognosis of LABM, performed well internally.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram is expected to be a precise and personalized tool for predicting the prognosis of patients with LABM. This nomogram will help clinicians develop more rational and effective treatment strategies.

Management evaluation of metastasis in the brain (MEMBRAIN)-a United Kingdom and Ireland prospective, multicenter observational study

BACKGROUND

In recent years an increasing number of patients with cerebral metastasis (CM) have been referred to the neuro-oncology multidisciplinary team (NMDT). Our aim was to obtain a national picture of CM referrals to assess referral volume and quality and factors affecting NMDT decision making.

METHODS

A prospective multicenter cohort study including all adult patients referred to NMDT with 1 or more CM was conducted. Data were collected in neurosurgical units from November 2017 to February 2018. Demographics, primary disease, KPS, imaging, and treatment recommendation were entered into an online database.

RESULTS

A total of 1048 patients were analyzed from 24 neurosurgical units. Median age was 65 years (range, 21-93 years) with a median number of 3 referrals (range, 1-17 referrals) per NMDT. The most common primary malignancies were lung (36.5%, n = 383), breast (18.4%, n = 193), and melanoma (12.0%, n = 126). A total of 51.6% (n = 541) of the referrals were for a solitary metastasis and resulted in specialist intervention being offered in 67.5% (n = 365) of cases. A total of 38.2% (n = 186) of patients being referred with multiple CMs were offered specialist treatment. NMDT decision making was associated with number of CMs, age, KPS, primary disease status, and extent of extracranial disease (univariate logistic regression, P < .001) as well as sentinel location and tumor histology (P < .05). A delay in reaching an NMDT decision was identified in 18.6% (n = 195) of cases.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates a changing landscape of metastasis management in the United Kingdom and Ireland, including a trend away from adjuvant whole-brain radiotherapy and specialist intervention being offered to a significant proportion of patients with multiple CMs. Poor quality or incomplete referrals cause delay in NMDT decision making.

The neurocognitive function change criteria after whole-brain radiation therapy for brain metastasis, in reference to health-related quality of life changes: a prospective observation study

BACKGROUND

We sought to construct the optimal neurocognitive function (NCF) change criteria sensitive to health-related quality of life (HR-QOL) in patients who have undergone whole-brain radiation therapy (WBRT) for brain metastasis.

METHODS

We categorized the patients by the changes of NCF into groups of improvement versus deterioration if at least one domain showed changes that exceeded the cut-off while other domains remained stable. The remaining patients were categorized as stable, and the patients who showed both significant improvement and deterioration were categorized as 'both.' We examined the clinical meaning of NCF changes using the cut-off values 1.0, 1.5, and 2.0 SD based on the percentage of patients whose HR-QOL changes were ≥ 10 points.

RESULTS

Baseline, 4-month and 8-month data were available in 78, 41 (compliance; 85%), and 29 (81%) patients, respectively. At 4 months, improvement/stable/deterioration/both was seen in 15%/12%/41%/32% of the patients when 1.0 SD was used; 19%/22%/37%/22% with 1.5 SD, and 17%/37%/37%/9% with 2.0 SD. The HR-QOL scores on the QLQ-C30 functional scale were significantly worse in the deterioration group versus the others with 1.0 SD (p = 0.013) and 1.5 SD (p = 0.015). With 1.5 SD, the HR-QOL scores on the QLQ-BN20 was significantly better in the improvement group versus the others (p = 0.033). However, when 'both' was included in 'improvement' or 'deterioration,' no significant difference in HR-QOL was detected.

CONCLUSIONS

The NCF cut-off of 1.5 SD and the exclusion of 'both' patients from the 'deterioration' and 'improvement' groups best reflects HR-QOL changes.

