Obstetric, perinatal, and fetal outcomes in pregnancies with false-positive integrated screening results

Pregnancies with 'double-positive' multiple marker screening results: a population-based study in Ontario, Canada

BACKGROUND

Multiple marker screening is offered to pregnant individuals in many jurisdictions to screen for trisomies 21 and 18. On occasion, the result is 'double-positive'-a screening result that is unexpectedly positive for both aneuploidies. Although this occurs rarely, the paucity of available evidence about the outcomes of these pregnancies hinders patient counselling. This study aimed to investigate the association of double-positive results with preterm birth and other adverse perinatal outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of pregnancies with an estimated date of delivery from September 1, 2016, to March 31, 2021, using province-wide perinatal registry data in Ontario, Canada. Pregnancies with double-positive screening results where trisomies 21 and 18 were ruled-out were compared to pregnancies with screen negative results for both aneuploidies. We used modified Poisson regression models with robust variance estimation to examine the association of double positive results with preterm birth and secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

From 429 540 pregnancies with multiple marker screening, 863 (0.2%) had a double-positive result; trisomies 21 and 18 were ruled out in 374 pregnancies, 203 of which resulted in a live birth. Among the pregnancies in the double-positive group resulting in a live birth, the risk of preterm birth was increased compared to pregnancies with a screen negative result: adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 2.6 (95%CI 2.0-3.6), adjusted risk difference (aRD) 10.5% (95%CI 5.4-15.7). In a sensitivity analysis excluding all diagnosed chromosomal abnormalities, the risk of preterm birth remained elevated to a similar degree: aRR 2.6 (95%CI 1.9-3.7), aRD 10.0% (95%CI 4.8-15.3). The risk of other adverse perinatal outcomes was also higher, including the risk of chromosomal abnormalities other than trisomies 21 and 18: aRR 81.1 (95%CI 69.4-94.8), aRD 34.0% (95%CI 29.2-38.8). Pregnancies with double-positive results were also less likely to result in a live birth, even when excluding all diagnosed chromosomal abnormalities; and at increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes for those resulting in a live birth.

CONCLUSION

Although rare, double-positive multiple marker screening results are associated with an increased risk of preterm birth and other adverse perinatal outcomes, even when excluding all identified chromosomal abnormalities.

Current Perspectives of Prenatal Cell-free DNA Screening in Clinical Management of First-Trimester Septated Cystic Hygroma

First-trimester septated cystic hygroma occurs in approximately 1 in 268 pregnancies and has long been associated with a markedly increased risk of fetal aneuploidy and, among euploid fetuses, an increased risk of structural anomalies primarily affecting the cardiac and skeletal systems. Invasive prenatal diagnosis – chorionic villus sampling and/or amniocentesis – encompasses the time-honored clinical tools for the next step in management following prenatal sonographic diagnosis of first-trimester septated cystic hygroma. Currently, prenatal cell-free DNA (cfDNA) screening for fetal aneuploidy with select microdeletions is gradually replacing the considerably less sensitive, and labor-intensive combined first-trimester screening. These new technologies have opened potential new venues in the clinical management of this ominous late first-trimester sonographic diagnosis. Advances in cfDNA technologies are now permitting detection of chromosomal copy number variants (CNV) larger than 7Mb across genome and select serious single-gene disorders (mainly impacting skeletal and neurological development), affecting quality of life and may benefit from medical and/or surgical management. This commentary will address the available non-invasive prenatal screening technologies, which clearly enhance immediate genetic analysis modalities applicable in the presence of the complex sonographic finding of first-trimester septated cystic hygroma.

Association Between Serum Markers Used in the Routine Prenatal Screening with Pregnancy Outcomes: A Cohort Study

Background

Early detection of adverse pregnancy outcomes is an important topic in prenatal care. This study aimed to evaluate the association between maternal serum markers and pregnancy outcomes.

Materials and Methods

This hospital-based cohort study was performed according to the national Down syndrome screening protocol on 2923 eligible pregnant women. Pregnancies were classified into three groups of based on each biomarker. The participants were followed up until delivery, and the pregnancy outcomes were identified by hospital discharge records.

