A Surgeon's Guide to Machine Learning

Current and future applications of artificial intelligence in surgery: implications for clinical practice and research

Surgeons are skilled at making complex decisions over invasive procedures that can save lives and alleviate pain and avoid complications in patients. The knowledge to make these decisions is accumulated over years of schooling and practice. Their experience is in turn shared with others, also via peer-reviewed articles, which get published in larger and larger amounts every year. In this work, we review the literature related to the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in surgery. We focus on what is currently available and what is likely to come in the near future in both clinical care and research. We show that AI has the potential to be a key tool to elevate the effectiveness of training and decision-making in surgery and the discovery of relevant and valid scientific knowledge in the surgical domain. We also address concerns about AI technology, including the inability for users to interpret algorithms as well as incorrect predictions. A better understanding of AI will allow surgeons to use new tools wisely for the benefit of their patients.

Ethical and legal issues regarding artificial intelligence (AI) and management of surgical data

The advent of AI in surgical practice is representing a major innovation. As its role expands and due to its several implications, strict compliance with ethical, legal and regulatory good practices is mandatory. Observance of ethical principles and legal rules will be a professional imperative for the application of AI in surgical practice, both clinically and scientifically.

Machine learning prediction of major adverse cardiac events after elective bariatric surgery

BACKGROUND

Machine learning (ML) is an emerging technology with the potential to predict and improve clinical outcomes including adverse events, based on complex pattern recognition. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) after bariatric surgery have an incidence of 0.1% but carry significant morbidity and mortality. Prior studies have investigated these events using traditional statistical methods, however, studies reporting ML for MACE prediction in bariatric surgery remain limited. As such, the objective of this study was to evaluate and compare MACE prediction models in bariatric surgery using traditional statistical methods and ML.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study of the MBSAQIP database, from 2015 to 2019. A binary-outcome MACE prediction model was generated using three different modeling methods: (1) main-effects-only logistic regression, (2) neural network with a single hidden layer, and (3) XGBoost model with a max depth of 3. The same set of predictor variables and random split of the total data (50/50) were used to train and validate each model. Overall performance was compared based on the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 755,506 patients were included, of which 0.1% experienced MACE. Of the total sample, 79.6% were female, 47.8% had hypertension, 26.2% had diabetes, 23.7% had hyperlipidemia, 8.4% used tobacco within 1 year, 1.9% had previous percutaneous cardiac intervention, 1.2% had a history of myocardial infarction, 1.1% had previous cardiac surgery, and 0.6% had renal insufficiency. The AUC for the three different MACE prediction models was: 0.790 for logistic regression, 0.798 for neural network and 0.787 for XGBoost. While the AUC implies similar discriminant function, the risk prediction histogram for the neural network shifted in a smoother fashion.

CONCLUSION

The ML models developed achieved good discriminant function in predicting MACE. ML can help clinicians with patient selection and identify individuals who may be at elevated risk for MACE after bariatric surgery.

Reliability of Postoperative Free Flap Monitoring with a Novel Prediction Model Based on Supervised Machine Learning

BACKGROUND

Postoperative free flap monitoring is a critical part of reconstructive microsurgery. Postoperative clinical assessments rely heavily on specialty-trained staff. Therefore, in regions with limited specialist availability, the feasibility of performing microsurgery is restricted. This study aimed to apply artificial intelligence in postoperative free flap monitoring and validate the ability of machine learning in predicting and differentiating types of postoperative free flap circulation.

METHODS

Postoperative data from 176 patients who received free flap surgery were prospectively collected, including free flap photographs and clinical evaluation measures. Flap circulation outcome variables included normal, arterial insufficiency, and venous insufficiency. The Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique plus Tomek Links (SMOTE-Tomek) was applied for data balance. Data were divided into 80%:20% for model training and validation. Shapley Additive Explanations were used for prediction interpretations of the model.

RESULTS

Of 805 total included flaps, 555 (69%) were normal, 97 (12%) had arterial insufficiency, and 153 (19%) had venous insufficiency. The most effective prediction model was developed based on random forest, with an accuracy of 98.4%. Temperature and color differences between the flap and the surrounding skin were the most significant contributing factors to predict a vascular compromised flap.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated the reliability of a machine-learning model in differentiating various types of postoperative flap circulation. This novel technique may reduce the burden of free flap monitoring and encourage the broader use of reconstructive microsurgery in regions with a limited number of staff specialists.