Neoadjuvant stereotactic radiosurgery for intracerebral metastases of solid tumors (NepoMUC): a phase I dose escalation trial

Background

More than 25% of patients with solid cancers develop intracerebral metastases. Aside of surgery, radiation therapy (RT) is a mainstay in the treatment of intracerebral metastases. Postoperative fractionated stereotactic RT (FSRT) to the resection cavity of intracerebral metastases is a treatment of choice to reduce the risk of local recurrence. However, FSRT has to be delayed until a sufficient wound healing is attained; hence systemic therapy might be postponed. Neoadjuvant stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) might offer advantages over adjuvant FSRT in terms of better target delineation and an earlier start of systemic chemotherapy. Here, we conducted a study to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of neoadjuvant SRS for intracerebral metastases.

Methods

This is a single-center, phase I dose escalation study on neoadjuvant SRS for intracerebral metastases that will be conducted at the Klinikum rechts der Isar Hospital, Technical University of Munich. The rule-based traditional 3 + 3 design for this trial with 3 dose levels and 4 different cohorts depending on lesion size will be applied. The primary endpoint is the MTD for which no dose-limiting toxicities (DLT) occur. The adverse events of each participant will be evaluated according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) version 5.0 continuously during the study until the first follow-up visit (4–6 weeks after surgery). Secondary endpoints include local control rate, survival, immunological tumor characteristics, quality of life (QoL), CTCAE grade of late clinical, neurological, and neurocognitive toxicities. In addition to the intracerebral metastasis which is treated with neoadjuvant SRS and resection up to four additional intracerebral metastases can be treated with definitive SRS. Depending on the occurrence of DLT up to 72 patients will be enrolled. The recruitment phase will last for 24 months.

Discussion

Neoadjuvant SRS for intracerebral metastases offers potential advantages over postoperative SRS to the resection cavity, such as better target volume definition with subsequent higher efficiency of eliminating tumor cells, and lower damage to surrounding healthy tissue, and much-needed systemic chemotherapy could be initiated more rapidly.

Trial registration The local ethical review committee of Technical University of Munich (199/18S) approved this study on September 05, 2018. This trial was registered on German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS00016613; https://www.drks.de/drks_web/navigate.do?navigationId=trial.HTML&TRIAL_ID=DRKS00016613) on January 29, 2019.

Underweight and weight loss are predictors of poor outcome in patients with brain metastasis

PURPOSE

Overweight may be associated with favorable outcome whereas tumor cachexia may be associated with worse outcome in patients with metastatic cancer. Here we evaluate the association of abnormal body mass index and weight change with outcome in patients with brain metastasis.

METHODS

Patients with a diagnosis of brain metastasis treated at the University Hospital Zurich (n = 703) were assessed for associations of body mass index, weight change, comorbidities and survival.

RESULTS

Compared with patients with normal body mass index of 18.5-24.9 kg/m² and a median overall survival of 9 months (95% confidence interval 7.5-10.5), overall survival was inferior in patients with body mass index < 18.5 kg/m² (overall survival 6 months, 95% confidence interval 1.6-10.3, p = 0.04), but superior in patients with body mass index > 25 kg/m² (overall survival 13 months, 95% confidence interval 11.0-15.0; p = 0.033). We report a median relative weight loss of 5% within the first 6 months of diagnosis of brain metastasis (95% confidence interval 3.3-6.5), and reduction exceeding the median was associated with an unfavorable outcome (weight loss < 5% 22.0 months, 95% confidence interval 19.2-24.8; weight loss > 5% 14.0 months, 95% confidence interval 11.9-16.).

CONCLUSION

High body mass index is associated with better, and underweight with worse outcome in patients with brain metastasis. Conversely, weight loss above median may predict poor outcome. Future studies need to address whether vigorous treatment of tumor cachexia, e.g. by specific nutrition management, might improve outcome of patients with brain metastasis. In contrast, regimens associated with weight loss such as ketogenic diet may be detrimental.

