Bruise Location in Supracondylar Humerus Fractures Predicts Specific Neurovascular Injuries

Research: Construction and validation of elbow function prediction model after supracondylar humerus fracture in children

This article's objectives are to develop a model to predict children's recovery of elbow function following supracondylar fracture, analyze the risk factors affecting those children's elbow function after surgery, and propose a individualized treatment strategy for elbow function in various children. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data from 410 children with supracondylar humerus fracture. A modeling set and a validation set of kids in the included studies were arbitrarily split into 2 groups on a 7:3 basis. To identify statistically significant risk factors, univariate logistic regression analysis was used. Then, multivariate logistic regression was used with the risk factors, and the best logistic regression model was chosen based on sensitivity and accuracy to create a nomogram; A total of 410 children were included in the study according to the inclusion criteria. Among them, there were 248 males and 162 females, and the fracture type: 147 cases of type IIb and 263 cases of type III. There were no significant changes in the afflicted limb's lateral difference, surgical method, onset season, and number of K-wires, according to univariate logistic regression analysis. Age (P < .001), weight (P < .001), height (P < .001), preoperative elbow soft tissue injury (OR = 1.724, 95% CI: 1.040-2.859, P = .035), sex (OR = 2.220, 95% CI: 1.299-3.794, P = .004), fracture classification (Gartland IIb) (OR = 0.252, 95% CI: 0.149-0.426, P < .001), no nerve injury before surgery (OR = 0.304, 95% CI: 0.155-0.596, P = .001), prying technique (OR = 0.464, 95% CI: 0.234-0.920, P = .028), postoperative daily light time > 2 hours (OR = 0.488, 95% CI: 0.249-0.955, P = .036) has a significant difference in univariate analysis; Multivariate regression analysis yielded independent risk factors: fracture classification; No nerve injury before surgery; The daily light duration after surgery was > 2 hours; soft tissue injury; Age, postoperative cast fixation time. The establishment of predictive model is of significance for pediatric orthopedic clinicians in the daily diagnosis and treatment of supracondylar humerus fracture.

Predictive factors for open reduction of flexion-type supracondylar fracture of humerus in children

Objective

The incidence of open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) in flexion-type supracondylar humerus fractures (SCHF) in children is significantly higher than that of extension-type fractures. This study aimed to identify risk factors for ORIF in flexion-type SCHF.

Methods

One hundred seventy-one patients with Wilkins type III flexion-type SCHF from January 2012 to December 2021 were retrospectively enrolled in a tertiary paediatric hospital. Patients were divided into ORIF group versus closed reduction and internal fixation (CRIF) group. Then, patients data of age, sex, injury side, obesity, deviation of displacement, fracture level, rotation, nerve injury, and delay from injury to surgery were reviewed. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were used to identify independent risk factors and odds ratios (OR) of ORIF.

Results

Overall, 171 children with type III flexion-type SCHF were analyzed (average aged 7.9 ± 2.8 years). Displacement was lateral in 151 cases, medial in 20. 20 cases had combined ulnar nerve injury. The failed closed reduction rate was 20%. Univariate analysis indicated age, distal fracture fragment rotation, and ulnar nerve injury were significantly associated with ORIF. (P = 0.047, P = 0.009, and P = 0.001, respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that distal fracture fragment rotation (OR, 3.3; 95%CI:1.1–9.5; P = 0.028) and ulnar nerve injury (OR, 6.4; 95%CI:2.3–18.3; P = 0.001) were independent risk factors; however, the age was not an independent one (OR, 1.5; 95%CI:0.6–3.5; P = 0.397) for ORIF in the Wilkins type III flexion-type SCHF.

Conclusion

Distal fracture fragment malrotation on initial x-rays and ulnar nerve injury were significant risk factors for ORIF in Wilkins type III flexion-type SCHF. Surgeons should prepare tourniquets or other open reduction instruments when treating these types of fractures.

Level of evidence

Level IV

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12891-022-05798-5.