Results

High levels of free BHCG were significantly associated with an increased risk of preterm birth (B = - 0.31, SE = 0.158, OR = 0.730; P = 0.046). Based on multivariate analysis the high levels of MSAFP had a direct relationship with premature birth (B = - 0.84, SE = 0.361, OR = 0.431, P = 0.020), gestational hypertension (B = - 0.59, SE = 0.354, OR = 0.549. P = 0.091), IUGR (B = - 1.46, SE = 0.433, OR = 0.231, P = 0.001), and fetal death (B = - 1.50, SE = 0.533, OR = 0.223, P = 0.005). Furthermore, an increase in the levels of Inhibin-A could more likely lead to gestational hypertension (B = - 0.63, SE = 0.235, OR = 0.533).

Discussion

According to the result, maternal biomarkers, especially MSAFP, can be beneficial in identifying high-risk cases, in addition to examining the possibility of Down syndrome, facilitating achievement of the desired pregnancy outcomes.

Integrating Combined First Trimester Screening for Preeclampsia into Routine Ultrasound Examination

Introduction The Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) London has developed a first trimester screening algorithm for preeclampsia (PE), based on maternal characteristics and past risk factors, mean arterial pressure (MAP), uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), and placental growth factor (PlGF). The aim of this study was to determine the feasibility of integrating PE screening into routine practice.

Material and Methods All pregnancies with a fetal crown-rump length of 45 – 84 mm presenting to our ultrasound department between January 2014 and September 2020 were included in this analysis. Screening for PE was offered to singleton pregnancies only. The number of screening tests performed in the eligible population was assessed and the reasons for missed screenings identified with the help of the electronic clinical database. SPSS Statistics 25 and GraphPad version 8.0 for Windows were used for statistical analysis.

Results 6535 pregnancies were included, 4510 (69.0%) of which were screened for PE. The percentage of patients being offered PE screening increased over the years from 63.1 to 96.7% (r _s  = 0.96; p = 0.003), while the rate of screenings performed in eligible patients remained stable at a median [range] of 86.2% [78.0 – 91.8%] (p = ns). 2025 (31.0%) pregnancies were not screened for PE, 1306 (64.5%) because they were not eligible for screening. 145 (2.2%) women explicitly declined PE screening; their background risk was lower than that of women who accepted screening.

Conclusion Our study shows that integration of PE screening into the routine first trimester ultrasound scan is feasible and widely accepted by pregnant women and health care providers.

False-Positive Maternal Serum Screens in the Second Trimester as Markers of Placentally Mediated Complications Later in Pregnancy: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Multiple-marker, maternal serum screening (MSS) has been the cornerstone of prenatal diagnosis since the 1980s. While combinations of these markers are used to predict fetal risk of Down syndrome and other genetic conditions, there is some evidence that individual markers may also predict nongenetic pregnancy complications, particularly those related to placental dysfunction. The objective of this meta-analysis was to investigate the utility of false-positive, second-trimester MSS for Down syndrome as a marker of placentally mediated complications amongst singleton pregnancies globally.

METHODS

Electronic searches of PubMed, Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, Scopus, and grey literature to 2019 were performed to identify observational studies comparing risk of pregnancy complications amongst pregnancies with false-positive MSS versus controls. A random-effects model of pooled odds ratios by outcome of interest (stillbirth, preeclampsia, fetal growth restriction, and preterm birth) and subgrouped by type of MSS test (double-, triple-, and quadruple-marker MSS) was used.

RESULTS

16 studies enrolling 68515 pregnancies were included. There were increased odds of preeclampsia (OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.09-1.51) and stillbirth (OR 2.46, 95% CI 1.94-3.12) amongst pregnancies with false-positive MSS. There was no significant association with preterm birth or growth restriction.

CONCLUSIONS

There is some evidence of an association between false-positive, second-trimester MSS for Down syndrome and increased odds of preeclampsia and stillbirth. Future large-scale prospective studies are still needed to best determine the predictive value of false-positive MSS as a marker of placentally mediated complications later in pregnancy and evaluate potential clinical interventions to reduce these risks.