Current Predictive Indices and Nomograms To Enable Personalization of Radiation Therapy for Patients With Secondary Malignant Neoplasms of the Central Nervous System: A Review

The proper treatment of brain metastases continues to be a challenge for oncologists given the variability of individual patients' prognoses and the variety of treatment options available to address brain metasteses. There have been efforts since the 1990s to develop prognostic indices and nomograms to help clinicians determine the best approach for individuals with secondary malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system. A literature search was performed to identify the existing prognostic tools published between January 1995 and January 2017. While there have been several reported indices, many are limited by the number of patients analyzed or lack of generalizability. The most robust prognostic tools available are the Disease Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment and the Barnholtz-Sloan nomogram, both of which have online tools available to help clinicians. While these tools are helpful in stratifying different patients' outcomes, they are limited by their retrospective nature and likely underestimate survival in the modern era, where there is a rapidly growing arsenal of systemic agents available to patients with metastatic disease.

Nomogram-Predicted Survival of Breast Cancer Brain Metastasis: a SEER-Based Population Study

OBJECTIVE

The prognosis of patients with breast cancer brain metastasis (BCBM) was dismal and the prognoses varied according to different prognostic factors. In this study, we used the SEER (Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results) database to identify prognostic factors with the BCBMs.

METHODS

We identified and built a robust prognostic model and developed reliable nomograms to estimate the individualized overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) of patients with BCBM. A total of 789 patients with newly diagnosed BCBM were identified from the SEER database and randomly divided into training (n = 554) and testing (n = 235) cohorts. The log-rank tests and the Cox proportional hazards model were applied to evaluate the prognostic effects of multiple clinicopathologic variables on the survival of training cohorts. Significant prognostic factors were combined to build the nomograms that were evaluated using the concordance index and calibration plots for internal and external validations.

RESULTS

Two nomograms shared the common prognostic indicators including age, tumor subtype, chemotherapy, surgery, number of metastatic sites except the brain, and median household income. In the training cohort, the Harrell concordance index for the constructed nomogram to predict OS and BCSS was 0.668 and 0.676, respectively. The calibration plots were consistent between nomogram-predicted survival probability and actual survival probability. These results were reproducible when nomograms were applied to the testing cohort for external validation.

CONCLUSIONS

Nomograms that predicted 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year OS and BCSS for patients with newly diagnosed BCBM with satisfactory performance were constructed to help physicians in evaluating the high risk of mortality in patients.

Multidisciplinary expert opinion on the treatment consensus for patients with EGFR mutated NSCLC with brain metastases

The presence of an epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation is associated with higher incidence of brain metastases in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); however, patients with synchronous brain metastases at diagnosis have generally been excluded from clinical trials. As there is limited clinical evidence for managing this patient population, a multidisciplinary group of Spanish medical and radiation oncologists, and neuro-oncologist with expertise treating brain metastases in lung cancer patients met with the aim of reaching and developing an expert opinion consensus on the management of patients with EGFR mutated NSCLC with brain metastases. This consensus contains 26 recommendations and 20 conclusion statements across 21 questions in 7 areas, as well as a first-line treatment algorithm.

Whole Brain Radiation Therapy Plus Stereotactic Radiosurgery in the Treatment of Brain Metastases Leading to Improved Survival in Patients With Favorable Prognostic Factors

Background: Significantly better local control is achieved with combination of whole brain radiotherapy and stereotactic radiosurgery in the treatment of multiple brain metastases. However, no survival benefit was reported from this advantage in local control. Objective: The objective of this study was to review the available evidence whether better local control achieved with whole brain radiotherapy plus stereotactic radiosurgery leads to any benefit in survival in patients with favorable prognostic factors. Methods and Materials: Electronic databases (PubMed, MEDLINE, and Cochrane Library) were searched until Oct 2018 to identify studies published in English that compared efficacy of whole brain radiotherapy plus stereotactic radiosurgery vs. whole brain radiotherapy alone or stereotactic radiosurgery alone in patients with brain metastases stratified on prognostic indices (Recursive Partitioning Analysis and Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment). Primary outcome was survival. Results: Five studies (n = 2728) were identified, 3 secondary analyses of the previously published RCTs and 2 retrospective studies, meeting the inclusion criteria. whole brain radiotherapy plus stereotactic radiosurgery showed improved survival in brain metastatic cancer patients with better prognostic factors particularly when compared to whole brain radiotherapy only. Its survival advantage over stereotactic radiosurgery only was limited to non-small cell lung cancer primary tumor histology. Conclusions: Whole brain radiotherapy in combination with stereotactic radiosurgery may improve survival and could be recommended selectively in patients with favorable prognostic factors particularly in comparison to whole brain radiotherapy only.