Current and Future Advances in Surgical Therapy for Pituitary Adenoma

The vital physiological role of the pituitary gland, alongside its proximity to critical neurovascular structures, means that pituitary adenomas can cause significant morbidity or mortality. While enormous advancements have been made in the surgical care of pituitary adenomas, numerous challenges remain, such as treatment failure and recurrence. To meet these clinical challenges, there has been an enormous expansion of novel medical technologies (eg, endoscopy, advanced imaging, artificial intelligence). These innovations have the potential to benefit each step of the patient's journey, and ultimately, drive improved outcomes. Earlier and more accurate diagnosis addresses this in part. Analysis of novel patient data sets, such as automated facial analysis or natural language processing of medical records holds potential in achieving an earlier diagnosis. After diagnosis, treatment decision-making and planning will benefit from radiomics and multimodal machine learning models. Surgical safety and effectiveness will be transformed by smart simulation methods for trainees. Next-generation imaging techniques and augmented reality will enhance surgical planning and intraoperative navigation. Similarly, surgical abilities will be augmented by the future operative armamentarium, including advanced optical devices, smart instruments, and surgical robotics. Intraoperative support to surgical team members will benefit from a data science approach, utilizing machine learning analysis of operative videos to improve patient safety and orientate team members to a common workflow. Postoperatively, neural networks leveraging multimodal datasets will allow early detection of individuals at risk of complications and assist in the prediction of treatment failure, thus supporting patient-specific discharge and monitoring protocols. While these advancements in pituitary surgery hold promise to enhance the quality of care, clinicians must be the gatekeepers of the translation of such technologies, ensuring systematic assessment of risk and benefit prior to clinical implementation. In doing so, the synergy between these innovations can be leveraged to drive improved outcomes for patients of the future.

Ethical, Legal, and Financial Considerations of Artificial Intelligence in Surgery

Machine learning systems have become integrated into some of the most vital decision-making aspects of humanity, including hiring decisions, loan applications, and automobile safety, to name just a few. As applications increase in both gravity and complexity, the data quality and algorithmic interpretability of the systems must rise to meet those challenges. This is especially vital for navigating the nuances of health care, particularly among the high stakes of surgical operations. In addition to inherent ethical challenges of enabling a "black box" system to influence decision-making in patient care, the creation of biased datasets leads to biased algorithms with the power to perpetuate discrimination and reinforce disparities. Transparency and responsibility are paramount to the implementation of artificial intelligence in surgical decision-making and autonomous robotic surgery. Machine learning has been permeating health care across diverse clinical and surgical contexts but continues to face sizable obstacles, including apprehension from patients and providers alike. To integrate the technology fully while upholding standard of care and patient-provider trust, one must acknowledge and address the ethical, financial, and legal implications of using artificial intelligence for patient care.

New Frontiers of Natural Language Processing in Surgery

The vast and ever-growing volume of electronic health records (EHR) have generated a wealth of information-rich data. Traditional, non-machine learning data extraction techniques are error-prone and laborious, hindering the analytical potential of these massive data sources. Equipped with natural language processing (NLP) tools, surgeons are better able to automate, and customize their review to investigate and implement surgical solutions. We identify current perioperative applications of NLP algorithms as well as research limitations and future avenues to outline the impact and potential of this technology for progressing surgical innovation.

Machine learning driven prediction of cerebrospinal fluid rhinorrhoea following endonasal skull base surgery: A multicentre prospective observational study

Background

Cerebrospinal fluid rhinorrhoea (CSFR) is a common complication following endonasal skull base surgery, a technique that is fundamental to the treatment of pituitary adenomas and many other skull base tumours. The CRANIAL study explored CSFR incidence and related risk factors, particularly skull base repair techniques, via a multicentre prospective observational study. We sought to use machine learning to leverage this complex multicentre dataset for CSFR prediction and risk factor analysis.

Methods

A dataset of 865 cases - 725 transsphenoidal approach (TSA) and 140 expanded endonasal approach (EEA) - with cerebrospinal fluid rhinorrhoea as the primary outcome, was used. Relevant variables were extracted from the data, and prediction variables were divided into two categories, preoperative risk factors; and repair techniques, with 6 and 11 variables respectively. Three types of machine learning models were developed in order to predict CSFR: logistic regression (LR); decision tree (DT); and neural network (NN). Models were validated using 5-fold cross-validation, compared via their area under the curve (AUC) evaluation metric, and key prediction variables were identified using their Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) score.

Results

CSFR rates were 3.9% (28/725) for the transsphenoidal approach and 7.1% (10/140) for the expanded endonasal approach. NNs outperformed LR and DT for CSFR prediction, with a mean AUC of 0.80 (0.70-0.90) for TSA and 0.78 (0.60-0.96) for EEA, when all risk factor and intraoperative repair data were integrated into the model. The presence of intraoperative CSF leak was the most prominent risk factor for CSFR. Elevated BMI and revision surgery were also associated with CSFR for the transsphenoidal approach. CSF diversion and gasket sealing appear to be strong predictors of the absence of CSFR for both approaches.

Conclusion

Neural networks are effective at predicting CSFR and uncovering key CSFR predictors in patients following endonasal skull base surgery, outperforming traditional statistical methods. These models will be improved further with larger and more granular datasets, improved NN architecture, and external validation. In the future, such predictive models could be used to assist surgical decision-making and support more individualised patient counselling.

Deep Learning Applications in Surgery: Current Uses and Future Directions

Deep learning (DL) is a subset of machine learning that is rapidly gaining traction in surgical fields. Its tremendous capacity for powerful data-driven problem-solving has generated computational breakthroughs in many realms, with the fields of medicine and surgery becoming increasingly prominent avenues. Through its multi-layer architecture of interconnected neural networks, DL enables feature extraction and pattern recognition of highly complex and large-volume data. Across various surgical specialties, DL is being applied to optimize both preoperative planning and intraoperative performance in new and innovative ways. Surgeons are now able to integrate deep learning tools into their practice to improve patient safety and outcomes. Through this review, we explore the applications of deep learning in surgery and related subspecialties with an aim to shed light on the practical utilization of this technology in the present and near future.