First-trimester prediction of small-for-gestational age in pregnancies at false-positive high or intermediate risk for fetal aneuploidy

OBJECTIVES

To explore the risk of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and fetal growth restriction (FGR) and to test the performance of first-trimester screening for SGA and FGR in women with a false-positive high or intermediate risk for aneuploidy.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study of women with a singleton pregnancy attending for a routine first-trimester scan. The risks of aneuploidy and preterm SGA (defined as birth weight < 10^th percentile with delivery before 37 weeks) were determined according to Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithms. In non-malformed euploid pregnancies, the predictive performance of both the aneuploidy and preterm SGA risks was evaluated for SGA, FGR (defined as birth weight < 3^rd centile), preterm SGA and early SGA (delivery before 34 weeks), using receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curve analysis, in those with a high or intermediate risk of aneuploidy and in the overall population.

RESULTS

A total of 2053 pregnancies were included in the analysis, of which 191 (9.3%) were at high or intermediate risk for aneuploidy (≥ 1/1000) and 304 (14.8%) were at high risk for preterm SGA (≥ 1/100). In total, there were 140 (6.8%) cases of SGA, 61 (3.0%) of FGR, 44 (2.1%) of preterm SGA and 33 (1.6%) of early SGA. Among women with a false-positive high or intermediate risk for aneuploidy, the rates of SGA, FGR, preterm SGA and early SGA were 13.6% (26/191), 7.9 % (15/191), 6.8% (13/191) and 5.8% (11/191), respectively. Compared with women with a first-trimester low risk for preterm SGA, regardless of aneuploidy risk, those with a high risk for preterm SGA and a high or intermediate risk for aneuploidy had relative risks for SGA, FGR, preterm SGA and early SGA of 6 (95% CI, 3.9-9), 9.2 (95% CI, 5.1-16.5), 13.4 (95% CI, 6.9-26.1) and 17.6 (95% CI, 8.1-38.2), respectively. The predictive performance for SGA of the preterm SGA algorithm was higher in women at high or intermediate risk for aneuploidy than in the overall population (area under the ROC curve (AUC), 0.8 vs 0.7; P < 0.001). Among women at high or intermediate risk for aneuploidy, the predictive performance of the preterm SGA algorithm was better than that of the aneuploidy algorithm for SGA (AUC, 0.80 vs 0.58; P = 0.003), preterm SGA (AUC, 0.85 vs 0.65; P = 0.013) and early SGA (AUC, 0.86 vs 0.60; P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

In women with a first-trimester false-positive high or intermediate risk of aneuploidy, further screening for SGA allows stratification of the risk for fetal growth disorders. Copyright © 2020 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Placental development and function in trisomy 21 and mouse models of Down syndrome: Clues for studying mechanisms underlying atypical development

Down syndrome (DS) is the most common genetic disorder leading to developmental disability. The phenotypes associated with DS are complex and vary between affected individuals. Placental abnormalities in DS include differences in cytotrophoblast fusion that affect subsequent conversion to syncytiotrophoblast, atypical oxidative stress/antioxidant balance, and increased expression of genes that are also upregulated in the brains of individuals with Alzheimer's disease. Placentas in DS are prematurely senescent, showing atypical evidence of mineralization. Fetuses with DS are especially susceptible to adverse obstetric outcomes, including early in utero demise, stillbirth and growth restriction, all of which are related to placental function. The placenta, therefore, may provide key insights towards understanding the phenotypic variability observed in individuals with DS and aid in identifying biomarkers that can be used to evaluate phenotypic severity and prenatal treatments in real time. To address these issues, many different mouse models of DS have been generated to identify the mechanisms underlying developmental changes in many organ systems. Little is known, however, regarding placental development in the currently available mouse models of DS. Based upon the relative paucity of data on placental development in preclinical mouse models of DS, we recommend that future evaluation of new and existing models routinely include histologic and functional assessments of the placenta. In this paper we summarize studies performed in the placentas of both humans and mouse models with DS, highlighting gaps in knowledge and suggesting directions for future research.

Reference centile charts of first-trimester aneuploidy screening & Doppler parameters for Indian population

Background & objectives:

The risk estimation for foetal aneuploidies in the first trimester of pregnancy uses reference curves based on western data. The objective of this study was to construct the reference curves of first-trimester foetal aneuploidy screening parameters for the Indian women.

Methods:

Cross-sectional data were obtained from 1204 singleton pregnancies between the crown-rump length (CRL) of 40-84 mm. Linear regression models were constructed; the mean, median and standard deviation were derived as a function of CRL.