Efficacy and Tolerance of Post-operative Hypo-Fractionated Stereotactic Radiotherapy in a Large Series of Patients With Brain Metastases

Purpose: The aim of this study was to assess, in a large series, the efficacy and tolerance of post-operative adjuvant hypofractionated stereotactic radiation therapy (HFSRT) for brain metastases (BMs).

Materials and Methods: Between July 2012 and January 2017, 160 patients from 2 centers were operated for BM and treated by HFSRT. Patients had between 1 and 3 BMs, no brainstem lesions or carcinomatous meningitis. The primary endpoint was local control. Secondary endpoints were distant brain control, overall survival (OS) and tolerance to HFSRT.

Results: 73 patients (46%) presented with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), 23 (14%) had melanoma and 21 (13%) breast cancer. Median age was 58 years (range, 22–83 years). BMs were synchronous in 50% of the cases. The most frequent prescription regimens were 24 Gy in 3 fractions (n = 52, 33%) and 30 Gy in 5 fractions (n = 37, 23%). Local control rates at 1 and 2 years were 88% [95%CI, 81–93%] and 81% [95%CI, 70–88%], respectively. Distant control rate at 1 year was 48% [95%CI, 81–93%]. In multivariate analysis, primary NSCLC was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of death compared to other primary sites (HR = 0.57, p = 0.007), the number of extra-cerebral metastatic sites (HR = 1.26, p = 0.003) and planning target volumes (HR = 1.15, p = 0.012) were associated with a lower OS. There was no prognostic factor of time to local progression. Median OS was 15.2 months [95%CI, 12.0–17.9 months] and the OS rate at 1 year was 58% [95% CI, 50–65%]. Salvage radiotherapy was administered to 72 patients (45%), of which 49 received new HFSRT. Ten (7%) patients presented late grade 2 and 4 (3%) patients late grade 3 toxicities. Thirteen (8.9%) patients developed radiation necrosis.

Conclusions: This large multicenter retrospective study shows that HFSRT allows for good local control of metastasectomy tumor beds and that this technique is well-tolerated by patients.

Association of neurologic manifestations and CEA levels with the diagnosis of brain metastases in lung cancer patients

PURPOSE

Lung cancer (LC) is the most common source of brain metastases (BM). Because of the difficulty in predicting LC patients who will develop BM, we aimed to identify the clinical and serologic markers that could predict the presence of BM in LC patients.

METHODS

We analyzed a cohort of LC patients sent for neurooncological consultation for any neurologic symptom at a cancer center from June 2013 to July 2017.

INCLUSION CRITERIA

histologically confirmed LC, age ≥ 18 years and complete clinical records.

EXCLUSION CRITERIA

BM diagnosis before our consultation and absence of MRI. Oncologic history, clinical symptoms and comorbidities were analyzed.

RESULTS

From 199 patients, most (70%) had > 1 neurological symptom. The most common was headache (n = 46, 21%), followed by seizures (17%), altered mental status (16%) and focal motor weakness (13%). BM was found in 74% of the patients during follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed factors associated with a higher frequency of BM: age < 65 years [OR 3.15, 95% CI 1.3-7.5], headache (OR 3.8, 95% CI 1.2-11.8), seizures (OR 3.2, 95% CI 1.1-9.3) and CEA ≥ 15 ng/mL (OR 5.5, 95% CI 2.2-13.8). Focal sensory deficit was associated with a lower frequency of BM (OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.06-0.92). The presence of certain clinical neurologic symptoms, together with CEA level, was associated with a higher risk of BM in LC patients.

CONCLUSION

The clinical manifestations of patients with LC should not be overlooked because some may have a substantial correlation with BM.

Risk factors to identify patients who may not benefit from whole brain irradiation for brain metastases - a single institution analysis

BACKGROUND

Radiotherapy plays a major role in the management of brain metastases. This study aimed to identify the subset of patients with multiple brain metastases who may not benefit from whole brain irradiation (WBI) due to a short survival time regardless of treatment.

METHODS

We analyzed a total of 339 patient records with brain metastases treated with whole brain radiotherapy from January 2009 to January 2016. External beam radiotherapy techniques were used to deliver 33 Gy in 11 fractions (4 fractions per week) to the whole brain. Eight clinical factors with a potential influence on survival were investigated using the Kaplan-Meier method. All factors with a P < 0.05 in univariate analysis were entered into multivariate analysis using Cox regression.

RESULTS

In the present series of 339 patients, median survival time was 2.5 months (M; range, 0-61 months). Four risk factors Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) < 70, age > 70, > 3 of metastases intracranial, uncontrolled primary tumor) were identified that were significant and negatively correlated with median survival time. Patients with no risk factors had a median survival of 4.7 M; one risk factor, 2.5 M; two risk factors, 2.3 M; and 3-4 risk factors, 0.4 M (p < 0.00001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with identified risk factors might have a negatively impacted overall survival after WBI. Accordingly, patients who will not benefit from WBI can be easily predicted if they have 3-4 of these risk factors.

Management of patients with brain metastases from non-small cell lung cancer and adverse prognostic features: multi-national radiation treatment recommendations are heterogeneous

Background

Different management options exist for patients with brain metastases from non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), patients whose treatment with whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) has become more controversial over the last decade. It is not trivial to find the optimal balance of over- versus undertreatment in these patients. Several recent trials, including the randomized QUARTZ trial now influence the decision to recommend or withhold WBRT for patients with unfavorable prognosis, and similarly, for favorable prognosis patients, the balance between radiosurgery alone or WBRT has become a nuanced decision. Additionally, the availability of intracranially active targeted agent for some subsets of these patients has added another layer of complexity to the decision-making.

Methods

A multinational consortium of expert radiation oncologists was established with the aim of compiling treatment recommendations for challenging scenarios, in this case the choice between optimal supportive care (SC), WBRT and other types of radiation therapy (RT). We distributed 17 cases to 7 radiation oncologists who were allowed to involve coworkers to provide their treatment recommendations. The cases differed in extra- and intracranial disease extent, histology, age and other prognostic factors. Expert recommendations were tabulated with the aim of providing guidance.

Results

Regarding willingness to include the 17 patients in the QUARTZ trial, the rates of trial inclusion were low (range 0/7 to 3/7). Experts not recommending trial inclusion provided their treatment recommendations. These suggestions differed widely for most of the patients. It was not uncommon to see 3 or 4 different recommendations. In general, few (0–2) recommended SC. Some kind of local treatment was suggested by the majority of experts for all 17 patients. Commonly, stereotactic single-fraction radiosurgery (SRS) or stereotactic fractionated radiotherapy (SFRT) were recommended by many experts, also for patients with 5–7 lesions. The highest proportion of recommendations towards WBRT in any patient was 3/7. It was also quite common for patients with multiple metastases of varying size that experts suggested combinations of resection, post-operative SRS/SFRT and SRS/SFRT to intact lesions. Despite recommending active treatment, experts were often willing to include the patients in a hypothetical protocol investigating radiotherapy utilization in the last 30 days of life (assessment of factors predicting early death).

Conclusions

WBRT was infrequently recommended. Even in patients with adverse prognostic features that raised the experts’ awareness of an increased risk for futile treatment near the end of life, SRS/SFRT were more often recommended than optimal supportive care, unless a patient decided to forego active treatment.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13014-019-1237-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Brain metastases