Results:

The mean value of CRL was 61.3 mm. The regression analysis showed a significant correlation between all variables and CRL (P<0.001). There was a positive correlation of CRL with nuchal translucency (NT) (y=0.010x+0.629, R²=0.116) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) (y=0.107x−1.079, R²=0.173), whereas inverse correlation was seen with free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (β-hCG) (y=−0.409x+75.025, R²=0.018) and Doppler parameters pulsatility index (PI) (y=−0.008x+1.924 R²=0.053). The centile charts of NT, PAPP-A, free β-hCG and uterine artery (Ut A) Doppler PI were constructed.

Interpretation & conclusions:

The reference centile charts of first trimester aneuploidy screening along with Doppler parameters were derived in Indian pregnant women. These centile charts may be used as a reference for clinical use in Indian population.

Differences in prenatal aneuploidy screening among African-American women with hemoglobin S variants

OBJECTIVE

It has been shown that hemoglobinopathies increase the risk of pregnancy complications and placental dysfunction. This could alter the placental analytes examined during prenatal aneuploidy screening. Our objective was to determine whether there is a difference in maternal serum screening results for women with hemoglobin S variants (AS, SS, SC, S/beta thalassemia) compared with women with normal hemoglobin (AA).

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study in African-American women receiving aneuploidy screening at MedStar Washington Hospital Center from 2008 to 2015. We evaluated 79 women with hemoglobin S variants (69 AS and 10 sickle cell disease (SCD)) and 79 controls. Descriptive statistics (means, medians, and frequencies) were calculated for each group. For the continuous variables, differences in the averages between the two groups were tested using the t test or Wilcoxon rank sum test. Differences in the averages between three or more groups were tested using the analysis of variance test or the Kruskal-Wallis test.

RESULTS

Demographics were similar between cases and controls. The overall screen positive rate for Down syndrome among patients with sickle cell trait (AS) was 3% (2/69). For patients with SCD, the overall screen positive rate was 10% (1/10). None of the women in the control population (AA) has a positive Down syndrome screening result (0/79).

CONCLUSION

As expected, the screen positive rate in patients with hemoglobin S variants was higher than controls, however, patients with sickle cell trait do not appear to be at an increased risk for false-positive results with serum aneuploidy screening compared with the general population. We did, however, find an increased risk of false-positive quad screen results in patients with sickle cell disease.

The effect of progesterone use in the first trimester on fetal nuchal translucency

Objective:

To evaluate the possible association between progesterone use in the first trimester of pregnancy and fetal nuchal translucency (NT).

Material and Methods:

This is an observational case-control study, which was conducted with patients who underwent nuchal scans between March 2015 and February 2016 and consequently delivered live and healthy babies. The study group was composed of assisted reproductive technology pregnancies and used intravaginal progesterone 180 mg/day until gestational week 12. The control group comprised pregnant women who became pregnant spontaneously without using any progesterone preparation in the first trimester.

Results:

One hundred sixty-four (57.5%) of 285 patients were in the control group and 121 (42.5%) were in the progesterone group. Age, bodyweight, gravidity, and parity number of previous births and abortus, gestational week, crown-rump lengths, free β-human chorionic gonadotropin, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, and NT values of the progesterone and control groups were recorded and we investigated whether there was a statistically significant difference between the two groups in terms of these parameters; maternal weight was found to be higher in the progesterone group than in the control group and the difference between the groups was statistically significant (p=0.019 and p=0.025). Whether the difference in NT was caused by the effect of maternal weight was investigated using the covariance analysis test and maternal weight was not found to be statistically significant in the model (p=0.284).

Conclusion:

Fetal NT was increased in the progesterone group compared with the untreated group in healthy pregnancies.

Prenatal screening for chromosomal abnormalities in IVF patients that opted for preimplantation genetic screening/diagnosis (PGS/D): a need for revised algorithms in the era of personalized medicine

Obstetricians offer prenatal screening for most common chromosomal abnormalities to all pregnant women including those that had in vitro fertilization (IVF) and preimplantation genetic screening/diagnosis (PGS/D). We propose that free fetal DNA in maternal circulation together with the second trimester maternal serum alfa feto protein (MSAFP) and ultrasound imaging is the best prenatal screening test for chromosomal abnormalities and congenital anomalies in IVF-PGD/S patients because risk estimations from all other prenatal screening algorithms for chromosomal abnormalities depend heavily on maternal age which is irrelevant in PGS/D patients.