An estimated 20% of all patients with cancer will develop brain metastases, with the majority of brain metastases occurring in those with lung, breast and colorectal cancers, melanoma or renal cell carcinoma. Brain metastases are thought to occur via seeding of circulating tumour cells into the brain microvasculature; within this unique microenvironment, tumour growth is promoted and the penetration of systemic medical therapies is limited. Development of brain metastases remains a substantial contributor to overall cancer mortality in patients with advanced-stage cancer because prognosis remains poor despite multimodal treatments and advances in systemic therapies, which include a combination of surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, immunotherapy and targeted therapies. Thus, interest abounds in understanding the mechanisms that drive brain metastases so that they can be targeted with preventive therapeutic strategies and in understanding the molecular characteristics of brain metastases relative to the primary tumour so that they can inform targeted therapy selection. Increased molecular understanding of the disease will also drive continued development of novel immunotherapies and targeted therapies that have higher bioavailability beyond the blood-tumour barrier and drive advances in radiotherapies and minimally invasive surgical techniques. As these discoveries and innovations move from the realm of basic science to preclinical and clinical applications, future outcomes for patients with brain metastases are almost certain to improve.

Contemporary Surgical Management of Deep-Seated Metastatic Brain Tumors Using Minimally Invasive Approaches

A subset of metastatic brain tumors occurs in deep-seated locations. Accessing and resecting these lesions can be associated with significant morbidity because it involves large craniotomies, extensive white matter dissection, prolonged retraction, and risk of inadvertent tissue injury. As a result, only palliative treatment options are typically offered for these lesions including observation, needle biopsies, and/or radiation therapy. With the development of new surgical tools and techniques, minimally invasive techniques have allowed for the treatment of these lesions previously associated with significant morbidity. These minimally invasive techniques include laser interstitial thermal therapy and channel-based resections.

Construction of a nomogram predicting the overall survival of patients with distantly metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer

Purpose

This study aimed to establish a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of the general non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with distant metastasis.

Patients and methods

We investigated Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database for NSCLC patients with distant metastasis diagnosed between 2010 and 2014. Statistically significant prognostic factors were identified using uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses. A nomogram incorporating these prognostic factors was developed and evaluated by the Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, and risk group stratifications.

Results

We finally included 18,209 patients for analysis. These patients were divided into two groups, 14,567 cases for the training cohort and 3,642 for the validation cohort. Marital status, sex, race, age, histology, T stage, N stage, histological differentiation, bone metastasis, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, with M1a disease, surgery of primary cancer, and chemotherapy were identified as the prognostic factors of the OS and integrated to construct the nomogram. The nomogram had a C-index of 0.704 (95% CI: 0.699-0.709) in the training set and 0.699 (95% CI: 0.689-0.709) in the validation set. The calibration curves for 1- and 2-year OS in the training and validation sets showed acceptable agreement between the predicted and observed survival. Also, the nomogram was capable of stratifying patients into different risk groups within the patients who presented with bone, liver, or brain metastasis, as well as in each T, N stage, respectively.

Conclusion

A nomogram was established and validated to predict individual prognosis for the general patients with distantly metastatic NSCLC. Global prospective data with the latest TNM classification and more comprehensive prognostic factors are needed to improve this model.

A nomogram for predicting survival of patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

We developed a nomogram for predicting survival of patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) using ¹⁸F-flurodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) parameters and CA 19-9 levels.

METHODS

Based on 426 patients with LAPC who received concurrent CRT between 2004 and 2015, we investigated significant prognostic factors for survival to build a nomogram, including the maximum standardized uptake value (SUV_max) and CA 19-9 levels. Predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were then measured.

RESULTS

Median progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) were 9.4 and 15.4 months, respectively, at a median 15-month follow-up. High-dose radiation (EQD2, ≥61 Gy), initial SUV_max <3.5 and CA 19-9 ≤400 U/mL, and surgical resection after CRT were significantly related to prolonged OS by multivariate analysis (p < 0.05). A nomogram model for OS was established and showed good calibration and acceptable discrimination (c-index 0.656). Using the nomogram, 3 different prognosis groups could be identified with a median OS of 25, 15, and 11 months (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A nomogram was developed with high-dose radiation (EQD2, ≥61 Gy), initial SUV_max <3.5, CA 19-9 ≤400 U/mL, and surgical resection after CRT for patients with LAPC. This will help in clinical decision-making and in selecting patients for CRT.