Expanding Use of cfDNA Screening in Pregnancy: Current and Emerging Ethical, Legal, and Social Issues

Purpose of Review

In 2011, screening platforms became available in the US that detect and analyze fragments of cell-free placental DNA (cfDNA) in maternal blood serum. Marketed as noninvasive prenatal tests (NIPT), cfDNA screening is more accurate than previously available serum screening tests for certain aneuploidies. The combination of a noninvasive procedure, high specificity and sensitivity, and lower false positive rates for some aneuploidies (most notably Down's syndrome) has led to broad clinician and patient adoption. New ethical, legal, and social issues arise from the increased use and expanded implementation of cfDNA in pregnancy.

Recent Findings

Recently, several professional associations have amended their guidelines on cfDNA, removing language recommending its use in only "high-risk" pregnancies in favor of making cfDNA screening an available option for women with "low-risk" pregnancies as well. At the same time, commercial cfDNA screening laboratories continue to expand the range of available test panels. As a result, the future of prenatal screening will likely include a broader range of genetic tests in a wider range of patients.

Summary

This article addresses the ethical, legal, and social issues related to the shift in guidance and expanded use of cfDNA in pregnant women, including concerns regarding routinized testing, an unmet and increasing demand for genetic counseling services, social and economic disparities in access, impact on groups living with disabling conditions, and provider liability.

Risk of preterm birth among women using drugs during pregnancy with elevated α-fetoprotein

OBJECTIVE

Examine the risk of preterm birth (PTB) among women who use drugs during pregnancy and have elevated α-fetoprotein (AFP).

STUDY DESIGN

The sample included California singleton live births in 2005 to 2010 contained within a hospital discharge database linked to the Prenatal Screening Program. A selection of mothers who did not use drugs was selected at a ratio of 4:1. Risk of PTB was calculated using adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for women who did or did not use drugs by their AFP percentile.

RESULTS

We identified 7190 women who used drugs and selected 28 760 women who did not. Of women using cocaine with AFP ⩾95th percentile, 43.8% delivered prematurely. Women using drugs with AFP ⩾95th percentile were 11 to 35 times as likely to deliver <32 weeks.

CONCLUSION

The combination of drug use and elevated AFP results in high rates of PTB. This combination results in an additive risk.

Women should decide which conditions matter

Providing reliable prenatal screening performance estimates is critical for patient counseling and policy-making. Women who choose prenatal screening for aneuploidy are likely to be concerned not only with the common aneuploidies but with all causes of intellectual disability and serious birth defects. Sequential prenatal screening (combined serum and ultrasound testing) for aneuploidy detection commonly is offered as a primary screening test. Among women identified as screen positive, cell-free (cf)DNA has been added recently as a secondary, noninvasive screening option, before the consideration of invasive diagnostic testing (eg, amniocentesis and karyotype). With the anticipation of lower costs in the future, cfDNA might be an alternative to sequential screening in the general population. Sequential and cfDNA tests are both noninvasive, and both identify common aneuploidies. Screening via cfDNA detects more common chromosome abnormalities (eg, trisomy 21, sex trisomies). Sequential screening can identify other aneuploidies (eg, triploidy), as well as chromosome abnormalities associated with fetal structural abnormalities. When the advantages and disadvantages of routine sequential screening with routine cfDNA screening are compared, one important measure is the proportion and severity of chromosome abnormalities identified. When reporting these detection rates, authors need to carefully consider the impact of multiple well-described biases. For women to make informed choices in situations of this type, determining reliable comparative performance estimates is crucial.

Inflammatory biomarkers and spontaneous preterm birth among obese women

OBJECTIVE

To identify associations between second-trimester serum inflammatory biomarkers and preterm birth among obese women.

METHODS

In this nested case-control study, we compared 65 serum inflammatory biomarkers in obese women whose pregnancies resulted in early spontaneous preterm birth (<32 weeks gestation, n = 34) to obese women whose pregnancies resulted in term birth (n = 34). These women were selected from a larger population-based California cohort. Random forest and classification and regression tree techniques were employed to identify biomarkers of importance, and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Random forest and classification and regression tree techniques found that soluble vascular endothelial growth factor receptor-3 (sVEGFR3), soluble interleukin-2 receptor alpha-chain (sIL-2RA) and soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (sTNFR1) were related to preterm birth. Using multivariable logistic regression to compare preterm cases and term controls, decreased serum levels of sVEGFR3 and increased serum levels of sIL-2RA and sTNFR1 were associated with increased risk of preterm birth among obese women, aOR = 3.2 (95% CI: 1.0-9.9), aOR = 2.8 (95% CI: 0.9-9.0), and aOR = 4.1 (95% CI: 1.2-14.1), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this pilot study, we identified three serum biomarkers indicative of inflammation to be associated with spontaneous preterm birth among obese women: sVEGFR3, sIL-2RA and sTNFR1.

Adverse fetal outcome: is first trimester ultrasound and Doppler better predictor than biomarkers?

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the predictive value of first trimester biomarkers and ultrasound in determining adverse fetal outcomes in a low risk Asian population.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

All low risk, singleton pregnancies between 11 and 14 weeks gestation underwent ultrasound with uterine artery Doppler along with PAPP-A and free β-hCG estimation, and were followed till delivery to observe the outcome. The adverse fetal outcomes detected were structural anomaly, aneuploidy, intrauterine growth restriction, preterm birth and stillbirth (SB).

RESULTS

Out of 3500 women screened, 417 cases had adverse fetal outcome in the absence of maternal complication, 2151 had normal outcome. Major structural anomaly was detected in first trimester in 17/28 (60.7%) cases. The most important markers for adverse fetal outcome were increased uterine artery pulsatility index (UPI) (p = 0.028, OR 1.5, 95% CI: 1.05-2.38, AUC 0.56) for IUGR, nuchal translucency (p = 0.001, OR 1.7, 95% CI: 1.11-2.77, AUC 0.60) for major anomaly and low PAPP-A (p = 0.017, OR -0.075, 95% CI: 0.87-0.98, AUC 0.621) for SB.

CONCLUSION

UPI, NT and PAPP-A in the first trimester are significant markers of adverse fetal outcome, although the sensitivity and specificity are not high they have a high negative predictive value.

Cell-free DNA vs sequential screening for the detection of fetal chromosomal abnormalities

BACKGROUND

Sequential and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) screening are both tests for the common aneuploidies. Although cfDNA has a greater detection rate (DR) for trisomy 21, sequential screening also can identify risk for other aneuploidies. The comparative DR for all chromosomal abnormalities is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To compare sequential and cfDNA screening for detection of fetal chromosomal abnormalities in a general prenatal cohort.

STUDY DESIGN

The performance of sequential screening for the detection of chromosome abnormalities in a cohort of patients screened through the California Prenatal Screening Program with estimated due dates between August 2009 and December 2012 was compared with the estimated DRs and false-positive rates (FPRs) of cfDNA screening if used as primary screening in this same cohort. DR and FPR for cfDNA screening were abstracted from the published literature, as were the rates of "no results" in euploid and aneuploid cases. Chromosome abnormalities in the entire cohort were categorized as detectable (trisomies 13, 18, and 21, and sex chromosome aneuploidy), or not detectable (other chromosome abnormalities) by cfDNA screening. DR and FPR were compared for individual and all chromosome abnormalities. DR and FPR for the cohort were compared if "no results" cases were considered "screen negative" or "screen positive" for aneuploidy. DR and FPR rates were compared by use of the Fisher exact test.

RESULTS

Of 452,901 women who underwent sequential screening during the time period of the study, 2575 (0.57%) had a fetal chromosomal abnormality; 2101 were detected for a DR of 81.6%, and 19,929 euploid fetuses had positive sequential screening for an FPR rate of 4.5%. If no results cases were presumed normal, cfDNA screening would have detected 1820 chromosome abnormalities (70.7%) with an FPR of 0.7%. If no results cases were considered screen positive, 1985 (77.1%) cases would be detected at a total screen positive rate of 3.7%. In either case, the detection rate of sequential screening for all aneuploidies in the cohort was greater than cfDNA (P<.0001).

CONCLUSION

For primary population screening, cfDNA provides lower DR than sequential screening if considering detection of all chromosomal abnormalities. Assuming that no results cfDNA cases are high-risk improves cfDNA detection but with a greater FPR. cfDNA should not be adopted as primary screening without further evaluation of the implications for detection of all chromosomal abnormalities and how to best evaluate no results cases.

Detection Rates for Aneuploidy by First-Trimester and Sequential Screening

OBJECTIVE

To estimate detection rates for aneuploidy by first-trimester and sequential screening.

METHODS

The study included women with singleton pregnancies who participated in the California Prenatal Screening Program with estimated delivery dates from August 2009 to December 2012 who had first- or first- and second-trimester (sequential) screening. Detection rates were measured for target (trisomies 21 and 18) and other aneuploidies identified from the California Chromosome Defect Registry.

RESULTS

Of 452,901 women screened, 17,435 (3.8%) were screen-positive for Down syndrome only; 433 (0.1%) for trisomy 18 only; 1,689 (0.4%) for both Down syndrome and trisomy 18; and 2,947 (0.7%) for neural tube defects, Smith-Lemli-Opitz syndrome, or for multiple conditions. The detection rates were Down syndrome-92.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] 91.4-94.2); trisomy 18-93.2% (95% CI 90.5-95.9); trisomy 13-80.4% (95% CI 73.9-86.9); 45,X-80.1% (95% CI 73.9-86.3), and triploidy-91.0% (95% CI 84.2-97.9). Overall, the detection rate for chromosome abnormalities was 81.6% (95% CI 80.0-83.1) at an overall false-positive rate of 4.5%.

CONCLUSION

First-trimester and sequential screening are sensitive and specific for the broad range of karyotype abnormalities seen in the population.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

II.

Outcomes of pregnancies with more than one positive prenatal screening result in the first or second trimester

OBJECTIVE

To describe adverse outcomes and fetal abnormalities in women with a positive prenatal screening result for more than one disorder.

STUDY DESIGN

Study participants were drawn from a population of 452 901 women pregnant with singletons entering the California Prenatal Screening Program in their first-trimester. Risk assessment was provided for trisomy 21 and trisomy 18 in the first-trimester and trisomy 21, trisomy 18, neural tube defects, and Smith-Lemli-Opitz syndrome in the second-trimester. Inclusion in this study required positive screening for more than one of the screened conditions and a completed outcome of pregnancy survey.

RESULTS

A total of 874 women met our study inclusion criteria. Over 25% of these pregnancies had a fetus with a chromosomal abnormality. Of the euploid pregnancies, 6.9% had a fetus with a major birth defect. Of the pregnancies with a fetus with neither a chromosomal abnormality nor a major birth defect, 9.3% ended in fetal demise. Overall, more than 50% of women with multiple positive screening results had either a fetus with a birth defect or a poor pregnancy outcome.

CONCLUSION

Although it is rare to screen positive for more than one condition, such results indicate a very high risk for chromosomal abnormality, fetal demise, or structural abnormality.

First- and second-trimester tests to predict stillbirth in unselected pregnant women: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Several biophysical and biochemical tests have been proposed to predict stillbirth but their predictive ability remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the accuracy of tests performed during the first and/or second trimester of pregnancy to predict stillbirth in unselected women with singleton, structurally and chromosomally normal fetuses through use of formal methods for systematic reviews and meta-analytic techniques.

SEARCH STRATEGY

Electronic databases, bibliographies and conference proceedings.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Observational studies that evaluated the predictive accuracy for stillbirth of tests performed during the first two trimesters of pregnancy.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two reviewers selected studies, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. Summary receiver operating characteristic curves, pooled sensitivities, specificities and likelihood ratios (LRs) were generated. Data were synthesised separately for stillbirth as a sole category and for specific stillbirth categories.

MAIN RESULTS

Seventy-one studies, evaluating 16 single and five combined tests, met the inclusion criteria. A uterine artery pulsatility index >90th centile during the second trimester and low levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A) during the first trimester had a moderate to high predictive accuracy for stillbirth related to placental abruption, small-for-gestational-age or pre-eclampsia (positive and negative LRs from 6.3 to 14.1, and from 0.1 to 0.4, respectively). All biophysical and biochemical tests assessed had a low predictive accuracy for stillbirth as a sole category.

CONCLUSIONS

Currently, there is no clinically useful first-trimester or second-trimester test to predict stillbirth as a sole category. Uterine artery pulsatility index and maternal serum PAPP-A levels appeared to be good predictors of stillbirth related to placental dysfunction disorders.